Showing posts with label Braden Montgomery. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Braden Montgomery. Show all posts

Saturday, September 14, 2024

2024 MLB Draft Review: Boston Red Sox

Full list of draftees

I thought this was a really interesting draft for Boston. They started things off with the power hitting Braden Montgomery, who was projected as high as the top five picks at times this spring, then completely shifted their draft philosophy from there. After Montgomery, it was fourteen pitchers (including two way players) out of nineteen picks, often with a heavy emphasis on unique fastballs that they can get creative with developmentally. The few hitters they did target were not power hitters like Montgomery, rather contact-driven profiles where the Red Sox think they can bring out additional thump to go with high batting averages and on-base percentages. They also saved money on most picks so they could push all of their over-slot chips in on eighth rounder Conrad Cason, an electric two-way prep star.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. "2-50" would indicate that a player was drafted in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-12: OF Braden Montgomery, Texas A&M {video}
Slot value: $5.48 million. Signing bonus: $5 million ($484,600 below slot value).
My rank: #8. MLB Pipeline: #8. Baseball America: #7.
It was already a surprise that Braden Montgomery lasted until the Red Sox' pick at #12, and the fact that they got him for half a million under slot value makes this an absolute steal. In Montgomery, Boston may be getting a legitimate top five talent in the class. He was a highly regarded two-way prep prospect in the Jackson, Mississippi area in 2021, earning significant top 100 interest as both a hitter and a pitcher, but as a strong student as well was expected to be a difficult sign away from Stanford. In Palo Alto, Montgomery immediately blasted eighteen home runs as a true freshman and struck out 28 in 18.2 innings. He elevated his profile further with a huge sophomore season at the plate that put him squarely in the first round conversation, while his command took a step backwards. Upon transferring to Texas A&M for his junior year in 2024, he all but gave up pitching to focus on becoming one of the very best hitters in the nation. And boy did he, blasting 27 home runs and slashing .322/.454/.733 along the way before a fractured ankle in super regionals ended his season. Montgomery is a switch hitter with smooth, majestic swings from both sides of the plate. Built rock solid at 6'2", 220 pounds, his natural strength helps him produce massive raw power without selling out, leading to more than a few light tower moonshots this season that may pose a danger to any Goodyear blimps floating outside. He has always been power over hit, but he has really cleaned up his approach in school and increased his walk rate from 6.5% as a freshman to 16.5% as a sophomore to 18.0% as a junior. Previously over aggressive at the plate, he now has a more balanced approach and does a good job controlling the strike zone. If there was one knock against him in the context of the top of the first round, it was a contact rate that was a bit lower than his contemporaries vying for that top handful of picks. His improved approach makes that less of an issue, but he still does whiff more than you'd like in the zone. That majestic power, though, is hard to pass up. Montgomery isn't much of a runner and will be limited to a corner outfield spot, but he has a true 80 grade arm that you have to see to believe. That makes him a weapon in right field that can completely shut down the running game from 300+ feet away. At this point, Montgomery is not going back to pitching but he does have interesting stuff on the mound. His fastball reaches 98 in short stints with tremendous riding action out of a low slot, making it a bit of a unicorn pitch, but his command has simply never materialized. The Red Sox were at their best with David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez hitting in the middle of the lineup, and now they could use a new franchise bat to join Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers in this generation's iteration.

2-50: LHP Payton Tolle, Texas Christian {video}
Slot value: $1.85 million. Signing bonus: $2 million ($153,600 above slot value).
My rank: #66. MLB Pipeline: #87. Baseball America: #82.
This is a really interesting pick to me. Payton Tolle got drafted about a dozen or two picks before he was projected, then got a little extra on top for his signing bonus. Tolle began his career as a two-way player at Wichita State, where he hit .313/.359/.516 with sixteen home runs while also going 13-9 with a 4.56 ERA on the mound over two seasons. When he transferred to TCU for his junior season, the Horned Frogs expected him to anchor down the middle of their lineup while also contributing a little on the mound. Instead, they got the opposite as he hit just .182/.303/.327 with a pair of home runs but was meanwhile named the Big 12 Pitcher of the Year while tying for eleventh in the nation striking out 125 hitters. Tolle is a very interesting pitching prospect. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 96, which is nice velocity but nothing overwhelming, but it plays way above its velocity because he gets elite extension down the mound. He's a huge guy at 6'6", 250 pounds and when he rumbles down that mound and gets out over his plant foot, he's releasing the ball right in front of the hitter's face. The fastball is the show stealer, and the Red Sox will want to bring his secondaries a long a little bit. His slider can vary in shape, looking softer and deeper at times and tighter and harder at others. He has nice feel for a changeup, though he doesn't use it a ton and will need to better incorporate it against pro hitters. Tolle's size, extension, and handedness give him an elite fastball that you just won't find anywhere else, and the rest you can figure out later. The Oklahoma City-area native doesn't have pinpoint command, but he uses his size effectively to repeat his delivery well and just kind of slings the ball in there, filling up the zone with plenty of strikes and letting the carry on his fastball eat its way through the zone. He's a fun prospect to follow.

3-86: RHP Brandon Neely, Florida {video}
Slot value: $878,800. Signing bonus: $700,000 ($178,800 below slot value).
My rank: #89. MLB Pipeline: #193. Baseball America: #212.
I feel vindicated on this one. Amid Brandon Neely's strong finish to the season, I shot him way up my draft board into the top one hundred, then was surprised to see most major outlets leave him deep into day two range. The Red Sox wound up taking him right near the start of day three, and I love the pick. Neely was a well-known prospect out of Spruce Creek High School in the Daytona Beach area, where he was teammates with Rockies 2020 first round pick Zac Veen, but made it to campus at Florida where Veen had also been committed. Contending with a deep Florida pitching staff, Neely showed well as a swingman as a freshman in 2022 and worked out of the bullpen in 2023, then hit a rough stretch in 2024 that put his season ERA up to 6.97 as late as mid-May. Florida really should not have made the NCAA Tournament after going just 28-27 prior to regionals, but they snuck in anyways and that committee decision probably doubled Neely's signing bonus. Perhaps no player on that team, I'd argue not even Jac Caglianone (who hit .444 with six home runs in eleven games), did as much to power Florida's improbable run to the College World Series as Brandon Neely. Appearing in seven of Florida's eleven games, he allowed just five runs over 24 innings (1.88 ERA) with an excellent 32/6 strikeout to walk ratio against the best competition college baseball had to offer. The stuff looked crisper than ever, and it was good enough to vault way up my draft board. The fastball can sit in the low to mid 90's and touch 97 in short stints, jumping on hitters with a ton of running life from an excellent release point. The 6'3" righty explodes down the mound extremely well with well above average extension and a low release point that makes the fastball's average riding life look all the more explosive, helping him regularly overwhelm hitters as it eats through the top of the zone. His sharp, power slider gets into the upper 80's and stands out more for its velocity than its movement, though it has the potential to be an above average pitch, while his curveball is more of a fringy strike stealer and his changeup looks average. Neely is an explosive athlete that pounds the strike zone with conviction, making all of his pitches play up despite average command as he's not afraid to go right after hitters. Though he has mostly pitched in relief for the Gators, he has a chance to start in pro ball with his lean, athletic frame, deep arsenal, and ability to throw strikes. If he has to move back to the bullpen, he thrives in high pressure situations and will be able to focus on his fastball/slider combination. This will be a fun follow.

4-115: OF Zach Ehrhard, Oklahoma State {video}
Slot value: $630,900. Signing bonus: $500,000 ($130,900 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #221. Baseball America: #399.
The Red Sox drafted Zach Ehrhard out of high school in 2021, failed to sign him, and now they're back to swoop in once more. He hit .332 as a freshman but otherwise did not show much impact over his first two years at Oklahoma State, collecting just seventeen extra base hits in 100 games, then exploded for forty in 61 games in 2024. Ehrhard is still a contact hitter first and foremost, and a dang good one. He's extremely patient at the plate and draws a ton of walks, helping him post an excellent .458 on-base percentage in 2024, but on top of that he makes a ton of contact both inside and, on the rare occasions he does chase, outside the zone, so it's really hard to get the ball by him. While he's not huge at 5'11" and his top end exit velocities point to below average raw power, he can get the ball out when he turns on it and his tight right handed swing has gotten better and better at helping him do just that. If he continues to maximize his raw power in games, he could profile for 10-15 home runs per season at best to go with high on-base percentages. The Tampa native is a plus runner with every shot to stick in center field, which would help his bat profile much better given its hit-over-power nature. Ultimately, Ehrhard probably profiles best as a fourth outfielder but the underlying metrics do point to more upside. The Red Sox aggressively pushed him to High A Greenville, where he struggled to hit for impact and slashed .156/.264/.195 with a 25/11 strikeout to walk ratio over 22 games.

5-148: LHP Brandon Clarke, State College of Florida {video}
Slot value: $457,900. Signing bonus: $400,000 ($157,900 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #177. Baseball America: #289.
Brandon Clarke represents yet another draftee who was a hot commodity in high school. He had Tommy John surgery as a junior and came out of the gates hot once he got healthy as a senior, but couldn't quite maintain that flash in the pan and began a multi-year slide. He didn't pitch as a freshman at Alabama with some nagging injuries, then barely pitched as a sophomore upon transferring to the State College of Florida in Bradenton. Having fallen out of the prospect radar for the most part, he bounced back for a strong season in 2024 and the Red Sox fully believe the real Brandon Clarke is back. He's a long, lanky lefty at 6'4" that has now grown into his body, sitting in the low to mid 90's and reaching the upper 90's with his fastball. His curveball and changeup are less consistent, so at this point, the fastball is the show stealer. Clarke has a ton of arm strength and a deliberate delivery that slows down just a bit right before he plants. He used to violently rip through the rest of delivery shortly after that slowdown, but has gotten more under control in 2024 which brought his walk rate back into reasonable territory. The Northern Virginia native is still very raw on the mound and the Red Sox will have to be patient with his development. He'll need to refine his feel for his secondaries while continuing to make strides with his command, which remains below average despite its improvement. There's heavy relief risk here but that kind of arm talent is especially hard to find from the left side and the Red Sox will take their chances that they can bring the rest of his game along.

7-207: OF Will Turner, South Alabama {video}
Slot value: $274,600. Signing bonus: $250,000 ($24,600 below slot value).
My rank: #180. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #177.
The Red Sox are buying low on Will Turner in hopes that 2024 was an aberration. He jumped straight into South Alabama's starting lineup as a true freshman in 2022 then broke out for a huge sophomore season, pushing himself squarely into the second round conversation with many designating him as a favorite sleeper. Unfortunately, his 2024 turned out to be everything he didn't need. After seeing him whack .349/.460/.591 a year ago, pitchers simply stopped throwing to Turner this year and he walked a whopping 20.9% of the time, but didn't do much damage when he did get pitches to hit. The approach is impeccable, with some of the lowest chase rates in this entire draft class that played both against Sun Belt pitching as well as against elite pitching in the Cape Cod League last summer. Meanwhile, he shows solid average bat to ball ability when he does swing, but he can get overly passive at times and get himself in trouble. His strong eye at the plate also helps him recognize pitches he can turn on, giving him moderate pop to the pull side, but the overall power is below average as he did not grow into the additional power scouts hoped for this spring. It's going to be a walk-driven profile that shows high on-base percentages at minimum, but he'll have to find a way to produce more impact at the plate if he'll want to play every day. Turner's glove will help him, as he's an above average runner and a strong overall defender in center field that has a chance to stick there in pro ball. The Alabama native most likely profiles as a high on-base fourth outfielder that can play all three outfield positions easily. He struggled mightily with an aggressive assignment to High A Greenville, where he hit a paltry .081/.250/.122 in 23 games but continued to show off his patience with fourteen walks.

8-237: SS/RHP Conrad Cason, Greater Atlanta Christian HS [GA] {batting, pitching}
Slot value: $219,900. Signing bonus: $1.25 million ($1.03 million above slot value).
My rank: #105. MLB Pipeline: #102. Baseball America: #124.
Aside from second rounder Peyton Tolle, the Red Sox saved a little bit on seven of their first eight picks so they could cash it all in right here on Conrad Cason, an electric two-way player from the Atlanta area. Initially committed to Mississippi State, the Red Sox handed him roughly the slot value for the #66 pick here in the eighth round to come north instead. Cason is not short of talent. For most of his prep career, he has been primarily known as a pitcher. The fastball sits low to mid 90's and touches 99 at peak, coming in with lightning quick arm speed that helps him generate that velocity naturally. He has a power slider that can get a bit firm at times, showing more power than true finish, while his changeup actually looks to be the more advanced secondary pitch with nice fading action at times. It all comes from an uptempo delivery that features some effort, which the Red Sox will look to smooth out in time. Cason is such a tremendous athlete that he should be able to continue to access his velocity regardless. Meanwhile, he has actually shown a strong desire to hit, and the Red Sox will allow him to continue to do that in pro ball. He's raw as a hitter and most scouts preferred him as a pitcher, but an impressive performance at the MLB Draft Combine in June likely sold Boston. His right handed swing is as explosive as they come, leading to big raw power, but he'll have to show he can make consistent contact against higher level pitching to tap it. His plus arm also helps him at shortstop, which combined with his athleticism means he has a shot to stick there long term if he focuses on that craft. Cason is extremely young for the class, having still been 17 on draft day, giving him and the Red Sox lots of time to figure out which direction to develop. He'll do both for now, but once he drops either hitting or pitching, he has a chance to explode as a prospect.

9-267: C Hudson White, Arkansas {video}
Slot value: $194,600. Signing bonus: $185,000 ($9,600 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #318.
Texas Tech was really excited to get Hudson White to campus for his 2022 freshman season, and he jumped right in as the Red Raiders' starting catcher. His bat took a step forward in 2023, then he transferred back east to Arkansas where he had a solid if unspectacular season. He is a very high contact type that has struck out in just 14.7% of his plate appearances over his three year career, having shown a disciplined approach and strong bat to ball ability from a very young age and for a very long time. Solidly built at 6'1", 200 pounds, he has more strength than bat speed and only produces modest exit velocities, with his fringy game power coming more from his ability to square the ball up and lift it. A 25 game run through the Cape Cod League last summer sheds some light on his offensive game as well, as he hit .161/.316/.258 but with a very respectable 16/13 strikeout to walk ratio. The Red Sox will look to deploy White's strong hitting acumen into more impact at the next level. Meanwhile, he's a solid defender behind the plate that should be able to stick there long term, with average ability all-around. That glove makes his bat look a lot better, and if he can continue getting on base while showing just enough thump to keep pitchers honest, he could be a very good backup catcher or potential platoon guy in the long run. His brief stint at High A Greenville was fairly similar to his Cape stint, hitting .167/.324/.167 with a 21/11 strikeout to walk ratio over eighteen games.

10-297: LHP Devin Futrell, Vanderbilt {video}
Slot value: $182,800. Signing bonus: $250,000 ($67,200 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #210.
Devin Futrell, like Hudson White, is a three year college performer that found success immediately as a true freshman. Futrell jumped straight into Vanderbilt's rotation in 2022 and has made 38 starts in three seasons for the Commodores, going 21-7 with a 3.92 ERA and a 180/43 strikeout to walk ratio over 195.1 innings, very nice numbers going up against strong SEC competition in an era of heightened offense. The stuff is largely ordinary. His fastball sits around 90, topping out at 94, and playing up a bit with some riding action. His slider works well when he locates it but ultimately shows fringy bite, while his average changeup plays well off his other pitches with solid fading action but it isn't a strikeout pitch in its own right. Futrell thrives, though, on pitchability. The towering 6'5" lefty shows plus command and can execute any of his pitches to all parts of the zone, helping each of them play to their full potential. He consistently works ahead in counts and creates weak contact by keeping hitters off balance, and has just a 5.3% walk rate for his career – an elite mark. Futrell's size and simple, repeatable delivery make him a very clear starting pitching candidate, but his command will have to hold together completely in order to rise through the minors in that role. Adding a bit of power to his stuff would help as well, with the ceiling of a #5 starter or long reliever.

12-357: RHP Brady Tygart, Arkansas {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $300,000 ($150,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: #189. MLB Pipeline: #181. Baseball America: #175.
With some money left over on day three, the Red Sox dipped in a little bit to grab Hudson White's teammate, Brady Tygart, for early seventh round money. Tygart has worked his way up through Arkansas' pitching ranks, beginning as a reliever in 2022 before working in a swingman role in 2023 and joining the rotation full time in 2024. He has a low 90's fastball that touches 95 as a starter and 97 in relief, though it plays pretty true and plays closer to average. He stands out most for his feel for spin, showing a plus curveball with nasty deep bite that misses a ton of bats. His slider flashes plus as well at its best, generating plenty of chases down below the zone, and he shows strong feel to execute them as well. There's a changeup as well, though its firm and looks like a fringy pitch. Tygart doesn't have the world's most athletic delivery, with a tall and fall motion and average extension despite a taller 6'2" frame. His command has been inconsistent in Fayetteville and he may fit better in the bullpen, where he can lean heavily on his breaking balls. We'll see if the Red Sox choose to stretch him out but I like him best in that latter role.

13-387: LHP Shea Sprague, North Carolina {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $155,000 ($5,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
We've seen guys like Matt Barnes (Bethel, CT) and Rich Hill (Milton, MA) suit up for Boston, but ultimately the list of recent New Englanders to play for the Red Sox isn't an extensive one. Shea Sprague will look to be the next. He grew up in Hanover, Massachusetts, about twenty miles south of downtown Boston, and attended Boston College High School next door to UMass Boston on Columbia Point. From there, he headed down south and pitched two years at Elon, where he dominated the CAA and earned an opportunity to transfer down the road to UNC. After a strong season in the Tar Heel rotation, he's now coming back home. Sprague doesn't throw very hard, usually sitting on the south side of 90 with his sinking fastball, but the pitch plays way up because he gets elite extension from a low three quarters slot and slices across the plate. His deep sweeper plays well from that slot, while he effectively deploys his changeup to get something moving arm side and neutralize right handed hitters. He's strong and durable at 6'3" and fills up the strike zone with a ton of strikes, which gives him a chance to start. He'll have to bring his secondaries along and maintain his command to do so because the low velocity does not give him much room for error, or he could slot into the bullpen and hopefully tick that fastball up over 90 more consistently. Regardless, it's a pretty unique profile that the Red Sox can get creative with.

19-567: 3B D'Angelo Ortiz, Miami Dade JC [FL] {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
If the name sounds familiar, that's because it is. D'Angelo Ortiz is indeed the son of Hall of Famer David Ortiz, and now he's joining the same organization his father was so instrumental in. The younger Ortiz played high school ball at Westminster Christian High School in the Miami area, alma mater of Alex Rodriguez among many others, then spent one year at Miami Dade JC. Ortiz is a very different player than his father, coming in two inches shorter forty pounds lighter, and right handed, and he hit just one home run for the Sharks this year. Instead, he found success by spraying line drives around the park with a high contact approach that helped him hit .377 with just a 9.8% strikeout rate. He has a lot of moving parts in his load with a big leg kick and a bit of a barrel tilt, and also has additional projection remaining as he fills out that 6'1" frame. He was drafted as a third baseman and also has experience in the outfield.

Sunday, September 5, 2021

The Top 12 High School Pitching Prospects Headed to Campus

Earlier, we looked at the top position players reaching campus, so now we'll pivot to the pitchers. The pitchers on last year's list haven't quite made the immediate impact of last year's position players, but sometimes it takes them longer to get acclimated to the higher level. After picking up two of the top nine position player prospects in Cody Schrier and Malakhi Knight, UCLA is back with two of the top three pitching prospects to really hammer home a fantastic recruiting class. Because #10 James Peyton Smith switched up and will go the JuCo route, this list is a bit unusual in that there are no Florida Gators or LSU Tigers and only one Vanderbilt Commodore, the latter not showing up until the last spot on the list (though Florida did pick up three in the "just missed" group and LSU got one). 

1. LHP Gage Jump, UCLA (JSerra Catholic HS, CA). 2021 rank: #20.
Gage Jump is the top overall prospect to reach campus, edging out #25 Peyton Stovall (Arkansas) on the position player side. Jump is a really, really interesting pitcher that has made himself a lot of fans on the West Coast and across the country despite being undersized. The 5'11" lefty has a low 90's fastball that has reached as high as 96, while bringing a deep curveball, a distinct slider, and a changeup. Everything plays up because despite his shorter stature, he gets exceptional extension for his size and puts big spin rates on his stuff, creating a ton of movement in the best way. That fastball sneaks up on hitters and regularly evades barrels up in the zone, while his curveball plays off it really well. He does a good job of pounding the strike zone and a little more refinement when it comes to repeating his delivery could give him above average command. Jump has been noted for his knowledge of the game and feel for pitching on top of everything else, which should help him jump into that UCLA rotation right away after it lost Nick Nastrini (Dodgers, fourth round), Jesse Bergin (Marlins, eleventh round), Sean Mullen (Rays, eleventh round), and Zach Pettway (Indians, sixteenth round) to the draft. Some have compared the Orange County product to a left handed Jack Leiter, as a shorter pitcher who uses his body extremely well and understands his craft. Look for Jump to try to work his way into the first round in 2024.

2. LHP Josh Hartle, Wake Forest (Reagan HS, NC). 2021 rank: N/A (removed from rankings).
Josh Hartle was among the first players to announce his intention to go to school rather than pro ball, while Wake Forest is getting exactly the kind of profile that could reemerge as an early first round pick in 2024. He's earned comps to Kyle Harrison, who signed above slot with the Giants in the third round last year, but he's seven months younger (relative to his class) and throws a bit harder at the same stage of his career. For that reason, had he been on my final rankings, he would have been just outside the first round range. Hartle sits in the low 90's and gets up to around 94, which isn't overwhelming velocity but plenty for now especially given his projection. He adds a sweepy slider with great depth that could become a plus pitch in time, though for now it lacks power and plays closer to average. He also has great feel for his changeup that rounds out his arsenal really nicely, and in turn gives him a chance for three plus pitches if all goes well at Wake Forest. The 6'5" lefty fills the strike zone consistently and repeats his low three quarters delivery well, but perhaps his best attribute is projection. With an ideal frame and an easy delivery, scouts are certain there is more velocity in the tank and he could legitimately add three to five miles per hour to his fastball in Winston-Salem as he gets stronger. Combine that with his stuff and strike throwing ability from the left side, and you have all of the ingredients for a future top ten pick, and in turn a future big league ace. Of course, he has to stay healthy, make those strength gains, and hold his command as they come in order to reach that ceiling, but I see no reason why he won't. The Winston-Salem native will be a priority follow for Carolina area scouts over the next few seasons and the Demon Deacons have likely found their heir to Ryan Cusick at the front of their rotation, if not in 2022 then likely by 2023.

3. RHP Thatcher Hurd, UCLA (Mira Costa HS, CA). 2021 rank: N/A (removed from rankings).
Like Josh Hartle, Thatcher Hurd removed himself from the draft well before the event got started and therefore was not in my final rankings, but he would have ranked in the second round range. Hurd shares a lot of similarities to both Hartle and fellow UCLA commit and #1 recruit Gage Jump, with exactly the kind of profile that goes to school and reemerges as an early first round pick. Relatively new to pitching, he sits around 90 right now and gets up to around 93-94 consistently, but like Hartle, there is a ton more in the tank. His slider and curveball are two unique breaking balls that are still works in progress, but the slider regularly looks like an above average pitch already while the curveball looks like it should become at least an average offering. The changeup is a bit behind, but he does show feel for it. Everything plays up because the Oakland-area native (who transferred to the Los Angeles area for his senior year) mirrors Jump a bit in that he gets high spin rates on everything that put ride on his fastball and more movement on his breaking balls. He pounds the strike zone very well for someone who is new to pitching, and while he can be a little bit rushed in his delivery at times, it's clean overall and he repeats it well. Hurd stands out for his feel for pitching and work ethic as well, constantly looking for ways to improve his game and stand out in the crowded field of young pitchers looking for a shot. Add that onto the projection in his 6'4" frame, the freshness of his arm, and the development he'll get at UCLA, and you have a potential ace in the making. He's a bit behind Jump and slightly behind Hartle in present velocity, but he could catch up in no time. Look for Gage Jump and Thatcher Hurd to lead a new era of UCLA arms and try to replicate the Trevor Bauer/Gerrit Cole era.

4. RHP Caedmon Parker, Texas Christian (The Woodlands Christian HS, TX). 2021 rank: #69.
As with Josh Hartle and Thatcher Hurd, Caedmon Parker withdrew from the draft before it started, but by then he was already on my final rankings and remained at #69. Parker, like Hartle and Hurd, is a big time projection play who has a chance to become an absolute monster under pitching guru and new TCU head coach Kirk Saarloos. His fastball is currently inconsistent in its velocity, at times chilling in the upper 80's but at others reaching back for as much as 94-95. He adds an improving curveball in addition to a sweepy slider with great depth, and he shows good feel for a changeup as well. The 6'4" righty has an ideal frame to add velocity and shows a ton of athleticism on the mound, with a springy, low effort delivery that could use a little cleanup that Saarloos and co. are certainly up to the task on. While that delivery can be a little inconsistent at times, when he is repeating it well, he shows above average command that is especially nice to see given that he's split his focus with football up to this point. The Houston-area native is also relatively young for the class and didn't turn 18 until a month before the draft, which combined with his frame, athleticism, spin rates, and natural movements on the mound should enable him to continue trending up. Parker was one of my favorite arms in this class and I had him ranked well ahead of Prospects Live (#100), MLB Pipeline (#110), and Baseball America (#222), and I look forward to following his development in Fort Worth.

5. RHP Jackson Baumeister, Florida State (Bolles HS, FL). 2021 rank: #75.
Jackson Baumeister was trending up quickly this spring, but ultimately not quickly enough to be diverted away from a strong commitment to Florida State. Last year, the Seminoles picked up the top incoming freshman pitching prospect in the country in Carson Montgomery, who was more solid than spectacular in his debut this spring (4.50 ERA, 39/23 K/BB in 28 IP). While Montgomery stood out in part for his extreme youth, Baumeister is old for his class and is actually a couple weeks older than Montgomery despite being a grade behind. That means that he and Montgomery will both be eligible together for the 2023 draft, so he'll want to hit the ground running in Tallahassee. The good news is that Baumeister is absolutely up to the task, bringing a combination of "now" stuff and projection comparable to anybody in the class. His fastball is consistently in the low 90's now and is getting up to around 95, while his curveball shows both sharpness and depth and looks like a true plus pitch when he rips through it right. He mainly works off of those two pitches and will need to gain more feel for his changeup and perhaps get a bit more consistent with that curveball, which can be slurvy at times, but it's a really exciting package nonetheless. The 6'3" righty is a great athlete and gets down the mound extremely well, releasing the ball out in front and making his pitches jump on hitters. While the command is relatively inconsistent at this point, it has been trending in the right direction and some refinement under the Florida State coaching staff should help him get to average in that regard. If he can make incremental adjustments here and there, we've got another potential first rounder on our hands who could be truly electric when all is said and done. The Jacksonville native had a ton of fans in the 2021 draft who saw him as a clear-cut top two rounds arm already, and now he has two years to build on that.

6. RHP Chase Burns, Tennessee (Beech HS, TN). 2021 rank: #84.
Chase Burns was one of the more polarizing prospects in the 2021 class, with many believing he belonged firmly in the top two rounds (both MLB Pipeline and Baseball America ranked him in the top fifty) and others seeing a boom or bust profile that fit better in the third or fourth round. I fell into the latter bucket, but regardless the Volunteers are getting one of the single most electric arms in the entire class. Burns has an elite fastball that sits consistently in the mid 90's has reached 101, playing up even further with spin rates and riding action that make it near impossible to square up. At his best, his curveball has vicious bite while his shorter slider darts away from bats late, but both are inconsistent and can flatten out regularly. He's shown the makings of a decent changeup but hasn't shown his best version of that pitch consistently yet. The 6'4" righty has done a very good job of improving his delivery and can fill up the strike zone when he's on, though his actions remain a little bit rigid for my taste and he does throw with effort, losing his arm slot at times. Hard throwing preps have had a poor track record as of late, and because he gets to his velocity more through brute force than natural extension and kinetic chain, I see considerable reliever risk here. My guess is he'll likely spend his freshman season as a reliever in Knoxville, but the Nashville-area product has a chance to prove his proponents right and his doubters wrong by sticking in the weekend rotation over a full season if not in 2022 then in 2023 and 2024. If not, the power stuff should be absolutely wicked out of a big league bullpen.

7. LHP Hagen Smith, Arkansas (Bullard HS, TX). 2021 rank: #100.
Arkansas brought in the top incoming position player prospect in the country in Peyton Stovall, and between him and Hagen Smith, the Razorbacks now have the two most dominant performers in recent memory from the Piney Woods/Ark-La-Tex region. While Stovall went on a home run barrage that seemingly lasted all season against northern Louisiana pitching, Smith threw no-hitter after no-hitter against his East Texas competition and now they'll be teaming up in Fayetteville. Smith is a really interesting arm with a fastball around 90 that can get up to around 95, showing nice arm side run from a lower arm slot. He complements that well with an above average slider that flashes plus, and also gets some drop on a decent changeup. There is some Brusdar Graterol in the profile, with most of his power coming from heavy torso rotation rather than a traditional drop and drive motion. The Arkansas coaching staff will want to smooth him out a little bit and make sure he really is getting everything he can out of his 6'3" frame, with more velocity very likely on the way as he fills out and crisps up that delivery. The Bullard, Texas native is extremely young for the class, more than a year younger than Jackson Baumeister, and didn't turn 18 until more than a month after the draft, so he has additional time to develop. Combine that with the fact that he's coming from off the prospect map in small town East Texas, and you have a recipe for rapid improvements in Fayetteville.

8. RHP/WR Brody Brecht, Iowa (Ankeny HS, IA). 2021 rank: #111.
Brody Brecht is probably the most athletic person on this list, and it's not particularly close. He's a star football player that will be playing wide receiver at Iowa, then he ran track over the winter and into the spring and got a late start to baseball because of it. Then, at least so it seems, he just stepped on the mound and started hitting the upper 90's like it's nothing, so we're talking premium natural talent. Brecht was always going to be a tough sign because he loves football and has no plans to give it up any time soon, so we'll just have to see how it goes at Iowa. Currently, he sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and has touched as high as 98, and it's really, really easy to envision more if he ever gives baseball his full attention. His slider looks like an absolute weapon at its best and he also shows good feel to spin a curveball, though for now the changeup is virtually non-existent. The 6'4" righty repeats his delivery well and stays around the zone with his stuff, so additional focus on pitching should help him get to above average command. We are talking about a huge ceiling for Brecht, with the potential to become the Big Ten's best arm since Max Meyer. For now though, we have a long way to go and we still don't have his full attention. That level of natural talent is just unbelievable.

9. OF/RHP Braden Montgomery, Stanford (Madison Central HS, MS). 2021 rank: #71.
Braden Montgomery's #71 ranking is actually as a position player, where he's a switch hitter with strong feel for the barrel and some power projection. Most don't think he has quite as much impact potential as a pitcher, but he has a chance to prove them wrong with additional development at Stanford. The Jackson-area native will head a long way from Mississippi to Silicon Valley for school, where he'll simultaneously look to break into the outfield and the weekend rotation. On the mound, Montgomery shows a low 90's fastball that can get up to about 95, adding a very solid curveball and changeup that give him a great three pitch starting point. He's very poised on the mound and fills up the strike zone consistently, with an athletic, low effort delivery that could use some minor smoothing out on the arm path but which is otherwise pretty clean. He's been noted as a hard worker who really cares about his craft, so if anybody can manage the workload of developing as a pro prospect as both a hitter and a pitcher, it's him. A few years ago, we saw another BM, Brendan McKay, develop into a monster on both sides of the ball at Louisville. Montgomery probably won't match both his 2.23 career ERA and .966 career OPS, but he could be the best two-way star since McKay.

10. RHP James Peyton Smith, Northwest Florida State JC (East Robertson HS, TN). 2021 rank: #122.
James Peyton Smith was originally committed to Vanderbilt, but switched his commitment to Northwest Florida State in July so he could be eligible for the 2022 draft. Smith has seen his game grow and change over the past few years, and while Vanderbilt would have been a great place to hone his craft and put it all together, he may not have gotten as many innings as he might have liked and of course would have to wait until 2024 to get drafted. At Northwest Florida State, he'll have a much easier time finding innings and if he can put it together this spring, he could be the first JuCo pitcher drafted. The Middle Tennessee native has recently seen his fastball tick up into the mid 90's, reaching as high as 98 at his best from a low three quarters arm slot. His slider is an above average pitch at its best, while his curveball is a step behind. Smith shows great feel for his changeup, which will hold down the fort while he works on the consistency of his breaking balls. The 6'4" righty hasn't quite shown consistent feel to spot his newfound, loud stuff, though he has been a good strikethrower in the past and may just need more time to get used to the mid 90's bullets coming from his right arm. It does take some effort for him to tap that big stuff, leading to reliever risk, and he'll look to the coaching staff in Niceville to help smooth that out a bit. Regardless, I expect him to carve up Florda JuCo hitters next spring and rank among the national leaders in strikeouts at that level. If he doesn't quite get things where he wants by the 2022 draft, he can always go back for another year or transfer to another Division I program. With a June birthday, he's also relatively young for his class.

11. RHP Eric Hammond, Southern California (Keller HS, TX). 2021 rank: #130.
UCLA is bringing in the best recruiting class in the country, but their cross town rivals did land Eric Hammond, who has a chance to be a first rounder in 2024. Hammond, a Texan with strong familial ties to California, already sits in the low 90's and can get up to 95-96 with plenty more projection in the tank. He also throws a slider, curve, and changeup, all of which are trending upwards and flash above average and should give him a complete arsenal to use in Los Angeles. He's generally around the zone, though command is going to be a focus point in his development over the next few years. The Dallas-Fort Worth product has a very slow, deliberate start to his delivery, but rushes through his arm stroke and finish which can affect his ability to repeat his release point. Cleaning that up is likely all that stands between Hammond and starting in pro ball. The 6'4" righty offers a ton of projection and should continue to add power to his stuff, and he has a chance to be one of the best pitchers on the West Coast over the next few seasons if he develops like he's expected to. USC missed out on Marcelo Mayer, who in my opinion was the best high schooler in the entire draft class by a fair margin, but should still be happy that they landed their future Friday night starter.

12. LHP Carter Holton, Vanderbilt (Benedictine Military HS, GA). 2021 rank: #135.
Ask any hitter on the showcase circuit last year, and they'll tell you Carter Holton was one of the toughest at bats they had. He'll head to Vanderbilt with one less arm to compete with now that James Peyton Smith is going the JuCo route, but no matter what the situation is in Nashville, it's always tough to find innings on that staff. Holton should be up for the task rather quickly as he shows strong feel for pitching and shouldn't have too steep of a transition to facing SEC lineups, though he still should get better and better during his time there. For now, he sits in the low 90's but can get up to 96 with his fastball, adding a sweepy curve and slider that can blend into each other and a very solid changeup that plays well off the rest of his arsenal. He comes in with some crossfire action that puts tough angle on the ball and adds perceived sweep to his breaking balls, but still fills up the strike zone more often than not. 5'11" lefty lacks projection and probably won't add a ton more velocity, but as Tim Corbin and co. help him get a bit more consistent in repeating his delivery and perhaps tighten up his breaking balls a bit, we could have a Friday night man by 2024, which is no small task at Vanderbilt. He mixes his pitches extremely well and improving his command from average to above average, which I see as highly likely, will make him exactly the kind of pitcher that carves up SEC lineups as if he's still in high school. The Savannah native's size probably makes it less likely he emerges as a first round pick, but he has a very good shot at working his way into the second round range.

Others:
#141 RHP Brandon Neely, Florida (Spruce Creek HS, FL)
#157 RHP Cale Lansville, Louisiana State (Thunder Ridge HS, CO)
#164 LHP Jac Caglianone, Florida (Plant HS, FL)
#171 RHP Will Koger, Louisville (Bardstown HS, KY)
#178 RHP Max Debiec, Washington (O'Dea Catholic HS, WA)
#182 RHP Luke Holman, Alabama (Wilson HS, PA)
#187 LHP Pierce Coppola, Florida (Verona HS, NJ)
#190 RHP Roman Kimball, Notre Dame (P27 Academy, SC)

Thursday, September 2, 2021

The Top 12 High School Position Player Prospects Headed to Campus

Last year was the year of the true freshman bat. Dylan Crews (LSU), Kevin Parada (Georgia Tech), Enrique Bradfield (Vanderbilt), Yohandy Morales (Miami), Jacob Berry (Arizona), Daniel Susac (Arizona), Kyle Teel (Virginia), and plenty of others put up huge seasons that made big impacts on their teams right away. All but Berry were included in my edition of the top twelve position player prospects reaching campus last year, so now it's time to look ahead to the next wave of freshmen. Keep in mind that this list is based off my 2021 draft board, not who I think will have the biggest immediate impact.

1. SS Peyton Stovall, Arkansas (Haughton HS, LA). 2021 rank: #25.
Peyton Stovall was a huge helium name early in the spring, absolutely obliterating northern Louisiana pitching with home run after home run and never letting up throughout the season. That thrust him all the way into the first round conversation, but the deluge of high school bats in that range of the draft gave teams a lot of options, and in the end he didn't get the signing bonus he was looking for and pulled his name from the draft late. At Arkansas, he'll join a lineup that returns most of its core pieces, so it may be a bit tough to break through that crowded infield and find playing time initially. But we are talking about a special bat that should have no trouble making the big jump to SEC pitching, and even if he takes on more of a reserve role in 2022, he should be right in the middle of things by 2023 and could come out a first rounder in 2024. Stovall has supreme feel for the barrel from the left side of the plate, showing in-game power to all fields even out of a smaller 6' frame. He adeptly recognizes spin and that makes me confident in his ability to make the transition, so he'll maximize that power wherever he goes and likely post high on-base percentages. The Shreveport-area native is listed as a shortstop but lacks the athleticism to stick there in pro ball, and he may play a whole host of positions in Fayetteville as he looks to break into that loaded lineup. Long term, he probably projects as a bat-first second baseman that can mash 20+ home runs per season with high on-base percentages in the majors.

2. OF/QB/WR Will Taylor, Clemson (Dutch Fork HS, SC). 2021 rank: #29.
The Pirates may have picked off Clemson QB commit Bubba Chandler with a $3 million signing bonus, but Dabo Swinney will still get a two-sport star into his QB room in Will Taylor, who may have to move to wide receiver given the strength of that program. And that's all I know about football, so we'll move onto baseball. Long known to scouts due to his athleticism, Taylor found further helium this spring with a solid senior season, his first at Dutch Fork High School in the Columbia suburbs after transferring from Ben Lippen High School. As you might expect, he stands out for his plus-plus speed and could find his way into Clemson's center field role rather quickly. You'd expect him to be rather raw on the baseball field considering his split-focus, but he performed well on the summer showcase circuit last year and carried that over to an even better spring this year, so scouts are very confident in the hit tool. He's not a prototypical power hitter at six feet tall, but his loose right handed swing and strong feel for the barrel allow him to maximize his twitchy strength and put balls over the fence. Taylor will probably always be hit over power, but it's still a very well rounded profile. Of course, once he gets on base, you know he'll be looking to disrupt the game and run, and all together the profile had numerous teams interested in the middle of the first round this year. Clemson has a strong baseball program but it's not quite an Arkansas, UCLA, or Vanderbilt like many of the players on this list find themselves walking into, so we could see him playing every day right out of the gate. The Tigers have produced some strong bats in recent years like Seth Beer, Logan Davidson, and James Parker, and Taylor has a chance to beat all of their draft positions in 2024.

3. SS Alex Mooney, Duke (Orchard Lake St. Mary's HS, MI). 2021 rank: #49.
Duke is playing some of its best baseball ever right now, and after making a super regional in 2019 and a furious run to a #2 seed in the Knoxville regional in 2021, they have another reason to celebrate because they landed one of the top high schoolers in the country. Alex Mooney was always rumored to be pretty keen on heading down to Durham, and as it turns out, he was. There's a great combination of feel and athleticism here that should enable him to crack the starting lineup pretty early on, and with starting shortstop Ethan Murray gone to the Brewers (fifth round), it looks like he'll get that opportunity. Mooney is a relatively advanced hitter at the plate that chooses good pitches to hit and sprays line drives around the field, and as he's matured he's started generating more power from his 6'1" frame. His swing is conducive to tapping that power in games, so overall we have a very well-rounded profile in the box. The Detroit-area native is a good athlete that should continue to play shortstop at Duke, and if he can continue to build his game and get a bit more explosive, he has a chance to stick there in pro ball. If not, his steady glove and strong arm should fit well at third base. Mooney has ACC performer written all over him, and because he's very old for the class and already turned 19 before the draft, he'll want to get to it quickly as he'll be eligible again in 2023 after just two years in Durham.

4. SS Cody Schrier, UCLA (JSerra Catholic HS, CA). 2021 rank: #55.
After losing ten players to the draft in 2021, including shortstop and first round pick Matt McLain (Reds), UCLA is going to need some reinforcements in 2022. Lucky for them, they're pulling in a star-studded recruiting class that ranks among the best I've ever seen, and the top player in that group is coincidentally a shortstop to replace McLain. Cody Schrier has been a popular name on the showcase circuit for a while now, displaying premium strength and athleticism combined with a strong track record of performance. He has a chance for plus power from the right side given his whippy swing and the strength in his 6'1" frame, and he's already begun tapping it with a very strong season in the Southern California high school ranks this spring. While he finds that barrel pretty consistently, the UCLA coaching staff will want to work on smoothing him out a bit and getting him a little more consistent in his mechanics, as the swing can get a little long at times. In the field, his strong arm and athleticism should keep him in the infield long term and into pro ball, though he may not always be a shortstop because his actions can get a bit clunky at times. That shortstop position is open in Westwood, but you know he'll have stiff competition for it at one of the top baseball programs in the country. He may bounce around a bit early in his college career and could ultimately settle at second base, third base, or the outfield.

5. OF/RHP Braden Montgomery, Stanford (Madison Central HS, MS). 2021 rank: #71.
Braden Montgomery will travel a long way for college, heading from Madison Central High School in the Jackson, Mississippi suburbs up to Silicon Valley to play for the Cardinal. He was a two-way star back home and has a chance to continue doing that at Stanford, and at this point he's talented enough to go pro as either an outfielder or a pitcher. Most scouts prefer him just a little bit as a hitter, where he shows strong plate discipline and feel for the barrel from both sides of the plate. He's still growing into his 6'2" frame but has been tapping more and more power, and while he's probably average in that regard for now, he could end up above average down the road. That's a great profile that will play well in the Pac-12, with a chance to be a lineup anchor with high on-base percentages and some pop in Palo Alto. If he does tap that power more often in college like he's capable of, he could easily hit his way into the first round. Montgomery also has a strong arm and shows good instincts in the outfield, where he profiles as a plus defender in right. We'll focus on his pitching in the next article highlighting pitchers, but he shows a three pitch mix and repeatable delivery that will get him into the weekend rotation, if not in 2022 then likely by 2023. He is said to have strong makeup and work hard at his craft, adding to his appeal. Stanford is returning the bulk of their College World Series team to campus in 2022, which may make it difficult to find playing time early on, but his ability to do it all will certainly lend itself well to his chances of seeing consistent time in the field sooner rather than later.

6. OF Michael Robertson, Florida (Venice HS, FL). 2021 rank: #77.
The Florida outfield is about to get really interesting, with Jud Fabian unexpectedly returning, Sterlin Thompson entering his first draft-eligible season, and star recruit Michael Robertson pricing himself out of the draft and headed to campus. Robertson himself has a very interesting profile, and with the right development, he could end up a first round pick come 2023, where he'll likely be eligible as a sophomore because he's old for his class. He stands out first and foremost for his plus-plus speed, some of the best in the class and comparable to the #2 man on this list, Will Taylor. While Fabian seemingly has a vice-like grip on center field for 2022, the position will likely belong to Robertson in 2023 and he'll continue to man it in pro ball once he gets there. For now, the Venice, Florida native employs a slappy, ground ball and line drive-heavy approach, which really helps him deploy that speed and keep defenders on their toes. On the surface, it's a similar profile to Enrique Bradfield (now with Vanderbilt) a year ago, but Bradfield will never be a power threat and Robertson just might if he's developed correctly. He grades out deceptively well in his ability to channel his strength, whip the barrel through the zone, and generate more force than you'd think from his skinny 6'1" frame, so if the Gators coaching staff decides to change up his approach to be more power conscious, we could be talking about a five tool player. This is a kid who could come out after two years in Gainesville with a different, even better profile. Even if he keeps his current approach, Robertson could find himself in the leadoff spot sooner rather than later for Florida.

7. OF Jackson Linn, Tulane (Cambridge Rindge & Latin HS, MA). 2021 rank: #82.
Jackson Linn wasn't on every team's radar, but others liked him very, very high in the draft and there were even some rumors linking him to teams in the back of the first round. Ultimately, Linn held a very firm commitment to Tulane (unsurprising given he went to a 373 year old high school across the street from Harvard), and he'll head down to the Crescent City instead and we'll see whether the hype was for real. His bat is unproven against higher level pitching, but the raw ability is extremely impressive. He can absolutely crush a baseball with some of the best exit velocities in the class, whipping his bat through the zone with tremendous force and loft from a strong 6'3" frame. It's the kind of swing and plus-plus raw power that could produce forty home runs in a season, but obviously he'll need to tap it in games for that to happen. Teams aren't sold on that yet, as he did swing and miss a fair amount even against mediocre Boston-area pitching. That's why he's headed to Tulane, where he will get an opportunity to show that his raw power can translate to game power, and at the mid-major program he may have more of an opportunity to work his way into the lineup quicker. There are a lot of teams who are very interested in that transition. Linn also runs fairly well and has a cannon arm that can pump fastballs into the upper 90's in short stints, adding to the physical upside.

8. SS Davis Diaz, Vanderbilt (Acalanes HS, CA). 2021 rank: #83.
Vanderbilt may have lost position player commits Jordan Lawlar (Diamondbacks) and Joshua Baez (Cardinals) early in the draft, but they'll still land one of the crown jewels of another strong recruiting class in Davis Diaz, who will follow the California to Nashville pipeline most recently traversed by CJ Rodriguez and Spencer Jones. Diaz may have a hard time finding playing time immediately as Vanderbilt returns the majority of last year's College World Series lineup, with fellow shortstop Carter Young projecting as the top 2022 draft prospect on the team currently. Even if he does have to wait his turn, the Oakland-area native has the broad skillset that will surely help him make a significant impact on the program once he gets his opportunity. Diaz makes a ton of hard contact from the right side of the plate, and even though he's smaller at a skinny 5'11", his innate ability to fling the barrel through the zone and generate force could help him play up to average power. He's a grinder in the field that lacks the traditional physicality and explosiveness for shortstop, but may be able to stick because of his feel for the position. If not, he could profile at any number of positions including second base, third base, or the outfield, and he even caught some this spring. It's a profile a little reminiscent of Austin Martin if we want to keep it at Vanderbilt, but of course Martin had sublime feel for the barrel that was unmatched by really anyone in his draft class. Diaz has a long way to go before he ends up like Martin, but it's a similar mold.

9. OF Malakhi Knight, UCLA (Marysville-Getchell HS, WA). 2021 rank: #85.
Malakhi Knight will join Cody Schrier and plenty of others on his way down to UCLA, part of an incoming freshman class that has a chance to be very special. He'll bring above average power to Westwood, a product of big strength and leverage in his 6'3" frame. It's a bit of a unique operation in which he starts upright and brings the barrel almost straight down to the ball, but still manages to put loft behind it. He's tapped that power in games against high level pitching, though the swing can get inconsistent at times and he's prone to swinging and missing when he gets tied up or off balance. Knight is also a good runner that can turn in some plus run times, which gives him a chance to stick in center field if he develops well as an outfielder, while his strong arm would make him a very good piece to have in right field. The Seattle-area native could develop in any number of ways once he gets to UCLA, with a very good shot to be one of the Pac-12's best hitters over the next few years or battle inconsistency if the transition does not go well. He'll definitely be a priority follow on the West Coast with a chance to be a real impact player in pro ball as well.

10. OF Chase Mason, Nebraska (Viborg-Hurley HS, SD). 2021 rank: #109.
Chase Mason is a very similar player to Jackson Linn, with the main difference being that Linn attended high school across the street from the Harvard Yard in Cambridge while Mason is from Hurley, South Dakota, a map dot of 415 residents about 25 miles outside Sioux Falls. Like Linn, Mason is an absolute beast, packing a ton of strength into his 6'5" frame that looks more like a linebacker than a baseball player (and he played quarterback at Viborg-Hurley). As you can imagine, he has tremendous raw power that produces batting practice home runs up there with anybody in the class. Whether that will play up in games is anybody's guess, as he didn't face very strong competition out on the South Dakota prairie and still managed to swing and miss more than evaluators would have liked. It's a profile somewhat reminiscent of another power hitter from a tiny Dakota map dot, North Dakotan Travis Hafner, except for one key difference: Mason has consistently plus speed that can even be clocked as plus-plus at times. Imagine Pronk being a basestealing threat. Combine his speed with a cannon arm, and you have a chance for a plus defender to go with that plus-plus raw power. At Nebraska, his hit tool will be very much put to the test, and he has a chance to really explode if he lives up to it. Evaluators were not comfortable enough to sign him away from that commitment, so we'll see if he can make them second guess themselves.

11. SS Michael Braswell, South Carolina (Campbell HS, GA). 2021 rank: #125.
Michael Braswell is a really fun one, someone I expect to play a pretty prominent role at South Carolina over the next few seasons. He does a lot of things well on the field giving off the impression of someone ready to contribute against SEC competition. Braswell makes a lot of contact from the right side, showing a strong approach and the ability to manipulate the barrel to spray line drives all over the field. A twitchy athlete, he gets into great hitting positions and while his power is below average for now, he has a swing that should be able to tap whatever he grows into as he fills out his 6'2" frame. That gives the Atlanta-area product a chance for average power. He shows springy actions at shortstop and could even be ready to replace George Callil right away, or if not, find a role somewhere on the infield. With an extremely steady glove and plenty of arm strength, he not only profiles as a shortstop in Columbia, but in pro ball as well. Expect Braswell to get on base regularly for the Gamecocks while gradually growing into some power, then in pro ball he could hit 10-15 home runs a year with solid on-base percentages. One thing he lacks is speed, even if it doesn't affect his ability at shortstop, so he may not fit that prototypical leadoff role.

12. OF Thomas DiLandri, Texas Christian (Palo Verde HS, NV). 2021 rank: #126.
Thomas DiLandri has plenty of tools and showed flashes of greatness on the summer showcase circuit, at his best performing right up there with the first rounders. However, his inconsistency led teams to be a little more cautious with their bonus offers, and ultimately he'll head to TCU instead to prove his tools. DiLandri is a great athlete with lots of lean strength in his 6'3" frame, showing potential plus power from the right side that he has tapped in games against good pitching. He has performed well against some of the better arms in the class, but his swing can be inconsistent in games and he can lapse into periods of high strikeouts. In the field, the Las Vegas product is an above average runner with a plus arm that may stick in center field or at least be an asset in right field, so he really brings the whole package as a player. If DiLandri can pull it all together and play to his potential, he'll likely be one of the best all-around players in the Big 12 and make the teams that passed over him look like fools. There's always the flip side, though, if he continues to be plagued by inconsistency and ends up a poor man's Jud Fabian. They're excited to have him in Fort Worth, as this is what a baseball player looks like if you draw him up and he could very well be a first round pick in 2024.

Others:
#127 3B Tommy White, North Carolina State (IMG Academy, FL)
#132 SS Eddie Saldivar, Long Beach State (San Joaquin Memorial HS, CA)
UR OF Lorenzo Carrier, Miami (Appoquinimink HS, DE, pulled himself from the draft)
#143 OF Tyree Reed, Oregon State (American Canyon HS, OR)
#150 OF Camden Hayslip, Alabama (Friendship Christian HS, TN)
#152 SS Drake Varnado, Arkansas (IMG Academy, FL)
#153 2B Roc Riggio, Oklahoma State (Thousand Oaks HS, CA)
#160 C Rene Lastres, Florida (Calvary Christian HS, FL)