Showing posts with label Duncan Marsten. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Duncan Marsten. Show all posts

Saturday, September 19, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Cincinnati Reds

Full list of draftees

The Reds put together a relatively hitter-friendly draft class, especially with three straight college bats to start things off, in an effort to inject some offensive impact into its system. They got things started with one of the most talented players in the entire class in Justin Lebron, whose ceiling rivals any player in this draft, before looking for safer, more well-rounded profiles from there on out. They played their bonus pool relatively straightforwardly, paying up a little bit for Lebron, handing fifth rounder Dylan Bowen a third round bonus to steer him away from Oklahoma State, and going a little over on sophomore two-way player Kenny Ishikawa in the thirteenth with a sixth round bonus. In doing so, they were able to give every player drafted in the first ten rounds at least $147,500, avoiding the $10,000 senior sign that has become all too common in the draft.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-18: SS Justin Lebron, Alabama
Slot value: $4.7 million. Signing bonus: $5 million ($304,500 above slot value).
My rank: #16. MLB Pipeline: #9. ESPN: #8.
Cincinnati is getting a potential superstar in Justin Lebron. He showed up at Alabama and hit .350/.435/.536 as a true freshman, immediately establishing himself as one of the top talents in the 2026 draft. A big sophomore season did little to damper expectations and he entered the spring a potential top five pick, though an up and down junior year quickly turned him into one of the draft's biggest enigmas. Watching him play, the talent is monumental. It's not just athleticism and upside, but a buttery smoothness that pervades his game on both sides of the baseball and the undeniable look of a big league star. When he's at his best, he looks like the best prospect in the entire draft. The sticking point, however, is consistent results. Lebron's numbers dipped slightly to .277/.386/.534 in 2026, including just .229/.328/.413 in 28 conference games, leaving a wide gap between his ceiling and his floor. He effortlessly produces above average power with an explosive right handed swing, helping him reach double digit home run totals in each of his three seasons at Alabama for a total of 45 in 179 games, and it's easy to dream on that power ticking up further as he fills out his athletic 6'2" frame. After chasing at a high rate over his first two seasons, he actually improved his approach a bit in 2026 but his contact rates remained below what you'd look for in a first round bat. He struck out 19.6% of the time on the year and 21.6% of the time in SEC play, neither number alarmingly high but again, a bit above what you'd like to see. The approach comes and goes, so Cincinnati will hope to lock him in with more consistency as he faces better and better pitching. The story is similar on defense. Lebron looks the part of a future Gold Glove defender at shortstop and if you catch him on the right set of a dozen ground balls, that's how you'd project him. He has the quickness, body control, and plus arm strength to make throws from any angle, making for a walking highlight reel type of profile at the next level. Like his offense, consistency is a sticking point. The Miami-area product can try to do too much at times, leading to far more errors than you'd expect from such a talented defender. On top of it all, he is a plus-plus runner who stole 42 bags in 43 tries this spring, good for a wicked 97.7% success rate and making him a menace to opposing defenses. Lebron could become a legitimate star or flare out in the minors depending on how the Reds are able to channel his monumental talent.

2-58: SS Eric Becker, Virginia
Slot value: $1.64 million. Signing bonus: $1.65 million ($12,300 above slot value).
My rank: #50. MLB Pipeline: #41. ESPN: #23.
Despite playing the same position, Eric Becker is the polar opposite prospect from Justin Lebron. The older brother of Mariners prospect Nick Becker, himself selected in almost the exact same spot (#57 in 2025), Eric hit campus at UVA and was an immediate contributor from day one. He hit .366/.459/.637 over 95 games in his first two seasons, cementing himself as one of the most consistent bats in the ACC and positioning himself as a potential first round pick in 2026. Becker hit .317/.427/.533 in what was more of a "good" than a "great" junior year this spring, with some publications (notably ESPN above) holding on to him as a first round prospect but others dropping him to the second round, where he eventually went to the Reds. While Lebron has tools galore and the whole, for now, is less than the sum of his parts, Becker is a high baseball IQ, jack of all trades, master of none type who figures to provide steady performance for Cincinnati. He makes plenty of contact from a simple left handed swing designed to spray line drives around the field, with a conscious plan of attack that helps do damage all around the zone. While he brings prototypical size at 6'3", 190 pounds, his skinny frame doesn't figure to add too much weight and his fringy power appears destined to stay that way. Becker can turn on the ball when he needs to and shows some healthy exit velocity data because he so often makes flush contact on the barrel, helping him project for 10-15 home runs per season in the big leagues. He chases at a high clip and batting average, rather than on-base percentage, will always be his strongest slash leg unless he cuts that down significantly. On the other side of the ball, he is a steady defender who has seen time all over the infield. The New York native should have what it takes to stick at shortstop, which certainly takes pressure off hitting for more power, and can easily fill in with average defense at second or third base. Again the opposite of Lebron, he won't wow with the flashy plays or plus speed but can anchor an infield with his feel for the game.

CBB-70: 1B Mulivai Levu, UCLA
Slot value: $1.22 million. Signing bonus: $1.1 million ($125,600 below slot value).
My rank: #94. MLB Pipeline: #62. ESPN: #100.
Moving off of shortstops, Cincinnati makes it three college bats in a row with UCLA first baseman Mulivai Levu. Like Justin Lebron and Eric Becker, he has been a starter since his freshman year but unlike those two, 2026 was his best. In fact, he improved significantly in each of his three seasons, slashing .291/.355/.455 with six home runs as a freshman, .320/.389/.522 with 12 home runs as sophomore, and finally .340/.441/.622 with 18 home runs as a junior. Levu is a sturdy 6'1" with above average power that he has tapped more and more in games as he has improved his approach. Just as with his slash line and his home run totals, his strikeout rates have dropped significantly each season from 27.3% to 15.3% to 11.1%. While he is still an aggressive hitter, he shows strong bat to ball despite some bat wrap in his right handed swing for possibly the best contact/power combination in this Reds draft class. Levu has played mostly first base thus far and he'll probably stay there long term, he's a much better athlete than he looks as a passionate pickleball and frisbee golf player as well as flame-twirler. Some evaluators projected him to at least be worth a shot at third base, where he has enough arm strength and fringy footwork, but at first base he should be an above average defender overall. The Southern California native has a chance to develop into a 20 homer, high average bat, but he'll need to learn more patience at the plate and clear the high offensive bar for first basemen.

3-94: RHP Ty Horn, Nebraska
Slot value: $833,800. Signing bonus: $647,500 ($186,300 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #234. ESPN: #138.
Ty Horn seems to be close to putting it all together, but he hasn't quite gotten there. He didn't pitch too much as a freshman, then jumped into the rotation as a sophomore to solid, if unspectacular, results. Expectations were high entering 2026 and he had a few strong starts at the beginning of the season, but his grip began to slip as the season moved on and he spent some time in the Nebraska bullpen. He ultimately set career-bests in ERA (4.03), WHIP (1.23), strikeout rate (24.8%), and walk rate (7.4%) but didn't fully take the step forward scouts had hoped for. Still, the Reds liked the full package and envision that next step coming soon. He shows a low 90's fastball that gets up to 95-96 as a starter or as high as 98 in short stints out of the bullpen. There is a full set of decent secondaries including a slider, cutter, curveball, and changeup. Each has its own unique movement pattern even if none stand out, though his feel to sell his changeup at this age is a nice feather in his cap. Horn doesn't have pinpoint command but throws strikes with his whole arsenal and can pitch deep into games as a starter, though he can get hit hard over the heart of the plate. There is some projection on his 6'2" frame with solid athleticism, and added strength could help him add a few ticks to his fastball or some sharpness to his offspeed stuff that could be a game changer. The Wichita-area native will likely never be an ace, rather profiling as a back-end starter or long reliever. Any step forward in his velocity, offspeed stuff, or in-zone command should get him to that ceiling. He gives Cincinnati a bit of a discount, too, signing for fourth round money here in the third round.

4-122: LHP Ethan Norby, East Carolina
Slot value: $632,500. Signing bonus: $630,000 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #167. ESPN: #93.
In a lot of ways, Ethan Norby is the opposite of Ty Horn. After a successful freshman season as a swingman, he took a step forward as a sophomore in 2025 with an excellent 32.3% strikeout rate but really caught scouts' attention with a nineteen strikeout performance against eventual National Champion Coastal Carolina in just his fourth start of the season. In his draft year in 2026, he showed similar stuff but didn't take the next step, so he finds himself here in the fourth round. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 95, not overpowering velocity but enough to get the job done as a lefty. The slider steals the show, diving across the plate as he throws it with conviction and leans on it heavily. He can turn it over into a cutter that plays well off the slider, while the changeup will need some work in pro ball. The 5'10" lefty lacks prototypical size as a starting pitcher, but as he throws from a low arm slot and creates flat angle on his pitches, it creates a unique look especially from the left side. Norby also repeats his crossfire delivery well and controls the strike zone well, lending hope that he can remain a starter despite a very slider-reliant profile. Norby will probably need to find another tick on his fastball and bring his changeup along if he wants to stick in the rotation, but the slider gives him a high ceiling either in a rotation or bullpen role. You might recognize the last name from his older brother, Connor, currently filling in around the infield for the Rockies.

5-154: SS Dylan Bowen, Hanover Central HS [IN]
Slot value: $463,200. Signing bonus: $997,500 ($534,300 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #105. ESPN: #123.
Coming back to the Midwest, Cincinnati made their biggest over-slot splurge on Dylan Bowen, handing him third round money to forgo an Oklahoma State commitment. A product of Northwest Indiana on the outskirts of the Chicago suburbs, Bowen has made a name for himself among Midwest scouts with consistent strong hitting performances everywhere he's gone including this spring back home. He uses a simple right handed setup to see the ball deep and send it back where it's pitched, using the whole field effectively and overall putting together some of the more professional at bats in the region. As the Chicagoland spring warmed up, he also impressed evaluators by coming out a bit more physical and bumping up some of his supplemental tools. Still hit over power, he now profiles as more fringy in that regard as opposed to below average, with a much better shot at reaching double digit home run totals than perhaps a year ago. Bowen is also a plus runner who will certainly make the most of his plethora of line drives by stretching singles into doubles and doubles into a triples, while his speed and advanced glovework make for a strong shortstop projection. It's a pretty complete package so long as the power continues to come along, with the only knock on his profile being his age. Bowen turned 19 back in January, making him the age of a college freshman playing against high schoolers this spring and putting a bit of an asterisk on the "advanced" asterisk of his profile. Still, the Reds are sold that it would stand out even against junior college competition in his age group, seeing him as very strong middle infield depth beyond Justin Lebron and Eric Becker leading off this class.

6-183: RHP Duncan Marsten, Wake Forest
Slot value: $358,900. Signing bonus: $322,500 ($36,400 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #194. ESPN: #173.
Duncan Marsten brings a much better combination of stuff and track record than you might expect in the sixth round, especially for a slight discount. He turned heads right at the start of his senior year at famed Harvard-Westlake High School in Los Angeles in 2024 by coming out throwing 99 with crisp secondaries, then ultimately settled in a tick below that and found himself projected in roughly the third round range by July. He priced himself out of the draft and instead crossed the country to Wake Forest, where poor command kept him from making too much of an impact as a freshman. He walked 16.7% of his opponents in the Cape Cod League that summer, but showcased loud stuff and came back to Winston-Salem in 2026 with some buzz. Draft-eligible as a sophomore because he graduated high school at 19 years old, Marsten took a step forward as a sophomore but still struggled enough with command to fall back a few rounds from his high school projection. The LA native sits in the mid 90's and still tickles 99 with his explosive fastball, but the rest of his game is yet to catch up. He throws a tight power slider in the upper 80's as his main secondary offering, but doesn't use his curveball or changeup as much. Additionally, while the 6'3" righty creates good extension and a difficult release point that makes the ball jump on hitters even beyond its velocity, he struggles to repeat his delivery and said release point leading to below average control. That is especially apparent with his secondary stuff, leading to him often falling behind in counts and having to come back over the plate with a fastball to get back into control. More advanced hitters will look for that center-cut fastball and feast on it, even at its impressive velocity, so it will be imperative for Marsten to gain more consistent feel for locating that secondary stuff. If Cincinnati is patient and lets him slowly put things together, there is still mid rotation upside, but the more likely outcome is as a fastball/slider reliever who could reach triple digits in short stints.

8-242: C Brady Neal, Alabama
Slot value: $229,700. Signing bonus: $147,500 ($82,200 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Brady Neal, like Duncan Marsten, has plenty of track record with scouts. He was a famous prep at IMG Academy in Florida, where he reclassified up a year and earned top 100 interest as a 17 year old senior in 2022. Scouts praised his advanced game at such a young age but he made it to campus at LSU, where he earned a part-time role as an 18 year old freshman in 2023. His bat took a step forward in a larger role in 2024, then he transferred to Alabama in 2025 but struggled mightily at the plate as his slash line dropped from .276/.408/.578 as a sophomore to .219/.373/.336 as a junior. Returning to campus for his senior year in 2026, he bounced all the way back for a career-best .316/.429/.541 slash line in a career-high 61 games, re-establishing himself as a legitimate draft prospect. While the Tallahassee native impressed evaluators with his polish four years ago, he's largely the same player today and lacks a standout tool. Undersized at 5'10", he has a strong approach at the plate that has helped him run a .408 on-base percentage over four years, masking fringier pure bat to ball that may be exploited in pro ball. There is some pop in the profile, enough to keep pitchers honest but unlikely to produce high home run totals with wood bats. Neal has been a catcher for most of his college career but ceded most playing time behind the dish to John Lemm in 2026, instead spending much of his time in the outfield where he looked fringy. He'll move back behind the plate in pro ball, where his average defensive skills and solid athleticism should help his bat profile a little better. Though he's a senior sign, he's the age of a college junior and won't turn 22 until the offseason, putting him on a standard development schedule. Neal profiles as a future backup catcher.

17-512: OF Jack Lausch, Northwestern
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
This is a fun one. Jack Lausch was a superstar athlete at Brother Rice High School in Chicago in basketball, football, and baseball, where he actually hit a walk off home run against Brady Neal's IMG Academy in their shared 2022 senior year. A three star football recruit, he spurned a preferred walk on opportunity at Notre Dame to accept a roster spot locally Northwestern. Early in his college career, he was actually a bigger football star than baseball, working his way up to the starting quarterback job for the Wildcats by his sophomore year and consistently remaining high on the depth chart even in years where he wasn't the outright starter. He didn't play baseball as a freshman or as a sophomore, but got on the field as a junior and earned the starting center field right away. He took another step forward as a senior/second year baseball player after giving up football, slashing .312/.393/.653 with 16 home runs to establish himself as a legitimate draft prospect. Lausch has football size and athleticism at 6'2", 215 pounds, bringing that strength to the diamond in a variety of ways. The power has started to show up and could become a major part of his game, though his approach at the plate remains relatively raw with an elevated 27.8% strikeout rate and a more average 10.7% walk rate. It's a simple, direct left handed swing that produces natural leverage without selling out, so more experience against high level arms and patient development from the Reds organization should help get him closer to a fringy hit tool, though for now it's well below average. He plays a strong center field and can profile in all three outfield spots, which especially as a left handed hitter helps his profile significantly. If Lausch can clean up his approach, which at 22 years old (23 this offseason) isn't necessarily a given, he has a chance to be a useful fourth outfielder with some thump at the plate.

Saturday, October 19, 2024

The top twelve unsigned high school pitching prospects from the 2024 draft

There are some really big arms heading to college in 2024, headlined by arguably the top prep pitcher in the class in William Schmidt. While the position player list was spread out with twelve players going to ten different schools, this list of twelve is concentrated in just eight schools as Wake Forest, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Florida all landed two apiece. Surprisingly, perennial recruiting powerhouse Vanderbilt was not only shut out from both lists, they didn't land a single recruit in either top twenty as top recruit Rustan Rigdon would have ranked #22 on the position player list (#164 on the overall draft board). This pitching list isn't quite as heavy on older prospects as the position player list, with only four of twelve set to turn 20 by next July compared to seven for the position players, so most of these kids will be on campus for a long time. Additionally, this list was heavier at the top with Schmidt ranking as the top overall prospect reaching campus and six landing in the top 100 overall prospects, compared to four for the position players, the #20 pitcher nearly falls out of the top 200 whereas the #20 position player stayed inside the top 160.
In parentheses before the position is their rank on my personal 2024 draft board. In parentheses after the school is the year they will be draft eligible again. Note, these rankings are purely based off my 2024 draft rankings and do not incorporate fall practice performance.

1. (#24) RHP William Schmidt, Louisiana State (2027)
Undrafted
William Schmidt took the baseball world by surprise shortly before the 2024 draft when he pulled his name from the draft and announced his intention to honor his commitment to LSU despite massive multi-million dollar signing bonuses getting thrown at him. Schmidt entered the draft cycle on the fringes of the first round conversation, but burst out of the gate strong and held that performance throughout his senior season at Catholic High School in Baton Rouge, alma mater of former LSU stars Josh Smith, Aaron and Austin Nola, and even Clyde Edwards-Helaire. He'll join a Tigers pitching staff that lost eight of its top nine arms by innings pitched, including all of its top five, though he won't be alone as LSU brings in a loaded transfer class looking to fill those innings and the return of Chase Shores from Tommy John surgery looms. Schmidt himself has a chance to jump straight into regular innings on the back of his now-stuff, then push his way towards an eventual Friday night role with massive upside. His fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touched 99 in the spring, coming in with riding action and strong extension from his long frame. His best pitch has always been a hammer curveball with tremendous depth combined with power to make it a plus-plus pitch, while his changeup has shown some progress as he's gained feel for it. Beyond the stuff, the 6'4" righty brings tons of projection and should be sitting comfortably in the mid 90's in short order and maintaining that velocity deep into starts. While his lanky frame has led to scattered command in the past as he's worked to repeat his release point, he has grown into his body over the past calendar year and has sharpened that somewhat, especially with regards to his big curveball which he commands better than his fastball. If Schmidt, who moves very well on the mound with an athletic delivery and a quick arm, can maintain that progress with his command, he could find himself near the very top of the 2027 draft. He was a clear-cut first round prospect and arguably the best prep pitcher in the class in 2024 as it was.

2. (#49) RHP Dax Whitney, Oregon State (2027)
Undrafted
I mentioned in the hitters article that Oregon State, despite playing as an independent due to the death of the Pac-12, was able to land a superstar transfer in Washington's Aiva Arquette as well as the #8 incoming freshman position player in shortstop Adam Haight. Not only that, here they picked up the second best unsigned prep pitcher in the country, so Mitch Canham deserves all the credit in the world for how he's navigated a tough situation. The Beavers lose their top two starters in Aiden May (CBB round, Marlins) and Jacob Kmatz (5th round, Rays) as well as closer Bridger Holmes (7th round, Angels), but other than that their pitching staff remains almost completely intact. For that reason, it may not be easy for Dax Whitney to jump straight into significant innings, but if any freshman in the country can break through a crowded pitching staff, it's him. Whitney was a little off the beaten path out in Blackfoot, Idaho, and entered the season more of a day two prospect who seemed likely to head to school. He turned in a huge senior season in which he just kept steadily climbing boards throughout the spring, causing scouts to flock out to eastern Idaho as he even earned whisperings of first round interest. Ultimately, all the added helium was not enough to keep him away from Corvallis, where he enters as the program's likely future Friday night starter. Whitney's fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at peak, playing up with riding life from a very vertical slot. He has refined both his curveball and his slider, which both project as above average as they've gotten sharper and sharper. His changeup is a fourth pitch, but it too has come along and looks to be a solid offering as well. The 6'5" righty is ultra projectable with an athletic frame that promises to add significant velocity, with a real chance he sits mid 90's and touches closer to triple digits within his time on campus. Beyond that, he repeats his simple delivery well, with a short arm stroke and some crossfire action to create a little bit of deception too. The command is average for now but figures to creep towards above average with added refinement under a high quality Oregon State pitching development program. Between the size, projectability, feel, and now-stuff, Whitney has all of the ingredients to become a future ace.

3. (#63) RHP Chris Levonas, Wake Forest (2027)
Drafted – CBB round (pick #67), Milwaukee Brewers
Wake Forest will have work to do replacing #2 overall pick Chase Burns (Reds) as well as multiple other pitchers who had large roles in 2024, but new arms always, always step up in Winston-Salem whether they come through the transfer portal, get developed from the existing roster, or come up from the high school ranks. Chris Levonas was not expected to be among that latter group when the Brewers drafted him in the CBB round, but he could not come to an agreement with Milwaukee and he and Tyler Bell (drafted one pick earlier, now at Kentucky) are the two highest drafted preps to reach campus since a trio of preps in 2018. Levonas is an electric righty from New Jersey who elevated his profile with a loud showing at the PBR Super 60 in February followed by an equally loud senior season. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 97 with big riding life, exploding past bats with regularity. He rips off a nasty curveball with huge spin rates and above average projection, while his equally high spin slider has really come on recently and gives him a second above average breaking ball. He can cut the fastball when he needs to, while his changeup is behind and will need significant refinement at school. The 6'2" righty an explosive athlete that gets down the mound with a quick arm, the type of cannon fodder that fits perfectly into Corey Muscara's pitching development pipeline at Wake Forest, though he's very skinny and does throw with some effort. That can impact his command a bit, and given Wake's evergreen depth on the mound he may not jump into the rotation straight away. The potential durability concerns compounded with the command may ultimately push him to the bullpen long term in pro ball, but the now-stuff, feel for spin, athleticism, and explosiveness on the mound give him some of the best upside on this list, especially at Wake Forest.

4. (#79) RHP Duncan Marsten, Wake Forest (2026)
Undrafted
As I was saying, Wake Forest recruits well. Duncan Marsten, like Chris Levonas, was a bit of a spring riser who had some extremely loud outings out in California in late January and early February before much of the country had begun its season. That pushed his name into the fringes of the first round conversation for a minute, though the stuff settled a tick below what he showed in those first couple starts and he wound up more as a second to third round prospect. At his peak he sat low to mid 90's and touched 99, then was more low 90's as the season moved on. He shows an above average slider that misses bats, while his curveball and changeup are solid pitches in their own right. The 6'3" righty is a bit less explosive but more physical than Chris Levonas, though Wake Forest will still look to build him up so he can hold that top-end stuff over longer stretches. He generally holds the strike zone pretty well, but he can lose it when he reaches back for a little extra on his stuff. Marsten moves crisply on the mound, and did especially so early in the season, giving him legitimate mid rotation starter upside at the big league level. At the college level, Marsten and Levonas could make great one two punch over the next couple of seasons. Marsten is very old for the class and will be 20 in May, so he'll be draft eligible again in 2026.

5. (#84) RHP Carson Wiggins, Arkansas (2026)
Undrafted
Jaxon Wiggins had one of the most electric fastballs ever seen in Fayetteville in 2021 and 2022, then missed 2023 with Tommy John surgery before getting drafted in the second round by the Cubs that year. Now his younger brother Carson hits campus with more fanfare than his brother had at the time, and he'll look to beat Jaxon's #68 selection in a couple years. He'll join a loaded Razorbacks pitching staff that, despite losing its entire weekend rotation from last season including #5 overall pick Hagen Smith (White Sox), returns a ton of firepower in the bullpen and also made a couple massive additions in the transfer portal. For that reason it will be difficult for Wiggins to grab one of those vacated rotation slots, but his now stuff will fit right into the bullpen at least in year one. The fastball sits in the mid 90's and touched triple digits in fall practice with running life from a lower slot, overpowering prep hitters and looking plenty enough to blow past even seasoned SEC hitters. He has a sharp slider that lacks consistency at this point, but his best ones look plus and can leave hitters looking helpless. Wiggins also shows a solid splitter, though like his slider it lacks consistency. The 6'5" righty has a free and easy delivery to generate that velocity effortlessly, but he lacks the feel to repeat his release point consistently and shows below average command at this point. Right now, the draw with Wiggins is pure, raw arm strength that simply does not come around often and which you cannot teach. The Arkansas coaching staff, meanwhile, has proven to be one of the best pitching development staffs in the country and will be the perfect place for him to learn to wrangle it, both by repeating his delivery better and by getting more consistent with his offspeed stuff. The stuff as is will work perfectly in a relief role during his freshman season, then perhaps as a sophomore he can graduate to the rotation as a more complete pitcher. He's very old for an incoming freshman and will be draft eligible as a sophomore in 2026, so he'll want to get it put together quickly.

6. (#95) RHP Tegan Kuhns, Tennessee (2026)
Undrafted
Surprisingly, Tennessee did not land a player on the top twelve position player prospects coming to campus, with shortstop Manny Marin leading the way among the position player group as the #19 hitting prospect reaching campus (#157 on my overall board). Tegan Kuhns is the top overall prospect in their freshman class, coming in with plenty of fame from his prep days at Gettysburg Area High School in southern Pennsylvania. The Volunteers are losing six of their top seven pitchers by innings pitched, including each of their top three, but like the Razorbacks they are also bringing in a couple of big arms in the transfer portal. There still seems to be more opportunity to earn innings in Knoxville than in Fayetteville, and Kuhns is a bit more well-rounded as a prospect than Carson Wiggins. Long a famous name in his draft class, Kuhns sits in the low 90's and touches 95 with his fastball with riding life up in the zone. He has a big two-plane curveball that is still searching for its identity, but at its best it flashes plus and should be a weapon for him in short order in Knoxville. His changeup too is inconsistent, but shows flashes and should be a third solid pitch for him. The 6'4" righty is extremely projectable and figures to add significant velocity onto what aren't currently overwhelming radar numbers, and he's also very athletic on the mound with an elastic delivery and nice lower half extension. While the command is far from pinpoint, he fills up the zone with a healthy dose of strikes and should fine tune that as he grows into his lanky frame. While Kuhns doesn't have one standout pitch or tool, he's exactly the way you draw up a young pitching prospect in many ways with the frame, athleticism, and upside to show three above average or better pitches in time. Like Wiggins, Kuhns is very old for the class and will be eligible as a sophomore in 2026.

7. (#109) RHP Connor Gatwood, Auburn (2027)
Drafted – 19th round (pick #562), Los Angeles Angels
It was a rough season on the Plains last year as the Tigers went just 8-22 in SEC conference play, but there's reason for hope even with star outfielder Chris Stanfield transferring to LSU. Though all three of Auburn's draftees were pitchers, they return plenty of firepower on the mound and bring in a very nice set of transfers to augment that pitching staff. Their top recruit to reach campus, Connor Gatwood, has a huge arm as well and figures to push hard for innings on that crowded Tiger pitching staff. His fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and reaches 98 with tough angle from a high slot, while his power slider is creeping closer and closer to 90 and keeps hitters off his fastball well. He has a changeup too, but it's firm at this point. Like Carson Wiggins a few slots up on this list, Gatwood generates his velocity easily with a simple delivery in which he looks like he's just stepping and throwing. The 6'5" righty is extremely physical, more so than most other names on this list, with a big league body that looks to stand up to the rigors of pro ball once he gets there. The arm strength too is extremely impressive, giving the Auburn staff a lot to work with. For now, Gatwood's stuff is all hard, and he's going to have to find a way to change speeds better and soften things up. Both his slider and changeup stand out more for velocity than movement, and he lacks a true change of pace offering. The Mobile native (Baker HS) generally stays around the zone pretty well, but the strikes are scattered and he can miss more often than you'd like at this point for a pitcher jumping into SEC competition – not unexpected for a freshman of course. Auburn will look to develop this extremely physical, powerful freshman arm into a more well-rounded starting pitcher that can change speeds before gassing you up with upper 90's cheddar.

8. (#116) LHP Mason Russell, Arizona (2027)
Drafted – 20th round (pick #599), Cincinnati Reds
Eight pitchers combined to start Arizona's 59 games last year, and going into 2025 they'll return just four of those starts – three from Raul Garayzar and one from Bryce McKnight. While Christian Coppola (Rutgers) was a nice find in the transfer portal, this wide open rotation gives Mason Russell a tremendous opportunity to jump straight in and log significant innings right away. The top lefty pitching prospect to reach campus, Russell is a local kid out of Casteel High School in the southwest corner of the Phoenix metro and one of the more advanced prep arms to reach campus. His fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 95, and he holds that velocity through his starts. He has a sharp curveball and can work it into a solid slider, while his changeup has looked pretty solid too when he's used it. The 6'2" lefty moves very well on the mound with an athletic, repeatable delivery that helps him fill up the strike zone with improving command that now looks average and could get to above average in time. It's not the world's loudest profile overall, lacking a standout pitch or tool like I mentioned with Tegan Kuhns above, but especially now that he's throwing more strikes, there aren't many weaknesses either. There's some projection here as well and if Russell can add a tick or two of velocity while maintaining his progress in the command department, he should become an impact arm in Tucson and beyond.

9. (#127) RHP Jackson Barberi, Florida (2027)
Undrafted
Florida loses five of its top six pitchers by innings pitched, including all of its top three, but never ever mistake the Gators for having a thin pitching staff. In addition to a bevy of young arms returning and ready to take the next step, they added Clemson's Billy Barlow in the transfer portal and as always will pack as much arm talent into that staff as any program in the country. Leading the incoming freshman class will be Atlanta-area product Jackson Barberi, who brings as much upside as any incoming freshman pitcher in the country. The arm talent here is elite, with a fastball that sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 97 with explosive life at its best. He can rip off some above average sliders with nice bite while his changeup has become a usable third pitch. For now, the stuff is extremely inconsistent, as his velocity backs up deeper into starts and he can be hovering around 90 by the middle innings, while he can drop his arm and get around his slider in an attempt to snap it off harder. The 6'4" righty is extremely projectable and figures to hold his velocity much better as he fills out his lanky frame, perhaps pushing his peak velocities into the upper 90's as well. He also has an explosive right arm that does the heavy lifting in what is a pretty raw operation on the mound, another piece of low hanging fruit in his development that could help him hold his peak stuff better. To top it off, Barberi is extremely young for the class and didn't turn 18 until he was already on campus, making him more than fifteen (!) months younger than the trio of Duncan Marsten, Carson Wiggins, and Tegan Kuhns above him on this list. Barberi may not jump into consistent innings right away in Gainesville, especially not in the rotation, but his athleticism, arm strength, and projectability give him tremendous upside and he could be a force for the Gators by years two and three.

10. (#128) LHP Cole Gibler, Arkansas (2027)
Undrafted
I mentioned in Carson Wiggins' writeup that Arkansas returns an extremely deep pitching staff despite losing its entire weekend rotation to the draft. While it will be difficult for any freshmen to break through, Wiggins and Cole Gibler make for one of the best incoming one-two punches on the mound of any school and they complement each other nicely with very different skill sets. While Wiggins is about big arm strength and upside, Gibler is a more well-rounded arm that could work his way into the rotation more quickly. The fastball sits in the low 90's but can reach as high as 97 in shorts stints with riding action. He has the makings of a solid breaking ball that could be an above average pitch with just a little more refinement to create more finish on the pitch, while his changeup is advanced for a high schooler and can get SEC hitters out right away. While Gibler isn't as explosive as some names on this list, he moves well on the mound with a clean, athletic delivery that creates a low launch and helps him pound the strike zone with above average command. This is an athletic, durable lefty with three potential above average pitches and above average command, a profile that lends itself very well to starting both in the short and long term. Expect Gibler to earn a weekend rotation spot quickly after one comes available, which may not be immediately given the Razorbacks' depth on the mound.

11 (#136) RHP Anson Seibert, Tennessee (2026)
Drafted – 16th round (pick #476), Detroit Tigers
With Tegan Kuhns already mentioned above, Anson Seibert makes it two incoming freshman who were very, very well known for years on the showcase circuit. Seibert in fact had first round buzz early on in his high school career, and while he continued to perform well in the calendar year leading up to the draft, he settled into more of the third or fourth round range and a flexor strain that ended his season in April allowed other names to move ahead. While it's not clear exactly what is going on with that injury, it looks like he may have had Tommy John surgery which would knock him out for his freshman season too. If that is indeed the case, he'll have just one season in orange before he's draft eligible as a redshirt freshman in 2026. Still, getting Seibert to campus is a big win for Tony V and co. given his tremendous upside and ability to carry the pitching staff for one season if that's all he gets. When healthy, the fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and has touched 99 in short stints, coming in with riding action from a high slot. Continuing a theme on this list, his slider shows above average potential with nice bite but is inconsistent at this point, while his changeup is relatively advanced for a high school arm and gives him a third solid offering. Anson stands out on the mound at a towering 6'8", and while he's still skinny, he has begun packing weight onto that massive frame and now clocks in at a listed 235 pounds with room for more. He moves well on the mound, especially for his size, with athletic actions and a short, simple arm circle. Still, as is often the case with lanky preps, he's still searching for consistency with his release point and his command remains fringy. He'll spend his rehab season further building up his strength and honing in his mechanics, which combined with the power fastball gives him the chance to return a force to be reckoned with in 2026.

12. #139 RHP Joshua Whritenour, Florida (2027)
Undrafted
I mentioned above that Jackson Barberi would have tough competition breaking through the young arms in Gainesville, and he's not the only star pitching recruit coming to campus. Joshua Whritenour is another live arm with big upside, and similar to Barberi he does have development ahead of him. At his peak, Whritenour can sit in the low to mid 90's and reach as high as 97 at peak, though that number fluctuated in 2024 as he battled illness that now looks to be behind him. He shows a promising slider that looks above average at peak with high spin and nice snap, and the next step will be creating more finish on the pitch to get below advanced SEC bats. His changeup is a third solid option with nice fading action, giving him a nice baseline to develop at Florida. In 2023, the 6'2" righty was really extending down the mound with an explosive delivery that could impact his command at times, but in 2024 he simplified that delivery and did a much better job staying within the zone, now looking to have average command. Whritenour is on the skinnier side and will look to bulk up in Gainesville, where he should be able to hold his peak stuff over longer periods of time and develop into a solid weekend starter. With three average or better pitches and great athleticism with a quick arm, the upside is certainly there for more and he could become an impact starter in pro ball.

Others
13. (#141) RHP Lazaro Collera, Miami (2027)
14. (#162) RHP Christian Chatterton, Auburn (2026)
15. (#177) RHP Jason Flores, Texas (2027)
16. (#179) RHP Drew Rerick, Texas (2027)
17. (#188) RHP Jack DeTienne, Xavier (2027)
18. (#191) RHP Casan Evans, Louisiana State (2027)
19. (#193) LHP Mason Brassfield, Texas Christian (2027)
20. (#196) LHP Tomas Valincius, Virginia (2027)