Showing posts with label Ryan Lasko. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ryan Lasko. Show all posts

Friday, September 15, 2023

2023 MLB Draft Review: Oakland Athletics

Full list of draftees

To be honest, given the A's draft capital versus what they brought in, this is one of my least favorite draft classes of the season. I personally think the A's didn't bring in nearly as much upside as they could have while picking near the beginning of each round and holding an extra CBA pick to boot, but of course, time will tell. The team was also put in a tough position when despite having the second worst record in baseball, they fell victim to the draft lottery and slid back to the sixth pick in a draft class that wound up having a clear top five prospects. Overall, it turned into a pitching heavy class after the A's spent their first three picks on position players, with the bulk of their overslot money going to two high school pitchers in rounds three and four.
Full index of team reviews here. Full rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. "2-50" would indicate that a player was drafted in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-6: SS Jacob Wilson, Grand Canyon {video}
Slot value: $6.63 million. Signing bonus: $5.5 million ($1.13 million below slot value).
My rank: #28. MLB Pipeline: #10. Baseball America: #9. Prospects Live: #13.
The A's started off their draft by getting Jacob Wilson at a massive discount, paying him closer to the slot value for the #10 pick here at #6 and saving over a million dollars in the process. Wilson has an extreme profile, to say the least. The son of former Pirates shortstop Jack Wilson, Jacob has gotten better and better each year at Grand Canyon and slashed .411/.461/.635 with six home runs and a 5/19 strikeout to walk ratio over 49 games in 2023. His profile is carried by the best pure bat to ball skills in the entire class, perhaps the best since Nick Madrigal back in 2018. The man has struck out just twelve times over the past two seasons combined, a span of 108 games, with seven in 2022 and five in 2023. Wilson is actually a pretty aggressive hitter that chases more than most other hitters, but it doesn't matter because his 80 grade pure bat to ball skills help him make absurdly consistent contact both inside and outside the zone. He simply does not swing and miss, period. Because he never whiffs and also likes to chase outside the zone, he also doesn't walk much, and 88% of his plate appearances ended with a ball in play (including home runs). For comparison, just 49% of current Athletic Ryan Noda's plate appearances have ended as such this year. Wilson has a jittery setup at the plate, wagging back and forth and constantly in motion, then slashes at the ball with a quick, precisely accurate right handed swing. He's built like a string bean at 6'3", 190 pounds, and because of his hit over power approach, there's not a ton of impact in the bat yet. His exit velocities are well below average and at this point he projects for no more than a dozen or so home runs per season at best, so he'll need to fill out his frame considerably if he wants to change that. Right now, he projects as a high average type that provides most of his value through just that, with Luis Arraez obviously the first name that pops into mind. Defensively, he has received mixed reviews at shortstop and could stick there with some refinement despite just average speed. He's light on his feet but does take quick, short steps that could profile better for him at second or third base. He has the arm strength to make third base work. The bat profiles better at shortstop due to the potential lack of impact, but he should be able to play every day regardless of where he ends up defensively. So far, his numbers are right in line with expectations as he's slashing .333/.391/.475 with one home run and an 11/6 strikeout to walk ratio over 26 games between the Arizona Complex League and High A Lansing.

CBA-39: 3B Myles Naylor, St. Joan of Arc HS [ON] {video}
Slot value: $2.2 million. Signing bonus: $2.2 million.
My rank: #85. MLB Pipeline: #64. Baseball America: #66. Prospects Live: #97.
In being drafted 39th overall, Myles Naylor became the third highest drafted member of his family. His oldest brother, Josh, was drafted twelfth overall out of St. Joan of Arc Secondary School in 2015, while his middle brother, Bo, went 29th overall in 2018. Myles will join them out of the same high school here in 2023, and next he'll look to join them in the majors. He's primarily a power bat, with a whippy right handed swing that produces above average power especially to the pull side. His approach is pull oriented at this point as well, which can cause him problems with soft stuff, so finding more balance at the plate will certainly be on the docket for Oakland's player development. He's a pretty patient hitter and he's young, so it should be doable, and that power and athleticism in the box give a lot to dream on. The Toronto-area product is also a solid defender that should be able to stick at third base with a strong arm and the athleticism that I mentioned. There's nice upside here as a potential 20-30 home run bat with solid on-base percentages and good defense, something like a Josh Donaldson type of player with perhaps a tick less glove. He has held his own after being pushed aggressively to start his pro career, especially in the power department, slashing .214/.288/.381 with six home runs and a 55/12 strikeout to walk ratio over 34 games between the Arizona Complex League and Low A Stockton.

2-41: OF Ryan Lasko, Rutgers {video}
Slot value: $2.09 million. Signing bonus: $1.7 million ($394,900 below slot value).
My rank: #73. MLB Pipeline: #89. Baseball America: #75. Prospects Live: #78.
Ryan Lasko is a really interesting one for Oakland. He has been one of the best all-around players in the Big Ten over the past two seasons, where he has combined to slash .340/.430/.614 with 27 home runs, 31 stolen bases, and a 77/67 strikeout to walk ratio over 114 games. Lasko does a lot of things well. He takes pretty professional at bats and in 2023 walked more than he struck out for the first time in his college career, while he's not huge at 6', 190 pounds, his longer arms and legs give him average game power which plays well to the pull side. His pitch recognition is strong enough that he can turn on the ball with authority despite fringy raw exit velocities, though I'm not sure how well the power will play to the opposite field in pro ball with wood bats. Overall, it's not the flashiest offensive profile, but there aren't really any holes, either. He's an above average runner with excellent instincts that help him stretch for extra bases and steal bags, aiding to that all around offensive profile. The New Jersey native plays a mean center field, where his speed and instincts translate to plus defense that will keep him up the middle long term. That's important because it takes some pressure off his bat and will enable him to profile well as a bottom third of the order hitter while still playing every day. If the impact doesn't come around in pro ball, his defense will also buy him a place as a fourth outfielder who can play all three outfield positions. Lasko is a slow starter at times and may take some time to adjust to each level, but he'll come around. He's also young, having only turned 21 shortly before the draft. He didn't hit much in his pro debut, slashing .154/.233/.231 with a 5/3 strikeout to walk ratio over ten games in the Arizona Complex League but like I said, he's usually a slow starter.

3-72: RHP Steven Echavarria, Millburn HS [NJ] {video}
Slot value: $1.01 million. Signing bonus: $3 million ($1.99 million above slot value).
My rank: #71. MLB Pipeline: #60. Baseball America: #73. Prospects Live: #67.
The A's saved about a million and a half dollars against their bonus pool with those first and third picks, so they deployed all of it and more into third rounder Steven Echavarria, who signed for just over the slot value of the #27 pick here at #72. Echavarria will be an interesting one for the A's to develop with one of the most well-rounded profiles of any high school pitcher in this class. A velocity bump means that he was sitting in the low to mid 90's in 2023, touching 98 at best with running and sinking life. His above average slider is his best secondary, while his solid average curveball and changeup give him a full arsenal to mix and match against pro hitters. Everything plays up because he has excellent command not just with the fastball but with the secondary stuff too, which is a huge separator for a high school pitcher. The 6'1" righty has a loose, elastic delivery with strong, repeatable mechanics that help him maintain that stuff and command deep into his starts. He's skinny and doesn't have a ton of projection remaining, but he's already up to 98 and looks like he'll settle in as a mid-rotation starter. The North Jersey native didn't turn 18 until after the draft, making him extremely young for the class, and he's about as polished as they come for a high school arm. 

4-103: RHP Cole Miller, Newbury Park HS [CA] {video}
Slot value: $653,300. Signing bonus: $1 million ($346,700 above slot value).
My rank: #83. MLB Pipeline: #121. Baseball America: #107. Prospects Live: #83.
This is the first pick the A's made in this draft that I can say I actively like. Cole Miller went well above slot value in the fourth round to sign for early third round money, almost exactly slot value for Steven Echavarria's position one round ahead of him and will bypass a UCLA commitment in the process. Miller was a bit of a late riser in this class who seems to be coming into his own, and I believe he'll continue to trend in the right direction for a long time. The fastball has ticked up and now sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at best, playing up because he gets great extension down the mound to give it flatter plane. His slider is now flashing above average and his changeup is coming along nicely as well, giving him a very solid three pitch mix. I really like the way he moves on the mound with a smooth, athletic delivery that promises to help him continue to add velocity as he gets stronger. For now, it's more athletic and efficient than it is explosive, so the A's will hope to find a little more quick twitch in him and bring it out. His command is generally pretty solid, though he can cast the ball and will have to tighten that up. At 6'6", 225 pounds, he's a big kid with room to mature his frame. So long as his command holds together, there's a nice floor here as a back-end starter with a ton of upside if he can find a way to get more explosive on the mound and add a couple more ticks of velocity.

5-139: RHP Nathan Dettmer, Texas A&M {video}
Slot value: $459,800. Signing bonus: $425,000 ($34,800 below slot value).
My rank: #169. MLB Pipeline: #198. Baseball America: #81. Prospects Live: #171.
Nathan Dettmer's stock has been on a bit of a rollercoaster, so the A's are buying into his highs. He showed a ton of promise as an underclassman, then after a strong fall last year, was many scouts' pick to click in 2023. Dettmer had worked his way into top two round discussions at that point, but unfortunately he struggled in 2023 with a 6.32 ERA and a 65/42 strikeout to walk ratio over 72.2 innings. His strikeout rate dipped from 20.1% as a sophomore to 19.2% as a junior while his walk rate more than doubled from 6.1% to 12.4%. as his command backed up. He sits in low to mid 90's and touched 99 in the fall with hard running and sinking action to keep it off barrels, though it flattened out in 2023 and his velocity was inconsistent. The San Antonio native flashes a plus slider which functions as his best pitch, and it did still look good in 2023. The changeup had been coming along nicely but stalled a little in 2023, so it's fringy but has shown above average potential. He's working in a curveball as well to give a softer look. Dettmer pounded the strike zone as an underclassman, albeit with better control than command, but struggled to find the zone consistently in 2023 as he often spiked his slider and had trouble locating his fastball. The 6'4" righty has a very strong, sturdy frame which should lend itself well to starting, and he did do a good job of maintaining his stuff through starts in 2023. Even so, if he can't rediscover his previously loud stuff and find a way to get ahead in counts, he may have to fall back to the bullpen and let his fastball/slider combination overpower hitters. To this point, he has struggled to miss bats even when he has his best stuff, adding to the reliever risk. It will be interesting to see if the A's can finally help Dettmer put it all together and become the turbo sinker/slider power arm that he has shown flashes of. He threw three innings in his first taste of pro ball, allowing no runs while striking out three and walking one in the Arizona Complex League.

6-166: OF Jonah Cox, Oral Roberts {video}
Slot value: $354,500. Signing bonus: $300,000 ($54,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #161. Baseball America: #403. Prospects Live: #117.
Jonah Cox gives the A's a fun do-it-all type. He's been all over the middle of the country, having grown up in the Denver area before playing at three different schools in three years – Butler JC (Kansas) as a freshman, Eastern Oklahoma State as a sophomore, and Oral Roberts as a junior. 2023 may have been his first season at the Division I level, but you would never tell by watching him play. Cox slashed .412/.470/.646 with eleven home runs, 28 stolen bases, and a 53/30 strikeout to walk ratio over 66 games, highlighted by a 47 game hitting streak that marked the third longest in Division I history. If he had one more hit as a freshman, he would have hit over .400 in all three college seasons. Cox uses a simple, easy right handed swing to spray the ball around the field with extreme consistency, perfectly willing to go the other way or poke one through the hole. At 6'3", 200 pounds, he's strong enough to turn on the ball for some power to the pull side, keeping pitchers honest and helping him project for potential double digit home run totals at the big league level. Cox can get aggressive at the plate, especially against advanced pitching, so that will be something to watch as he has made the jump from JUCO to a small Division I conference to pro ball in consecutive seasons. A plus runner, he stole 120 bases in 175 career games over three seasons, with his instincts and baseball IQ providing an additional boon. He's just now learning the outfield after spending most of his career at shortstop and needs more refinement there, but there's no reason to think he won't put it together and become a solid center fielder. Overall, it's a fourth outfielder projection with many different ways to impact the game. So far, he's slashing .287/.366/.403 with a pair of home runs, 20 stolen bases, and a 41/9 strikeout to walk ratio over 35 games between the Arizona Complex League and Low A Stockton.

11-316: RHP Drew Conover, Rutgers {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #220. Baseball America: #329. Prospects Live: #247.
The A's picked up their second Rutgers Scarlet Knight here and get an interesting arm in the process. He spent the first two years of his college career as a hard throwing reliever at Seton Hall, then parlayed a strong summer in the Cape Cod League (1.35 ERA, 20/6 K/BB in 20 IP) into a transfer opportunity to Rutgers. Transitioning to the rotation, he pitched to mixed results with a 4.50 ERA and an 83/45 strikeout to walk ratio over 68 innings. Conover provides a tough look for hitters. His fastball sits in the low 90's as a starter but touches 97 out of the bullpen, coming in with hard running and sinking action from a lower slot. He drops in an above average slider that looks plus when he locates it, with hard sweep that makes it a true bat misser. The West Jersey native can work in a cutter that splits the difference between his running fastball and sweeping slider, which together creates a nice spectrum to work against hitters. Conover is long and lean at 6'5", 185 pounds and utilizes a very loose delivery and a low arm slot that can be difficult to repeat at times. His 14.8% walk rate in 2023 was far too high if he wants to cut it as a starter, and without a reliable changeup, he has multiple factors working against his future in the rotation. He's probably a reliever, where he can let the fastball/slider combination eat and work the cutter in to keep hitters off balance. I do think that he could be very effective in that role. He faced four batters in the Arizona Complex League, striking out two and walking two.

15-436: OF Will Simpson, Washington {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #349. Prospects Live: unranked.
In Will Simpson, the A's get one of the more accomplished hitters in the Pac-12. After a pair of big seasons as a sophomore in 2021 and as a junior in 2022, he rode out on a huge 2023 in which he slashed .335/.418/.643 with 18 home runs and a 59/29 strikeout to walk ratio over 52 games. He's a big guy at 6'4", 225 pounds, using his size, strength, and loose right handed swing to tap above average power in games. Meanwhile, he's an aggressive hitter with below average bat to ball ability, which could put a strain on his ability to tap power in games in pro ball. Simpson will need to shore up his approach to ensure his bat plays, and he'll have to do it quickly as a below average defender limited to first base. If the Seattle-area native can learn to better control the strike zone against high quality pitching, his power could make him a platoon or bench bat in at the major league level. Though he's a senior sign, he's young for his class and didn't turn 22 until a month and a half after the draft. He's on the right track so far, slashing .319/.367/.543 with six home runs and a 34/11 strikeout to walk ratio over 36 games between the Arizona Complex League and Low A Stockton.

17-496: 2B Colby Halter, Florida {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $125,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #452. Prospects Live: #403.
Colby Halter has been known to area scouts around Florida for a long time. He was a nationally known prospect out of Bishop Kenny High School in Jacksonville, alma mater of star relievers Jonathan Papelbon and Darren O'Day, but made it to campus at Florida. Jumping straight into the starting lineup as a true freshman, he hit .302/.379/.453 as a teenager but unfortunately that would be far and away his best season. He was eligible as a sophomore in 2022 but slashed just .240/.338/.380, then came back in 2023 to slash .247/.354/.397 with three home runs and a 34/25 strikeout to walk ratio over 59 games. While the shine is gone from his prospect profile, he still stands out as an extremely professional hitter that has risen to the occasion everywhere he's gone. After showing well on the high school showcase circuit and hitting over .300 as a true freshman at Florida, he also snuck in a very strong Cape Cod League performance (.288/.387/.471, 7 HR) last summer and has never looked overmatched at the plate. He makes a lot of contact from the left side, albeit with below average power that has stalled in college. He's got some range on the infield as well, though he's not an explosive defender and will likely be a second baseman going forward. Overall, it's hard to see enough upside for him to carve out a long term role in the big leagues, but it's hard to bet against Halter's advanced bat and feel for the game. He hit very well in the Arizona Complex League but slumped upon an aggressive promotion to High A Lansing, overall slashing .272/.366/.351 with a 36/16 strikeout to walk ratio through 34 games.

Saturday, November 19, 2022

2023 MLB Draft: an early look at the Big Ten

2022 draftees: 27. Top school: Iowa/Ohio State (4)
2022 preseason writeup (published 9/24/2021)

Top 2022 draftees:
2-53, Padres: RHP Adam Mazur (Iowa)
CBB-69, A's: OF Clark Elliott (Michigan)
4-132, Brewers: C Matt Wood (Penn State)
5-154, A's: RHP Jack Perkins (Indiana)
6-188, Blue Jays: RHP TJ Brock (Ohio State)
7-218, Blue Jays: 1B Peyton Williams (Iowa)
8-227, Orioles: RHP Cameron Weston (Michigan)

The Power Five is a football term, with the Big East in basketball showing they might have a Power Six over there and the Big Ten in baseball showing us it may be more of a Power Four over here. In baseball, they haven't had a top fifty pick since Minnesota's Max Meyer and Ohio State's Dillon Dingler went third and 38th overall, respectively, in 2020. Last season, no school had more than four players drafted, whereas every team in the SEC except Texas A&M (3) reached that total. However, things are looking up for baseball in the B1G. At least a half dozen players are within striking distance of the top two rounds right now, whereas only one went in that range last year, and a couple could even go in the first round. Meanwhile, the conference is a few years away from welcoming UCLA and USC, the former of which is one of the premier programs in all of college baseball. And with conference realignment raging out of control as it is, more could follow. It's looking like it could be a big year for Maryland, who leads the conference with three names on the top ten list below (including the top prospect in the conference) and has begun to turn into one of the premier programs in the Big Ten. 

1. SS Matt Shaw, Maryland.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 5'11", 185 lbs. Born 11/6/2001. Hometown: Brimfield, MA.
2022: 22 HR, .290/.381/.604, 12 SB, 46/34 K/BB in 60 games.
Matt Shaw has done nothing but hit since arriving in College Park. He slashed .332/.408/.543 as a freshman then more than tripled his home run output to 22 as a sophomore, good for second in the conference behind only his teammate Chris Alleyne's 24. After that, he further boosted his stock in the Cape Cod League, where he slashed .348/.434/.571 with six home runs in 44 games, planting himself firmly in first round consideration. Shaw lacks a carrying tool, but he can impact the game in a wide variety of ways. Hitting from a closed off stance much like Giancarlo Stanton (except that he's seven inches shorter), he's very good at getting his arms extended and using the whole field, showing above average power to all fields. He takes good at bats and has run just a 16.2% strikeout rate during his career at Maryland, then despite an elevated 22.2% rate on the Cape, he was able to work around that and do plenty of damage against the best arms in the country. An above average runner as well, he's aggressive on the basepaths and uses his speed well, which should also give him a shot to stick at shortstop going forward so long as he doesn't slow down with age. Standing just 5'11", he's not going to wow you with long home runs, highlight reel plays, or .400+ on-base percentages, but he'll get the job done on both sides of the ball, using the whole field as a hitter and showing some versatility with the glove. At peak, he could hit 15-20 home runs a year with solid on-base percentages while potentially holding down an everyday shortstop role, making for a Dansby Swanson-like profile if the glove holds up.

2. SS Mitch Jebb, Michigan State.
Bat: L. Throw: R. 6'1", 185 lbs. Born 5/13/2002. Hometown: Saginaw, MI.
2022: 6 HR, .356/.448/.511, 20 SB, 16/38 K/BB in 54 games.
Now this, this is a fun profile. After not making much impact as a freshman, he broke out with a huge 2022 in which he had more stolen bases (20) than strikeouts (16), certainly not something we see often these days. He followed that up with a fantastic run through the Cape Cod League, matching Matt Shaw almost step for step by slashing .337/.411/.459 with another 27 stolen bases in 44 games, though his 30 strikeouts were just above that. Prospects Live hit the nail on the head when they described Jebb as a "Japanese-style slap hitter," because the resemblance between Jebb's game and his East Asian counterparts is uncanny. The central Michigan native is a very slim guy at 6'1", working from a crouched setup in which he slowly rocks back and then forwards before flinging the barrel at the ball with an exaggerated finish. The result is exceptional bat control that led to his elite 6.1% strikeout rate at Michigan State last year, followed by a still very solid 15.2% on the Cape. He finds holes, hits good pitching, and sprays the ball around the field with the best of them, then uses his plus speed to make the most of his balls in play. He will never be a home run threat, though he can swipe one out to the pull side if you're not careful, again due to his elite ability to find the barrel. Defensively, he may be a bit stretched at shortstop, but he could fit well at second base and has a high floor as a utility infielder that gets on base. Jebb is also on the younger side for the class, only turning 21 two months before the draft, giving him a little extra time to fill out and possibly find more of a power stroke.

3. OF Ryan Lasko, Rutgers.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6', 190 lbs. Born 6/24/2002. Hometown: Jackson, NJ.
2022: 16 HR, .349/.431/.643, 13 SB, 43/30 K/BB in 58 games.
Rutgers' 44 wins last year established a new program record, and a large amount of their success was owed to first team all-Big Ten outfielder Ryan Lasko. He has his strengths and weaknesses, but overall he does a lot well. His whippy right handed swing and strong six foot frame give him above average power that he can spread out to all fields, and he handled Big Ten pitching extremely well with just a 14.2% strikeout rate to go along with his loud slash line. While he crushes average pitching, there are questions as to his ability to continue to perform with wood bats and against better competition, as he slashed just .257/.329/.316 on the Cape and struck out 23.7% of the time as the jump in competition forced him out of his approach a little bit. Proponents will point to his age, as he's young for his class and won't turn 21 until shortly before the draft, and also the fact that he did start swinging the bat better late in the Cape season, including a .348/.348/.522 run through the playoffs. Lasko is not just a bat, though. The central Jersey native is also an above average defender in center field, where he should stick in the long run and take some pressure off his right handed bat. He's a strong athlete overall that could make a great fourth outfielder, and if the bat adjusts to better competition like it looks like it's capable of, he could be a starting center fielder that hits 15-20 home runs per season with decent on-base percentages and good defense.

4. RHP Ty Langenberg, Iowa.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6'2", 190 lbs. Born 12/8/2001. Hometown: Urbandale, IA.
2022: 7-2, 3.71 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 74/23 K/BB in 63 innings.
Ty Langenberg was a seldom-used reliever as a freshman in 2021, then took a step forward to become Iowa's Sunday starter in 2022 with solid results. After a strong run through the Cape Cod League (4.13 ERA, 36/6 K/BB in 24 IP), he looks poised to take another step forward of equal magnitude. The top pitching prospect in the conference, Langenberg sits in the low 90's with his fastball and can comfortably run it up to around 95, getting some life on the pitch that hasn't quite found its identity yet. His slider doesn't always have consistent shape, sometimes showing downer action but playing better as a sweeper and flashing above average in the latter shape. Lastly, he rounds his arsenal out with a plus changeup that misses a ton of bats, giving him the best three pitch arsenal in the Big Ten. Iowa is one of the more data-driven programs in the country, so he's in the right place for it all to come together for his junior season. Beyond the stuff, the 6'2" righty shows an athletic, repeatable delivery that helps him control the strike zone, running a solid 8.2% walk rate at Iowa last year before dropping to 5.9% on the Cape. In 2023, he'll look to miss more bats with his fastball and establish himself as a true mid-rotation option, as his great run through the Cape came as a reliever that averaged fewer than two innings per appearance.

5. C Luke Shliger, Maryland.
Bat: L. Throw: R. 5'9", 180 lbs. Born 9/25/2001. Hometown: Danbury, CT.
2022: 12 HR, .353/.495/.602, 14 SB, 42/54 K/BB in 62 games.
Matt Shaw isn't the only sub-six footer in Maryland's lineup projected to go in the first couple of rounds. Luke Shliger was a light hitting backup in his freshman year in 2021, but busted out for a huge sophomore season in which he led the Big Ten in on-base percentage and his 1.097 OPS comfortably topped Shaw's .985. Though his power didn't really show up, he kept getting on base at an elite clip on the Cape, where he slashed .266/.404/.291 in 28 games. If there is a bat in the conference that is advanced enough to make the jump to pro ball, it's his. The western Connecticut native rarely chases, taking extremely professional at bats that led to walk rates above 16% both at Maryland and on the Cape, the latter of which you rarely see. He recognizes offspeed stuff and is unfazed by velocity, which also helps him get his barrel to the ball with great consistency. Combine that pitch selection and barrel accuracy with a natural uppercut that maximizes his power, and he can really ambush you. The problem comes when you account for his lack of actual raw power, as he stands just 5'9" with an average build. While the ambush power works great with metal bats, it didn't show up on the Cape with wood and there are questions over how much will come in pro ball. He's limited at that size, but if he can get on a pro conditioning program and bulk up a little, his swing and approach are geared to get the most out of it. Defensively, Shliger is a good athlete with the agility to stick behind the plate, though the finer aspects of his game do need some work and he'll need to prove he is physical enough to handle a full season back there. It's probably a backup catcher/utility man profile that can play some corner outfield and get on base, with a chance for more if he bulks up in the right program and unlocks more offensive impact.

6. 3B Max Anderson, Nebraska.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6', 195 lbs. Born 2/28/2002. Hometown: Omaha, NE.
2022: 10 HR, .299/.349/.513, 6 SB, 26/14 K/BB in 53 games.
With glasses and an average build, Max Anderson doesn't look like a top prospect. However, between a .314/.366/.507 career line at Nebraska and a long track record of success in the Cape Cod League, it's hard to knock the performance. He played on the Cape in both 2021 and 2022 and combined to slash .297/.356/.405 in 78 games, showing no issues with the jump in competition from the Big Ten either after his freshman or sophomore campaigns. Anderson is an aggressive hitter that would rather chase a borderline pitch than get caught looking at a quality strike, leading to a 6.8% career walk rate at Nebraska, but his strong bat to ball skills really limit the swing and miss so he still rarely strikes out with an 11.7% career rate. It evens out to an average hit tool that could become above average if he gets a little more selective, and he's already moving in that direction having bumped his walk rate from 6.0% his first year on the Cape to 10.7% this past summer. The Omaha native also shows average power stemming from his ability to find the barrel consistently, making for a very well-rounded offensive profile with an accurate and potent barrel. He's going to want that bat to play up, because he's an average athlete that will have to work hard to stay at third base without the explosive range or arm strength you get from many converted shortstops that end up there. If he's forced over to first base or a corner outfield spot, the power will really have to come around (and he'll have to find a way to cut down on the chases against higher quality offspeed stuff) if he wants to play every day. Otherwise, it's a bench/platoon bat profile.

7. LHP Jason Savacool, Maryland.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6'1", 210 lbs. Born 5/21/2002. Hometown: Baldwinsville, NY.
2022: 8-3, 2.93 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 123/28 K/BB in 107.2 innings.
One of the top prospects to reach campus from the 2020 high school class, Jason Savacool jumped straight into the Maryland weekend rotation as a freshman then took a step forward in 2022, even if his stuff remains largely the same as high school. He actually led the Big Ten in strikeouts by a wide margin this past season and also finished atop the conference in innings pitched, giving the Terrapins an absolute horse at the top of their rotation heading into 2023. Savacool does not have much of a fastball, sitting around 90 and topping out around 92 most days with average movement, and it likely won't miss many bats at the next level. He adds an above average slider that acts as his best pitch, also changing pace with a distinct curveball and a solid changeup. He's successful, though, because of his pitchability. The 6'1" righty goes right after hitters with above average command, hiding the ball very well behind his big frame and mixing his pitches effectively to keep hitters off balance. That helped his stuff play up to a 28.5% strikeout rate last year, but to this point it's hard to see him finding much success beyond a #5 starter role in pro ball unless he sees an uptick in velocity. However, if he can get into the low 90's more consistently and perhaps touch 94-95 at peak, suddenly it becomes a mid-rotation starter outlook that can stick in a big league rotation for a long time, even if he doesn't have standout life on his stuff. To top it off, he is younger for the class with a May birthday and has that much more time to find that velocity bump.

8. RHP George Klassen, Minnesota.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6'2", 170 lbs. Born 1/26/2002. Hometown: Port Washington, WI.
2022: 0-2, 14.09 ERA, 2.61 WHIP, 8/14 K/BB in 7.2 innings.
Now this is a profile you don't see every day, as George Klassen exists on the opposite end of the spectrum from Jason Savacool. He missed his freshman season with Tommy John surgery, then stumbled to 7.2 extremely ineffective innings in 2022 as he walked or hit 42% of the hitters he faced. You read that correctly – that's fourteen walks and seven hit batsmen in 7.2 innings. He did go to the Northwoods League this summer and showed better with a 5.16 ERA and a 43/16 strikeout to walk ratio over 29.2 innings (good for a much better 12.4% walk rate), but the track record remains sparse. As you may have guessed, though, the stuff is off the charts. Klassen sits in the upper 90's with his fastball and has run it as high as 102, coming in with explosive life that puts it up there with fellow Golden Gopher righty Max Meyer for the best heater the conference has ever seen, at least if you ignore command. Klassen also adds a hard slider that can really fool hitters cheating on the heat, making for a deadly two pitch mix if he can stay ahead in the count. To this point, though, that hasn't been the case. The 6'2" righty has a very long arm path with a violent head whack that makes it extremely difficult to repeat his release point, giving him bottom of the scale command on his worst days and still well below average on his best. As he gets further from that surgery, he'll hope to smooth out the delivery a little bit and it looks like he has begun to, but it's a pure relief look unless something drastic changes. If he can get to even 40 grade command, though, that fastball/slider combination could become diabolical out of the bullpen and he could be on his way to a high leverage relief role. I'm not confident he can make that happen, but the stuff is so loud that once the third round or so rolls around, it might be time to start thinking about rolling the dice.

9. OF Keaton Anthony, Iowa.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6'4", 210 lbs. Born 6/24/2001. Hometown: Hoschton, GA.
2022: 14 HR, .361/.455/.678, 0 SB, 40/28 K/BB in 53 games.
Keaton Anthony got just one at bat as a freshman, but earned an every day role as a sophomore and put up a huge breakout season that earned him day two draft interest as an eligible sophomore. Instead he'll return to Iowa City to build off that big season, because with a right-right corner outfield profile, the offensive bar is high. Anthony has an advanced bat, using the whole field effectively with above average power that plays to all fields, helping him put up 36 extra base hits in 53 games last season. Easily the biggest man on this list at 6'4", 210 pounds, he's physically developed and that power comes very naturally. He also makes plenty of contact at the plate, running solid strikeout (16.4%) and walk (11.5%) rates with the ability to do damage all over the zone. If he handles the step up in competition from the Big Ten to pro ball, he has a chance at 55 hit, 55 power, but that's obviously a big if. Anthony's defensive profile doesn't do him any favors, as he is a below average runner and lacks the big arm you often see from this kind of profile. A right fielder for now, he'll probably move to left field in pro ball and may end up at first base. He's also older for the class having been eligible last year, exactly one year to the day older than the #3 man on this list, Ryan Lasko. Still, it might be the most complete bat in the conference outside of Matt Shaw, with a chance at 20+ home runs and solid on-base percentages at his ceiling and a more median outcome of a platoon bat well within reach.

10. SS Brice Matthews, Nebraska.
Bat: R. Throw: R. 6', 175 lbs. Born 3/16/2002. Hometown: Humble, TX.
2022: 7 HR, .261/.379/.446, 12 SB, 56/25 K/BB in 45 games.
Brice Matthews is one of those multi-sport athletes that you are just waiting to see put it together. He has posted solid numbers so far at Nebraska (.266/.380/.453 over two years) but is yet to break out, though he did take a step forward against solid competition in the Northwoods League over the summer (.278/.452/.487) with improved strikeout and walk rates. Matthews is sort of the opposite of his teammate, Max Anderson, at the plate, with a very patient approach that helps him rack up the walks but can also get him behind in the count if he's not careful. He's still working on that pure bat to ball ability and when he falls into those 2-2, 3-2 counts in pro ball, he may have a hard time finishing them off. He does have good feel for the barrel and usually hits it hard when he hits it, so finding the right balance in his approach should eventually help him take off into an impact hitter. As he gets a little stronger, he could have above average power in time to go with all those walks. Unlike Keaton Anthony, Matthews' glove boosts his profile. He's an above average runner with enough range and arm strength to stick at shortstop so long as he cleans up some of the finer aspects of his game and doesn't slow down with age. If a better defender pushes him to the hot corner, he'll still provide plenty of value with his glove. It's a very solid all-around profile from a good athlete looking for a breakout year, and if it comes, he could go in the top couple of rounds. For now, he fits more in the middle of day two.