Thursday, September 10, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Cleveland Guardians

Full list of draftees

The Guardians, as usual, pulled together a very strong class, though it was marred by missing out on second round pick Logan Schmidt. Because of over slot commitments to sixth rounder Deiten Lachance, seventh rounder Savion Sims, and eleventh rounder Jake Bean (especially Sims) and a lack of savings elsewhere, Cleveland was only able to offer Schmidt a hair over slot value to sign away from an LSU commitment, roughly half of what he was looking for. Still, the rest of this pitching-heavy class features a lot of arms with big stuff, a bit of a digression from the pitchability arms they like to target, led by one of the most talented in the country in Liam Peterson. Four bats in a row in rounds three through seven make up the bulk of the offensive upside in this class, led by a pair of speedy, high contact center fielders in Tre Broussard and Lucas Moore. And as usual, Cleveland targeted youth heavily, chasing the high upside that it hopes will bring it back to the top of the AL Central.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-19: RHP Liam Peterson, Florida
Slot value: $4.53 million. Signing bonus: $4.53 million.
My rank: #18. MLB Pipeline: #20. ESPN: #12.
Cleveland started off its draft with a bang, picking up arguably the most talented pitcher in the class. Liam Peterson was a star prep at Calvary Christian High School in the Tampa Bay area, where he joined fellow stars Landen Maroudis (Blue Jays 2023 fourth rounder) and Hunter Dietz (Yankees 2026 first rounder via Arkansas) on one of the best high school pitching staffs in recent memory. He spurned seven figure offers to head to Florida, where he immediately jumped into the rotation as a true freshman and has now made 47 starts totaling 216.2 innings over three seasons. The results have been up and down, but the stuff has not. Peterson starts off with a mid 90's fastball that touches 99 at peak with ride and run, though it can get hit over the plate so he began using a two seamer as well in college. His sharp slider has two-plane bite and looks like an easy plus pitch, diving on hitters late and creating a ton of empty swings. There is an above average curveball in the mix as well, showing nice 12-6 action to steal strikes, while his changeup has flashed above average potential when he locates it but his feel is a tick behind. The 6'5" righty has a prototypical starting pitcher's frame, working from an uptempo delivery, a short stride toward the plate, and a high arm slot. He has long battled inconsistency in the command department, walking 14.6% of his opponents as a freshman and 10.5% as a sophomore before seemingly looking more polished in the fall prior to his junior season. The in-season results were mostly the same, as he finished with a 9.8% walk rate over a career-high 84.1 innings, and it seems to be a different story from game to game. He had three different starts with at least five walks this spring, but also walked a total of just three batters over his final four starts (24.2 innings). Cleveland is picking Peterson with the hopes that they can smooth out his jerky delivery a little bit, hoping to improve the consistency of his release point and pitch with more of an intentioned plan during games. He has perhaps the best combination of ace upside and probability of reaching that ace upside in this class, but comes with significant reliever risk if the command doesn't take several steps forward. The Guardians are some of the best developers of pitching in the game right now, and getting a high-octane arm like Peterson is a great match.

2-59: LHP Logan Schmidt, Ganesha HS [CA]
Slot value: $1.6 million. Signing bonus: did not sign.
My rank: #30. MLB Pipeline: #45. ESPN: #56.
As they tend to do, Cleveland shot for the moon with Logan Schmidt, one of the top high school pitching prospects in the class. Unfortunately they were not able to come to terms, making Schmidt the highest drafted unsigned player in this draft and one of just three in the top ten rounds. He'll head across the country to LSU, where he'll bring a low to mid 90's fastball reaching 98, an above average slider with nice finish, and an above average changeup. It's a pro three pitch mix heading to Baton Rouge from a freshman, even more interesting from the left side, and the Southern California native throws strikes with all three. At 6'4", 210 pounds, he has plenty of projection was still just 17 on draft day, so the sky really is the limit when he reaches campus. Cleveland will unfortunately see none of that until they get to take another shot at him during the 2029 draft.

3-95: OF Tre Broussard, Houston
Slot value: $823,800. Signing bonus: $715,000 ($108,800 below slot value).
My rank: #84. MLB Pipeline: #91. ESPN: #153.
The Guardians have always loved young, athletic, up the middle profiles with strong hit tools and Tre Broussard fits that to a tee. He played one year at powerhouse San Jacinto JC in Houston, then transferred across town to the University of Houston and bumped his batting average from .292 as a sophomore to .344 as a junior in 2026 sandwiched around hitting a strong .296 in the Cape Cod League. He's a high contact hitter with a line drive swing, looking to gash the ball into the gaps rather than turn on it to get it over the fence. As a skinny six footer, there's not much raw power in the tank anyways and his left handed swing lacks high levels of torque, leading to just three home runs in 2026 after slugging just .324 on the Cape. His strikeout rate crept up a little this year and the contact rates were more good than great, which allowed him to fall from some early second round projections to land here as an under slot third rounder. Broussard stands out for plus-plus speed, helping him steal 56 bases in 64 tries across two years at Houston (plus another ten in eleven tries on the Cape). He's a game changer on the bases and plays a mean center field as well, covering plenty of ground and really taking control. With a solid arm as well, he's a plus defender out there with Gold Glove potential who could handle all three outfield positions in a fourth outfielder role. If he can keep making contact with enough impact to keep pitchers honest, he could be a bottom of the order catalyst who plays strong defense and steals a ton of bags. The more likely median projection is that of a speedy fourth outfielder, but his youth (he doesn't turn 21 until more than two months after the draft) is a big bonus.

4-123: 3B Kade Lewis, Wake Forest
Slot value: $626,500. Signing bonus: $626,500.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #104. ESPN: #150.
Kade Lewis is one of the most pro-ready bats you're going to find outside the top one hundred and could move quickly through the minors. He began his career at Butler, where he won 2024 Big East Freshman of the Year honors by hitting .377/.436/.618 with ten home runs in 53 games, then transferred to Wake Forest for the final two years of his college career. The jump to the ACC was no issue for Lewis, as he hit a sizzling .365/.464/.597 with 24 home runs over 119 games in his two seasons (including an even more impressive .394/.482/.670 in ACC play) as one of the most consistent mashers in the conference. The Minnesota native is a pro hitter through and through. He takes very good at bats and has zero challenges handling velocity, also becoming a strong hitter against offspeed stuff as he has developed. He works with a simple left handed swing in which he just tosses the barrel at the ball and drives it around the field with authority, almost looking like he has a magnet buried right there on the sweet spot. The power is closer to average, as his 34 collegiate home runs may be more of a product of metal bats than true strength and bat speed. His exit velocities are solid but unspectacular and he slugged just .341 in the Cape Cod League last year (albeit with a strong .361 on-base percentage), so his ceiling make cap out with home run totals in the teens to go along with high on-base percentages. Additionally, Lewis is a below average defender who will have to work very hard to stick at the third base position Cleveland drafted him at. He played first base for Wake Forest and did not necessarily look like a Gold Glover there, and as a hit-over-power bat, he'll have to get on base at a very high clip to stick in the lineup. There's a chance his below average speed and average arm could make him playable in left field, buying his bat marginally more slack. Like Tre Broussard, youth is a nice bonus as Lewis only turned 21 a month before the draft. He joins fellow hit-over-power first basemen CJ Kayfus and Ralphy Velazquez in the Cleveland organization.

5-155: OF Lucas Moore, Louisville
Slot value: $458,500. Signing bonus: $458,500.
My rank: #124. MLB Pipeline: #223. ESPN: #232.
I do have Lucas Moore about one hundred spots higher on my board than others, but that is more a product of a shorter board for me this year (132 spots) than I have had in past years and he would probably rank closer to the 200 mark had I gone that far. Either way, Moore brings us back to the same classic Cleveland profile we discussed with Tre Broussard. He hit over .300 as a part time player for Louisville in 2024 as a true freshman, then became the Cardinals' catalyst by hitting .341/.430/.456 as a sophomore in 2025 while leading all of Division I with 53 stolen bases (in just 54 tries no less). He was firmly in the second round conversation entering the 2026 season and those highest on him thought he could sneak into the back of the first if he showed a little more impact, but his junior season wound up being much more disappointing as he hit .286/.437/.406 with "just" 37 stolen bases. He falls here to the fifth round looking more like a potential fourth outfielder than the true leadoff type he was projected as earlier this year. Moore ran elite contact rates in 2025, with just a 9.1% strikeout rate and minuscule whiff rates to match. The strikeout rate climbed to 16.4% in 2026 and his contact rates similarly dipped from "elite" to "very good" with no corresponding uptick in impact. He works with a simple left handed swing, flicking the barrel at the ball to slap line drives around the field. At his best, he looks like a master of his craft guiding the ball into whichever hole he wants. A skinny six footer like Broussard, there is very little power to speak of and he will be lucky to challenge for double digit home run totals in the bigs, so he needs to continue making contact. Moore is a plus-plus runner with instincts to match, a menace on the base paths who, like Broussard, also plays a strong center field. To boot, he is an Ohio native out of Badin High School in Hamilton, about twenty miles north of Cincinnati, but unsurprisingly did grow up a Reds fan rather than a Guardians fan.

6-184: C Deiten Lachance, Oklahoma
Slot value: $355,700. Signing bonus: $450,000 ($94,300 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #103. ESPN: #151.
Deiten Lachance gets a fifth round signing bonus here in the sixth round, and he'll bring one of the draft's more interesting profiles to Cleveland. He grew up in Sherbrooke, Quebec, a small city just over the border from Vermont and New Hampshire, and began his career at McLennan JC in Texas where he mashed for two years despite having to learn English on the job. Transferring to Oklahoma for his junior season, he did not immediately find his power stroke and in fact waited until April 9th, in his 32nd game, to hit his first home run. That first home run must have clicked something, as he homered again the next day and in total 18 times in 32 games – against the toughest stretch of Oklahoma's schedule no less – as he played a central role in Oklahoma's turnaround and eventual College World Series Championship. Lachance is a big Frenchman at 6'5", 230 pounds, bringing above average raw power that produces home runs in bunches when he's going right. When he's not as hot, the power can play down in games because he is a very aggressive hitter who isn't always so eager to take a walk, regularly looking to do damage in all counts and situations. Pitchers can beat him with quality stuff out of the zone, but he does a very nice job of handling pitches in the zone and mashes mistakes. Even a tick more patience in his approach could unlock a very solid offensive profile. Lachance has more work to do behind the plate as well, but Cleveland is confidence that his solid glovework and arm will continue to come along as he learns the finer aspects of the craft. At peak, he could be a 20+ home run threat behind the plate, albeit with lower on-base percentages. He runs about as well as you might expect from a 6'5", 230 pound catcher, which is to say the Guardians would be much better served with him behind Tre Broussard and Lucas Moore on the bases rather than in front.

7-213: RHP Savion Sims, Prestonwood Christian HS [TX]
Slot value: $280,900. Signing bonus: $1 million ($719,100 above slot value).
My rank: #88. MLB Pipeline: #85. ESPN: #179.
Cleveland's big over-slot splurge went to Savion Sims, a live armed righty diverted from an Oklahoma commitment for roughly the value of the #82 pick early in the third round. While they didn't pull in Logan Schmidt five rounds earlier, Sims brings just as much upside if with significantly more risk. An Oklahoma native, he transferred from powerhouse Edmond Santa Fe High School in suburban Oklahoma City down to Prestonwood Christian Academy in the Dallas suburbs for more exposure on his massive stuff. Sims sits consistently in the mid 90's and touches triple digits with his blazing fastball, and the scary part is there may be even more in the tank. For now, the fastball is the show. He throws a hard slider that can look like a cutter at times, or when it flattens out it becomes a mid 80's cement mixer that can get hit hard by advanced hitters. The changeup is similarly behind, a rudimentary offering that will be overhauled in pro ball. Sims stands 6'8" and attacks hitters from a towering over the top release point, with room on his frame to add significantly more strength. While he doesn't throw with a ton of effort, he is still growing into his lanky frame and lacks the body control for refined command, getting scattered at times but generally trending in the right direction. Cleveland has always been good at developing pitchability, which Sims needs a lot of, so this could be a match made in heaven. He is also old for the class, having turned 19 more than a month before the draft (and therefore well over a year older than Schmidt), which adds to the already high reliever risk in his profile.

8-243: RHP Matt Scott, Georgia
Slot value: $228,600. Signing bonus: $200,000 ($28,600 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Matt Scott was one of the more intriguing senior signs on the market this year and still got $200,000 despite his reduced bargaining position. He began his career at Stanford and quickly became a central piece of their pitching staff, pitching as a swingman as a freshman before jumping into the rotation full time as a sophomore. Expectations were high entering his junior year in 2025, with some projecting him firmly in the first round conversation, but he struggled to a career-worst 6.02 ERA and just a 23% strikeout rate in a career-low 52.1 innings for the Cardinal. While he still had a chance to go in the fourth to sixth round range, he elected to give it another go to improve his draft position as a senior. He transferred across the country to Georgia as the second best unsigned college prospect returning to school, where he worked as a long reliever averaging about three innings per appearance and posted a career-best 4.22 ERA and 29.1% strikeout rate. Scott has a power low to mid 90's fastball that has hit 98 in the past, though he doesn't push above 96 too often now, coming in with massive riding action and cut to make for a difficult look. He has found more identity for his slider, separating it out into a true slider and a cutter that works with his natural release. He's still searching for a consistent changeup, showing nice movement but lacking the feel to execute it at a high level so he throws it less. Listed at 6'7", 240 pounds, he has big league size and then some and it plays into his game. Scott has thrown over fifty innings in each of his four seasons for a total of 259 and looks the part of a durable innings eater, whether out of the bullpen or rotation. The Connecticut native already pitched from a high release point at Stanford, then Georgia raised it even higher to about seven feet off the ground to create a towering, vertical look. He showed up on campus at Stanford with solid command for a freshman, enabling him to compete right away, but it hasn't taken a step forward in his four years and remains fringy. The lack of a fully developed offspeed assortment at this point, 22 years old, without the command to make up for it likely relegates him to a long relief role, but I would never count out Cleveland's development pipeline. His size, velocity, and release traits make him a dangerous prospect in their hands.

11-333: RHP Jake Bean, Louisville
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $200,000 ($50,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Northeast Ohio is not the baseball hotbed it once was, having produced names like Cy Young (Gilmore), Bill Mazeroski (Tiltonsville), Tommy Henrich (Massillon), and Dean Chance (Wooster) in the past, though guys like Derek Dietrich (Cleveland), Andrew Chafin (Wakeman), Eric Lauer (Elyria), and Dillon Dingler (Massillon) have kept the Cleveland area represented in the bigs. The Guardians are getting their own local kid in Jake Bean, a Middlefield native from about thirty miles east of Cleveland in Geauga County. After graduating from Cardinal High School, he began his career 25 miles from home at Kent State, where he barely pitched as a freshman but took a big step forward as a sophomore. Power programs around the region took notice and Louisville won the sweepstakes, but unfortunately he never found his footing with the Cardinals as he pitched to an ugly 10.29 ERA and 1.97 WHIP over 35 innings. Bean is a legitimate prospect with a low to mid 90's fastball that touches 97 at peak with life. He shows a darting slider, a loopier curveball that can show nice snap at its best, and a good fading changeup to round out a pretty full arsenal. As you might expect based on the numbers, his stuff was consistently inconsistent as his velocity would dip and his breaking balls would back up or firm out at times. The command was not half bad, but he missed over the plate more often than he needed to and ran an extremely low 16.8% strikeout rate, down from 22.0% (still relatively low) as a sophomore at Kent State. Cleveland is buying into the athlete, as Bean is a great mover on the mound with an athletic delivery and a projectable 6'3" frame that should help him lock in his stuff over longer stretches in 2026. It's a development project, but one that could net the Guardians an impact arm down the line.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Boston Red Sox

Full list of draftees

The Red Sox took a very interesting path with their bonus pool money, shaping up for a funky but interesting class. It is clear the team was infatuated with Jake Schaffner, widely projected as a second round talent, but that they did not want to risk his not being available at their next pick at #67. Rather than sweat it out, they got their guy and gave him far, far less than slot value, using those savings to pry Jace Mataczynski (Auburn), Martin Shelar (Mississippi State), and Kaleb LaFavor (Iowa) away from expensive college commitments. Essentially, based off bonus values they traded one first round pick for three second round picks. With the savings, they were able to have a little bit of fun in the back half of the draft. Where most teams dole out $150K signing bonuses to their favorite leftovers, the Red Sox were able to give four bonuses slightly above that $150K number (coming from the bonus pool) and get Deluxe™leftovers, always a nice little addition. Looking across the class, it's very clear that Boston prioritized athleticism and loud tools in its bats, while many of its arms are model-friendly with significant optimization upside. Boston could end up doing very well for itself with this group.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-20: SS Jake Schaffner, North Carolina
Slot value: $4.37 million. Signing bonus: $2 million ($2.37 million below slot value).
My rank: #61. MLB Pipeline: #75. ESPN: #51.
When the Red Sox spent their first pick on Jake Schaffner, widely projected firmly in the second round range, it was a shock. Looking at the signing bonus, it looks like it may be a very prudent play. Schaffner signed for far, far less than slot value, his $2 million bonus coming in at less than half and fitting just over the value of the #50 pick, so the Red Sox were able to take that $2.37 million in savings and spread it around later in the class. And most importantly with this pick, they got their guy. He began his career at North Dakota State, where he was First Team All-Summit League in both 2024 and 2025 while hitting a .353 across 103 games up on the prairie. Transferring nearly 1200 miles to UNC, he had zero issues with the transition to ACC pitching and hit .353 for the Tar Heels, including a blistering .370 against high level pitching in conference play. He is an elite contact hitter who rarely swings and misses even against advanced pitching, including hitting .281 with an excellent .391 on-base percentage in the competitive Cape Cod League last summer, showing an excellent eye and feel for the barrel. Utilizing a crouched setup and a gashing left handed swing geared for line drive contact, he has below average power and will likely top out at 10-15 home runs per season in a best-case scenario barring major changes to his approach. He's not a pure slap hitter, though, and can turn on the ball to keep pitchers honest. The Wisconsin native is a plus runner and a great athlete, showing all the glovework necessary to stick at shortstop long term. His arm is more of a question, though, and he probably fits better as a second baseman in an ideal scenario. Schaffner could be a plus defender at the keystone and steal plenty of bases. The upside here is an annual .300 hitter who flirts with .400 on-base percentages, swats 10-15 home runs per season, and racks up the stolen bases, making for a true leadoff type if everything goes right.

CBB-67: OF Owen Hull, North Carolina
Slot value: $1.32 million. Signing bonus: $1.2 million ($117,300 below slot value).
My rank: #78. MLB Pipeline: #67. ESPN: #62.
Make that back to back guys who traded green and gold for Carolina blue. Owen Hull began his career at George Mason, where he barely played as a freshman before breaking out to slash .367/.474/.557 as a sophomore, earning his opportunity at UNC. There, like Jake Schaffner, he tore the cover off the ball despite the jump in competition and hit .393/.500/.615 across 69 games, including a staggering .418/.500/.648 in conference play. Hull has a funky left handed swing that he deploys effectively, hitting the ball hard in all directions while limiting chase and swing and miss. He mostly just throws his hands at the baseball and lets the barrel whip behind it, creating sneaky torque with his 6'4" frame to create fringy power that could produce 15-20 home runs per season at peak, though the power comes more from strength than bat speed. Hull has excellent feel for the barrel but can frequently top or get under the ball, hitting it hard into the sky or pounding it into the dirt. A plus runner, the Northern Virginia native has a chance to stick in center field, but his fringy arm will push him to left field rather than right if he does move off the eight. He turned 22 shortly after the draft and is therefore old for a college junior, with the ceiling of a league average bat getting on base with moderate power.

3-96: SS Jace Mataczynski, Hudson HS [WI]
Slot value: $815,700. Signing bonus: $2 million ($1.18 million above slot value),
My rank: #111. MLB Pipeline: #131. ESPN: #77.
The Red Sox began to unload their massive savings on Jace Mataczynski, actually giving him the same $2 million bonus (pick #50 value) as first rounder Jake Schaffner to sign him away from an Auburn commitment. This is a very risky play by Boston, as Mataczynski has much farther to go even than most high schoolers to reach his considerable ceiling. While he wasn't seen much on the showcase circuit, he performed well in his brief looks and caught Boston's eye especially. He was mostly evaluated against cold weather competition in western Wisconsin, just across the border from the Twin Cities, where he performed well but looked raw in many ways. Mataczynski has a noisy operation and doesn't repeat his right handed swing consistently, often getting off balance or out of sync. That said, the sky is the limit once the Red Sox smooth out his operation. He's extremely projectable at 6'4" and when he gets off his A swing, shows great bat speed. The power is presently average but he could add a full grade as he fills out and cleans up his swing, while Boston really believes the hit tool will come around with pro instruction. That's tremendous upside before even getting to the defense. He is a tremendous athlete with plus speed, plus arm strength, and an advanced glove at shortstop, giving him every opportunity to stick there long term and provide significant value too. The whole package is reminiscent of a right handed hitting Colson Montgomery. Boston is taking on significant risk in order to chase this upside with the belief that his raw operation is a product more of amateur instruction than any lack of feel for the game.

5-156: RHP Lucas Davenport, Baylor
Slot value: $454,100. Signing bonus: $350,000 ($104,100 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Lucas Davenport has been around and hasn't quite gotten the results of a high draft pick, but again, Boston sees a development opportunity that could make $350K look like a bargain. He began his career at Texas A&M but never made it into a game, so he transferred to nearby Blinn JC and led the Buccaneers to the NJCAA National Championship in 2024. Transferring a second time to Baylor in 2025, he worked out of the bullpen before transitioning to the rotation in 2026. Though his 6.25 ERA left some to be desired, he showed the stuff and frame for much more. The 6'6", 230 pound right brings the requisite size of a big league pitcher and uses his frame to create great extension and relatively flat approach from a three quarters slot. He moves well with smooth mechanics that help him generate velocity and extension with ease, which also helps him pour in strikes even if his control (ability to throw strikes) is ahead of his command (ability to hit spots in the zone). The fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 98 at peak with run, though the overall movement is average and he relies on his velocity and extension to get results. He has a sweeping slider with some upside, though his feel for it is inconsistent. He splits the difference with a cutter, then also drops in a solid changeup that could be average or better in time. The Red Sox see the size, easy delivery, four pitch mix, and low walk rate (5.7%) and believe they could develop Davenport into a solid back-end starting option. To get there, the Dallas-area product will need to optimize his fastball a little better to miss more bats as well as pick up a little more feel for his secondaries and fine tune his in-zone command a but, but the playbook is there. If he can't check all of that off, the fastball velocity + extension gives him a nice starting point for the bullpen.

9-274: OF Martin Shelar, Marist HS [GA]
Slot value: $205,400. Signing bonus: $1.5 million ($1.29 million above slot value),
My rank: #85. MLB Pipeline: #175. ESPN: #80.
With plenty of bonus pool space left over, the Red Sox unloaded another massive bonus in the ninth round by prying Martin Shelar away from a Mississippi State commitment for $1.5 million, roughly the value of the #62 pick. Like Jace Mataczynski, he comes with plenty of risk and plenty of upside. Already a known commodity down in Atlanta, Shelar bashed his way up boards this spring by leading all U.S. high schoolers with 19 home runs. He is a sturdy 6'2" right handed hitter that takes uppercut swings looking to pull the ball in the air, an approach that worked wonders against strong Atlanta high school pitching. The power is very real, with explosive bat speed and some jaw dropping exit velocities at the MLB Draft Combine in June showing that this could be legitimate plus-plus power we're talking about here. Scouts are more split on the hit tool, as Shelar made plenty of contact during his high school season but may run into problems against more advanced arms in pro ball given his all-out approach. Boston may wish to bring him along slowly as he learns to balance chasing power with a more nuanced approach in pro ball, but they're certainly believers that he'll tap plenty of that power as he moves up the ladder. At ceiling, he seems like a .250 hitter with 30+ home runs annually if all works out. An above average runner, he has a strong arm and profiles nicely in right field, where he should be above average. Shelar is slightly old for a high school senior and turned 19 about a month after the draft.

10-304: RHP Kaleb LaFavor, Bishop Heelan HS [IA]
Slot value: $194,000. Signing bonus: $847,500 ($653,500 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: #171.
The Red Sox kept rolling with the bonus savings, dropping third round money (pick #93 value) on tenth rounder Kaleb LaFavor to keep him from an Iowa commitment. Besides being a pitcher, he is a very similar prospect to third rounder Jace Mataczynski as a raw, projectable, athletic prep from the Upper Midwest. LaFavor presently sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at peak, coming in with some running action if overall average movement. The pitch plays up because he creates a low launch angle with good extension, jumping out of his hand with zip that plays above his velocity even without big movement. He spins a sweeping slider that often gets soft in the upper 70's, though his better ones tighten up in the low 80's and show nice promise. He adds a changeup to round things out, giving him a really nice three pitch mix for a cold weather, small town arm. For LaFavor, the big draw is the projection. The 6'7" righty moves well on the mound with an easy delivery that really gets the ball going out in front, and he's repeating it better than in the past to show solid command. Boston will likely bring him along slowly, letting him build up muscle (he still hasn't crossed 200 pounds despite his height) and add several ticks of velocity both to his fastball and his slider. As he continues to refine his offspeed stuff and get stronger, the Sioux City native has a shot to be a real weapon in Boston's rotation down the line.

11-334: SS Wills Maginnis, Georgia State
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $250,000 ($100,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
With some money left over heading into the back half of the draft, the Red Sox spread it around to several different players but the biggest lump went to Wills Maginnis, who pulled in early eighth round money as their first pick of the back half. Boston clearly had their eyes on Maginnis, a draft-eligible sophomore who had committed to play with his younger brother at Arkansas in 2027. A two-year starter at Georgia State, he was solid as a freshman but turned in a really strong sophomore year, hitting .306/.404/.486 with eight home runs and 21 stolen bases over 56 games. He's projectable at 6'3" and has really strong wrists that help sting the ball on a line to all fields, with fringier power now that could grow into average or better pretty easily. He makes a ton of contact with a great eye and an accurate barrel, a major reason Arkansas felt confident he could make the jump to the SEC, and even more so a very positive indicator for Boston. The Atlanta-area native played first base as a freshman before sliding over to third base as a sophomore, where he proved a strong defender that gave the Red Sox enough confidence to draft him as a shortstop. Though he's played virtually everywhere on the field except shortstop, they'll run him out there at the six and look to refine his glovework while leaning on his above average athleticism to create a solid overall defensive profile. Maginnis profiles as a utility infielder who can do a little bit of everything on the field, but if he can take a step forward in the power department as he fills out his big frame, he could become an everyday player at any number of positions. As a sophomore, he was relatively young and only turned 21 just a few days before the draft.

14-424: RHP Jase Evangelista, Nevada-Las Vegas
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $190,000 ($40,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Red Sox spent the last of their bonus pool on Jase Evangelista, a well travelled arm with some upside. He began his career at Washington, where he had mixed results over two years in the bullpen before transferring to UNLV. While his 6.17 ERA left some to be desired, his 30.5% strikeout rate and deep arsenal impressed the staff at Texas A&M and he committed to pitch for the Aggies in 2027. He impressed the Red Sox as well, who bought him out for a little extra cash over the typical fourteenth round pick. Evangelista sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 97 with his fastball, a four seamer with strong riding action. He can turn it over into a solid cutter, turn over a little more into a sweeper, or drop it into a 12-6 curveball. A changeup gives him a fifth pitch, making for a deep arsenal with many options to attack hitters. His command has taken a step forward as well, giving hime every chance to pitch out of the rotation in pro ball despite spending his college career as a long reliever. Boston will play with the deep array of pitch shapes to work the Southern California native into a back-end starter.

Friday, August 28, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: San Diego Padres

Full list of draftees

In a move that surprised nobody, the Padres for the eleventh consecutive year selected a high schooler with their first pick. Those previous ten years have produced some very solid players, including MacKenzie Gore (2017), C.J. Abrams (2019), and Jackson Merrill (2021), though there have also been several busts including Hudson Sanchez (2016), Robert Hassell (2020), and Dylan Lesko (2022). This year, two preps in Coleman Borthwick and Elliot Lascelles lead things off, followed by a long run of college picks for the rest of the draft if you exclude their two unsigned preps at the end. The Padres focused heavily on players trending up, looking for guys coming off breakout 2026 seasons or those who seemed to find another gear late in the season, hoping to continue that push into pro ball. They prioritized hit-over-power types at the plate, including to the extreme with second rounder Lascelles, and also looked to pull in young-for-the-class players who where several months or more younger than most of their classmates.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-21: RHP Coleman Borthwick, South Walton HS [FL]
Slot value: $4.22 million. Signing bonus: $3.8 million ($424,700 below slot value).
My rank: #31. MLB Pipeline: #43. ESPN: #31.
The Padres love high school pitching early in the draft, so it shocked nobody to see Coleman Borthwick go a bit under slot value here in the first round to sign away from an Auburn commitment. Part of a vaunted South Walton rotation that also included Padres seventeenth rounder Denton Lord (though he did not sign), himself a potential top one hundred pick had he been signable, Borthwick mowed through Florida Panhandle competition with ease. He has a big league body and then some, clocking in at 6'6", 245 pounds already even though he's barely eighteen years old. The arm strength matches the size, with a fastball sitting comfortably in the low to mid 90's and touching triple digits when he really reaches back. There's some extra giddy up and cut on the pitch, making it a true plus pitch already. He has increasingly developed better feel for his slider, looking consistently above average with late, sharp bite and flashing plus at its best. The changeup is a bit behind, but he has shown some aptitude and is working on incorporating it more. While there is some effort in the delivery, Borthwick repeats it well and pounds the strike zone aggressively, helping his average pure command play up to above average control especially against high school hitters. As he develops in the Padres organization, he seems a pretty safe bet to make further strides in that regard and remain an above average strike thrower against more disciplined pro hitters. With two potential plus pitches, a big league body, and potential above average command, Borthwick has a great chance to develop into a #2 or #3 starter in San Diego. Whether he reaches that ceiling will depend on the command (as it does for any prep) as well as further refinement of his changeup. There is a ton to like for an eighteen year old kid and he has a chance to move quicker than many other pitchers his age, provided he stays healthy.

2-60: SS Elliot Lascelles, Upper Canada HS [ON]
Slot value: $1.56 million. Signing bonus: $2.8 million ($1.24 million above slot value).
My rank: #90. MLB Pipeline: #158. ESPN: #78.
Elliot Lascelles had some serious late helium towards the end of the spring, an many expected him to go significantly sooner than most public boards had him ranked. While #60 might be towards the higher end of that expectation, his massive $2.8 million signing bonus (just under the value of the #35 pick) probably eclipsed even the most bullish projections. San Diego is pushing all of the chips in on their second rounder, and for good reason. Lascelles is one of the best contact hitters in the entire prep class, simply torturing pitchers everywhere he has gone including against real, high quality arms. Appearing with all of Canada's top showcase squads, he hit .389 against minor league pitching throughout the spring then took a turn in the MLB Draft League, where he whacked .394/.523/.545 and with just three strikeouts in nine games against legitimate pro-ready competition. The Toronto native guides the barrel around the zone with precision, gathering line drives in bunches no matter how hard the fastball or how sharp the breaking ball. The trade off comes in the power department. Listed at 6'1", 180 pounds, he's not a small guy but his skinnier frame and contact-oriented approach lead to below average power output, most often boosting his slugging percentage by finding gaps for doubles and triples rather than yanking the ball over the fence. San Diego sees more room to fill out and add some force and bat speed, but he's a long way off in that department with some of the lowest peak exit velocity numbers at the MLB Draft Combine even in a controlled setting where he could let loose a little more. It will be interesting to see whether the Padres ask Lascelles to trade some contact for power, but regardless of how he develops, there is absolutely zero worry that he'll be able to handle pro pitching. At peak, he could be a .300 hitter who averages around ten home runs per season, with Luis Arraez being the easy comparison or someone like a taller Maicer Izturis if we want to dig a little deeper. Defensively, San Diego announced him as a shortstop and that's probably where he'll start out, but ultimately his arm is a little light for the left side of the infield and he most likely fits best at second base. At the keystone, his above average speed and average defensive actions should make him a solid defender.

3-97: RHP Ryan Lynch, North Carolina
Slot value: $808,100. Signing bonus: $1 million ($191,900 above slot value),
My rank: #116. MLB Pipeline: #98. ESPN: #111.
Ryan Lynch has a profile that not every team will love, but one that developed right could be very useful in San Diego. An advanced prep when he hit campus at UNC, he immediately became one of the Tar Heels' most valuable arms and posted a 2.93 ERA and a sharp 73/25 strikeout to walk ratio across 27 appearances (3 starts), then jumped into the rotation as a sophomore. The ERA jumped a bit to 4.21 while the strikeout rate dipped from 27.5% to 20.3%, but the Padres still love the arm and see plenty of upside. His fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 98 with tons of run and some sink, creating lots of ground ball contact. He shows a sharp slider that can dive across the plate, flashing plus at its best, though it can also back up on him and will require a little bit of further refinement in pro ball. He hasn't quite found consistent feel for a changeup just yet, so he'll more or less be starting from scratch in that regard in the Padres' system. The 6'3" righty works with a low three quarters delivery that creates good movement profile ons his pitches and creates a difficult look for hitters, and he also repeats it well enough to pound the zone consistently. The control is ahead of the command, so he can get hit when he leaves pitches over the plate, leaving room to tighten things in that regard, but he's much of the way there already. Lynch has the two pitch mix, frame, and control to start, but with the changeup and command will determine whether it comes to pass. If he ends up back in the bullpen, the sinker/slider combo will work well as a fallback.

4-124: C Robbie Lavey, George Washington
Slot value: $620,300. Signing bonus: $600,000 ($20,300 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #188. ESPN: #105.
The Padres think they found a bit of a sleeper in Robbie Lavey coming from a mid-major background with strong under the hood numbers. He is a career .322 hitter at George Washington across 150 games, including a career year in 2026 in which he hit .339/.462/.526 with a career-best eight home runs. While the power hasn't shown up too much at GW nor did it on the Cape last summer (.262/.368/.328), he posted strong exit velocities both in season and at the MLB Draft Combine to lead the Padres to project more in the future. He gets his arms extended well and creates good leverage with his 6'2" frame, with mechanical and approach tweaks likely to help him get from present fringy game power to average in the future. He handled mid major pitching well in 2026, limiting both the chase and the swing and miss to post strong strikeout and walk rates. It will be a jump going to pro pitching, but he should be an advanced enough hitter to handle it. Behind the plate, the Northern Virginia product has solid defensive tools with an above average arm and a workable glove, and the Padres especially believe he could be an above average defender there with further refinement. With upside on both sides of the ball, it's a nice value pick for $600K that projects as a backup catcher with the potential for more. He's very young for a college junior as well, not turning 21 until nearly two months after the draft. That makes him almost three months younger than Ryan Lynch, a true sophomore.

4C-134: OF Alex Conover, Oklahoma State
Slot value: $563,900. Signing bonus: $500,000 ($63,900 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #204. ESPN: #145.
Alex Conover brings the Padres a jack of all trades, master of none type. He began his career at powerhouse Cowley JC in Kansas, then quickly transferred back home to Oklahoma State for his sophomore year. After spending 2025 in a part time role, he broke out for a big 2026 as the Cowboys' starting left fielder. The biggest difference between '25 and '26 for Conover was his approach, as he often chased himself out of counts as a sophomore but took control of his at bats much more consistently as a junior, showing off much more patience and better pitch recognition. Listed at 6'4", 200 pounds, he has power hitter size but plays more as a contact hitter, using the whole field and especially looking to drive the ball to the backside, left center field gap. He shows off average power in batting practice and could profile for 15-20 home runs annually with some tweaks to his approach with more lifting and pulling the ball, giving him nice upside when he already shows a strong propensity to get on base. The Oklahoma native is very young for the class, not turning 21 until more than a month after the draft, so there is still perhaps some projection on that 6'4" frame to add additional power. Conover has manned left field effectively for Oklahoma State and could play a fringy right field with average overall defensive skills, though center field might be just a little bit of a stretch. He profiles pretty cleanly as a fourth outfielder who can hit all kinds of pitching, perhaps popping for every day playing time if the power comes along.

5-157: RHP James Guyette, Kansas State
Slot value: $449,500. Signing bonus: $400,000 ($49,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Padres handed out a healthy $400K bonus to James Guyette, a sleeper who didn't appear on many boards. One of four Southern Californians in this Padres draft class (all from the LA suburbs, a shutout of San Diego County), Guyette barely pitched as a freshman at Kansas State then became a key part of the Wildcats' bullpen as a sophomore in 2025. Jumping into the rotation in 2026, his surface numbers looked ugly (5.56 ERA, 1.58 WHIP) but he looks to be trending up. He made his best start of the season near the end of the year against Cincinnati (9 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 13 K) and finished with a strong 27.9% strikeout rate, notably moving from the first base to third base side of the rubber. The fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 97 at peak, coming in with run and sink from a sidearm slot. His sweeper dives across the plate and could be plus with a little more refinement, while his changeup has come along nicely and gives him a third solid pitch. His command is fringy and will be the key to unlocking the next level of his success, especially as San Diego asks him to execute more nuanced game plans. A sidearming righty, Guyette gets good extension to make his pitches play up further and provides a difficult look for hitters. With experience starting and relieving, he has the three pitch mix and size to cut it in either role but command will be the determining factor. San Diego thinks he is steadily unlocking a higher and higher ceiling and believe $400K will be buying low in a few years.

6-186: SS Nu'u Contrades, Arizona State
Slot value: $350,100. Signing bonus: $300,000 ($50,100 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #225. ESPN: #249.
San Diego grabbed an interesting bat in the sixth round, again banking on upward trajectory. Nu'u Contrades was a well known bat out in Hawaii, then immediately hit .309 as a true freshman at Arizona State. After missing most of the 2024 season, he hit .304 as a junior in 2025 but went undrafted. Teams loved the pure hitting ability, but with just 15 home runs over three years and 105 games in hitter-friendly conditions, they weren't sold on the power. He found his power stroke and then some in 2026, swatting 21 home runs while slashing .366/.434/.762 across 53 games. He's not big at 5'10" but he has filled out his frame pretty well and has gotten better about elevating. It's still probably fringy power when he switches to wood bats and leaves the desert, but now the Padres can be confident he'll have enough thump to keep pitchers honest. While Contrades chases at a high rate, he rarely ever misses and that has remained true everywhere he has gone. If he can rein in that approach just a little bit, he has shown that he has enough power to hit 15+ home runs per season by choosing better pitches to turn on. Drafted as a shortstop, he has decent defensive tools and could probably cut it there in a pinch, but he's probably a second or third baseman long term. That puts a little more pressure on his bat, where the uptick in power will come in handy as he chases high batting averages and remains a thorn in pitchers' sides with a refusal to strike out.

7-215: 2B Joe Tiroly, Virginia
Slot value: $276,400. Signing bonus: $225,000 ($51,400 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #147. ESPN: #168.
Continuing the theme, Joe Tiroly is a hit over power guy trending up, in fact with a very similar profile to Nu'u Contrades. Beginning his career at Rider, he won MAAC Player of the Year honors in 2025 by hitting .377/.481/.749 with 18 home runs as a sophomore. As all great mid major Northeast players seem to do, he transferred to Virginia for his junior season but started slow coming off a foot injury. As he got healthy and warmed up, he hit .328/.400/.571 in ACC conference play and showed scouts he was a real all-around threat at the plate. Tiroly makes a ton of contact, striking out at just a 14.1% clip in 2026 despite the jump in competition and walking at a reasonable clip. Despite more of an average frame, he can turn on the ball for surprising power and that's how most of his 44 career home runs have come, with solid exit velocity data to back it up. While some scouts are skeptical of his transition to wood bats, the Padres believe he'll continue to show at least fringy power to go along with above average bat to ball. A below average runner and athlete, Tiroly won't see any reps at shortstop and will likely be fringy at either second or third base. He profiles as a bat-first utility infield type who could see starts against lefties, but if he hits like the Padres believe he's capable, he could carve out an everyday role for himself on day.

Sunday, August 23, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Detroit Tigers

Full list of draftees

The Tigers put together a diverse draft class, putting together college arms, bats, two-way players, and preps to stock all aspects of their system. Cameron Flukey had top ten looks early in the draft process, Tyson LeBlanc was a pop-up prospect after a big junior season, and Evan Dempsey brings an intriguing two-way profile. On the prep side, Dominic Pellegrin turned heads late in the process with a strong turn through the MLB Draft League, while Will Adams has been on radars for a long time with consistent strong performances against strong competition. It's a balanced approach sure to provide impact in multiple categories.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-22: RHP Cameron Flukey, Coastal Carolina
Slot value: $4.08 million. Signing bonus: $3.8 million ($282,700 below slot value).
My rank: #15. MLB Pipeline: #15. ESPN: #19.
The Tigers picked up nice value here at #22, going below slot on a pitcher some would argue was the second best in the class, high school or college. Cameron Flukey was a well-known draft prospect on the Jersey Shore back in 2023, but made it to campus at Coastal Carolina where he quickly pitched his way into the rotation as a freshman. Taking a big step forward as a sophomore in 2025, he established himself as one of the top pitchers in the class and was firmly in the top ten conversation entering 2026. Unfortunately he went down with a stress fracture in his ribs after his first start of the season and missed over two months, then never built up to more than four innings in a start upon his return in late April. Still, the full package is strong as strong as any in the class besides perhaps Jackson Flora. Flukey sits in the mid 90's and touches 98 with his fastball, getting big riding action from a high, over the top release point. His two-plane curveball is a true weapon with great finish, and he has great feel to keep the pitch down and get results with it. There is a tight slider in the low to mid 80's, while his changeup is a nice fourth pitch to round out a full arsenal. Flukey is a towering presence on the mound at 6'6", coming in with long arm action and an over the top delivery that creates good extension and makes all of his pitches play up. Even with the long levers, he repeats his delivery well and pours in strikes, commanding his full arsenal and looking much more like a pitcher than a thrower. The rib injury was poorly timed in his draft season so teams didn't quite see him at full strength in 2026, but the Tigers believe the 2025 Flukey was the real Flukey and that means a high probability #2 or #3 starter that could work his way up through the minors quickly. Provided he stays healthy, he'll be a major part of the Tigers rotation of the future.

2-61: SS Tyson LeBlanc, Kansas
Slot value: $1.52 million. Signing bonus: $1.61 million ($85,355 above slot value).
My rank: #96. MLB Pipeline: #113. ESPN: #134.
Looking at the major public rankings, Tyson LeBlanc was mostly outside the top 100 across the board and barely snuck inside of mine. Still, there were rumblings that he would go earlier than his board positions and not only was that true, he even signed slightly above slot value. LeBlanc began his career at LSU Eunice, a junior college in southern Louisiana, where he led the Bengals to a Division II junior college national championship and swung the bat well enough to earn a transfer opportunity at Kansas. He didn't skip a beat jumping to Division I competition, where he hit .341/.425/.706 with 25 home runs across 63 games. What he lacks in terms of a standout tool, he makes up for with feel for the game and the ability to maximize his tools. He can chase at times, but not too much, and while there is some swing and miss, again it's not too much. LeBlanc is good at finding his pitch, jumping on it, and getting it up in the air to the pull side to put the ball over the fence much more consistently than you'd think. The power itself is fringy and there's a question how much it will play with wood, but he gets to it in a way that leaves scouts confident he could hit 15+ home runs a year in pro ball with good on-base percentages. An average runner, he gets it done at shortstop with strong instincts and an accurate arm and has a shot to stick at the toughest infield position. If the Tigers are taking him this early, they likely buy the glove at shortstop too, which makes any offense a big plus. Others see him more as a likely second or third baseman where he could be a well above average defender, and it plays in his favor if he ends up going the utility infielder route. The Lafayette, Louisiana native has outplayed projections his whole career and will look to continue to do that in the Detroit organization.

CBB-69: RHP Evan Dempsey, Florida Gulf Coast
Slot value: $1.25 million. Signing bonus: $1.2 million ($56,700 below slot value).
My rank: #107. MLB Pipeline: #101. ESPN: #176.
Two-way players are always fun, especially with some of the added intrigue of coming from smaller schools like FGCU. Evan Dempsey has raked for three years in Fort Myers, slashing .326/.411/.505 with 20 home runs over 169 games, including a career-high ten in 2026. However, Detroit likes the arm even better and they're taking him as a right handed pitcher. After barely pitching as a freshman, he took a major step forward as a sophomore with a 1.97 ERA and a 75/20 strikeout to walk ratio over 68.2 innings. The ERA jumped a bit in 2026 to 3.15, but his 126 strikeouts not only smashed a career high but finished eleventh in the nation and #3 among mid major arms. The stuff isn't overpowering at present, with a fastball sitting in the low 90's touching 95 as well as a pair of high spin breaking balls and a fringy changeup. Dempsey's breaking balls don't always get great finish, but they're sharp at their best and look like potential above average pitches once he focuses full time on pitching. Similarly, the 6'2" righty comes with the athleticism you'd expect of a two-way type and repeats his delivery well, holding low 90's velocity deep into starts and racking up over 150 innings over the past two seasons. It's above average command already despite the split focus and the Tigers think there is much more to come. Beyond getting more time to focus on pitching, two-way players are typically fast learners who can make rapid improvements in unexpected ways, hence their ability to continue doing both at a high level through college. If Dempsey adds a couple of ticks to his fastball and gets more consistent with his offspeed stuff, he has mid-rotation upside and better floor than most pitchers with his background. The last cherry on top is his age, as he was still 20 years old on draft day and therefore young for a college junior.

4-125: SS Dominic Pellegrin, Holy Cross HS [LA]
Slot value: $614,500. Signing bonus: $747,500 ($133,000 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Dominic Pellegrin was a very late riser in the 2026 class that didn't appear on many boards, but his trajectory throughout the spring and into the summer had evaluators pushing his price up. The Tigers wound up signing him away from a Tulane commitment for roughly the value of the #105 pick, despite the fact that he topped out at #478 on the Baseball America 500. Pellegrin has long dominated the New Orleans high school circuit but hadn't been seen much on the national stage until his senior year. He picked up twelve games in the MLB Draft League just before the draft and made the most of it, hitting .375/.569/.525 with a ridiculous 22.4% walk rate while swiping eleven bags in thirteen tries. Pellegrin has a compact right handed swing kicked off by a big leg kick, working inside the baseball and spraying line drives to all fields with consistency, even against better competition in the draft league. Listed at 6'1", 175 pounds, he's fairly under-developed and will need to bulk up in pro ball, likely projecting for an average hit tool and fringy power. The Tigers think there is more in the tank as he gets pro instruction given his athleticism and youth. A plus runner, his defense earns him further praise with smooth feet and a quick transfer, giving him a shot to stick at shortstop and make the average bat much more attractive. Pellegrin is old for the class and turned 19 a month before the draft, but still figures to have plenty of untapped ceiling.

5-158: RHP Declan Dahl, Louisiana Tech
Slot value: $445,200. Signing bonus: $412,500 ($32,700 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #228. ESPN: unranked.
Declan Dahl is an interesting sleeper for the Tigers, one whose resume doesn't quite jump out on paper but who could become greater than the sum of his parts with pro instruction. He began his career at Seminole State JC in Oklahoma, where he was a reliable starter for two years, then transferred to Louisiana Tech for his junior year and again proved more reliable than eye-popping. The fastball sits in the low 90's and tops out at 95, showing run and sink with its ordinary velocity. His slider is a short breaker that can steal strikes and finish at bats but also likely grades average out as fringy, while his changeup is easily his best pitch with great sink and run. The 6'3" righty uses a sidearm delivery to create a low release point and get nice extension, making his pitches sneak up on hitters and play better than their velocity and movement profiles. Hitters consistently seem off balance against Dahl leaving them helpless when he pulls the string on that plus changeup. The command is average and he may have more difficulty eliciting chases against pro hitters, so he'll continue to rely on the deceptive qualities of his delivery and pitches. The Fort Worth-area product might fit better in the bullpen, where he could add a few ticks of velocity to his arsenal and rely less on his command. The Tigers could get creative with his arsenal and usage.

6-187: SS Maddox Molony, Oregon
Slot value: $347,300. Signing bonus: $344,800 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: #125. MLB Pipeline: #176. ESPN: #185.
Maddox Molony's higher ranking on my board is more due to the fact that it only went to 132 rather than any personal favoritism towards him. Molony entered the draft cycle looking like a potential top 50 pick, having hit .311/.403/.566 with 25 home runs over his first two seasons at Oregon. However, his line dipped to just .233/.343/.452 as a junior as he chased a bit more and struggled against offspeed stuff. He still reached double digits in home runs (12) for the third straight year, a helpful footnote after he struggled to tap his power in the Cape Cod League in 2025, and still provides an interesting offensive profile. At least with metal, Molony taps his fringy raw power consistently by effectively elevating to the pull side, enabled by strong bat to ball and feel for the barrel. He's especially deadly against fastballs and should have no issues with velocity in pro ball. Given his ability to square the ball up consistently, he could benefit from a bit more selective of an approach especially against offspeed stuff. The Oregon native is a strong defender at shortstop with good reactions and an above average arm, increasing his value as a potential utility infielder who could become a bit more if he taps a little more power with wood. As with Dominic Pellegrin and Tyson LeBlanc, the glove's value makes the bat more attractive he can hit at even a reasonable clip.

7-216: 1B Brady Ballinger, Kansas
Slot value: $274,300. Signing bonus: $271,800 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: #132. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The very last player on my draft rankings this year, Brady Ballinger has somewhat of a similar story to Maddox Molony despite being a very different type of ballplayer. He began his career at the College of Southern Nevada, alma mater of Bryce Harper, where he hit .431 with an eye-popping .545 on-base percentage and caught the eye of the Kansas Jayhawks. He raked as a sophomore in 2025, hitting .353/.495/.670 with 16 home runs to earn top three rounds draft interest entering his junior year. Unfortunately, like Molony, he dropped to .283/.401/.466 with just seven home runs in 2026 even as Kansas put together its program-defining year. Ballinger is built like a slugger at 6'2", 225 pounds, showing plus power as a sophomore but seeing his exit velocities diminish in 2026 to grade out more as fringy. The Tigers believe the reduced power in 2026 can be brought back with changes to his approach and timing and that the Ballinger of 2025 is the one who will slug his way up their minor league rungs. While his pure bat to ball is fringy, he rarely chases to push his on-base percentages sky-high, and the fact that he actually hit much better in Big 12 play (.306/.408/.559, 6 of his 7 HR) than he did outside it points to an advanced hitter who is ready for pro ball. With his power outage tied more to timing issues than whiffs, the Tigers see this as much more fixable than others on a similar trajectory. The Las Vegas native will need to find that power quickly because he is a well below average athlete who will be limited to first base at best, if not eventually becoming a full-time DH. A left handed hitter, he likely projects as a platoon bat.

11-336: 1B Will Adams, Hoover HS [AL]
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $1 million ($850,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: #75. MLB Pipeline: #102. ESPN: #130.
With pool money left over going into the back half of the draft, the Tigers were bound to make a splash in this range. They did so with Will Adams, signing him away from an LSU commitment for a full million, roughly the value of the #82 pick and the fourth largest bonus in this Tigers class. If nothing else, Adams can hit. Armed with a patient approach and strong bat to ball, he has performed everywhere he's gone and even impressed scouts with his ability to handle and do damage against quality offspeed stuff, a real separator for a prep bat. At this point, he is hit over power and his ceiling will depend on how much power he develops. He projects as a Daylen Lile type if he stays more of a doubles hitter who can leave the yard 15 times a year, but he did impress by registering high exit velocities at the MLB Draft Combine and really has the chance to grow into above average power in time. As a potential plus hitter with above average power at his ceiling, he could be an impact bat for Detroit who can knock 20+ home runs per season with high on-base percentages. The pressure will be on the bat, because he's a fringy runner who has given below average looks in the outfield, with the Tigers even drafting him as a first baseman. There's some hope that his above average arm (he touches 91 on the mound) could help him provide some value out there, but given that the position teams draft a player is largely symbolic of an optimistic projection, it doesn't provide much confidence given the Tigers announced him as a first baseman. Still, I really like his bat and I think he'll hit plenty even with less defensive value.

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Chicago Cubs

Full list of draftees

Besides a couple of big power bats near the top, the Cubs focused heavily on pitching in this class with ten in a row from rounds three through twelve and another six in a row to close out the draft from the fifteenth round on. It was all about breaking balls in this class, with the Cubs looking less at pitchers who could run attack the top rail with explosive fastballs and more at guys who could spin the heck out of the ball. That adds a lot of relief risk to the class, especially with command not being a priority in the draftees, but it does create a lot of upside and possibly gives them quite a few future closer options.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-23: RHP Cade Townsend, Mississippi
Slot value: $3.95 million. Signing bonus: $3.1 million ($847,600 below slot value).
My rank: #23. MLB Pipeline: #35. ESPN: #26.
The Cubs got quite a bargain bringing in one of the most talented college pitchers in the country for nearly a million dollars below slot value, just below the value of the #31 pick here at #23. Cade Townsend has been well-known to scouts since his prep days, when he had significant interest from MLB teams as a star at Santa Margarita Catholic HS in Southern California. He turned down offers and crossed the country to attend Ole Miss, where he flashed upside but pitched to a 6.35 ERA as a freshman in 2025. Townsend returned in 2026 looking like a more complete pitcher and dominated the Rebels' non-conference schedule (0.48 ERA, 32/4 K/BB in 18.2 IP over 4 starts), and while his SEC performance was more up and down, he still did more than enough for evaluators to push himself into the first round. The 6'1" righty sits in the mid 90's and touches 98 with ride through the zone, holding that velocity now better than he did in the past. He stands out most for his feel for secondaries, making the ball dance all around the zone with a full arsenal. He runs his cutter into the upper 80's to consistently stay off barrels, then slices it into a truer sweeper that looks plus in its own right. His curveball shows good depth and gives him yet another potential plus pitch, while his changeup plays closer to average. This is the pure stuff that can play at the top of a rotation, but Townsend has yet to fully put it together. He is throwing more strikes than in the past, dropping his walk rate from 13.1% as a freshman to 8.0% as a sophomore, though it is still more control than command and he can get hit in the zone. Townsend is very, very close to breaking through as a rotation force, and if the Cubs can unlock a little more life on his fastball while fine tuning that command a little further, it would make his breaking balls play up even further as hitters can't simply trust their hands to catch up to the above average velocity. I see this as great value near the back of the first round with massive savings to boot.

2-62: OF Caden Sorrell, Texas A&M
Slot value: $1.49 million. Signing bonus: $1.65 million ($162,800 above slot value).
My rank: #54. MLB Pipeline: #33. ESPN: #43.
Caden Sorrell was projected throughout the 20-40 range for much of the draft cycle, though I felt that was just a little bit rich for my taste and left just outside of my top fifty. The Cubs getting him here in the second round for a slightly over-slot bonus (roughly the value of pick #58) feels more like market value and I'd be much more comfortable rolling the dice here. Like Cade Townsend, Sorrell comes with massive upside, though he has a few more fatal flaws and comes with a wider range of outcomes. Both of his grandfathers played in the big leagues in the 1960's and 1970's, then he made a name for himself as a Dallas-Fort Worth high schooler in 2023 with top 100 interest. He made it to campus at Texas A&M and jumped into the starting lineup as a true freshman in 2024, then over the last two years he has really turned it on by slashing .340/.433/.757 with 35 home runs over 82 games despite missing significant time in 2025 with hamstring problems. Sorrell is a toolshed, to pit it lightly. Listed at 6'3", 210 pounds, he is packed with lean muscle which he channels into an explosive left handed swing to create plus raw power. He taps that power in games, recognizing mistake pitches and hammering them to the pull side or mishitting balls out to all fields even if he doesn't square it up. There are few players more exciting to watch connect with a baseball and Sorrell does it frequently, setting a career high with 23 home runs in 2026. The catch, of course, is contact. While he had no problem performing in college or even when isolated to just SEC play – where he hit .317/.399/.667 against some of the best arms in the country – the warning signs are there. Sorrell runs contact rates below 70% and struck out at a 22.9% clip in 2026, including 26.6% in SEC play, creating major questions as to whether he can catch up to advanced pro pitching. There is some tendency to chase in the profile, but the bigger issue is just the creation of holes in his left handed swing when he tries to blast balls out of the state. As has been emphasized, he has had little reason to adjust that approach thus far as he's always found a mistake pitch he can drive, but it will be a point of emphasis for the Cubs in pro ball. Defensively, Sorrell is a plus runner who has shown well the outfield, giving him a shot to play center field if we wanted to ignore the existence of Pete Crow-Armstrong for a minute. He certainly won't knock PCA out of center field, but the speed and plus arm could make him a plus defender in right. field. The ceiling on Sorrell is immense and if he takes a few large steps forward in the contact department, he could be a star in Chicago for a long time.

2C-75: 1B Myles Bailey, Florida State
Slot value: $1.12 million. Signing bonus: $1.9 million ($779,100 above slot value).
My rank: #83. MLB Pipeline: #83. ESPN: #88.
Well, speaking of power. If power was money, Myles Bailey would have enough to give every American one hundred dollars and still have enough left over to buy the Cubs. This is, to put it plainly, some of the biggest raw power in the entire draft, if not the biggest. Like Caden Sorrell, Bailey was a well-known prep with significant draft interest out of high school but made it to campus at Florida State, where he bopped 19 home runs and slashed an impressive .327/.441/.663 as a true freshman. He came out hammering in 2026, slashing a prime Barry Bonds-like .363/.582/.913 with 13 home runs in 26 games (an 81 home run pace over a 162 game season) before shattering his ankle against Duke at the end of March. Listed at 6'4", 255 pounds, Bailey looks every bit of it and the power is Earth-shattering. He uses his massive limbs to hammer balls in all directions, whether he's sending them to a different tax jurisdiction to the pull side or going halfway up the scoreboard in the opposite direction. Of course, the catch here just as with Sorrell is contact. He struck out at a high 31.0% rate as a freshman and dropped that to 24.6% as a sophomore, but that was mostly because pitchers were avoiding him and he walked 28.7% of the time. Even in ACC play against better pitching (albeit in just an eight game sample), that strikeout rate sat at a similar 26.3% but the walk rate was a gargantuan 34.2%. Bailey simple does not chase when pitchers refuse to challenge him, but when they do challenge him, they usually win in the zone. The Tallahassee native swings through a ton of hittable pitches with some of the lowest contact rates among drafted players, and big league pitchers will find plenty of holes inside that strike zone to exploit. Then the trade off becomes when pitchers don't win in the zone, the results are spectacular. In his tiny ACC sample in 2026, Bailey was performing much better than in 2025 and seemed to have gotten the swing and miss to at least a realistic level, and the Cubs are bought into those gains as real progress. If he can hit the ball just sometimes at the big league level, his propensity to walk could still keep his on-base percentages at a decent level while he threatens for as many home runs as he can make contact on, looking to Adam Dunn as his ceiling. While nobody is going to mistake the hulking slugger for Ozzie Smith out on the infield dirt, he can pick it pretty well for a guy his size and plays a decent first base. Bailey will likely be a net positive around the bag and could stave off becoming a DH for the first half of his career. His $1.9 million bonus was well above slot value, roughly the value of the #52 pick.

3-98: RHP Carson Jasa, Nebraska
Slot value: $800,000. Signing bonus: $750,000 ($50,000 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #173. ESPN: #166.
Carson Jasa is as good of a trajectory pick as you're going to find. Out of high school, he lacked any semblance of body control and was kept far away from the mound as a freshman. He improved his command from unplayable to merely well below average in 2025, earning eleven appearances (four starts) but battling that command in every one of them. He worked hard over the offseason and improved again in 2026, coming out as a full time starter and posting a 3.59 ERA and 117 strikeouts, the eighteenth most in the nation. The command was still below average, but he learned to work with it, keep his misses reasonable, and stay in competitive counts, helping his power stuff get to work. Jasa sits in the mid 90's with his fastball and touches 98 at peak, though like Cade Townsend back in the first round, the pitch can get straight. Also like Townsend, he has tremendous feel for spin with a pair of fall off the table breaking balls in his tight slider and hard downer curveball. Hitters struggle to track either of them and consistently swing through them even if they know they're coming. Jasa adds a changeup, but it's his fourth pitch. The 6'7" righty brings huge size to the table and works with a stiffer, tall and fall delivery that limits his extension. He still needs to work hard on his body control to get a little more athletic on the mound, hopefully helping to bring his command a little closer to average. Adding some life to his fastball would help too, and together he should have a chance to start. At present, his breaking ball-first arsenal and below average command profile more as a bullpen piece.

4-126: RHP Dylan Marionneaux, Northwestern State
Slot value: $609,200. Signing bonus: $600,000 ($9,200 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
This one is a bit off the beaten path, with little information out there about Dylan Marionneaux. After showing up at Northwestern State throwing mid 80's, he has steadily improved each year dropping his ERA from 7.65 to 5.01 to 3.51 while upping his strikeout rate to 12.4% to 17.9% to 23.3%. The fastball now sits in the low 90's and touches 95 with some cut but otherwise ordinary shape, so rather than relying on the heater, he pitches off his glove side weapons. His cutter sits in the upper 80's and anchors his arsenal, while he can turn it into a nice little slider to miss bats, albeit not at high rates. He rounds it out with a changeup. Marionneaux's walk rate has improved every year as well, dropping from 11.4% to 10.4% to just 5.2% in 2026, going from a weakness to a weapon. The Baton Rouge-area native commands his modest arsenal well, not just his fastball but also his secondary pitches. Listed at 6'3", 170 pounds, he is very thin for a starting pitcher and will need to pack on a lot of good weight. He has a thinner build and may not ever have that workhorse frame, but bulking up a little could help him live closer to the mid 90's and help the fastball become a bigger part of his arsenal. He moves well on the mound and comes with nice sleeper upside for Chicago. Marionneaux had previously committed to Alabama out of the transfer portal but the Cubs bought him out with a much higher than expected bonus.

5-159: RHP Dylan Blomker, La Cueva HS [NM]
Slot value: $441,300. Signing bonus: $888,000 ($446,700 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Moving to the prep side, the Cubs went off the beaten path a little bit and pulled in a bit of a sleeper in the class. LSU did a fantastic job of getting talent to campus this fall, perhaps too good of a job with more stars than roster spots, and Dylan Blomker was one of the few (and one of the more unexpected) signees to go pro. Blomker has a low to mid 90's fastball that can hit 97 in short stints with nice riding action from a lower slot. His slider can be inconsistent but shows huge spin rates and frisbee action at its best, while hsi changeup gives him a firmer third option. The 6'3" righty has a great pitcher's frame with present strength and space to develop further, but his delivery can get rushed and his command is below average for now. He'll need significant refinement in pro ball, especially to iron out his mechanics and command, carrying significant reliever risk as a pitcher who may have to rely on a fastball/slider combination. The upside, though, is that of a mid rotation starter who can take his time working his way up through the system as he gradually tacks on polish to a really talented profile. The Albuquerque native signed for roughly twice his slot value, roughly the value of the #90 pick.

6-188: RHP Isaac Morton, Minnesota
Slot value: $344,400. Signing bonus: $344,400.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #172. ESPN: #182.
Isaac Morton continues the theme of upward trajectory pitchers, even if he's currently out with injury. A high level prospect out of high school, he began his career at Texas A&M but pitched just 19.1 innings in two seasons as he battled injuries and a 20.6% walk rate. Transferring back home to Minnesota, he put it all together for a strong junior season in the Gopher rotation, posting a 3.26 ERA and cutting his walk rate in half. Unfortunately he was on his way to another gem against Nebraska, striking out seven of the first twelve batters he faced on the final weekend of Minnesota's season, before leaving with an arm injury that wound up requiring Tommy John surgery. He'll be out for much of 2027 as well, but the Cubs think he could get on the fast track to the big leagues once healthy. A true sidearmer, Morton sits in the mid 90's and touches 97 with his turbo sinker, forcing weak contact and creating a difficult look for hitters. His slider sweeps hard to the glove side with tremendous finish, an easy plus pitch, while his cutter splits the difference and his changeup is more of a fourth offering. The 6'3" righty has significantly improved his command at Minnesota but is still more control than command, so further refinement is definitely needed if he wants to stick in the rotation. Given that he'll be nearly 23 when he returns from surgery, the Cubs may want to fast track him as a reliever where his sidearm sinker/slider combination could be deadly. Morton has closer upside in that role if the stuff ticks up like it tends to do when starters move to the bullpen, a nice fallback should starting not work out.

9-277: RHP Chase Meyer, West Virginia
Slot value: $204,100. Signing bonus: $220,000 ($15,900 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Cubs rolled the dice in the ninth round on another pitcher who has been off the mound but for very different reasons. Chase Meyer struggled mightily with command out of the West Virginia bullpen as a freshman, when he ran a 24% walk rate and an 8.38 ERA over thirteen appearances, then took a big step forward as a sophomore in 2025 as one of the Mountaineers' most trusted relievers. He was primed for another big season in 2026 when a locker room dispute led to his dismissal from the team early in the season, so he announced his intention to transfer to Arizona State and went to pitch in the MLB Draft League and Cape Cod League. The stuff is loud, and the Cubs hope to channel it in the right direction. His fastball sits in the mid 90's touching 98 with life, while his power breaking balls steal the show. Meyer's curveball and slider both look plus with high spin rates and sharp, late bite to miss a ton of bats. His changeup, like other pitchers in this Cubs class, is a fourth pitch. The 6'2" righty has below average command from an uptempo delivery and needs to significantly rein things in, especially if he wants to start in pro ball. Meyer more likely looks like a reliever long term, just as he was with West Virginia, but one with wicked stuff that could pitch in high leverage situations in Chicago.

Sunday, August 16, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: Seattle Mariners

Full list of draftees

The Mariners tend to draft really well and that was certainly the case in 2026, though the failure to sign eighteenth round pick Dominic Santarelli and twentieth rounder Connor Shouse meant that they didn't quite spend their full bonus pool. Still, they spread the money around perhaps better than any other team, avoiding the practice of handing out minuscule four figure bonuses that many teams employ (or in the case of the Braves, three figure) and instead giving all but one pick at least $150,000. In fact, they handed out thirteen bonuses of $200,000 or more, making for the most balanced draft of any team. Additionally, unlike most teams, they did not treat the $2,500 contingency bonus as part of the bonus, and when they gave full slot value, they actually gave full slot value. Player-wise, the top of the draft was very hitter-heavy with seven bats in their first eight picks. They targeted hitters with strong exit velocities and other traits indicating the ability to hit above their draft position, looking more towards offense than defense with very few players who can stick up the middle.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-24: 3B Ace Reese, Mississippi State
Slot value: $3.82 million. Signing bonus: $3.5 million ($318,700 below slot value).
My rank: #17. MLB Pipeline: #18. ESPN: #17.
Seattle got tremendous value with their first pick, bringing in Ace Reese (elite baseball name) on an under-slot deal at #24 despite rumors of teams interested throughout the teens. Reese began his career at Houston where he was more good than great, then transferred to Mississippi State after one season and took the SEC by storm, slashing .341/.425/.719 with 45 home runs over 118 games in his two seasons in Starkville. He looks the part of a slugger at 6'4", 220 pounds, and brings all of the batted ball data to back up his gaudy home run totals. It's easy plus power that comes naturally, to the pull side, and in the air, helping him tap all of it in games. In fact, he and Mississippi's Judd Utermark were the only two SEC players to hit over 20 home runs in each of the last two seasons. His left handed swing is a thing of beauty, getting long through the zone and driving through the baseball while still getting the right angles to put serious air under it and use his power effectively. That power is ahead of his hitting ability, combining a relatively high chase rate with fringy pure bat to ball that led to a 21.6% strikeout rate in 2026, rising to 24.8% in SEC play and 30.6% in the Cape Cod League last summer. Still, Reese has managed to hit everywhere he has gone, including a strong .303/.361/.485 slash line on the Cape despite the strikeout rate. The Mariners have high confidence that he will continue to tap his power and get on base in pro ball, though he may be more of a .250 hitter than a .280 hitter when all is said and done. The East Texas native has worked hard to stick at third base and the Mariners would like to see that work out, but he probably fits more as a first baseman or left fielder in pro ball with below average speed and choppier glovework. It's the bat Seattle is buying, with some of the best offensive upside in the class especially once you get out of the top handful of picks.

2-65: OF Jake Brown, Louisiana State
Slot value: $1.38 million. Signing bonus: $1.38 million.
My rank: #89. MLB Pipeline: #59. ESPN: #64.
Jake Brown has a bit of a split camp and could be an interesting developmental project. A stud two-way prospect out of high school in Louisiana that drew significant attention from big league teams, he gave up pitching at LSU and grew into one of the Tigers' most reliable bats. Brown began the 2026 season on a tear and pushed his way into top 50 conversations, but hit poorly in conference play (.214/.325/.443) and broken his hamate bone in April, ending his season after 42 games. He's a professional hitter with above average bat to ball and feel for the barrel, helping him consistently drive the ball to all fields and make the most of his average raw power. He works counts well, and ultimately makes for a very tough out no matter where he goes. There is some concern that his strong numbers could be a bit of a mirage after his weaker run through conference play, where his strikeout rate rose from 9.1% out of conference to 26.2% in conference, and the hand injury cut short his chance to turn that around and prove it a 19 game-sample fluke. Brown is a sneaky athlete who plays a better right field than you might expect, with the above average arm from his pitching days making him a well rounded defender in the corner. If the rough SEC run was indeed a fluke, then his penchant for finding barrels and getting on base could make him a 15-20 home run, high on-base type who could steal a couple of bases and play a solid right field. He does, however, run platoon risk and probably has a median outcome of that of a lefty platoon bat.

3-101: RHP Nathan Taylor, Cincinnati
Slot value: $778,200. Signing bonus: $778,200.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #215. ESPN: #242.
Seattle develops pitching as well as anybody and Nathan Taylor plays right into their wheelhouse. One of the most reliable starting pitchers in Cincinnati history and the school's all time leader in wins and strikeouts, he leaves the school 22-7 with a 4.25 ERA and a 276/96 strikeout to walk ratio over 249.2 innings in three seasons. Taylor sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and touches 97, showing average life but elite extension that gives Seattle plenty to work with. He makes his money with a plus slider with late bite, pitching heavily off of it and finishing off the majority of his hitters with it. There's a changeup in there too, but he doesn't use it as much and it will need further development. The 6'5" righty is built like a workhorse starter and threw 72.2, 87, and 90 innings over the last three seasons. Taylor has the durability and, increasingly, the command to stick in a rotation long term. The arsenal is a bit more relievery for now, so Seattle will work to bring a little more life out of his fastball and separate his changeup a little more from the rest of the arsenal. With his size and elite extension, it should be something the Mariners can figure out and the Cincinnati-area native could become a #3 or #4 starter in relatively short order.

4-129: 3B Trevor Lucas, UNC Wilmington
Slot value: $591,700. Signing bonus: $450,000 ($141,700 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
This is a nice pull for the Mariners, grabbing a bit of a sleeper bat in Trevor Lucas. He began his career at Gaston College outside of Charlotte, then transferred back home to UNC Wilmington after one season. He was solid but unremarkable as a sophomore in 2025, then took a step forward as a junior in 2026 to hit .312/.429/.556 with twelve home runs and more walks (38) than strikeouts (35) in 58 games. Lucas isn't huge, but he has a whippy bat and good feel for the barrel to consistently make the most of his average raw power and drive the ball to the gaps and over fences. A very disciplined hitter, he rarely chases and runs strong contact numbers to help him strike out just 13.5% of the time in 2026. He didn't face a terribly difficult schedule in 2026 and some teams may qualify his strong numbers by pointing to that level of competition, but the Mariners believe in the bat and see a potential 15-20 home run hitter with strong on-base percentages if he hits his ceiling. Lucas is a strong defender as well, with plenty of arm strength and steady glovework to stick at the hot corner and provide value there. Getting him here in the fourth round for fifth round money is nice value and he could surprise some people as he works his way up.

5-162: OF Hayden Yost, Florida
Slot value: $429,100. Signing bonus: $415,000 ($14,100 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The older brother of Tigers prospect Jordan Yost, Hayden spent three years at Florida and got better each year. There's above average power in his 6'1", 200 pound frame, with the ability to drive the ball to the pull side with a smooth left handed swing. Yost dealt with injuries in 2026 and was limited to 42 games, but still more than doubled his career home run total by knocking ten and slugging .589, nearly two hundred points higher than his previous career high. He also runs good contact rates and struck out at a solid 16% rate in 2026, and he was one of the few Gators hitters to swing well in conference play with a .302/.385/.755 line on SEC weekends, including blasting eight home runs in 21 games. Seattle also liked what they saw in the Cape Cod League last summer and believe that had he been fully healthy and received more consistent playing time in 2026, he would have broken out further with the bat and gone much higher in the draft. His brother Jordan is a skinnier, hit over power type, while Hayden increasingly looks like he has Jordan's hitting ability to go along with a more physical frame and better power. The Tampa native mainly played right field for the Gators, but has seen time all over the outfield and has the look of a useful corner outfield bat going forward. Like many in this Seattle draft class, he could develop into a much better hitter than many expect.

6-191: 3B Henry Ford, Tennessee
Slot value: $335,900. Signing bonus: $335,900.
My rank: #128. MLB Pipeline: #148. ESPN: #183.
Based on the rankings, it may look like I'm the high guy on Henry Ford, but I only ranked 132 players this year so he fell near the bottom of the list and I saw him fitting more in this sixth round range of the draft as it were. Ford has been on the shuttle between Charlottesville and East Tennessee, growing up and beginning high school in the former but transferring to complete high school at the Baylor School in Chattanooga. He returned home for college and played two seasons at UVA, then went back to the Volunteer State to spend his junior season at Tennessee. Ford was one of the Cavaliers' best hitters in his two years, blasting 28 home runs and hitting .348/.414/.587 in 111 games to earn top five round interest as an eligible sophomore in 2025. Contact and positional concerns left him undrafted, and when head coach Brian O'Connor took the job at Mississippi State, he accepted Tony Vitello's offer to play at Tennessee. Vitello subsequently left to manage the San Francisco Giants, and Ford hit a career-low .293 with a career-high twenty home runs under Josh Elander in Knoxville in 2026. At this point, the book has gotten pretty clear on Ford. He's an aggressive hitter with average bat to ball that enables him to post strong offensive numbers despite the tendency to chase. He likes to drive up through the ball to the pull side, where his above average power has helped him knock 48 career home runs despite playing two years in UVA's pitcher-friendly Disharoon Park. The swing can get grooved at times and cause mishits, but he has the power to make those count and still keeps the swing and miss down. He hit well in the Cape Cod League (.267/.349/.467, 20.9% strikeout rate) but ran into real strikeout concerns for the first time in his career in SEC play this year (.256/.317/.519, 26.8% K). Ford has seen time both at first base and left field, and the Mariners seemed optimistic in his defense by drafting him as a third baseman. A below average runner, he likely fits at first base long term and will really have to hit given his right handed hitting profile. He is old for a college junior and turned 22 shortly after the draft.

7-220: SS Ryan Wynn, Georgia
Slot value: $266,100. Signing bonus: $350,000 ($83,900 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Ryan Wynn was overshadowed by more famous hitters in a dangerous Georgia lineup, allowing the Mariners to swoop in and get him here in the seventh round while paying him sixth round money. Wynn began his career at Wofford, where he played sparingly as a freshman before hitting .331 as a sophomore and earning the opportunity to transfer back home to Georgia. His bat didn't miss a beat with the jump in competition as he hit .324/.386/.619 with nine home runs in 53 games (including .333/.368/.704 in SEC play), even if he was often coming off the bench. An aggressive hitter, Wynn works with a quick uppercut that makes the most of his fringy raw power and covers the plate well, sending line drives around the field with consistency while turning on one every now and then. He does have a tendency to chase, leading to just nine walks in 2026 at a tiny 5.7% rate, but that didn't hurt him at all even against talented SEC weekend arms. The Mariners believe if he stays in the zone more consistently, he can make the most of his strong bat to ball and tap even more power in games, potentially threatening for home run totals in the teens. The Atlanta-area native played mostly second base at Georgia after seeing more time at shortstop at Wofford, and ultimately looks like a utility infielder in the long run.

11-340: RHP Wyatt Queen, Oregon State
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $275,000 ($125,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Seattle began the second half of the draft with a bit of a splash, giving Wyatt Queen seventh round money to sign here in the eleventh. He's a local kid coming home, a native of Marysville just thirty miles north of Seattle where he attended Lake Stevens High School. Queen began his career at local Everett JC just across the Snohomish River, then transferred to Oregon State after one season and has been a valuable late inning arm in Corvallis. The fastball is average in the low 90's and touching 96 in short stints, but he makes his money with a pair of plus breaking balls that miss a ton of bats. His power slider gets late bite and hitters rarely seem to pick it up, while his curveball has short, tight, downer action. A fringy changeup rounds things out. The 6'2" righty has a stiffer delivery and doesn't create much extension, unlike many Mariners targets, but he repeats it pretty well and has fringy command. The whole package worked really well at Oregon State, where he pushed his strikeout rate over 40% as a junior and held a 2.49 ERA over 21 games (one start). He's probably still a reliever in pro ball, though Seattle may believe enough in his size and the depth of his arsenal to give him a shot to start. He's fairly young for a college junior and turned 21 barely a month before the draft.