Showing posts with label Sean Duncan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sean Duncan. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 5, 2026

2026 MLB Draft Review: New York Yankees

Full list of draftees

The Yankees spent $5 million on back to back left handed pitchers to begin their draft, betting on Hunter Dietz' loud stuff and Sean Duncan's immense pitchability to push them into the middle of a future Bronx rotation. From there, New York pivoted to bats, especially those with strong data who can pack a punch in the lineup. The draft is littered with sleeper types who can outhit their draft positions, something they've become accustomed to lately, which will nicely complement the (hopefully) two rotation locks at the top. The million dollar over-slot bonus to Duncan will make or break this class, but if it hits I think they did a really nice job here.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-35: LHP Hunter Dietz, Arkansas
Slot value: $2.83 million. Signing bonus: $2.5 million ($326,700 below slot value).
My rank: #28. MLB Pipeline: #17. ESPN: #15.
Two years after starting off their 2024 draft with seven straight college arms, the Yankees returned to that demographic in 2026 with one of the best in the country. Hunter Dietz had interest throughout the middle to back of the first round, so getting him here at #35 (and at a discount, to boot) is a huge win. Even if I had him ranked slightly lower than other major publications, I'm a fan of this pick and this discount. Hunter Dietz was a notable draft prospect out of Calvary Christian HS in the Tampa area in 2023, where he shared the best high school rotation in the country with fellow national draft prospects Landen Maroudis and Liam Peterson. Maroudis signed above slot in the fourth round with the Blue Jays that year, while Peterson matriculated to Florida and became a Guardians first rounder in 2026. Dietz, meanwhile, found himself at Arkansas where he immediately injured his elbow then struggled to work his way back into a crowded Razorbacks pitching staff. After totaling just 1.2 innings over his first two seasons then walking 12 of the 64 hitters he faced (18.8%) in the Cape Cod League in the summer of 2025, he showed up to fall practice ahead of his junior season a changed pitcher. Suddenly, his fastball was hitting 99, his secondaries seemed to make a jump, and everything was under control. Scouts were intrigued by the progress, then thrilled that he maintained it in the spring where his 131 strikeouts finished seventh in Division I. The 6'6" lefty pitches off a mid 90's fastball with riding action, but he's far from just a power pitcher. He can really rip through a breaking ball, working the full spectrum from hard cutter to tight slider to downer curveball, all of which flash plus at their best. They can pop out of his hand a bit at times and miss up, but when he grips them right, the late finish on the breaking balls misses bats in bunches. The changeup, like the curveball, is a newer addition to his arsenal, but it hasn't made the jump quite yet and will be a project for the Yankees to bring along. Dietz has a pretty clean delivery with an overhand slot creating a high release point, and while he has struggled with command throughout his amateur career, the strike throwing seemed to take a step forward this year as he dropped his walk rate to a respectable 8.6% to go along with an elite 36.2% strikeout rate. The command is probably closer to fringy than average at this point and the Yankees will need to work with him on effectively working in and out and locating all five pitches. If he can continue tighten things up a little further just as he did this past year, a 6'6" lefty with a power fastball, three plus secondaries, and average command seems like the kind that could sit as a strong #2 starter in any rotation.

2-63: LHP Sean Duncan, Terry Fox SS [BC]
Slot value: $1.45 million. Signing bonus: $2.5 million ($1.05 million above slot value).
My rank: #67. MLB Pipeline: #66. ESPN: #54.
Sean Duncan always seemed to draw more early-draft attention from MLB teams than from major publications (he also ranked #67 at Baseball America), so his massive over slot signing bonus at #63 is not a surprise. He'll make the same $2.5 million the Yankees gave first rounder Hunter Dietz, roughly the value of the #40 pick, but it will take a minute to see the investment come to fruition. He injured his elbow late in his senior season and underwent Tommy John surgery in June, meaning Yankees fans will not see him on a minor league mound until late 2027 at the soonest, if not 2028. Teams were so impressed with his performances over the previous calendar year, however, that the injury did nothing to dampen interest. Duncan is more of a pitchability arm than a stuff monster, advanced beyond his years on the mound like one who could pitch in the mid minors today. The fastball has always been a bit light, but took a step forward recently and now sits in the low 90's touching 95 at peak. He adds a big, deep slider which he has started to tighten up into more of a big league out pitch, improving to average for now but looking like a potential above average pitch as he refines it further. The Vancouver-area native makes his money off an excellent changeup, showing great fade away from hitters combined with the conviction to throw it where he wants it, a rare trait for a prep arm. He also moves well on the mound with a loose, easy delivery that helps him fill up the strike zone consistently, showing above average command now that could be come plus in time. The 6'3" lefty has plenty of projection remaining and the Yankees likely see further velocity gains to come, both on his fastball and his breaking ball, with the changeup and command to work deep into games as he gets stronger. The surgery likely wipes out any plans of moving quickly through the system, but once healthy he has the pitching aptitude to compete with older players and eventually become a mid-rotation starter. The former Vanderbilt commit is young for the class and should be back on the mound before he turns 20.

3-99: C Brendan Brock, Oklahoma
Slot value: $792,300. Signing bonus: $789,800 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #112. ESPN: #108.
Brendan Brock will be a really interesting project for the Yankees with more upside than the typical third round college catcher. He stayed close to home for his first couple years of college at Southwestern Illinois JC, where after barely playing as a freshman he demolished Midwest JuCo pitching and set the school's all time home run record over the next two seasons. Transferring to Oklahoma for his redshirt junior season, he immediately took to Division I pitching, where he played a central roll in the Sooners' run to the National Championship by hitting .457/.576/.674 over thirteen tournament games. Brock has a highly unusual profile for a catcher. First and foremost, he is a plus-plus runner who stole 28 bases with an 88% success rate in 2026, combining great instincts with blazing speed. That speed also plays in the outfield, where he could be a plus defender who can close ground like nobody's business, providing a great fallback option if catching doesn't work out. For now, he has looked solid behind the plate and has plenty of arm strength to profile back there, so he has multiple positive options on that side of the ball. At the plate, Brock uses a short, direct right handed swing with a quick follow through to drive balls to the pull side. His above average raw power helps him get ahold of baseballs and pull them over the left field wall and should continue to play with wood. He's a patient hitter that forces pitchers into the zone, but especially against higher level competition pitchers have found success missing his bat over the plate. He has been susceptible to offspeed stuff and pitchers will continue to pound him with it in pro ball, so the Yankees will work hard to tune his eye to improve pitch recognition and bat to ball. If he can improve a little bit in that regard, his power and patience will make him a solid hitter while his speed and arm strength will make him a valuable defender no matter where he ends up in the field.

4-127: OF Paul Gutierrez-Contreras, Cal State Fullerton
Slot value: $603,500. Signing bonus: $497,500 ($106,000 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Mid-major West Coast bats can fly under the radar a bit sometimes and the Yankees think they found strong value with Paul Contreras, one of the best hitters in the Big West this past season. He began his career close to home at Modesto JC in California's Central Valley, then transferred to Cal State Fullerton after one year. He was okay as a sophomore in 2025, then took a big step forward in 2026 to hit .346/.441/.633 with 14 home runs and more walks (33) than strikeouts (31) in 52 games. Built strong at 6'3", 205 pounds, he has become a much more complete hitter with an approach that has improved from aggressive to middle of the road and bat to ball that has improved from solid to above average. The power has always been there and he's now tapping it more, giving him a shot to be an all-around bat that could project for 15-20 home runs and decent on-base percentages at peak. Contreras keeps things simple at the plate with a slightly crouched stance and a strong core to muscle balls out with an accurate barrel. He has never been much of a base stealer but he has looked very good in right field for the Titans, making center field a real possibility in pro ball and significantly boosting his profile should he vie for a starting role in a future New York outfield picture. Should he reach his middle projection as a fourth outfielder, his ability to play all three positions should help him stick around a long time. Contreras' youth (still 20 on draft day, more than a year younger than Brendan Brock) aids his projected development all around.

5-160: C Bear Harrison, Texas A&M
Slot value: $437,200. Signing bonus: $434,700 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: #164.
The younger brother of Brewers lefty Kyle Harrison, Connor "Bear" Harrison (like the two names above him in this Yankees class) began his career close to home at Saint Mary's in California, but quickly transferred to Texas A&M for his sophomore season. He has become a reliable source of power for the Aggies and sent 27 of his 46 hits for extra bases in 2026, a product of the tremendous strength in his 6'3", 230 pound frame. Harrison's hands can be a bit slow to get going in his right handed swing and his bat is more sturdy than whippy through the zone, leading to some questions as to how he will be able to get to his power with wood, though he did hit a respectable .277/.351/.434 with a reasonable 17.5% strikeout rate in 26 games in the Cape Cod League last summer. The Bay Area native takes good at bats and offsets some of those pure bat to ball questions with good swing decisions, and as a catcher the offensive bar is not as high. Behind the plate, he has shown good aptitude to become an average or better defender, with New York mostly looking to iron out a few rough edges with his glovework and throwing. While Harrison may lack a standout tool, he has quite a few solid ones that could lead to his becoming a backup catcher with some thump and solid defense, with the chance for a bit more if his power continues to come along.

6-189: 3B Andrew Gonzalez, Americas HS [TX]
Slot value: $341,800. Signing bonus: $375,000 ($33,200 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: #236.
Getting a prep bat near slot value in the sixth round is a nice find, and the Yankees will sway Andrew Gonzalez away from a Texas Tech commitment for a reasonable $375K. He's a big lefty power bat that has filled out his 6'1" frame nicely, helping him turn on baseballs and muscle them out to all fields with minimal effort. He has long performed well against El Paso high school competition, though he will face a considerable step up in pro ball and may spend some extra time in complex ball. Drafted as a third baseman, he has been up to 91 on the mound with mechanics that could easily be cleaned up to add another few ticks of velocity so the arm strength is certainly there. He'll need to work hard on his footwork to stick at the hot corner and could wind up at first base or an outfield corner, tying up most of his value in his bat. Gonzalez had previously been committed to New Mexico State but switched to Texas Tech late in the process.

8-248: RHP/DH Luke Pettitte, Dallas Baptist
Slot value: $223,100. Signing bonus: $172,500 ($50,600 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Yes, it is that Pettitte. The son of longtime Yankees starter Andy Pettitte, Luke grew up in his father's hometown of Houston and stayed in-state to attend Dallas Baptist. He impressed with a 3.19 ERA and a 56/12 strikeout to walk ratio over 48 combined innings as a freshman and a sophomore, then opened more eyes on the Cape with a 5.55 ERA but a much more impressed 33/4 strikeout to walk ratio over 24.1 innings. Tommy John surgery seemingly wiped out his 2026 season, so he took over as DH instead and slashed .337/.403/.693 with 16 home runs in 42 games. The Yankees saw the arm, saw the bat, and said "why not both?" On the mound, he sits in the low 90's with his fastball and reaches the mid 90's in relief, adding a hard slider that he has good feel for and a solid changeup. While the stuff is more average, he takes after his father with plus command that should help him effectively dice up low minors competition once healthy, though he'll need to add a few extra ticks across the board to find success as a starter in the upper minors and the big leagues. He has had success as a reliever and could see his stuff tick up in that role as well. At the plate, he has a big righty swing geared towards pulling balls in the air, showing off above average exit velocities that could climb to plus power if he focuses more on hitting. He makes good contact, but he chases more often than you'd like to see and walked just 8.7% of the time this past season. That should improve as he gets more reps in the box, with the chance to be an average hitter with plus power at peak. It's unknown where he'd fit in the field, as he has mostly pitched to this point and couldn't play the field in 2026 recovering from surgery. He is not the fleetest of foot and may fit at first base if he goes the bat route. It remains to be seen which direction New York develops him but he has intriguing upside both ways.

10-308: SS Bayram Hot, Louisville
Slot value: $193,000. Signing bonus: $7,500 ($185,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
The Yankees went local to close out the front half of the draft. Bayram Hot grew up in Queens' Sunnyside neighborhood just six miles south of Yankee Stadium and attended Archbishop Molloy High School in nearby Briarwood, then began his college career at Marist. He hit .382 as a freshman then posted more pedestrian numbers as a sophomore in 2024, but still earned an opportunity to transfer to Louisville. There he hit .326 and .330 as a junior and as a senior, respectively, knocking a career high nine home runs in 2026 to boot. Hot has a whippy right handed swing that shoots the ball around the field with tremendous consistency, enabling him to perform just as well against better weekend pitching in conference play (.330/.460/.536) as he did outside of it. A relatively patient hitter, his pure bat to ball is closer to average and led to higher strikeout rates, but again, he managed to keep roughly the same strikeout rate in conference play versus outside of it so he has never been afraid of quality pitching. Hot has below average power but began to elevate the ball better in 2026, lending hope he can tap enough in pro ball to keep pitchers honest. Drafted as a shortstop, he spent the 2026 season at third base in deference to Alex Alicea and it remains to be seen where he ends up on the infield. Hot has a strong 6'2" frame and has a chance to sneak up through the Yankees' minor league rungs with his high baseball IQ and knack for line drives.

18-548: OF Blake Cyr, Florida
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. ESPN: unranked.
Blake Cyr is as well-known to Florida scouts as anybody at this point. A talented prep coming out of his Orlando-area high school, he started his career at Miami and lit the world on fire hitting .305/.427/.620 with 17 home runs as a true freshman in 2023, garnering consensus Freshman All-American honors. He missed time with injury in 2024, then transferred to Florida for his junior season in 2025. After posting more pedestrian numbers and going undrafted that year, he returned in 2026 and bounced back to nearly match his freshman performance with 14 home runs and a .316/.398/.591 line. Cyr has a violent right handed swing that produces above average power that has tormented hitters when he's been hot. He's an aggressive hitter who rarely walks, but his solid bat to ball also helps keep the strikeouts down. He's a streaky hitter who has typically performed better against softer non-conference competition, but he has the power and bat to ball combination to make for great building blocks. Cyr was originally recruited as a shortstop and has seen time at second base in college, which would boost his defensive profile if he can make it work in pro ball. Cyr probably projects as a fringy corner outfielder, a tough profile as a right handed hitter, but a bat-first second second baseman has a few more paths to playing time and he could be a sleeper to work his way up to become a potent bench bat.