Showing posts with label MLB Draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MLB Draft. Show all posts

Friday, September 25, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Houston Astros

Full list of draftees

The Astros had a plethora of draft capital, picking up the #28 pick from Hunter Brown's third place Cy Young finish as well as the #133 pick as compensation for losing Framber Valdez. They used that money to bring in a haul, and did so by moving money around with many of their picks. First rounder Logan Hughes signed nearly a million and a half under slot value, while PPI pick Jack Radel gave them another $363,600 in savings and ninth and tenth rounders Ryan Pruitt and Tazwell Butler received just a paltry $2,500 each to create about another $400,000 in savings. Houston deployed that money with a big $2 million bonus on third rounder Keon Johnson as well as a massive $3 million bonus on fourth round compensatory pick Beau Peterson, matching Radel's bonus over one hundred picks earlier. In all, I think dollar for dollar the talent brought in was fairly underwhelming, though that's not to say I'm not a big fan of several of these guys. Much hinges on the two high school bats, Johnson and Peterson, and both come with questions. Similarly, Hughes and Peterson are both tremendous bats with major positional questions. This is a hitter-heavy class but when it came to arms, Houston focused more on floor than upside and should find several starters to fill out the back of their future rotation.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-17: OF Logan Hughes, Texas Tech
Slot value: $4.87 million. Signing bonus: $3.41 million ($1.46 million below slot value).
My rank: #35. MLB Pipeline: #42. ESPN: #29.
The Astros almost always target a college bat with strong data with their first pick, so Logan Hughes is absolutely true to form. Six of the Astros' past seven first round picks, save for Xavier Neyens in 2025, have been college bats, though none have become impact players in Houston. Hughes hopes to buck that trend and do it while bringing massive savings to Houston, signing for just over the value of the #28 pick here at #17. He played one year at Stetson near his hometown in Central Florida, where he parlayed a successful freshman season into an opportunity to transfer to Texas Tech. He took Lubbock by storm hitting .327/.411/.697 with 19 home runs as a sophomore in 2025, then exploded for a .375/.510/.735 line with 18 home runs as a junior in 2026 to steadily push his name up boards. Hughes can hit, period. He is an extremely professional hitter that ran an excellent 12.9% strikeout rate in 2026 while walking nearly 20% of the time, consistently controlling his at bats no matter the competition. Even in Big 12 play against the conference's best weekend arms, he still kept his strikeout rate at just 12%, showing strong bat to ball to go with his excellent approach. While he's not huge at 5'11", he packs plenty of strength into his shorter frame evidenced by 37 home runs in two seasons. The exit velocity data backs it up as well, with the Orlando-area product profiling for above average power in pro ball that could produce 20-25 home runs per season to go along with high on-base percentages. He rarely tries to do too much, instead using the whole field effectively without sacrificing that power. Nearly all of Hughes' value is tied up in his bat, as he is a below average runner with an arm to match, profiling as a fringy left fielder in the best case scenario if he doesn't have to move to first base eventually. At 5'11", he's relatively short for a first baseman as well, so there is a non-zero chance that he winds up a long term DH. His bat alone would put him in the first round, but the discount comes with the lack of defensive value.

PPI-28: RHP Jack Radel, Notre Dame
Slot value: $3.36 million. Signing bonus: $3 million ($363,600 below slot value).
My rank: #42. MLB Pipeline: #44. ESPN: #33.
The Astros picked up an extra first round pick due to Hunter Brown's third place finish in the 2025 AL Cy Young voting, using it on Notre Dame righty Jack Radel. Radel is a good old fashioned country hard baller with a traditional profile that checks all the boxes analytically as well. He has spent three years in the rotation at Notre Dame and tossed 211 innings, improving each year including an excellent 2026 that pushed him quickly up draft boards. The fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 98 with ride, effectively blowing past bats even in hitter-friendly college baseball conditions. He throws a very effective slider with late downer action to miss bats, while his hard cutter splits the difference to tie things together. Radel also shows a solid average curveball and changeup, giving him a full arsenal which he deploys effectively. The 6'5", 250 pound righty has plenty of size, looking the part of a future big league innings eater that should have no difficulty pitching deep into games and holding up over a long season. He commands his full arsenal well with an easy, repeatable delivery and can continue to carve up a lineup on his third and fourth time through. Radel's lack of a true plus pitch probably caps his ceiling short of that of an ace, but he's as high likelihood of a back-end starter as you'll find in this class with a good shot to become a #3. The Sioux Falls, South Dakota native should stick in big league rotations for a long time with the power fastball, full arsenal, size, and command requisite to handle the heavy workload of a major league starting pitcher.

2-57: LHP Wes Mendes, Florida State
Slot value: $1.68 million. Signing bonus: $1.64 million ($39,700 below slot value).
My rank: #69. MLB Pipeline: #51. ESPN: #83.
Houston makes it back to back high probability starters by bringing in Wes Mendes. Mendes began his career at Ole Miss, where he showed promise as a freshman reliever even if the results were more pedestrian. Transferring closer to home at Florida State, he jumped into the rotation as a sophomore (again to pedestrian results with promising peripherals) before breaking out in 2026, dropping his ERA more than two and a half runs while finishing thirteenth in the nation with 125 strikeouts. Despite the gaudy swing and miss numbers, Mendes is more of a floor guy than a ceiling guy. His fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at peak, showing some riding action but sneaking past bats perhaps more often that you'd expect. He has a pair of decent breaking balls in a short slider in the mid to upper 80's that can look like a cutter at times as well as a deeper curveball in the upper 70's, effectively changing speeds on hitters and keeping them off balance even if neither is a wipeout. The Tampa native's best pitch is a plus changeup with tremendous fade, a pitch he sells extremely well and gets hitters flailing more often than they're on time. College hitters have struggled to come up with an answer to the cambio, though of course in pro ball it will be imperative that he finds another gear with one or two of his other pitches to keep hitters from sitting on it. Like Jack Radel, he has a simple, repeatable delivery that helps him fill up the strike zone, though Radel is more over the top while Mendes is three quarters. The 6'1" lefty figures to work his way up as a #4 starter who could develop into more with an extra tick or two on his fastball or a sharper breaking ball. Houston loves the positive trend, growing from volatile freshman with sneaky stuff to reliable starting pitcher with a real weapon in two years' time.

3-93: SS Keon Johnson, First Presbyterian HS [GA]
Slot value: $846,900. Signing bonus: $2 million ($1.15 million above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #119. ESPN: #99.
After building up over $1.8 million in savings over across their first three picks, Houston unloaded more than half of those savings on Keon Johnson, a bit of a sleeper prospect who didn't rank as highly on draft boards as the money might indicate. Taken here at pick #93, his $2 million signing bonus steering him away from a Vanderbilt commitment is higher than that of Wes Mendes above him and roughly the value of the #50 pick, so he has some real believers in Space City. Johnson has long been a famous name in the 2026 high school class, winning the Georgia Gatorade Player of the Year in 2025 as a junior in one of the more competitive states in the country. He's a ballplayer, plain and simple. He takes strong at bats and uses the whole field effectively, bringing a swagger to the batters' box that exudes confidence with the results to back it up. He has tacked on power in recent years and now projects for home run totals in the teens, which will pair nicely with high on-base percentages driven by his patient approach. The operation centers around strong hips, which get the hands going and can even pull the back leg off the ground when he coils up. It's possible the Astros will look to streamline things a little bit to get him more direct to the ball, which could add to the well-rounded offensive profile. The Macon native is a reliable defender on the dirt, showing well at shortstop with clean actions and solid arm strength that should keep him at the six. If he moves to third base, he should be above average there with solid instincts and feel. He's more of a fringy runner but does enough things well that that shouldn't be an issue. While Johnson lacks a standout tool, the Astros are confident in the broader skill set and believe the ballplayer will continue to add up to more than the sum of his tools, taking to pro ball quickly with an advanced all-around game.

4-121: SS Kam Durnin, Missouri
Slot value: $638,800. Signing bonus: $636,300 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
This is a real sleeper for Houston, one who could provide significant impact despite going unranked on most major boards and falling outside the top 300 at Baseball America. Kam Durnin spent two years at Wichita State, where he posted modest offensive numbers but held down a starting role with strong defense. After exploding for a huge summer in the Appalachian League in 2025 and winning its player of the year award, he caught the attention of his home state Missouri Tigers and transferred. Despite the jump in competition, he took to SEC pitching extremely well and slashed .329/.438/.570, way up from the .251/.352/.372 he posted in 2025 against inferior competition at Wichita State. Durnin grades out really well under the hood, which backs up the 2026 breakout and points to continued gains in pro ball. He is a very patient hitter which served him well in his transition to the SEC, taking strong at bats and attacking hittable pitches when he gets them. His modest nine home runs in 2026 matched his 2024 and 2025 totals combined, but he gets great torque in his operation and the exit velocity data is solid, pointing to potentially average power at the next level. It's a solid all-around offensive profile, aided significantly by a strong defensive profile as well. He's smooth in the dirt with clean actions, solid range, and enough arm strength to make it work, making for a high likelihood shortstop projection going forward. This is a profile that plays much closer to the fourth round selection than it does to the poor showing on public rankings.

4C-133: IF Beau Peterson, Mill Valley HS [KS]
Slot value: $569,600. Signing bonus: $3 million ($2.43 million above slot value).
My rank: #102. MLB Pipeline: #97. ESPN: #126.
With one of the largest over slot bonuses of the entire draft, the Astros poured much of their savings and their permitted overage into Beau Peterson, one of the better high school bats in the class even if he came with some questions. The $3 million bonus was roughly the value of the #33 pick, pulling him away from a Texas commitment if only to a slightly different destination in the Lone Star State. He is actually a very similar draft prospect to Logan Hughes, with all the added ceiling (and risk) of coming from the high school ranks. Peterson is listed at 6'3", 195 pounds, already coming with big league size as a teenager and showing an ideal power hitter's frame that looks primed to continue to add strength. Right now, he is a hit-over-power type by choice even if he's likely to be a power hitter in time. He's a disciplined hitter that deploys a clean left handed swing that doesn't try to do too much, naturally lofting the ball to all fields for extra bases. As he gets stronger and starts to swing with more intent, that power should grow into at least above average if not plus, meaning he could be an above average hitter with plus power at ceiling. Peterson shares similarities to Hughes not just in the box but in the field as well, where he is a below average runner with heavy feet at third base. His plus arm (he's been up to 94 on the mound) gives him a shot to stick at third base if he can improve his footwork and range a little bit, though first base or right field may be in his future. The Kansas City-area product is slightly old for the class and turned 19 shortly after the draft, but the Astros think his bat is so advanced and his ceiling so high that the age won't work against him. He could find himself hitting back to back with Hughes in the middle of that Houston order in just a few years.

5-153: RHP Gavin Eddy, California
Slot value: $467,700. Signing bonus: $297,500 ($170,200 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
After the big splash on Beau Peterson, the Astros went right back to saving and got fifth rounder Gavin Eddy for seventh round money. Eddy sat out his freshman season and then worked as an oft-used swingman as a redshirt freshman in 2025, though his 5.74 ERA and sub-20% strikeout rate did not scream future pro. However, he took a big step forward as a redshirt sophomore in 2026, slashing his ERA to 2.87 while pushing his strikeout rate to 26.9% as a full time starter. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 94, unremarkable velocity, but sneaks by bats with some late hop. His best pitch is a short, tight, downer slider in the low 80's that gets most of his strikeouts, though his changeup is behind and mainly focuses on the first two. The 6'5" righty is plenty physical, clocking in at a solid 225 pounds with the look of a durable big league starting pitcher. His smooth, simple delivery lends itself to above average command, further helping him project as a back-end starter. Eddy's next order of business is adding a changeup, and from there, it's a smooth path to a #5 spot in the rotation.

16-481: C Rashawn Galloway, Texas State
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $50,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Astros drafted three players out of DFW in Ryan Pruitt (Trophy Club -> USF), Peyton Fiene (McKinney -> Odessa JC), and Ben Tryon (Southlake -> Dallas Baptist), with Rashawn Galloway the only representative from the southern half of the state. A native of Boerne just outside of San Antonio, he spent four years at nearby Texas State but the first three were wholly unremarkable with just three home runs across 84 games. He found his stroke as a senior in 2026 with a massive breakout season, slashing .318/.368/.580 with 12 home runs and a Texas State record 27 doubles, smashing the old Bobcats record of 22 with nearly a month left in the season. Galloway has a whippy, powerful right handed swing and the ball jumps off his bat with impressive force, helping him tap power to all fields and regularly drive the ball into the gaps with some mustard. He makes a ton of contact and ran an elite 8.1% strikeout rate in 2026, though his excellent bat to ball also makes it hard to draw walks as he clocked in at just 6.3%. Galloway's contact/power combination is envious even as a right handed hitting mid major bat who was nearly 23 on draft day, and some tweaks to his approach could get him moving through the system in a hurry. Drafted as a catcher, he has seen time all over the field but was used mostly in right field for Texas State. Houston would love to get him back behind the plate where his offensive profile would really stand out and make him a steal at just $50,000 in the sixteenth round. If he stays in the outfield, a right/right corner profile is tough to overcome especially now that he has turned 23 barely into his pro career, but he could surprise people.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Boston Red Sox

Full list of draftees

The Red Sox took a very interesting path with their bonus pool money, shaping up for a funky but interesting class. It is clear the team was infatuated with Jake Schaffner, widely projected as a second round talent, but that they did not want to risk his not being available at their next pick at #67. Rather than sweat it out, they got their guy and gave him far, far less than slot value, using those savings to pry Jace Mataczynski (Auburn), Martin Shelar (Mississippi State), and Kaleb LaFavor (Iowa) away from expensive college commitments. Essentially, based off bonus values they traded one first round pick for three second round picks. With the savings, they were able to have a little bit of fun in the back half of the draft. Where most teams dole out $150K signing bonuses to their favorite leftovers, the Red Sox were able to give four bonuses slightly above that $150K number (coming from the bonus pool) and get Deluxe™leftovers, always a nice little addition. Looking across the class, it's very clear that Boston prioritized athleticism and loud tools in its bats, while many of its arms are model-friendly with significant optimization upside. Boston could end up doing very well for itself with this group.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-20: SS Jake Schaffner, North Carolina
Slot value: $4.37 million. Signing bonus: $2 million ($2.37 million below slot value).
My rank: #61. MLB Pipeline: #75. ESPN: #51.
When the Red Sox spent their first pick on Jake Schaffner, widely projected firmly in the second round range, it was a shock. Looking at the signing bonus, it looks like it may be a very prudent play. Schaffner signed for far, far less than slot value, his $2 million bonus coming in at less than half and fitting just over the value of the #50 pick, so the Red Sox were able to take that $2.37 million in savings and spread it around later in the class. And most importantly with this pick, they got their guy. He began his career at North Dakota State, where he was First Team All-Summit League in both 2024 and 2025 while hitting a .353 across 103 games up on the prairie. Transferring nearly 1200 miles to UNC, he had zero issues with the transition to ACC pitching and hit .353 for the Tar Heels, including a blistering .370 against high level pitching in conference play. He is an elite contact hitter who rarely swings and misses even against advanced pitching, including hitting .281 with an excellent .391 on-base percentage in the competitive Cape Cod League last summer, showing an excellent eye and feel for the barrel. Utilizing a crouched setup and a gashing left handed swing geared for line drive contact, he has below average power and will likely top out at 10-15 home runs per season in a best-case scenario barring major changes to his approach. He's not a pure slap hitter, though, and can turn on the ball to keep pitchers honest. The Wisconsin native is a plus runner and a great athlete, showing all the glovework necessary to stick at shortstop long term. His arm is more of a question, though, and he probably fits better as a second baseman in an ideal scenario. Schaffner could be a plus defender at the keystone and steal plenty of bases. The upside here is an annual .300 hitter who flirts with .400 on-base percentages, swats 10-15 home runs per season, and racks up the stolen bases, making for a true leadoff type if everything goes right.

CBB-67: OF Owen Hull, North Carolina
Slot value: $1.32 million. Signing bonus: $1.2 million ($117,300 below slot value).
My rank: #78. MLB Pipeline: #67. ESPN: #62.
Make that back to back guys who traded green and gold for Carolina blue. Owen Hull began his career at George Mason, where he barely played as a freshman before breaking out to slash .367/.474/.557 as a sophomore, earning his opportunity at UNC. There, like Jake Schaffner, he tore the cover off the ball despite the jump in competition and hit .393/.500/.615 across 69 games, including a staggering .418/.500/.648 in conference play. Hull has a funky left handed swing that he deploys effectively, hitting the ball hard in all directions while limiting chase and swing and miss. He mostly just throws his hands at the baseball and lets the barrel whip behind it, creating sneaky torque with his 6'4" frame to create fringy power that could produce 15-20 home runs per season at peak, though the power comes more from strength than bat speed. Hull has excellent feel for the barrel but can frequently top or get under the ball, hitting it hard into the sky or pounding it into the dirt. A plus runner, the Northern Virginia native has a chance to stick in center field, but his fringy arm will push him to left field rather than right if he does move off the eight. He turned 22 shortly after the draft and is therefore old for a college junior, with the ceiling of a league average bat getting on base with moderate power.

3-96: SS Jace Mataczynski, Hudson HS [WI]
Slot value: $815,700. Signing bonus: $2 million ($1.18 million above slot value),
My rank: #111. MLB Pipeline: #131. ESPN: #77.
The Red Sox began to unload their massive savings on Jace Mataczynski, actually giving him the same $2 million bonus (pick #50 value) as first rounder Jake Schaffner to sign him away from an Auburn commitment. This is a very risky play by Boston, as Mataczynski has much farther to go even than most high schoolers to reach his considerable ceiling. While he wasn't seen much on the showcase circuit, he performed well in his brief looks and caught Boston's eye especially. He was mostly evaluated against cold weather competition in western Wisconsin, just across the border from the Twin Cities, where he performed well but looked raw in many ways. Mataczynski has a noisy operation and doesn't repeat his right handed swing consistently, often getting off balance or out of sync. That said, the sky is the limit once the Red Sox smooth out his operation. He's extremely projectable at 6'4" and when he gets off his A swing, shows great bat speed. The power is presently average but he could add a full grade as he fills out and cleans up his swing, while Boston really believes the hit tool will come around with pro instruction. That's tremendous upside before even getting to the defense. He is a tremendous athlete with plus speed, plus arm strength, and an advanced glove at shortstop, giving him every opportunity to stick there long term and provide significant value too. The whole package is reminiscent of a right handed hitting Colson Montgomery. Boston is taking on significant risk in order to chase this upside with the belief that his raw operation is a product more of amateur instruction than any lack of feel for the game.

5-156: RHP Lucas Davenport, Baylor
Slot value: $454,100. Signing bonus: $350,000 ($104,100 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Lucas Davenport has been around and hasn't quite gotten the results of a high draft pick, but again, Boston sees a development opportunity that could make $350K look like a bargain. He began his career at Texas A&M but never made it into a game, so he transferred to nearby Blinn JC and led the Buccaneers to the NJCAA National Championship in 2024. Transferring a second time to Baylor in 2025, he worked out of the bullpen before transitioning to the rotation in 2026. Though his 6.25 ERA left some to be desired, he showed the stuff and frame for much more. The 6'6", 230 pound right brings the requisite size of a big league pitcher and uses his frame to create great extension and relatively flat approach from a three quarters slot. He moves well with smooth mechanics that help him generate velocity and extension with ease, which also helps him pour in strikes even if his control (ability to throw strikes) is ahead of his command (ability to hit spots in the zone). The fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 98 at peak with run, though the overall movement is average and he relies on his velocity and extension to get results. He has a sweeping slider with some upside, though his feel for it is inconsistent. He splits the difference with a cutter, then also drops in a solid changeup that could be average or better in time. The Red Sox see the size, easy delivery, four pitch mix, and low walk rate (5.7%) and believe they could develop Davenport into a solid back-end starting option. To get there, the Dallas-area product will need to optimize his fastball a little better to miss more bats as well as pick up a little more feel for his secondaries and fine tune his in-zone command a but, but the playbook is there. If he can't check all of that off, the fastball velocity + extension gives him a nice starting point for the bullpen.

9-274: OF Martin Shelar, Marist HS [GA]
Slot value: $205,400. Signing bonus: $1.5 million ($1.29 million above slot value),
My rank: #85. MLB Pipeline: #175. ESPN: #80.
With plenty of bonus pool space left over, the Red Sox unloaded another massive bonus in the ninth round by prying Martin Shelar away from a Mississippi State commitment for $1.5 million, roughly the value of the #62 pick. Like Jace Mataczynski, he comes with plenty of risk and plenty of upside. Already a known commodity down in Atlanta, Shelar bashed his way up boards this spring by leading all U.S. high schoolers with 19 home runs. He is a sturdy 6'2" right handed hitter that takes uppercut swings looking to pull the ball in the air, an approach that worked wonders against strong Atlanta high school pitching. The power is very real, with explosive bat speed and some jaw dropping exit velocities at the MLB Draft Combine in June showing that this could be legitimate plus-plus power we're talking about here. Scouts are more split on the hit tool, as Shelar made plenty of contact during his high school season but may run into problems against more advanced arms in pro ball given his all-out approach. Boston may wish to bring him along slowly as he learns to balance chasing power with a more nuanced approach in pro ball, but they're certainly believers that he'll tap plenty of that power as he moves up the ladder. At ceiling, he seems like a .250 hitter with 30+ home runs annually if all works out. An above average runner, he has a strong arm and profiles nicely in right field, where he should be above average. Shelar is slightly old for a high school senior and turned 19 about a month after the draft.

10-304: RHP Kaleb LaFavor, Bishop Heelan HS [IA]
Slot value: $194,000. Signing bonus: $847,500 ($653,500 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: #171.
The Red Sox kept rolling with the bonus savings, dropping third round money (pick #93 value) on tenth rounder Kaleb LaFavor to keep him from an Iowa commitment. Besides being a pitcher, he is a very similar prospect to third rounder Jace Mataczynski as a raw, projectable, athletic prep from the Upper Midwest. LaFavor presently sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at peak, coming in with some running action if overall average movement. The pitch plays up because he creates a low launch angle with good extension, jumping out of his hand with zip that plays above his velocity even without big movement. He spins a sweeping slider that often gets soft in the upper 70's, though his better ones tighten up in the low 80's and show nice promise. He adds a changeup to round things out, giving him a really nice three pitch mix for a cold weather, small town arm. For LaFavor, the big draw is the projection. The 6'7" righty moves well on the mound with an easy delivery that really gets the ball going out in front, and he's repeating it better than in the past to show solid command. Boston will likely bring him along slowly, letting him build up muscle (he still hasn't crossed 200 pounds despite his height) and add several ticks of velocity both to his fastball and his slider. As he continues to refine his offspeed stuff and get stronger, the Sioux City native has a shot to be a real weapon in Boston's rotation down the line.

11-334: SS Wills Maginnis, Georgia State
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $250,000 ($100,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
With some money left over heading into the back half of the draft, the Red Sox spread it around to several different players but the biggest lump went to Wills Maginnis, who pulled in early eighth round money as their first pick of the back half. Boston clearly had their eyes on Maginnis, a draft-eligible sophomore who had committed to play with his younger brother at Arkansas in 2027. A two-year starter at Georgia State, he was solid as a freshman but turned in a really strong sophomore year, hitting .306/.404/.486 with eight home runs and 21 stolen bases over 56 games. He's projectable at 6'3" and has really strong wrists that help sting the ball on a line to all fields, with fringier power now that could grow into average or better pretty easily. He makes a ton of contact with a great eye and an accurate barrel, a major reason Arkansas felt confident he could make the jump to the SEC, and even more so a very positive indicator for Boston. The Atlanta-area native played first base as a freshman before sliding over to third base as a sophomore, where he proved a strong defender that gave the Red Sox enough confidence to draft him as a shortstop. Though he's played virtually everywhere on the field except shortstop, they'll run him out there at the six and look to refine his glovework while leaning on his above average athleticism to create a solid overall defensive profile. Maginnis profiles as a utility infielder who can do a little bit of everything on the field, but if he can take a step forward in the power department as he fills out his big frame, he could become an everyday player at any number of positions. As a sophomore, he was relatively young and only turned 21 just a few days before the draft.

14-424: RHP Jase Evangelista, Nevada-Las Vegas
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $190,000 ($40,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Red Sox spent the last of their bonus pool on Jase Evangelista, a well travelled arm with some upside. He began his career at Washington, where he had mixed results over two years in the bullpen before transferring to UNLV. While his 6.17 ERA left some to be desired, his 30.5% strikeout rate and deep arsenal impressed the staff at Texas A&M and he committed to pitch for the Aggies in 2027. He impressed the Red Sox as well, who bought him out for a little extra cash over the typical fourteenth round pick. Evangelista sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 97 with his fastball, a four seamer with strong riding action. He can turn it over into a solid cutter, turn over a little more into a sweeper, or drop it into a 12-6 curveball. A changeup gives him a fifth pitch, making for a deep arsenal with many options to attack hitters. His command has taken a step forward as well, giving hime every chance to pitch out of the rotation in pro ball despite spending his college career as a long reliever. Boston will play with the deep array of pitch shapes to work the Southern California native into a back-end starter.

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Chicago Cubs

Full list of draftees

Besides a couple of big power bats near the top, the Cubs focused heavily on pitching in this class with ten in a row from rounds three through twelve and another six in a row to close out the draft from the fifteenth round on. It was all about breaking balls in this class, with the Cubs looking less at pitchers who could run attack the top rail with explosive fastballs and more at guys who could spin the heck out of the ball. That adds a lot of relief risk to the class, especially with command not being a priority in the draftees, but it does create a lot of upside and possibly gives them quite a few future closer options.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-23: RHP Cade Townsend, Mississippi
Slot value: $3.95 million. Signing bonus: $3.1 million ($847,600 below slot value).
My rank: #23. MLB Pipeline: #35. ESPN: #26.
The Cubs got quite a bargain bringing in one of the most talented college pitchers in the country for nearly a million dollars below slot value, just below the value of the #31 pick here at #23. Cade Townsend has been well-known to scouts since his prep days, when he had significant interest from MLB teams as a star at Santa Margarita Catholic HS in Southern California. He turned down offers and crossed the country to attend Ole Miss, where he flashed upside but pitched to a 6.35 ERA as a freshman in 2025. Townsend returned in 2026 looking like a more complete pitcher and dominated the Rebels' non-conference schedule (0.48 ERA, 32/4 K/BB in 18.2 IP over 4 starts), and while his SEC performance was more up and down, he still did more than enough for evaluators to push himself into the first round. The 6'1" righty sits in the mid 90's and touches 98 with ride through the zone, holding that velocity now better than he did in the past. He stands out most for his feel for secondaries, making the ball dance all around the zone with a full arsenal. He runs his cutter into the upper 80's to consistently stay off barrels, then slices it into a truer sweeper that looks plus in its own right. His curveball shows good depth and gives him yet another potential plus pitch, while his changeup plays closer to average. This is the pure stuff that can play at the top of a rotation, but Townsend has yet to fully put it together. He is throwing more strikes than in the past, dropping his walk rate from 13.1% as a freshman to 8.0% as a sophomore, though it is still more control than command and he can get hit in the zone. Townsend is very, very close to breaking through as a rotation force, and if the Cubs can unlock a little more life on his fastball while fine tuning that command a little further, it would make his breaking balls play up even further as hitters can't simply trust their hands to catch up to the above average velocity. I see this as great value near the back of the first round with massive savings to boot.

2-62: OF Caden Sorrell, Texas A&M
Slot value: $1.49 million. Signing bonus: $1.65 million ($162,800 above slot value).
My rank: #54. MLB Pipeline: #33. ESPN: #43.
Caden Sorrell was projected throughout the 20-40 range for much of the draft cycle, though I felt that was just a little bit rich for my taste and left just outside of my top fifty. The Cubs getting him here in the second round for a slightly over-slot bonus (roughly the value of pick #58) feels more like market value and I'd be much more comfortable rolling the dice here. Like Cade Townsend, Sorrell comes with massive upside, though he has a few more fatal flaws and comes with a wider range of outcomes. Both of his grandfathers played in the big leagues in the 1960's and 1970's, then he made a name for himself as a Dallas-Fort Worth high schooler in 2023 with top 100 interest. He made it to campus at Texas A&M and jumped into the starting lineup as a true freshman in 2024, then over the last two years he has really turned it on by slashing .340/.433/.757 with 35 home runs over 82 games despite missing significant time in 2025 with hamstring problems. Sorrell is a toolshed, to pit it lightly. Listed at 6'3", 210 pounds, he is packed with lean muscle which he channels into an explosive left handed swing to create plus raw power. He taps that power in games, recognizing mistake pitches and hammering them to the pull side or mishitting balls out to all fields even if he doesn't square it up. There are few players more exciting to watch connect with a baseball and Sorrell does it frequently, setting a career high with 23 home runs in 2026. The catch, of course, is contact. While he had no problem performing in college or even when isolated to just SEC play – where he hit .317/.399/.667 against some of the best arms in the country – the warning signs are there. Sorrell runs contact rates below 70% and struck out at a 22.9% clip in 2026, including 26.6% in SEC play, creating major questions as to whether he can catch up to advanced pro pitching. There is some tendency to chase in the profile, but the bigger issue is just the creation of holes in his left handed swing when he tries to blast balls out of the state. As has been emphasized, he has had little reason to adjust that approach thus far as he's always found a mistake pitch he can drive, but it will be a point of emphasis for the Cubs in pro ball. Defensively, Sorrell is a plus runner who has shown well the outfield, giving him a shot to play center field if we wanted to ignore the existence of Pete Crow-Armstrong for a minute. He certainly won't knock PCA out of center field, but the speed and plus arm could make him a plus defender in right. field. The ceiling on Sorrell is immense and if he takes a few large steps forward in the contact department, he could be a star in Chicago for a long time.

2C-75: 1B Myles Bailey, Florida State
Slot value: $1.12 million. Signing bonus: $1.9 million ($779,100 above slot value).
My rank: #83. MLB Pipeline: #83. ESPN: #88.
Well, speaking of power. If power was money, Myles Bailey would have enough to give every American one hundred dollars and still have enough left over to buy the Cubs. This is, to put it plainly, some of the biggest raw power in the entire draft, if not the biggest. Like Caden Sorrell, Bailey was a well-known prep with significant draft interest out of high school but made it to campus at Florida State, where he bopped 19 home runs and slashed an impressive .327/.441/.663 as a true freshman. He came out hammering in 2026, slashing a prime Barry Bonds-like .363/.582/.913 with 13 home runs in 26 games (an 81 home run pace over a 162 game season) before shattering his ankle against Duke at the end of March. Listed at 6'4", 255 pounds, Bailey looks every bit of it and the power is Earth-shattering. He uses his massive limbs to hammer balls in all directions, whether he's sending them to a different tax jurisdiction to the pull side or going halfway up the scoreboard in the opposite direction. Of course, the catch here just as with Sorrell is contact. He struck out at a high 31.0% rate as a freshman and dropped that to 24.6% as a sophomore, but that was mostly because pitchers were avoiding him and he walked 28.7% of the time. Even in ACC play against better pitching (albeit in just an eight game sample), that strikeout rate sat at a similar 26.3% but the walk rate was a gargantuan 34.2%. Bailey simple does not chase when pitchers refuse to challenge him, but when they do challenge him, they usually win in the zone. The Tallahassee native swings through a ton of hittable pitches with some of the lowest contact rates among drafted players, and big league pitchers will find plenty of holes inside that strike zone to exploit. Then the trade off becomes when pitchers don't win in the zone, the results are spectacular. In his tiny ACC sample in 2026, Bailey was performing much better than in 2025 and seemed to have gotten the swing and miss to at least a realistic level, and the Cubs are bought into those gains as real progress. If he can hit the ball just sometimes at the big league level, his propensity to walk could still keep his on-base percentages at a decent level while he threatens for as many home runs as he can make contact on, looking to Adam Dunn as his ceiling. While nobody is going to mistake the hulking slugger for Ozzie Smith out on the infield dirt, he can pick it pretty well for a guy his size and plays a decent first base. Bailey will likely be a net positive around the bag and could stave off becoming a DH for the first half of his career. His $1.9 million bonus was well above slot value, roughly the value of the #52 pick.

3-98: RHP Carson Jasa, Nebraska
Slot value: $800,000. Signing bonus: $750,000 ($50,000 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #173. ESPN: #166.
Carson Jasa is as good of a trajectory pick as you're going to find. Out of high school, he lacked any semblance of body control and was kept far away from the mound as a freshman. He improved his command from unplayable to merely well below average in 2025, earning eleven appearances (four starts) but battling that command in every one of them. He worked hard over the offseason and improved again in 2026, coming out as a full time starter and posting a 3.59 ERA and 117 strikeouts, the eighteenth most in the nation. The command was still below average, but he learned to work with it, keep his misses reasonable, and stay in competitive counts, helping his power stuff get to work. Jasa sits in the mid 90's with his fastball and touches 98 at peak, though like Cade Townsend back in the first round, the pitch can get straight. Also like Townsend, he has tremendous feel for spin with a pair of fall off the table breaking balls in his tight slider and hard downer curveball. Hitters struggle to track either of them and consistently swing through them even if they know they're coming. Jasa adds a changeup, but it's his fourth pitch. The 6'7" righty brings huge size to the table and works with a stiffer, tall and fall delivery that limits his extension. He still needs to work hard on his body control to get a little more athletic on the mound, hopefully helping to bring his command a little closer to average. Adding some life to his fastball would help too, and together he should have a chance to start. At present, his breaking ball-first arsenal and below average command profile more as a bullpen piece.

4-126: RHP Dylan Marionneaux, Northwestern State
Slot value: $609,200. Signing bonus: $600,000 ($9,200 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
This one is a bit off the beaten path, with little information out there about Dylan Marionneaux. After showing up at Northwestern State throwing mid 80's, he has steadily improved each year dropping his ERA from 7.65 to 5.01 to 3.51 while upping his strikeout rate to 12.4% to 17.9% to 23.3%. The fastball now sits in the low 90's and touches 95 with some cut but otherwise ordinary shape, so rather than relying on the heater, he pitches off his glove side weapons. His cutter sits in the upper 80's and anchors his arsenal, while he can turn it into a nice little slider to miss bats, albeit not at high rates. He rounds it out with a changeup. Marionneaux's walk rate has improved every year as well, dropping from 11.4% to 10.4% to just 5.2% in 2026, going from a weakness to a weapon. The Baton Rouge-area native commands his modest arsenal well, not just his fastball but also his secondary pitches. Listed at 6'3", 170 pounds, he is very thin for a starting pitcher and will need to pack on a lot of good weight. He has a thinner build and may not ever have that workhorse frame, but bulking up a little could help him live closer to the mid 90's and help the fastball become a bigger part of his arsenal. He moves well on the mound and comes with nice sleeper upside for Chicago. Marionneaux had previously committed to Alabama out of the transfer portal but the Cubs bought him out with a much higher than expected bonus.

5-159: RHP Dylan Blomker, La Cueva HS [NM]
Slot value: $441,300. Signing bonus: $888,000 ($446,700 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Moving to the prep side, the Cubs went off the beaten path a little bit and pulled in a bit of a sleeper in the class. LSU did a fantastic job of getting talent to campus this fall, perhaps too good of a job with more stars than roster spots, and Dylan Blomker was one of the few (and one of the more unexpected) signees to go pro. Blomker has a low to mid 90's fastball that can hit 97 in short stints with nice riding action from a lower slot. His slider can be inconsistent but shows huge spin rates and frisbee action at its best, while hsi changeup gives him a firmer third option. The 6'3" righty has a great pitcher's frame with present strength and space to develop further, but his delivery can get rushed and his command is below average for now. He'll need significant refinement in pro ball, especially to iron out his mechanics and command, carrying significant reliever risk as a pitcher who may have to rely on a fastball/slider combination. The upside, though, is that of a mid rotation starter who can take his time working his way up through the system as he gradually tacks on polish to a really talented profile. The Albuquerque native signed for roughly twice his slot value, roughly the value of the #90 pick.

6-188: RHP Isaac Morton, Minnesota
Slot value: $344,400. Signing bonus: $344,400.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #172. ESPN: #182.
Isaac Morton continues the theme of upward trajectory pitchers, even if he's currently out with injury. A high level prospect out of high school, he began his career at Texas A&M but pitched just 19.1 innings in two seasons as he battled injuries and a 20.6% walk rate. Transferring back home to Minnesota, he put it all together for a strong junior season in the Gopher rotation, posting a 3.26 ERA and cutting his walk rate in half. Unfortunately he was on his way to another gem against Nebraska, striking out seven of the first twelve batters he faced on the final weekend of Minnesota's season, before leaving with an arm injury that wound up requiring Tommy John surgery. He'll be out for much of 2027 as well, but the Cubs think he could get on the fast track to the big leagues once healthy. A true sidearmer, Morton sits in the mid 90's and touches 97 with his turbo sinker, forcing weak contact and creating a difficult look for hitters. His slider sweeps hard to the glove side with tremendous finish, an easy plus pitch, while his cutter splits the difference and his changeup is more of a fourth offering. The 6'3" righty has significantly improved his command at Minnesota but is still more control than command, so further refinement is definitely needed if he wants to stick in the rotation. Given that he'll be nearly 23 when he returns from surgery, the Cubs may want to fast track him as a reliever where his sidearm sinker/slider combination could be deadly. Morton has closer upside in that role if the stuff ticks up like it tends to do when starters move to the bullpen, a nice fallback should starting not work out.

9-277: RHP Chase Meyer, West Virginia
Slot value: $204,100. Signing bonus: $220,000 ($15,900 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Cubs rolled the dice in the ninth round on another pitcher who has been off the mound but for very different reasons. Chase Meyer struggled mightily with command out of the West Virginia bullpen as a freshman, when he ran a 24% walk rate and an 8.38 ERA over thirteen appearances, then took a big step forward as a sophomore in 2025 as one of the Mountaineers' most trusted relievers. He was primed for another big season in 2026 when a locker room dispute led to his dismissal from the team early in the season, so he announced his intention to transfer to Arizona State and went to pitch in the MLB Draft League and Cape Cod League. The stuff is loud, and the Cubs hope to channel it in the right direction. His fastball sits in the mid 90's touching 98 with life, while his power breaking balls steal the show. Meyer's curveball and slider both look plus with high spin rates and sharp, late bite to miss a ton of bats. His changeup, like other pitchers in this Cubs class, is a fourth pitch. The 6'2" righty has below average command from an uptempo delivery and needs to significantly rein things in, especially if he wants to start in pro ball. Meyer more likely looks like a reliever long term, just as he was with West Virginia, but one with wicked stuff that could pitch in high leverage situations in Chicago.

Sunday, August 16, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Seattle Mariners

Full list of draftees

The Mariners tend to draft really well and that was certainly the case in 2026, though the failure to sign eighteenth round pick Dominic Santarelli and twentieth rounder Connor Shouse meant that they didn't quite spend their full bonus pool. Still, they spread the money around perhaps better than any other team, avoiding the practice of handing out minuscule four figure bonuses that many teams employ (or in the case of the Braves, three figure) and instead giving all but one pick at least $150,000. In fact, they handed out thirteen bonuses of $200,000 or more, making for the most balanced draft of any team. Additionally, unlike most teams, they did not treat the $2,500 contingency bonus as part of the bonus, and when they gave full slot value, they actually gave full slot value. Player-wise, the top of the draft was very hitter-heavy with seven bats in their first eight picks. They targeted hitters with strong exit velocities and other traits indicating the ability to hit above their draft position, looking more towards offense than defense with very few players who can stick up the middle.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-24: 3B Ace Reese, Mississippi State
Slot value: $3.82 million. Signing bonus: $3.5 million ($318,700 below slot value).
My rank: #17. MLB Pipeline: #18. ESPN: #17.
Seattle got tremendous value with their first pick, bringing in Ace Reese (elite baseball name) on an under-slot deal at #24 despite rumors of teams interested throughout the teens. Reese began his career at Houston where he was more good than great, then transferred to Mississippi State after one season and took the SEC by storm, slashing .341/.425/.719 with 45 home runs over 118 games in his two seasons in Starkville. He looks the part of a slugger at 6'4", 220 pounds, and brings all of the batted ball data to back up his gaudy home run totals. It's easy plus power that comes naturally, to the pull side, and in the air, helping him tap all of it in games. In fact, he and Mississippi's Judd Utermark were the only two SEC players to hit over 20 home runs in each of the last two seasons. His left handed swing is a thing of beauty, getting long through the zone and driving through the baseball while still getting the right angles to put serious air under it and use his power effectively. That power is ahead of his hitting ability, combining a relatively high chase rate with fringy pure bat to ball that led to a 21.6% strikeout rate in 2026, rising to 24.8% in SEC play and 30.6% in the Cape Cod League last summer. Still, Reese has managed to hit everywhere he has gone, including a strong .303/.361/.485 slash line on the Cape despite the strikeout rate. The Mariners have high confidence that he will continue to tap his power and get on base in pro ball, though he may be more of a .250 hitter than a .280 hitter when all is said and done. The East Texas native has worked hard to stick at third base and the Mariners would like to see that work out, but he probably fits more as a first baseman or left fielder in pro ball with below average speed and choppier glovework. It's the bat Seattle is buying, with some of the best offensive upside in the class especially once you get out of the top handful of picks.

2-65: OF Jake Brown, Louisiana State
Slot value: $1.38 million. Signing bonus: $1.38 million.
My rank: #89. MLB Pipeline: #59. ESPN: #64.
Jake Brown has a bit of a split camp and could be an interesting developmental project. A stud two-way prospect out of high school in Louisiana that drew significant attention from big league teams, he gave up pitching at LSU and grew into one of the Tigers' most reliable bats. Brown began the 2026 season on a tear and pushed his way into top 50 conversations, but hit poorly in conference play (.214/.325/.443) and broken his hamate bone in April, ending his season after 42 games. He's a professional hitter with above average bat to ball and feel for the barrel, helping him consistently drive the ball to all fields and make the most of his average raw power. He works counts well, and ultimately makes for a very tough out no matter where he goes. There is some concern that his strong numbers could be a bit of a mirage after his weaker run through conference play, where his strikeout rate rose from 9.1% out of conference to 26.2% in conference, and the hand injury cut short his chance to turn that around and prove it a 19 game-sample fluke. Brown is a sneaky athlete who plays a better right field than you might expect, with the above average arm from his pitching days making him a well rounded defender in the corner. If the rough SEC run was indeed a fluke, then his penchant for finding barrels and getting on base could make him a 15-20 home run, high on-base type who could steal a couple of bases and play a solid right field. He does, however, run platoon risk and probably has a median outcome of that of a lefty platoon bat.

3-101: RHP Nathan Taylor, Cincinnati
Slot value: $778,200. Signing bonus: $778,200.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #215. ESPN: #242.
Seattle develops pitching as well as anybody and Nathan Taylor plays right into their wheelhouse. One of the most reliable starting pitchers in Cincinnati history and the school's all time leader in wins and strikeouts, he leaves the school 22-7 with a 4.25 ERA and a 276/96 strikeout to walk ratio over 249.2 innings in three seasons. Taylor sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and touches 97, showing average life but elite extension that gives Seattle plenty to work with. He makes his money with a plus slider with late bite, pitching heavily off of it and finishing off the majority of his hitters with it. There's a changeup in there too, but he doesn't use it as much and it will need further development. The 6'5" righty is built like a workhorse starter and threw 72.2, 87, and 90 innings over the last three seasons. Taylor has the durability and, increasingly, the command to stick in a rotation long term. The arsenal is a bit more relievery for now, so Seattle will work to bring a little more life out of his fastball and separate his changeup a little more from the rest of the arsenal. With his size and elite extension, it should be something the Mariners can figure out and the Cincinnati-area native could become a #3 or #4 starter in relatively short order.

4-129: 3B Trevor Lucas, UNC Wilmington
Slot value: $591,700. Signing bonus: $450,000 ($141,700 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
This is a nice pull for the Mariners, grabbing a bit of a sleeper bat in Trevor Lucas. He began his career at Gaston College outside of Charlotte, then transferred back home to UNC Wilmington after one season. He was solid but unremarkable as a sophomore in 2025, then took a step forward as a junior in 2026 to hit .312/.429/.556 with twelve home runs and more walks (38) than strikeouts (35) in 58 games. Lucas isn't huge, but he has a whippy bat and good feel for the barrel to consistently make the most of his average raw power and drive the ball to the gaps and over fences. A very disciplined hitter, he rarely chases and runs strong contact numbers to help him strike out just 13.5% of the time in 2026. He didn't face a terribly difficult schedule in 2026 and some teams may qualify his strong numbers by pointing to that level of competition, but the Mariners believe in the bat and see a potential 15-20 home run hitter with strong on-base percentages if he hits his ceiling. Lucas is a strong defender as well, with plenty of arm strength and steady glovework to stick at the hot corner and provide value there. Getting him here in the fourth round for fifth round money is nice value and he could surprise some people as he works his way up.

5-162: OF Hayden Yost, Florida
Slot value: $429,100. Signing bonus: $415,000 ($14,100 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The older brother of Tigers prospect Jordan Yost, Hayden spent three years at Florida and got better each year. There's above average power in his 6'1", 200 pound frame, with the ability to drive the ball to the pull side with a smooth left handed swing. Yost dealt with injuries in 2026 and was limited to 42 games, but still more than doubled his career home run total by knocking ten and slugging .589, nearly two hundred points higher than his previous career high. He also runs good contact rates and struck out at a solid 16% rate in 2026, and he was one of the few Gators hitters to swing well in conference play with a .302/.385/.755 line on SEC weekends, including blasting eight home runs in 21 games. Seattle also liked what they saw in the Cape Cod League last summer and believe that had he been fully healthy and received more consistent playing time in 2026, he would have broken out further with the bat and gone much higher in the draft. His brother Jordan is a skinnier, hit over power type, while Hayden increasingly looks like he has Jordan's hitting ability to go along with a more physical frame and better power. The Tampa native mainly played right field for the Gators, but has seen time all over the outfield and has the look of a useful corner outfield bat going forward. Like many in this Seattle draft class, he could develop into a much better hitter than many expect.

6-191: 3B Henry Ford, Tennessee
Slot value: $335,900. Signing bonus: $335,900.
My rank: #128. MLB Pipeline: #148. ESPN: #183.
Based on the rankings, it may look like I'm the high guy on Henry Ford, but I only ranked 132 players this year so he fell near the bottom of the list and I saw him fitting more in this sixth round range of the draft as it were. Ford has been on the shuttle between Charlottesville and East Tennessee, growing up and beginning high school in the former but transferring to complete high school at the Baylor School in Chattanooga. He returned home for college and played two seasons at UVA, then went back to the Volunteer State to spend his junior season at Tennessee. Ford was one of the Cavaliers' best hitters in his two years, blasting 28 home runs and hitting .348/.414/.587 in 111 games to earn top five round interest as an eligible sophomore in 2025. Contact and positional concerns left him undrafted, and when head coach Brian O'Connor took the job at Mississippi State, he accepted Tony Vitello's offer to play at Tennessee. Vitello subsequently left to manage the San Francisco Giants, and Ford hit a career-low .293 with a career-high twenty home runs under Josh Elander in Knoxville in 2026. At this point, the book has gotten pretty clear on Ford. He's an aggressive hitter with average bat to ball that enables him to post strong offensive numbers despite the tendency to chase. He likes to drive up through the ball to the pull side, where his above average power has helped him knock 48 career home runs despite playing two years in UVA's pitcher-friendly Disharoon Park. The swing can get grooved at times and cause mishits, but he has the power to make those count and still keeps the swing and miss down. He hit well in the Cape Cod League (.267/.349/.467, 20.9% strikeout rate) but ran into real strikeout concerns for the first time in his career in SEC play this year (.256/.317/.519, 26.8% K). Ford has seen time both at first base and left field, and the Mariners seemed optimistic in his defense by drafting him as a third baseman. A below average runner, he likely fits at first base long term and will really have to hit given his right handed hitting profile. He is old for a college junior and turned 22 shortly after the draft.

7-220: SS Ryan Wynn, Georgia
Slot value: $266,100. Signing bonus: $350,000 ($83,900 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Ryan Wynn was overshadowed by more famous hitters in a dangerous Georgia lineup, allowing the Mariners to swoop in and get him here in the seventh round while paying him sixth round money. Wynn began his career at Wofford, where he played sparingly as a freshman before hitting .331 as a sophomore and earning the opportunity to transfer back home to Georgia. His bat didn't miss a beat with the jump in competition as he hit .324/.386/.619 with nine home runs in 53 games (including .333/.368/.704 in SEC play), even if he was often coming off the bench. An aggressive hitter, Wynn works with a quick uppercut that makes the most of his fringy raw power and covers the plate well, sending line drives around the field with consistency while turning on one every now and then. He does have a tendency to chase, leading to just nine walks in 2026 at a tiny 5.7% rate, but that didn't hurt him at all even against talented SEC weekend arms. The Mariners believe if he stays in the zone more consistently, he can make the most of his strong bat to ball and tap even more power in games, potentially threatening for home run totals in the teens. The Atlanta-area native played mostly second base at Georgia after seeing more time at shortstop at Wofford, and ultimately looks like a utility infielder in the long run.

11-340: RHP Wyatt Queen, Oregon State
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $275,000 ($125,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Seattle began the second half of the draft with a bit of a splash, giving Wyatt Queen seventh round money to sign here in the eleventh. He's a local kid coming home, a native of Marysville just thirty miles north of Seattle where he attended Lake Stevens High School. Queen began his career at local Everett JC just across the Snohomish River, then transferred to Oregon State after one season and has been a valuable late inning arm in Corvallis. The fastball is average in the low 90's and touching 96 in short stints, but he makes his money with a pair of plus breaking balls that miss a ton of bats. His power slider gets late bite and hitters rarely seem to pick it up, while his curveball has short, tight, downer action. A fringy changeup rounds things out. The 6'2" righty has a stiffer delivery and doesn't create much extension, unlike many Mariners targets, but he repeats it pretty well and has fringy command. The whole package worked really well at Oregon State, where he pushed his strikeout rate over 40% as a junior and held a 2.49 ERA over 21 games (one start). He's probably still a reliever in pro ball, though Seattle may believe enough in his size and the depth of his arsenal to give him a shot to start. He's fairly young for a college junior and turned 21 barely a month before the draft.

Thursday, August 13, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Milwaukee Brewers

Full list of draftees

The Brewers have their own way of drafting and normally push bonus pool money around, and 2026 was no different. After under-slotting an Ebel brother for the second straight season, they split that money between first round talent Sawyer Strosnider and late riser Julian Garcia to make a core trio for the class. From there, the Brewers divvied out several moderate bonuses to under the radar high schoolers like Grant Hill ($200K), Kellan Tom ($175K), Chance Ruby ($150K), and Brady Smith ($150K). It's an unusual strategy as most teams target higher dollar preps and send lower bonuses to college players, but Milwaukee trusts its first in class player development system and thinks they can find some real bargains here.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-25: SS Trey Ebel, Corona HS [CA]
Slot value: $3.7 million. Signing bonus: $2.8 million ($896,000 below slot value).
My rank: #93. MLB Pipeline: #107. ESPN: #37.
A year ago, the Brewers popped Corona (Calif.) High School shortstop Brady Ebel in the comp round, #32 overall, and signed him for an under-slot $2.75 million. This year, the Brewers went back to Corona High School to take shortstop Trey Ebel with the #25 overall pick, then signed him for a nearly identical $2.8 million bonus. Trey's bonus was nearly a million dollars below slot value, just below the value of the #35 pick, and gave the Brewers massive savings to use later in the draft. Ebel himself is no slouch of a prospect, even if he was drafted far earlier than some expected. He was a helium prospect in the spring of 2026, performing extremely well against strong Southern California high school competition at one of the top schools in the region. His compact right handed swing puts good leverage on the ball and has helped him hit everywhere he's gone, while his power has ticked up as he's filled out his solid 6' frame. He uses a toe tap for timing and reads pitches well out of the hand, driving the ball on a line to all fields with authority. He'll likely always be hit over power, profiling for home run totals in the teens with high on-base percentages driving by both batting average and strong walk rates. The Rancho Cucamonga native has also worked hard on his shortstop defense, with compact actions and an above average arm that look much more playable at the field's toughest non-catching position than they did perhaps a year or two ago. There is still a chance that his fringy pure speed or a more explosive defender pushes him to second or third base, but the glove has gotten so steady that he could be a plus defender at either of those positions. Like his brother, Ebel is very young for the class and won't turn 18 until September, giving him significant extra development runway over some of his peers. Interestingly enough, joining the Brewers organization means he not only joins his brother, but also a third Corona native and fellow middle infielder in Brice Turang. He had previously been committed to Texas A&M.

2-66: OF Sawyer Strosnider, Texas Christian
Slot value: $1.35 million. Signing bonus: $2.1 million ($746,900 above slot value).
My rank: #22. MLB Pipeline: #22. ESPN: #36.
Sawyer Strosnider had a wide range of opinions in the industry ranging from those that saw him as a mid-first round talent who could go in the teens to those more skeptical of his hit tool who felt he belonged in the comp round. It seems the more pessimistic outlook won out, where he fell into the Brewers' lap for an above slot bonus in the second round. Coming in at pick #66, Milwaukee used most of their savings on first rounder Trey Ebel to sign Strosnider for roughly the value of the #48 pick. He has been a high level prospect since he was a high schooler outside of Fort Worth, but he honored his commitment to TCU and exploded onto the scene with a .350/.420/.650 slash line that earned him Big 12 Freshman of the Year honors. He entered the 2026 season a potential top ten pick, but an up and down sophomore year saw him slash .273/.415/.590 across 50 games. Listed at 6'2", 200 pounds, Strosnider is a twitchy athlete with plus-plus raw power that produces great exit velocities. He doesn't get to all of it just yet with an over-aggressive approach that creates too much weak contact even if his bat to ball is above average. After walking at an 8% rate as a freshman, he more than doubled it to 18.4% as a sophomore not because he was chasing less, but because pitchers were less willing to pitch to him. Strosnider is relatively raw as a hitter even after two years at TCU and hit just .229/.346/.457 in Big 12 play, tempering some interest but not dimming his immense upside. His combination of power and good-enough bat to ball could make him a thirty home run bat with improvements to his approach, and his plus speed could make him a 30-30 player. The speed and above average arm give him a shot to play center field too, and if he moves to right, he could be a plus defender there. Strosnider has all the building blocks of a potential star and while most teams didn't think a .229 conference hitter was worth the risk in the first round, it's tremendous value in the second.

3-102: OF Kyle Jones, Florida
Slot value: $770,600. Signing bonus: $675,000 ($95,600 below slot value).
My rank: #112. MLB Pipeline: #135. ESPN: #140.
Doubling down on college outfielders with upside, Kyle Jones brings the Brewers an under-slot bat that is the opposite of Strosnider as a hit-over-power type rather than vice versa. He began his career at Stetson, where he hit .355 as a freshman before transferring to Florida. A shoulder injury limited him to four games as a sophomore, but he bounced back as a junior this year to hit .317/.418/.478 for the Gators. Jones gets it done with a strong approach and good bat to ball, helping him hit over .300 everywhere he's gone even as he's jumped to tougher competition in the SEC. Listed at 6'3", 190 pounds, he's still very projectable and could tack on significant power, which is a scary thought given the polish in his bat already. The power presently is below average, and at present he probably profiles for home run totals in the low teens alongside high on-base percentages. The Georgia native can get up to plus speed at his best but plays closer to average on the field, though it should be enough for center field. With an average arm, he may fit better in left than right if he shifts out, so the Brewers will work hard to squeeze a little more impact out of his high average bat.

4-130: RHP Julian Garcia, St. John Bosco HS [CA]
Slot value: $585,700. Signing bonus: $1.5 million ($914,300 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #109. ESPN: #135.
Julian Garcia was a late riser in the 2026 class, so in a year where I had less time to build a comprehensive draft list, I didn't get a chance to look into his profile beforehand and he did not rank on my final board of 132 players. The Brewers sure did, and they gave him big time money (roughly the value of the #62 pick) to divert him from a Long Beach State commitment. He has a power fastball that sits in the mid 90's and touches 97 with ride to blow past bats, while his hammer curveball has much better snap and finish than most at that age. There's a changeup as well, but it's firm at this point and needs further development. Garcia has flashed big stuff throughout his high school career, but this year he channeled it into a much more complete package and looks as much like a starter as ever. The 6'3" righty is big and durable, filling up the zone more in the past and maintaining his power stuff deep into games. Milwaukee is investing in a potential mid-rotation starter on the rise with stuff, size, and durability combined with improving command. If they can bring his changeup along, he'll more than justify the late second round investment here in the fourth round,.

12-371: RHP Marcus Kruzan, Minnesota
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000. 
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Wisconsin has produced its fair share of talent, but the Northwoods are another story. Marcus Kruzan hails from the tiny town of Highbridge, Wisconsin all the way up on Lake Superior, where he attended Ashland High School about fifteen miles away. He spent his first two seasons at Saint Thomas in Minneapolis before transferring across town to Minnesota, where he established himself as a reliable starting pitcher. There is not much information out there about his arsenal, but it's a fastball that gets into the mid 90's at peak with a full arsenal of secondaries. He can manipulate the shape of his breaking balls and gets nice finish, working between a curveball and slider, and adds a solid if somewhat firm changeup. Working with a deep arm plunge, he gets great extension from his 6'2" frame putting a little extra hop on his stuff. His command has improved in school and now looks closer to average. Kruzan has some nice upside to uncover working in a pro development program, especially in an org like the Brewers. It doesn't hurt to add another Wisconsinite either.

17-521: SS Chance Ruby, Wilmot Union HS [WI]
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000. 
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
As with Marcus Kruzan, there isn't a ton of information available about local Wisconsinite Chance Ruby. Hailing from Twin Lakes, nearly three hundred miles away from Kruzan's Highbridge but somehow in the same state, Ruby attended Wilmot Union High School on the Illinois border less than forty miles southwest of American Family Field in Milwaukee. He is a 6' shortstop with a powerful right handed swing, creating great torque from a wide base and an effective kinetic chain. While the hit tool is unproven against higher level arms, the Brewers were impressed in their looks and believe pro development will be enough to help him tap that power in games. Ruby is also a plus runner with a good arm, giving him a shot to stick at shortstop too. He's a classic under the radar, cold weather bat who could sneak up on people and turn into a potential five tool player. Of course, he has a very long way to go.

20-611: 1B Carsten Sabathia, Houston
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $50,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Brewers closed out the draft with Carsten Sabathia, son of (brief) former Brewers star CC Sabathia. Carsten began his career at Georgia Tech, where he had just twenty plate appearances over two seasons before transferring to Houston. There, he still saw inconsistent playing time but took a step forward from his junior (.235/.333/.370, 2 HR) to his senior (.283/.374/.511, 6 HR) seasons. Like his father, he is a big presence in the box at 6'4", 245 pounds and brings the exit velocities to match. He can really rip the barrel through the zone with a whippy, powerful right handed swing that gets the ball in the air and produces plus raw power. He doesn't get to it consistently in games because his timing can be inconsistent and his bat to ball is fringy, leading to a lot of weak contact as well and a 24.3% strikeout rate in 2026. Sabathia will need considerable mechanical cleanup in pro ball to truly unlock that prodigious raw power, while his defense is also limited as a below average runner and a first baseman-only. He'll turn 23 in September.

Monday, July 13, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review Index

Below you will find each of my thirty MLB Draft reviews, team by team with links. I will work in reverse order of the team's first pick, starting with the Dodgers and ending with the White Sox. You can find my full draft rankings here.

Arizona Diamondbacks (coming soon)
Athletics
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox (published 9/6)
Chicago Cubs (published 8/18)
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds (published 9/19)
Cleveland Guardians (published 9/10)
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers (published 8/23)
Houston Astros (published 9/25)
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers (published 7/24)
Miami Marlins (coming soon)
Milwaukee Brewers (published 8/13)
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets (published 8/10)
New York Yankees (published 8/5)
Philadelphia Phillies (published 7/28)
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres (published 8/28)
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners (published 8/16)
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers (coming soon)
Toronto Blue Jays (published 7/27)
Washington Nationals

Monday, July 15, 2024

2024 MLB Draft Review Index

Below you will find each of my thirty MLB Draft reviews, team by team with links. I will work in reverse order of the team's first pick, starting with the Rangers and ending with the Guardians. You can find my full draft rankings here.

Arizona Diamondbacks (published 7/20)
Atlanta Braves (published 8/4)
Baltimore Orioles (published 8/13)
Boston Red Sox (published 9/14)
Chicago Cubs (published 9/7)
Chicago White Sox (published 9/29)
Cincinnati Reds (published 10/7)
Cleveland Guardians (published 10/12)
Colorado Rockies (published 10/6)
Detroit Tigers (published 9/16)
Houston Astros (published 7/22)
Kansas City Royals (published 9/28)
Los Angeles Angels (published 9/24)
Los Angeles Dodgers (published 8/7)
Miami Marlins (published 9/3)
Milwaukee Brewers (published 8/31)
Minnesota Twins (published 8/15)
New York Mets (published 8/24)
New York Yankees (published 7/28)
Oakland Athletics (published 10/1)
Philadelphia Phillies (published 7/24)
Pittsburgh Pirates (published 9/22)
San Diego Padres (published 8/2)
San Francisco Giants (published 9/8)
Seattle Mariners (published 9/6)
St. Louis Cardinals (published 9/26)
Tampa Bay Rays (published 8/29)
Texas Rangers (published 7/19)
Toronto Blue Jays (published 8/21)
Washington Nationals (published 9/20)

Friday, August 4, 2023

2023 MLB Draft Review: St. Louis Cardinals

Full list of draftees

My first reaction here is that I absolutely love the Cardinals' first two picks. In Chase Davis, they got who I think might be one of the best hitters in the entire class, and in the third round they bought low on Travis Honeyman, one of the most dynamic bats in the class who lost draft stock during an up and down season. Those two alone could make this class for them. Later on, they pivoted to their usual strategy of grabbing pitchability types from the college ranks, prioritizing pitchers with deep arsenals and the ability to execute their pitches as opposed to flamethrowers. They also looked for power in their hitters as opposed to defensive versatility, which is fine by me, and came away with some of the better bats for their draft positions because of it. Interestingly, while some teams went all over the place with over and under slot bonuses galore (I just wrote about the Mariners who went to the extreme), the Cardinals stayed by the straight and narrow with their bonuses and never went more than $100,000 over or under slot value.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. "2-50" would indicate that a player was drafted in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-21: OF Chase Davis, Arizona {video}
Slot value: $3.62 million. Signing bonus: $3.62 million.
My rank: #7. MLB Pipeline: #22. Baseball America: #28. Prospects Live: #20.
The Cardinals started the draft off with a bang, picking out what I see as a top ten talent here at 21st overall and signing him for slot value. Chase Davis was my #65 draft prospect out of Franklin High School in the Sacramento area in 2020, but turned down a chance to go in the top couple of rounds and instead enrolled at Arizona. He barely played as a freshman, re-established himself as an interesting draft prospect as a sophomore in 2022 (18 HR, .289/.414/.583), then broke out for a huge junior season in 2023 by slashing .362/.489/.742 with 21 home runs and a 40/43 strikeout to walk ratio over 57 games. Davis has long stood out for his lean, exceptionally muscular physique as well as his plus-plus raw power, showing the ability to absolutely demolish baseballs with the very best of them (see this gargantuan walk off home run for proof). With an elite 90th percentile exit velocity over 108, very few players in college baseball hit the ball as hard and as far as he can. However, it's the development of his hit tool that has brought him from a solid prospect to a potential star. He struck out in 34.3% of his plate appearances as a freshman, worked it down to 22.8% as a sophomore, then struck out just 14.4% of the time as a junior – for reference, that was lower than fourth overall pick Wyatt Langford (14.5%). He has done it by cutting his chases way down, consistently putting himself in the best position to do damage by attacking the right pitches. The next step in his development will be honing in his pure bat to ball ability, which is fringy, as he can swing and miss within the zone a little more than you'd like. He has begun to tone down the bat wrap he has long employed in his load, but you'd like to see it get smoothed out even a little more. From there, his hands are so fast and explosive that you could really see him pulling it all together. Davis is also an above average runner with a plus arm that could make him a weapon in right field, adding a bit to the profile. The Cardinals love that he's trending hard in the right direction and has a chance to be a middle of the order impact bat, though he's off to a slow start at Low A Palm Beach, slashing .219/.375/.250 with a 12/7 strikeout to walk ratio through ten games.

3-90: OF Travis Honeyman, Boston College {video}
Slot value: $759,600. Signing bonus: $700,000 ($59,600 below slot value).
My rank: #43. MLB Pipeline: #61. Baseball America: #93. Prospects Live: #70.
I love this pick in the third round, especially below slot value. Travis Honeyman broke out as a sophomore at Boston College last year (6 HR, .329/.402/.506) and really made a name for himself in the Cape Cod League, where he hit .289/.400/.530 with four home runs and an 18/8 strikeout to walk ratio over 24 games. He entered the spring with first round buzz and even cracked my top ten at one point, but he played to mixed results with a .304/.383/.534 line, six home runs, and a 21/13 strikeout to walk ratio over 39 games before missing the end of the season with a shoulder injury. When healthy, Honeyman can impact the game in many different ways. He's ultra aggressive at the plate, but makes it work because he makes a ton of contact from the right side. In fact, only 18.6% of his plate appearances in 2023 ended with a ball in the catcher's mitt, either from a strikeout or a walk. The ball is always in play, and he's not just a slap hitter, either. Honeyman ran a 90th percentile exit velocity over 105, which would be at least average raw power, tapped with elite hands in the box that help him get the barrel to the ball all over (and outside) the zone. He can turn on the ball for home run power to his pull side, but he prefers to smoke liners around the park. An above average runner, he's unremarkable defensively and may profile in left field in pro ball, which would put pressure on his bat. Overall, he fell because teams weren't sold on his overall impact in the box after that shoulder injury, with some perhaps viewing him as a tweener that wouldn't tap enough power to profile every day in left field. Personally, I see the electric hands, the ability to hit the ball hard, elite bat to ball ability, and track record in the ACC and on the Cape and I choose to believe that he's an every day outfielder that can hit for a high average and provide 15-20 home runs per season.

4-122: LHP Quinn Mathews, Stanford {video}
Slot value: $541,700. Signing bonus: $600,000 ($58,300 above slot value).
My rank: #153. MLB Pipeline: #86. Baseball America: #105. Prospects Live: #181.
Last year, the Cardinals spent their top three picks on pitchability college lefties Cooper Hjerpe, Brycen Mautz, and Pete Hansen, and it only took three picks for them to take another in 2023. Quinn Mathews was a four year starter at Stanford and was actually a 19th round pick as a junior a year ago, but returned to school with unfinished business. The move worked out for him as he took control of the Cardinal pitching staff as a senior, posting a 3.75 ERA and a 158/40 strikeout to walk ratio over 124.2 innings in a year where offense was extremely high. He earned national attention for a June 11th start against Texas in the Palo Alto Super Regional, where he threw a nine inning, sixteen strikeout, 156 pitch complete game to get the win (a week after throwing 178 pitches over a three day span). Fortunately, it appears the Cardinals are not terribly concerned with the overuse, and they feel they have a future back-end starter on their hands. Mathews sits in the low 90's with his fastball, topping out around 95. He drops in a big, sweeping slider with depth as well as a fringy, get-me-over curveball, but his best pitch is an above average changeup with great drop. Everything plays up because the lanky 6'5" lefty has a funky delivery and hides the ball well. He also has a deep understanding of pitching and sequences and executes his pitches well, which helps his average pure command play above average. Mathews likely won't throw much for the Cardinals this summer after leading all of Division I in innings pitched with the Cardinal, but once he's rested up and ready next year, he should move quickly and could be a #4 or #5 starter sooner rather than later.

5-158: OF Zach Levenson, Miami {video}
Slot value: $381,300. Signing bonus: $381,300.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #204. Baseball America: #221. Prospects Live: #168.
In the fifth round, the Cardinals picked up one of the better all-around bats still available. Zach Levenson spent a year at Seminole State JC in Florida before transferring to Miami, where he hit .295/.406/.545 with 21 home runs and an 87/52 strikeout to walk ratio over 114 games in two seasons. Levenson has plus raw power from the right side, a product of a strong 6'2" frame and great leverage in his swing. It's a fringe-average hit tool, with a solid approach and bat to ball skills, though he can get streaky at the plate and slumped in the second half of 2023. Defensively, the tools are average and he can make it work in either corner outfield spot, but won't necessarily provide positive value. Overall, it's likely a platoon profile, but he has a chance to swing his way into an everyday role if the hit tool plays up in pro ball, where he could hit 20+ home runs per season with decent on-base percentages. He's off to a hot start at Palm Beach, slashing .346/.387/.538 with a home run and a 9/3 strikeout to walk ratio through nine games.

6-185: RHP Jason Savacool, Maryland {video}
Slot value: $302,300. Signing bonus: $302,300.
My rank: #205. MLB Pipeline: #199. Baseball America: #134. Prospects Live: #350.
Jason Savacool, like Chase Davis, was a serious draft prospect out of Baker High School just outside of Syracuse, but made it to campus at Maryland and spent all three seasons in the weekend rotation. He was at his best in 2022 (2.93 ERA, 123/28 K/BB) but took a bit of a step back in 2023, finishing with a 4.22 ERA and a 95/39 strikeout to walk ratio over 96 innings as his strikeout rate fell from 28.5% to 22.6% and his walk rate rose from 6.5% to 9.3%. Savacool sits in the low 90's, topping out around 93 with average movement on his fastball. His best pitch is an above average slider, which he can also work into a distinct curveball to steal strikes, and he adds an average changeup. He lacks any plus pitches and really only has one above average pitch, but it's a deep arsenal of usable tools to work through professional lineups. The 6'1", physically maxed out righty also shows average command from a fairly stiff delivery, which may limit his potential upside in terms of adding velocity and power to his stuff. If Savacool can sequence and execute his pitches just well enough to stay off of barrels in pro ball, he has a shot to be a #4 or #5 starter, though I struggle to see much upside here beyond that and I wouldn't call him a particularly safe bet either. My ranking of #205 might make it seem like I'm more or less on board with this pick at #185, but my list only went to 209. In his first appearance at Palm Beach, he allowed two runs, walked two, and struck out one over one inning.

8-245: LHP Ixan Henderson, Fresno State {video}
Slot value: $193,800. Signing bonus: $230,000 ($36,20 above slot value).
My rank: #206. MLB Pipeline: #166. Baseball America: unranked. Prospects Live: #387.
The Cardinals grabbed another pitchability lefty to join Quinn Mathews, a fellow Californian in Fresno State ace Ixan Henderson (pronounced E-Shawn). He had his best year yet in 2023, posting a 3.74 ERA and a 100/34 strikeout to walk ratio over 89 innings, quietly moving up boards to establish himself as one of the better lefties on the West Coast. The stuff isn't all that loud, with a fastball that sits in the low 90's and gets up to 94 with average movement with a full arsenal behind it. Like Jason Savacool, his slider is his best pitch, though it plays closer to average while his curveball and changeup are fringy pitches. Because his slider is his lone pitch likely to miss bats in pro ball, he'll likely lean on it more going forward while he fine tunes the rest of his arsenal. All of Henderson's stuff plays up because he hides the ball well and shows solid average command, with a loose, easy delivery that could help him get to above average in pro ball. The 6'2" lefty has some projection remaining and might come with a little more upside than Savacool, but his offspeed stuff is a tick behind and he'll really need something to take a step forward. It's a nice back-end starter profile here in the eighth round for a little above slot value.

9-275: RHP Christian Worley, Virginia Tech {video}
Slot value: $175,600. Signing bonus: $200,000 ($24,400 above slot value).
My rank: #186. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked. Prospects Live: #310.
Christian Worley is a nice sleeper for the Cardinals, one who has thrown just 36.2 innings over 26 relief appearances in his three years at Virginia Tech. He managed just five of those appearances in 2023, when he had a 2.70 ERA and a 15/2 strikeout to walk ratio over ten innings, but made enough of an impression for the Cardinals to hand him $200,000. What he lacks in track record, he makes up for in stuff. Worley's fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and gets up to 96, playing up further with riding action. He works in a sharp, late breaking slider that he can also shorten up into a cutter, giving him a dynamic, bat-missing offspeed pitch. Without much of a changeup or a curveball, especially given his durability questions, he likely profiles in the bullpen long term but he could thrive there. The 6'1" righty is very athletic on the mound with some projection remaining and a late birthday (he only turned 21 in June), and if he can stay healthy for longer stretches of time, he could start running his fastball more consistently into the mid 90's. He features a drop and drive delivery and does throw with some effort, but his athleticism helps him repeat it well and gives him average command.

12-365: OF Brayden Jobert, Louisiana State {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #436. Prospects Live: unranked.
You don't get much more Louisiana than Brayden Jobert (pronounced "jo-bair"). Originally from Slidell across Lake Pontchartrain from New Orleans, he began his career at Nicholls State way down in Thibodaux, transferred to Delgado JC in New Orleans, then finally made his way to his dream school of LSU for his final two years, where he was roommates with #2 overall pick Dylan Crews. After crushing 18 home runs and hitting for a low (.246) average in 2022, he put up a much more well-rounded season in 2023 by slashing .301/.409/.596 with 14 home runs and a 59/22 strikeout to walk ratio over 60 games for the national champion Tigers. Jobert takes big, powerful hacks from the left side, effectively channeling his strong 6'2" frame into above average raw power that he tapped against good pitching in the SEC. However, he's an aggressive hitter that does not control the zone well, leading to elevated swing and miss rates and making for an uphill climb in pro ball. He made his approach work against quality pitching in the SEC, which is a great sign, but he'll also turn 23 shortly after the minor league season ends and won't have as much slack to transition. He's also a below average defender that spent most of the 2022 season as LSU's DH before before playing primarily left field in 2023. He's not a great runner and will have to work hard to make a corner outfield spot work, otherwise he'll end up at first base or as a DH in pro ball. That puts more pressure on the bat, but it's hard not to like a guy who clubbed 32 home runs in two years in the SEC while running an on-base percentage near .400. He's off to a bit of a slow start at Palm Beach, where he's slashing .182/.296/.273 with an 8/3 strikeout to walk ratio over nine games.

20-605: LHP Cameron Johnson, IMG Academy {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: did not sign.
My rank: #52. MLB Pipeline: #42. Baseball America: #43. Prospects Live: #46.
He didn't sign here, so I won't go into too much detail, but I did want to touch on Cameron Johnson. Johnson has one of the most electric arms in the prep class and had first round buzz at times during the draft cycle, but instead he'll head to LSU to try to help the Tigers repeat as National Champions. He's a big, physical, 6'5" lefthander that sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and is closing in on triple digits at his peak. The fastball runs and sinks as well from a three quarter slot, helping him avoid flush contact when hitters time it up. He also misses bats with an above average slider, though his changeup is a distant third pitch at this point. Johnson can lose his release point when he gets tired and that will impact his command, so at LSU he'll focus on endurance and better repeating his mechanics in order to crack into that weekend rotation. His delivery looked a bit cleaner in 2023 and that had him moving up boards, but he also ran into some elbow problems towards the end of the season and that's likely why nobody met his signing bonus demands.