Showing posts with label Michael Massey. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Michael Massey. Show all posts

Monday, September 16, 2024

2024 MLB Draft Review: Detroit Tigers

Full list of draftees

As has become a trend for them, the Tigers went heavy on preps in 2024, drafting high schoolers with their first three picks and then taking a five in the later rounds. They didn't sign all of those later gambles, with the biggest "one that got away" being Kansas City righty Anson Seibert on his way to a Tennessee commitment, but did pick up a few. It's a pitching-heavy class beyond first rounder Bryce Rainer, though they paused briefly to grab a trio of college bats in the middle of day two with some really interesting data profiles.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. "2-50" would indicate that a player was drafted in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-11: SS Bryce Rainer, Harvard-Westlake HS [CA] {video}
Slot value: $5.71 million. Signing bonus: $5.8 million ($87,900 above slot value).
My rank: #9. MLB Pipeline: #10. Baseball America: #10.
The Tigers grabbed a top-two high school bat for the second straight season, following Max Clark in 2023 with Bryce Rainer in 2024. Rainer hails from the same Harvard-Westlake School in the LA Hills that famously produced Jack Flaherty, Lucas Giolito, Max Fried, and now Pete Crow-Armstrong, and he has a chance to be the best of all of them. He was a two-way player for the Wolverines who could have been a day one draft pick as a pitcher, running his fastball up to 96 with the makings of a solid breaking ball and changeup, but he'll hit for Detroit. Rainer entered the spring projected in the back of the first round, then embarked on an excellent senior season that saw him elevate virtually every aspect of his game. Previously forced to sell out for power, he showed up looking more physical in 2024 and was able to access that power much more freely and easily without sacrificing any thump. He's long and athletic in the box and generates a ton of torque with his left handed swing, with a shot at plus power at the next level. At the same time, Rainer came out this spring showing much better barrel accuracy and performed against top pitching around Southern California, quelling many swing and miss questions and looking like a much more complete hitter. This is a bat that could swat 25-30 home runs per season with solid on-base percentages, which would put him in the middle of any lineup. He's always had that plus arm, but his defense looked much more fluid this spring as well and he now looks like a bona fide shortstop. Rainer moves well on the dirt and shows more speed than you'd expect given his bigger 6'3" frame, and he didn't slow down at all despite packing on more muscle last winter. There's still more projection remaining and the LA kid has a chance to be one of the best players in this class. He had previously been committed to Texas.

2-49: RHP Owen Hall, Edmond North HS [OK] {video}
Slot value: $1.89 million. Signing bonus: $1.75 million ($143,700 below slot value).
My rank: #78. MLB Pipeline: #74. Baseball America: #86.
Three years ago, the Tigers grabbed Jackson Jobe with their first round pick and while he hasn't always stayed healthy, he's looked excellent on the mound. This year, the Tigers went back to the Oklahoma City high school ranks to take another prep righty, this time Owen Hall, and signed him slightly below slot value to pull him away from a Vanderbilt commitment. Hall has long been a famous name in this class, having pushed himself into the first round conversation at various points during his high school career. While others have since passed him and he finds himself selected in the second round, he's still an elite arm. Hall's fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 98 with riding life from an over the top slot. He rips off an above average slider with nice sharp bite, then rounds out his arsenal with a decent strike-stealing curveball and an average changeup. The 6'3" righty has a clean, picturesque delivery that he repeats well and features very little wasted movement, helping him pound the strike zone with average command and above average control. Hall is very strong right now and still has projection remaining, looking like he'll be plenty durable as a starter in the long run. If there's a bone to pick with the profile, it's that his delivery might be almost too clean and lack deception, leading to his pitches playing a little true. However, between the size, strength, projection, deep arsenal, and control, Hall looks like as "safe" a starting pitching prospect as you'll find for second round money while retaining plenty of upside.

CBB-72: LHP Ethan Schiefelbein, Corona HS [CA] {video}
Slot value: $1.09 million. Signing bonus: $1.8 million ($703,900 above slot value).
My rank: #88. MLB Pipeline: #94. Baseball America: #91.
Ethan Schiefelbein makes it back to back prep pitchers and three straight preps overall to start the draft, this time signing for well above slot value (roughly the value of the #51 pick) to eschew a UCLA commitment. While Bryce Rainer is up to 96 and Owen Hall is up to 98, Schiefelbein is more of a finesse lefty who sits in the low 90's and touches 94 at best. His fastball, though, plays well above its modest velocity because because of sneaky life that gives it some "invisiball" qualities while he hides the pitch well in the delivery. He has feel for a pair of nice breaking balls in a slider and a changeup, which get nice depth and miss high school bats at a high rate. Lastly, his changeup is still fairly raw but his acumen on the mound should enable him to develop it effectively in pro ball. The 6'2" lefty repeats his athletic delivery well and throws all four of his pitches with conviction, helping him pound the strike zone with above average command. The Tigers see a ton of projection on the 18 year old and think he can add significant power to both his fastball and his secondary stuff, which when combined with his pitchability and handedness could make him a mid-rotation starter.

3-85: RHP Josh Randall, San Diego {video}
Slot value: $892,600. Signing bonus: $700,000 ($192,600 below slot value).
My rank: #163. MLB Pipeline: #143. Baseball America: #223.
The Tigers made Josh Randall their third pick from Southern California out of four, and he'll be their first college pick. Randall began his career at Arizona, where he struggled to an 8.66 ERA in limited action over two seasons, then transferred to San Diego and where he served as the Toreros' ace in 2024. Another power arm, he sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 98 with a ton of run and sink from a low three quarters slot. He has a hard, short slider that gives him another above average weapon, while his firm changeup flashes average or better potential but needs further refinement. Randall gives hitters a really tough look, with his low three quarters slot and low release point playing up further because he gets down the mound very well with nice extension. While he struggled mightily with command at Arizona, he dropped his walk rate from 20% in Tucson to 8% in San Diego, now looking at least average in that regard. Now there's the question of whether he can start. Some may point to his delivery, which features a bit of a crouch and that low three quarters release point, as well as his shallow arsenal, and see him as more of a reliever. The Tigers, however, will look to his size (6'4", 240 pounds), arm strength, athleticism, and newfound command to get him through the lineup multiple times every turn in the rotation. They'll work to bring the changeup along and hold the command together – otherwise, the Southern California native has most of what it takes to start in pro ball. If not, he'll be a funky fastball/slider reliever with power stuff. In two appearances for Low A Lakeland, he allowed two runs in four innings while striking out a pair and walking none, though he did hit two.

4-114: RHP Michael Massey, Wake Forest {video}
Slot value: $637,200. Signing bonus: $522,500 ($114,700 below slot value).
My rank: #104. MLB Pipeline: #109. Baseball America: #94.
Michael Massey, not to be confused with the Royals infielder of the same name, has had a bit of an up and down ride but brings plenty of arm talent to Detroit. He began his career at Tulane, then transferred to Wake Forest after one season and was nearly untouchable out of the bullpen as a sophomore in 2023. Massey's stock rose when Wake Forest announced he'd be a part of the rotation in 2024, with top fifty projections rolling in preseason and many thinking he could rise into the first round. However, his stuff and command took a step back in longer outings and he watched his strikeout (47.2% to 32.1%) and walk (9.9% to 15.1%) rates move heavily in the wrong directions. After reaching 98 in the bullpen, Massey's fastball sat more in the low 90's and topped out around 94-95 in longer outings, though it retained its elite riding life with a true north-south profile. His slider looks plus at its best, and while he threw it harder in short stints in 2023, it still showed nasty late bite in 2024 and missed a ton of bats. He added a truer downer curveball in 2024 as well which he struggled to command at times, but it missed plenty of bats as well when he executed it in the zone. Massey doesn't use his changeup much in games but has shown a decent one in bullpen sessions. The 6'5" righty hides the ball well with short arm action and uses his size to get elite extension down the mound, giving his stuff that much more hop out of his hand. While he repeated his delivery well in short stints, the command ticked back in 2024 and looked fringier. The Tigers could still try him out as a starter given his size and arm strength, though he'll need to continue to be methodically stretched out to get the most out of his high octane stuff. If he moves back to the bullpen, he could lean back on that fastball/slider combination that served him so well in 2023 and move quickly.

5-147: SS Jack Penney, Notre Dame {video}
Slot value: $462,300. Signing bonus: $397,500 ($64,800 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #500.
With their sixth pick, the Tigers finally went for a college bat, and they wound up with the metrically intriguing Jack Penney. Penney was a two year starter and three year contributor at Notre Dame, where he never posted eye popping stats but showed very well under the surface. A hit over power type, the Boston-area product takes some of the best at bats in the class with an extremely disciplined approach that led to ultra low chase rates and an impressive 16.0% walk rate in 2024. On top of that, he makes plenty of contact and struck out in just 13.9% of his plate appearances, making for a really well-rounded hit tool. That advanced bat played up on the Cape, where he hit .284/.376/.404 with five home runs and a 39/28 strikeout to walk ratio over 45 games. While he's content to drive the ball around the field for singles and doubles, he has a sneaky quick bat that produces fringe-average power and he can really turn on the ball for average pop to his pull side. Given his pitch selection and bat to ball aptitude, I could see a slightly more power-oriented approach working in pro ball and he has a shot for 10-15 home runs per season to go with high on-base percentages at peak. The bat looks even better considering his glove, as he'll likely stick on the infield. Shortstop may be a stretch with average defensive tools, but he could profile very well at second or third base. That's some nice upside for a fifth rounder signed a bit below slot value. He got a brief cup of coffee at Low A Lakeland after the draft, slashing .255/.367/.392 with and 18/9 strikeout to walk ratio over fourteen games.

6-176: SS Woody Hadeen, UC Irvine {video}
Slot value: $354,100. Signing bonus: $300,000 ($54,100 below slot value).
My rank: #153. MLB Pipeline: #130. Baseball America: #401.
This is one of the most extreme profiles in the entire draft, and it's certainly a fun one. Metrically speaking, it's also one of the best hit tools in the entire class. Out of 145 college hitters on the Baseball America 500, no hitter came even close to matching 8.4% chase rate, with the next best being Samford's Garrett Howe (now with the Guardians) at 12.1%. Meanwhile, his 89.4% contact rate was second only to Texas Tech's Kevin Bazzell (now with the Nationals), who was just ahead at 89.5%. This is a man who, frankly speaking, never ever chases and when he does swing, never ever whiffs. It's probably the most extreme contact-oriented approaches in the class, as Hadeen just slaps the ball around the field with no regard for lifting or turning on it and just searches for holes a la Luis Arraez. A switch hitter, he has an elite eye and elite hand eye coordination, showing some similarities to last year's Pirates second rounder (and Saginaw native/Michigan State alum) Mitch Jebb. Not only did he get on base at a .524 (!) clip for UC Irvine this spring, he actually hit .424 (14-33) in a tiny eight game sample in the Cape Cod League back in 2022. Of course there's a tradeoff, and Hadeen lasted until the sixth round because of his power. Not only did he have (by far) the lowest chase rate and the second highest contact rate out of 145 hitters, he also had the lowest 90th percentile exit velocity at 98.7 MPH. That's 30 grade power, and he hit just one home run in 155 career games in Irvine. Hadeen is almost exclusively a singles hitter whose entire offensive value will come from his on-base percentage. Listed at 6'2", he's big enough and whips the bat around well enough to probably tack on a little additional power in pro ball, but that's not his game. Meanwhile, he's an above average runner with strong instincts to deploy his speed well, which helps him on both sides of the ball. He can play anywhere on the field, with shortstop a real possibility even if his arm is a bit stretched there. The Southern California native most likely projects as a light hitting utility infielder. Luis Arraez comparisons, as I noted above, will be common and would represent his absolute ceiling if everything breaks right. In a short four game stint for Low A Lakeland, he picked up one hit in nine at bats while walking twice and striking out once.

9-266: RHP Zach Swanson, Toutle Lake HS [WA] {video}
Slot value: $195,100. Signing bonus: $722,500 ($527,400 above slot value).
My rank: #206. MLB Pipeline: #178. Baseball America: #160.
The Tigers made one more splash here in the ninth round, grabbing another expensive high school arm by going half a million over slot value (late third round money, roughly pick #101) to sign Zach Swanson away from an Oregon State commitment. Swanson starts things off with a low 90's fastball that gets up to 95, playing up with riding life. His high spin slider is his best pitch, coming in with late bite that dives under bats and looks above average. He has great feel for it and is willing to throw it in any count, a separator for a high school arm. His changeup, meanwhile, is a distant third pitch and will need significant refinement in pro ball. Swanson is a very good athlete but throws with considerable effort on the mound, showing heavy head whack that impacts his command and leads to bouts of inconsistency. The delivery will likely need to be overhauled as well in pro ball, and that could unlock much more upside than expected. If the Tigers can iron him out, he has mid rotation upside, with a fallback option as a fastball/slider reliever.

15-446: OF Zach MacDonald, Miami [OH] {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
If Zach MacDonald reaches the majors, I believe he would be the first Michigander since Eric Haase (Westland) to play for the Tigers. MacDonald grew up Portage, a suburb of Kalamazoo, where he attended Portage Central High School. He spent the last three seasons at Miami of Ohio, where he has long shown power but put it all together in 2024. A local favorite of Midwest area scouts, MacDonald provides nice upside for a college pick this late in the draft, with plenty of tools that could make him an impact player if he pulls everything together. He creates nice separation in his right handed swing with a leveraged stroke that gets long through the zone and lifts the ball with authority. He previously struggled with swing and miss and struck out at a 31.3% clip in 2023, an extremely high number especially for a hitter in a mid major conference, but cut that number down to 20.2% in 2024. That's still a bit of an elevated number, and while his barrel accuracy has improved dramatically, he can still get under the ball and may be susceptible to quality fastballs up in the zone. MacDonald is a solid runner as well and should be able to hold is own in all three outfield spots, which helps his projection as a dynamic fourth outfielder. He'll have to continue to clean up his swing and miss as he makes the jump from the MAC to pro pitching, with age working in his favor as he didn't turn 21 until after the draft. He didn't quite find his footing in a short eight game stint at Low A Lakeland, where he hit .161/.235/.290 with an 18/3 strikeout to walk ratio.

Friday, August 2, 2019

2019 Draft Review: Kansas City Royals

First five rounds: Bobby Witt Jr. (1-2), Brady McConnell (2-44), Alec Marsh (CBB-70), Grant Gambrell (3-80), Michael Massey (4-109), John Rave (5-139)
Also notable: Noah Murdock (7-199), Drew Parrish (8-229), Justin Hooper (14-409)

Obviously, this draft class is headlined by the uber-talented Bobby Witt Jr., perhaps the best all-around high school position player we've seen since at least Brendan Rodgers in 2015, if not Byron Buxton in 2012. Behind Witt, though, I see this class as fairly ordinary, as I'm not a huge fan of the Brady McConnell pick and most of the players after that are fairly unremarkable. It was a college-heavy draft for the Royals, as they selected 15 consecutive college players after Witt, mostly from big programs.

1-2: SS Bobby Witt Jr. (Colleyville Heritage HS [TX], my rank: 2)
Perhaps the worst-kept secret in the rumor mill heading up to the draft was that the Royals wanted Bobby Witt Jr. with their first pick. Witt is truly an elite talent, with an all around game that rivals some of the best prep hitters in recent memory. He was the top prep player in the class coming into the season, but in early incarnations of my draft list in the winter, I actually had him behind Andrew Vaughn because I just wasn't sold on his hit tool. Well, now I am. The DFW native and son of former big leaguer Bobby Witt is an impact player in all facets of the game, showing big power, much improved plate discipline and ability to make contact, plenty of speed, and exceptional defense at shortstop. He generates his power from a big swing that caused some minor swing and miss questions over the summer, but with his exceptional spring, that's less of an issue and he projects for about 30 or more home runs annually with good on-base percentages. That'll certainly play, especially when you're an elite defender at shortstop, and overall you could compare his game somewhat to Francisco Lindor. Additionally, he's reported to be a hard worker and very easily coachable. The only knock on Witt at this point is his age, as he turned 19 in June and is old for his class, but given all the other positives, that's hardly an issue. Committed to Oklahoma, he instead signed at slot for $7.79 million and is slashing .256/.301/.326 with six stolen bases and an 18/6 strikeout to walk ratio over 19 games in the complex level Arizona League.

2-44: SS Brady McConnell (Florida, my rank: 71)
A draft-eligible sophomore because he turned 21 in May, Brady McConnell followed a similar path as his teammate and 2018 first rounder Jonathan India. India was a well-regarded high school prospect who instead made it to campus at Florida and hit mediocrely for two years before exploding for a .350/.497/.717 line as a junior and getting drafted fifth overall by the Reds. However, I wasn't quite that high on India, and with a .250/.351/.391 slash line in the minors this year, my thoughts haven't changed. Anyways, this paragraph is about Brady McConnell, who also was a well-regarded high school prospect coming out of Merritt Island on Florida's East Coast, and he ranked 58th on my 2017 list. After picking up just three hits as a freshman at UF in 2018, he exploded in India-like fashion by slashing .332/.385/.576 with 15 home runs and a 57/17 strikeout to walk ratio over 59 games for the Gators. Perhaps more impressively, 11 of his 15 home runs came in conference play against tough SEC arms, leading to a .299/.349/.615 slash line in those 30 games. However, like India, I'm not quite sold on McConnell at this draft position. He has power in his 6'3" frame and got to it consistently in 2019, drifting forward in his effective load before exploding with his smooth, whippy swing. On the flip side, his plate discipline this year was mediocre, as evidenced by a high 22.4% strikeout rate and a low 6.7% walk rate. If McConnell wants his production to carry over to pro ball, he'll have to get more patient at the plate and prove that he can find the barrel consistently against pro pitching. He's also only so-so at shortstop and will likely have to move over to second or third base, especially with Witt guaranteed to stay there. Together, that gives McConnell the upside of a power-hitting shortstop with 20-30 homer annual pop, though he has some questions to answer if he wants to get there. He signed for $2.22 million, which was $521,000 above slot, and he's slashing .250/.348/.475 with two home runs and a 31/10 strikeout to walk ratio over 21 games between the Arizona League and rookie level Idaho Falls.

CBB-70: RHP Alec Marsh (Arizona State, my rank: 99)
Alec Marsh has gotten better each year at Arizona State, and this year he posted a 3.46 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a 99/36 strikeout to walk ratio over 101.1 innings. However, that ERA might be just a bit deceiving, as he was blown up for a combined 17 runs between his April 5th start against USC and his April 26th start against Washington. Taking out those two terrible starts, he was remarkably consistent and actually carried a 2.11 ERA. When things are working for the 6'2" righty, he's a reliable arm that fires low 90's fastballs, a couple of good breaking balls, and a solid changeup, all of which he can command fairly well. All together, Marsh does not bring the most eye-popping resume, either from his stats or his stuff, but his well-rounded skill set makes him an advanced arm for a kid who just turned 21 in May and should help him reach the majors as a #3 or #4 starter. Like Witt, he's seen as a hard worker who will get the most out of his ability, especially if the Royals can help him avoid those blow-ups. He signed for $904,300, which was $2,500 below slot, and he has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a 25/1 strikeout to walk ratio over 20.1 innings for Idaho Falls.

3-80: RHP Grant Gambrell (Oregon State, my rank: 116)
Ten picks after nabbing Marsh, the Royals went back to the Pac-12 and grabbed another starting pitcher, this time from Oregon State. Grant Gambrell, with the luxury of throwing to first overall pick Adley Rutschman in Corvallis, had a breakthrough year on the mound and posted a 2.83 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and an 80/25 strikeout to walk ratio over 70 innings against much of the same competition that Marsh faced. The Fresno-area native is a big guy at 6'4", and he comes in with a low to mid 90's fastball, a fairly promising slider, and a decent changeup. That slider has sharp break, but it also breaks early and could be easy to pick up, so he'll have to refine it a bit further in order to get the swings and misses he wants out of it. He's fairly inconsistent on the mound and throws with some effort, so despite the solid numbers, the Royals are really buying into his arm strength and are hoping they can turn him into something with pro refinement. He does throw strikes in general, but again, he's not there consistently yet. Consider Gambrell an upside play who could be a mid-rotation starter but who could also end up as a power reliever. He signed for $647,500, which was $120,300 below slot, and he has a 5.06 ERA, a 1.63 WHIP, and a 16/4 strikeout to walk ratio over 16 innings at Idaho Falls.

4-109: 2B Michael Massey (Illinois, unranked)
There's not much upside to be had here, but Michael Massey is about as steady as they come. The Chicago native slashed .330/.360/.483 as a freshman at Illinois then .326/.369/.514 as a sophomore, after which he slashed .280/.337/.366 with a home run and a 6/5 strikeout to walk ratio over 23 games in the elite Cape Cod League. This year, Massey's numbers were down just a hair as he dealt with a back injury, but he still finished at .317/.372/.459 with five home runs and a 33/20 strikeout to walk ratio over 55 games. Standing an even six feet tall, Massey will never be much of a power hitter, instead relying on excellent bat to ball skills (13.4% strikeout rate) and good plate discipline to slap singles and doubles around the field. His feel for the game means he shouldn't have much trouble adjusting to pro pitching, though he likely won't hit enough to end up a full time starter in the majors. He's not the most athletic guy in the world, but he understands the game and plays hard and should be an above average defender at second base or playable on the left side of the infield. Overall, the gritty infielder with contact ability and baseball IQ points very clearly towards a utility infield role at the major league level, one which he should have little trouble getting to. He signed for $472,500, which was $60,500 below slot, and he's slashing .250/.309/.348 with a pair of home runs and an 18/8 strikeout to walk ratio over 27 games at rookie level Burlington.

5-139: OF John Rave (Illinois State, my rank: 138)
Two picks, two Illinois college position players. John Rave comes from Illinois State, but unlike his Prairie State counterpart, he's anything but steady. The Bloomington, Illinois native had a big sophomore year for the Redbirds in 2018, slashing .347/.402/.571, then he continued the hot hitting in the Cape Cod League and slashed .304/.392/.464 with four home runs and a 28/14 strikeout to walk ratio over 41 games. However, his numbers dropped this year as a junior, as he sold out for power and ended up slashing .297/.377/.502 with 12 home runs and a 64/28 strikeout to walk ratio over 62 games. He can show average power when he swings for the fences, but he has historically hit better when he just focused on making hard contact and getting on base, and that's probably what the Royals will try to get him back to doing. His plate discipline is fringy, so pro ball may be a bit of an adjustment for him. Rave is also fringe-average in the outfield despite his well above average speed, so he'll need some refinement there as well. Overall, it's hard to project him, as he'll need more refinement than the typical college hitter, but the talent is clearly there because you don't put up an .856 OPS on the Cape by accident. He signed for $297,500, which was $100,500 below slot, and he's slashing .231/.342/.336 with two home runs and a 40/21 strikeout to walk ratio over 35 games between Burlington and Class A Lexington.

7-199: RHP Noah Murdock (Virginia, unranked)
Noah Murdock was a well-known prospect coming out of high school in Colonial Heights, Virginia just south of Richmond as an ultra-projectable 6'7" string bean with a low 90's fastball, and he ranked #130 on my 2016 draft list because of it. However, he was raw and had a long way to go. Now even taller at 6'8" and with 2017 Tommy John surgery under his belt, he's still raw, and as a junior this year, he posted a disappointing 6.30 ERA, a 1.68 WHIP, and a 69/33 strikeout to walk ratio over 74.1 innings. He still sits in the low 90's and flashes a solid breaking ball, and the angle he creates with his long arms helps those pitches play up. However, he got hit when he left the ball over the plate and/or his breaking ball flattened out, and he'll need mechanical refinement in the minors. Fortunately for him and the Royals, he's young for his class and doesn't turn 21 until August, giving him more time to develop into a potential big league starting pitcher or late inning reliever. He signed for $230,500, which was $2,500 below slot, and he has a 2.10 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a 26/8 strikeout to walk ratio over 25.2 innings with Burlington.

8-229: LHP Drew Parrish (Florida State, unranked)
Drew Parrish gives the Royals another arm from a big ACC program, this time Florida State. After a dominant sophomore season in 2018 (2.52 ERA, 128/37 K/BB), Parrish took a bit of a step back this year, finishing with a 4.67 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a 125/32 strikeout to walk ratio over 94.1 innings for the Seminoles. The Rockledge, Florida native, who grew up playing against Royals second rounder Brady McConnell just two towns over, is the opposite of Murdock in most ways. He stands just 5'11" and sits in the upper 80's with his fastball, but he understands how to mix and locate his pitches and use his tumbling changeup to keep hitters off balance. He likely won't post the same high strikeout numbers he had in college, but he should be the kind of guy to induce weak contact and fill the strike zone in pro ball. He has proven durable as a starter, but perhaps his stuff could tick up in a bullpen role, where he could really pitch off that changeup. He signed for $167,500, which was $17,200 below slot, and he has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and an 18/1 strikeout to walk ratio over 13.2 innings at Burlington.

14-409: LHP Justin Hooper (UCLA, unranked)
If you follow the draft closely like I do, here's a name you probably haven't heard in a long time. Justin Hooper was a very well-known prospect coming out of the famed De La Salle High School in Concord, California (near Oakland), and he actually ranked at #28 in my first ever draft rankings in 2015, a list which I view as more of a practice round considering I was just getting into the draft. He instead went on to UCLA, where his career has been...rocky. He got hit around as a freshman in 2016, bounced back for a solid sophomore campaign in 2016 with a 3.69 ERA and a 52/26 strikeout to walk ratio, then missed all of 2018 with Tommy John surgery. In 2019, he got into...one game, retiring two of the four UC Irvine hitters he faced on May 14th and walking the other two. Like Murdock, he's a huge guy at 6'8", though he comes from a low three quarters arm slot that creates a lot of run on his fastball. Back in high school, which was four years ago, he sat in the low 90's with the promise of more velocity and showed a curveball with nice two-plane break, though his mechanics needed to be cleaned up and he just needed to get more consistent as a pitcher in general. That hasn't happened, so he'll be a complete project for the Royals despite having turned 22 back in October, but he's a sleeper with a huge arm that could surprise some people if he can get healthy and get going. As an interesting aside, when I was researching what the heck happened to him since I last heard his name in 2015, I noticed a bunch of tabloid articles about him apparently dating someone famous – I have no idea who Brielle Biermann is, but apparently that's news enough to bury all of the actually relevant things I was searching for. Hooper signed for $125,000.