This Indians lacks a clear standout, as Nolan Jones and Tyler Freeman have good chances to be impact players but lacks an exciting ceiling, while Triston McKenzie has exciting stuff and polish but can't seem to stay healthy. Down lower though, there are quite a few electric arms like those of Ethan Hankins, Daniel Espino, Carlos Vargas, and Lenny Torres, though I find it just a bit odd that the Indians like to stockpile these high octane arms when they actually develop the opposite extremely well. They've recently graduated a ton of pitchability guys, most notably Shane Bieber, Aaron Civale, Adam Plutko, and Zach Plesac, and they have a few more coming up in Logan Allen, Scott Moss, Eli Morgan, and Adam Scott. On the offensive side, the system is more contact-focused than power-focused (sorry Bobby Bradley and Will Benson), with guys like Jones, Freeman, Ernie Clement, Brayan Rocchio, and Aaron Bracho seeming more focused on that part of their game.
Affiliates: AAA Columbus Clippers, AA Akron RubberDucks, High A Lynchburg Hillcats, Class A Lake County Captains, short season Mahoning Valley Scrappers, complex level AZL and DSL Indians plus DSL Indians/Brewers
Catcher
- Bo Naylor (2020 Age: 20): The Indians' first round pick out of a Toronto-area high school and the younger brother of Padres rookie Josh Naylor got off to a strong start to his pro career in 2019, slashing .243/.313/.421 with eleven home runs and a 104/43 strikeout to walk ratio over 107 games at Class A Lake County. Those numbers might not pop off the page, but high school catching (and catching in general) is so hard to develop that you'll take it most times. He out-hit the other two high-drafted high school catchers from his draft class in Anthony Seigler (.175/.328/.206 at Yankees Class A) and Will Banfield (.199/.252/.310 at Marlins Class A), showing a solid combination of power and plate discipline and even stealing seven bases. In fact, he was my favorite of the three on draft day, and his feel for the barrel should help him develop into a 15-25 homer, decent to solid on-base percentage catcher if things work out.
- Keep an eye on: Gavin Collins, Bryan Lavastida
Corner Infield
- Nolan Jones (2020 Age: 21-22): The best prospect in this system, Nolan Jones has the potential to be an impact bat in the near future. This year, the former second round pick out of a Philadelphia-area high school slashed .272/.409/.442 with 15 home runs and a 148/96 strikeout to walk ratio across 126 games at High A Lynchburg and AA Akron, showing plenty of patience and feel for the barrel. Strongly built at 6'2", he probably won't hit for a ton of power, but he could be a Michael Brantley-type hitter who swats 15-25 home runs per season with high on-base percentages, albeit with a few more strikeouts. He plays a solid third base and while he won't be spectacular there, he'll get the job done. Jones will likely spend a lot of time at AAA in 2020, but don't be surprised to see him called up to the majors at some point.
- Bobby Bradley (2020 Age: 23-24): You want power, Bobby Bradley will give you power. In 2019, he slashed .264/.344/.567 with 33 home runs and a 153/46 strikeout to walk ratio over 107 games at AAA Columbus, also spending 15 games in the majors and slashing .178/.245/.356 with one home run there. He has the chance to become something of a Joey Gallo-lite, as he probably won't get to his power enough to hit 40+ home runs per season, but he has a good chance to be at least a Matt Adams-type if not more. There's a lot of swing and miss in his game and he's not quite patient enough to offset it, so he's not a guarantee to be able to hit in the majors, but the big raw power means he'll get every opportunity to try, starting in 2020.
- Yu Chang (2020 Age: 24): Chang plays all over the infield, but with the depth of middle infield prospects in this system, we'll put him on the corner infield list. In 2019, he slashed .253/.322/.427 with nine home runs and a 67/26 strikeout to walk ratio over 68 games at AAA Columbus, also adding in a .178/.286/.274 performance over 28 major league games. He's got some power from the right side and doesn't strike out a ton, and he's worked to become a more balanced hitter in recent years. He profiles more as a useful, bat-first utility infielder than as a starter, but should earn a spot in 2020.
- Keep an eye on: Wilson Garcia, Ulysses Cantu, Jhonkensy Noel, Joe Naranjo
Middle Infield
- Ernie Clement (2020 Age: 24): Clement is a light hitting middle infielder who makes extremely easy contact from the right side of the plate, and he slashed .269/.323/.331 with one home run, 17 stolen bases, and a 34/28 strikeout to walk ratio over 101 games, mostly at AA Akron. He doesn't generate much impact at all, but he puts the ball in play consistently and should not have a problem doing so in the majors. He won't hit for nearly enough power to start, but he should provide a quality utility infielder in the near future.
- Tyler Freeman (2020 Age: 20-21): As a low walk, low power infielder, Freeman was always going to have to get the ball in play a lot to stay relevant, and he's done that about as well as you could hope. After slashing .352/.405/.511 in short season ball in 2018, he hit .306/.368/.410 with three home runs, 19 stolen bases, and a 53/26 strikeout to walk ratio over 123 games at Class A Lake County and High A Lynchburg. He finds the barrel extremely easily and hit 32 doubles and five triples despite knocking just three home runs, continuously taking extra bases and finding ways to help the team win. He lacks physical tools and simply relies on his exceptional feel for the game, and that should make him at least a strong utility infielder if not a starting second baseman at the major league level.
- Brayan Rocchio (2020 Age: 19): Rocchio is just a 5'10", 150 pound 18 year old kid out of Venezuela, but he surprised a lot of people by slashing .335/.390/.442 in complex ball last year. This year, his numbers were a bit down as an 18 year old in short season ball, but he slashed .250/.310/.373 with five home runs, 14 stolen bases, and a 40/20 strikeout to walk ratio over 69 games at Mahoning Valley. He's got great feel for the barrel and game for his age, and he's an explosive hitter despite his lack of physicality. Adding strength to his small frame could make him an impact hitter all around, and he'll stick up the middle either at second or shortstop.
- Aaron Bracho (2020 Age: 19): Bracho isn't much bigger than Rocchio at 5'11", and in 2019 he slashed .281/.402/.570 with eight home runs and a 29/28 strikeout to walk ratio over 38 games between the complex level Arizona League and short season Mahoning Valley. His ability to just drop the barrel to the ball and spray it around the park helped him beat up on the low level competition he faced in the Arizona League, though of course he was only 18 as well. He profiles better as a second baseman but his advanced bat should profile there.
- Christian Cairo (2020 Age: 18-19): The Indians fourth round pick out of a Tampa-area high school in 2019, Christian Cairo is the son of former major leaguer Miguel Cairo. The younger Cairo slashed just .178/.324/.212 with a 40/25 strikeout to walk ratio over 46 games in the Arizona League in his pro debut, though he had only just turned 18 in June. He's well known for his feel for the game and ability to make contact, and the Indians hope that at least some power will come. He's also a strong defender due to his instincts, though second base might be his better long term home, especially in a system deep with middle infield talent like this one.
- Keep an eye on: Ike Freeman, Raynel Delgado, Gabriel Rodriguez, Jose Tena, Yordys Valdes, Angel Martinez
Outfielders
- Daniel Johnson (2020 Age: 24-25): Acquired from the Nationals in the Yan Gomes trade before the season, Johnson had a successful first season in the Cleveland system by slashing .290/.361/.507 with 19 home runs, 12 stolen bases, and a 118/50 strikeout to walk ratio over 123 games at AA Akron and AAA Columbus. Despite standing only 5'10", he's one of the most tooled up players in this system, as he shows power, speed, and arm strength to be a net positive on both sides of the ball. While he can be inconsistent at the plate, he's an impact hitter when he's on, and he projects for 20+ home runs per season and middling on-base percentages if he can make it click up there. Defensively, he could win Gold Gloves in right field because of his cannon arm and good range.
- Ka'ai Tom (2020 Age: 25-26): Tom has flown a bit under the radar since being drafted in the fifth round out of Kentucky in 2015, but he had a breakout 2019 where he slashed .290/.380/.532 with 23 home runs and a 126/64 strikeout to walk ratio over 132 games in the upper minors at Akron and Columbus. Even at just 5'9", he has power from a quick left handed swing and it wasn't just a product of the juiced balls in AAA, as he still slashed .512 in AA. He doesn't necessarily sell out for power, but he does have to intentionally lift the ball if he wants to get one out, so his hit tool is a bit behind the power and probably means he'll be more of a fourth outfielder at the major league level, but the bat combined with solid defense in the outfield means he should be a valuable one.
- Will Benson (2020 Age: 21-22): It's hard to know exactly what to make of Benson, a first round pick in 2016 out of high school in Atlanta. He's been brought along slowly with mixed results, not reaching full season ball until 2018 and only slashing .180/.324/.370 for Class A Lake County that year. He repeated the level in 2019, with far different results: 18 home runs, a .272/.371/.604 slash line, 18 stolen bases, and a 78/37 strikeout to walk ratio over 62 games. That earned him a promotion to High A Lynchburg, where his numbers dropped again: four home runs, .189/.290/.304 slash line, 73/31 strikeout to walk ratio in 61 games. He has extremely quick hands through the zone that help him produce a ton of power from his 6'5" frame, and he's a selective enough hitter to pad his on-base percentage with plenty of walks. However, he seems to lack the feel for the barrel you'd hope to see in a power hitter like himself, resulting in too many popouts and strikeouts. If he can figure out how to get that barrel where it needs to go, he could hit 30+ home runs annually in the majors, but he isn't there yet. He's also a sound defensive right fielder that should provide positive value there.
- Steven Kwan (2020 Age: 22): Kwan is basically the outfield version of Ernie Clement. A fifth round pick out of Oregon State in 2018, he slashed .280/.353/.382 with three home runs, eleven stolen bases, and a 51/53 strikeout to walk ratio over 123 games at High A Lynchburg this year. He doesn't show much power but he can spray doubles and triples into the gap, and his exceptional knowledge of the strike zone helps him get the ball in play consistently. He profiles as a fourth outfielder at the major league level but that plate discipline gives him a very good chance of getting there.
- George Valera (2020 Age: 19): Valera is a Dominican outfielder who didn't get a chance to show what he could do until 2019, when he slashed .236/.356/.446 with eight home runs and a 52/29 strikeout to walk ratio over 46 games at short season Mahoning Valley before he slumped to .087/.192/.174 in a six game call-up to Class A Lake County. He's extremely talented with advanced feel for the strike zone and barrel, and that was apparent as he reached full season ball at 18 years old. He'll get another crack at it in his age-19 season in 2020, where he'll hope to take the next step towards developing into a high on-base hitter with some power potential despite his 5'10" frame.
- Keep an eye on: Oscar Gonzalez, Jodd Carter, Quentin Holmes, Will Brennan
Starting Pitching
- Logan Allen (2020 Age: 22-23): Allen has bounced around a lot, originally getting traded from the Red Sox to the Padres in the 2015 Craig Kimbrel deal before finding himself in Cleveland following the three-team Trevor Bauer/Yasiel Puig/Franmil Reyes trade in July. Spending the year at AAA, Allen had a 5.85 ERA, a 1.58 WHIP, and an 81/34 strikeout to walk ratio over 80 innings, also putting up a 6.18 ERA and a 17/13 strikeout to walk ratio over 27.2 major league innings. He's a 6'3" righty that sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and adds a full arsenal of secondary pitches, led by a plus changeup that functions as his out pitch. The lack of strong breaking balls limits his upside to that of a #4 starter, but he's just about there and with his solid command, he could contribute in the Indians rotation in 2020.
- Scott Moss (2020 Age: 25): Joining Allen in coming over in the three team trade is Scott Moss, a 6'6" lefty who posted a 2.96 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a 159/70 strikeout to walk ratio over 130.2 innings at AA and AAA in what was an extremely dominant 2019 campaign. He only sits in the low 90's with his fastball and doesn't have a true out pitch or even great command, but he uses his size and knowledge of pitching to his advantage to get outs consistently. That makes his average stuff play way up despite his so-so command, and it gives him the chance to exceed expectations upon reaching the majors in 2020, where he's currently projected as a #5 starter.
- Triston McKenzie (2020 Age: 22-23): McKenzie might have the best combination of electric stuff and polish in this system, but injuries held him to just 90.2 innings in 2018 and off the mound completely in 2019. The Floridian righty is a 6'5" string bean that can sit in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and add in a curveball with a ton of vertical movement while also keeping lefties off balance with a diving changeup. Unlike most young pitchers with his profile, he can actually command everything pretty well, and when he's on the mound, he looks like a potential future ace or #2 starter. However, he has to figure out how to stay healthy (it was back problems that wiped out his 2019), because otherwise he may be ticketed for the bullpen despite the electric stuff and command.
- Eli Morgan (2020 Age: 23-24): An under the radar eighth round pick out of Gonzaga in 2017, Morgan has exceeded expectations every step of the way and posted a 3.39 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a 146/40 strikeout to walk ratio over 140.2 innings at High A Lynchburg, AA Akron, and AAA Columbus. He's only a 5'10" righty with a 90 mile an hour fastball and a decent slider, but he mixes and commands his pitches very well and drops in an above average changeup that functions as his out pitch. There are certainly more exciting arms all over this system, but the Indians have done excepctionally well with developing this kind of crafty righty, recently graduating Shane Bieber, Aaron Civale, Adam Plutko, and Zach Plesac off of prospect lists and into their rotation.
- Jean Carlos Mejia (2020 Age: 23): Mejia had a big, breakout 2018 season in A ball (3.31 ERA, 100/21 K/BB), but he missed most of 2019 with a sports hernia and finished with a 4.09 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a 36/9 strikeout to walk ratio over 33 innings at High A Lynchburg. When healthy, Mejia checks most of the boxes for a successful major league starter, showing some velocity (low to mid 90's fastball), two good breaking balls with plenty of feel to spin them, and good command from a 6'4" frame. However, he's missing one of the big ones, and that's durability. He set a career high with 98 innings pitched in 2018, and he otherwise has never broken 40 in a season, which is very concerning if you want to hand him 150 per season in the majors. If he can't hold up as a starter, he could be a quality three pitch reliever.
- Ethan Hankins (2020 Age: 19-20): Hankins has about as electric of an arm as you can find, and he used it to post a 2.55 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a 71/30 strikeout to walk ratio over 60 innings between short season Mahoning Valley and Class A Lake County in 2019. His mid 90's fastball has a ton of running and riding action that makes it nearly impossible to square up, and his changeup is much more advanced than that of most teenage pitchers. Developing a good breaking ball could make him elite and get hitters' eyes going in the other direction, though he hasn't been able to do that yet and currently relies on merely decent sliders and curveballs. As it stands, with so-so command and a spotty injury history, Hankins is a total boom-bust prospect, though developing only two out of the three between command, durability, and a breaking ball should be enough to make him an impact starter.
- Luis Oviedo (2020 Age: 20-21): Oviedo dominated short season ball in 2018 (1.88 ERA, 61/10 K/BB), though he hasn't quite gotten the same results since reaching full season ball. This year, he had a 5.38 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a 72/40 strikeout to walk ratio over 87 innings, showing a quality fastball in the mid 90's as well as a full array of secondary pitches, but his command regressed and he was hit hard when he missed spots. He's a projectable 6'4" and shows a lot of promise with his feel for multiple offspeed pitches, though there's clearly more work to be done in getting him more consistent with his mechanics and command. However, he's also the kind of guy who could break out at any point.
- Daniel Espino (2020 Age: 19): Ethan Hankins has the second most explosive arm in the system, and that's because 2019 first rounder Daniel Espino has the first. A Panamanian right hander who attended school in Georgia, Espino posted a 3.80 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a 34/10 strikeout to walk ratio over 23.2 innings in the complex level Arizona League and at short season Mahoning Valley. He's generously listed at 6'2" and sits in the mid 90's with his fastball, which like that of Hankins, has excellent life. He can also get sinking action on his similarly fast two seamer, and unlike Hankins, he has not one but two excellent breaking balls that can miss bats. He still needs a changeup, but he has pretty decent command for someone who throws so hard so young and he's proven durable so far, so he has the potential to be a top of the rotation guy. However, hard throwing kids like him have had a spotty track record, with guys like Tyler Kolek, Riley Pint, Alex Speas, and Hunter Greene running into trouble and/or injuries in pro ball recently (and the jury is still out on Hankins).
- Hunter Gaddis (2020 Age: 22): A fifth round pick out of Georgia State in 2019, I noted Gaddis as more of an upside play than a safe bet despite coming from the college ranks. That might already be coming to fruition, as he had about as successful as a pro debut as you can imagine: 2.73 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 53/7 K/BB over 33 innings in complex ball and at Mahoning Valley. Gaddis brings four pitches to the table but was often inconsistent at Georgia State as his mechanics made his stuff play down, but the Indians have already quieted down his delivery and he did a much better job of hitting his spots in pro ball, also looking like he's getting better extension towards the plate. If he can maintain this progress, he could be a steal in the fifth round and provide Cleveland with a mid-rotation starter. Watch this one.
- Keep an eye on: Sam Hentges, Adam Scott, Cody Morris, Juan Hillman, Lenny Torres,
Relief Pitching
- James Karinchak (2020 Age: 24): Want to know what untouchable looks like? In 2019, Karinchak had a 2.67 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a 74/17 strikeout to walk ratio over 30.1 innings between AA Akron, AAA Columbus, and some complex level rehab. Those numbers are skewed a bit by the juiced balls in AAA, but Karinchak's run through AA especially was nothing short of legendary: ten shutout innings, two hits, two walks, and 24 strikeouts. That's two thirds of his opponents going down via strikeout in AA and 59.2% overall. He sits in the mid to upper 90's with his fastball and gets some serious run on it, and his hammer curveball gets him swings and misses virtually whenever he wants them. However, he struggles to throw strikes consistently, which is just about the only thing keeping him from being a major league closer today. Landing his two plus pitches for strikes could get him there though, and even if he has only a rough idea where the ball is going, he'll be a successful major league reliever. In five appearances with the Indians this year, he had a 1.69 ERA, a 0.75 WHIP, and an 8/1 strikeout to walk ratio over 5.1 innings.
- Nick Sandlin (2020 Age: 23): A second round pick out of Southern Miss in 2018, Sandlin reached AAA in his first full season and might be just as interesting as Karinchak. After dominating, and I mean dominating (1.06 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 144/18 K/BB) as a junior at USM, he spent 2019 in the upper minors and posted a 2.39 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a 38/15 strikeout to walk ratio over 26.1 innings at Akron and Columbus. He's only 5'11" and sits in the low 90's with his fastball, but he gets by on 80-grade deception because he can and will throw all of his pitches overhand, sidearm, or even submarine, racking up awkward swings all over the place and keeping hitters as off balance as can be. His slider especially is a weapon, as it can dive clear across the plate, and he commands everything pretty well. Unfortunately, he was shut down with a forearm strain in July, so durability remains an important question.
- Carlos Vargas (2020 Age: 20): Vargas spent 2019 as a starter in short season ball, posting a 4.52 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a 71/24 strikeout to walk ratio over 77.2 innings. He's got an extremely quick arm that produces and explosive mid 90's fastball and a hard, bat-missing slider, and the Indians are hoping to help him develop that changeup and command and keep him in the rotation. Even though he'll spend all of 2020 at 20 years old, his delivery, explosive stuff, and quick arm most likely point to the bullpen for me, where he could sit in the upper 90's and miss bats by the bunch.
- Keep an eye on: Aaron Pinto, Kellen Rholl, Matt Waldron
Showing posts with label Hunter Gaddis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hunter Gaddis. Show all posts
Monday, November 18, 2019
2020 Prospect Depth Chart: Cleveland Indians
Sunday, June 16, 2019
2019 Draft Review: Cleveland Indians
First five rounds: Daniel Espino (1-24), Yordys Valdes (2-63), Joe Naranjo (3-101), Christian Cairo (4-130), Hunter Gaddis (5-160)
Also notable: Will Brennan (8-250), Ike Freeman (14-430), Jonathan French (30-910)
The Indians had an on-brand draft here, focusing on adding high schoolers to a system led exclusively by high school and international signings. Their first four picks were high schoolers, as the Indians love upside as much as any team except perhaps the Texas Rangers. First rounder Daniel Espino has as much upside as any pitcher in the class, and even fifth rounder Hunter Gaddis and seventh rounder Xzavion Curry, the first two college players they took, are more about upside than safety. There is a lot of risk in this draft, but with a little patience, they could turn out some real impact pieces here.
1-24: RHP Daniel Espino (Georgia Premier Academy, my rank: 22)
Espino, a Panamanian right hander who pitched at the Georgia Premier Academy in Statesboro, has a very interesting profile. Despite standing just 6'1", he possesses the best raw stuff of any pitcher in the entire draft, high school or college. His 80 grade fastball sits comfortably in the mid to upper 90's, and its serious running action makes it almost impossible to square up even if you can catch up to it. You can't sit on the heater, either, because he adds both a curveball and a slider, both of which have sharp break and miss bats. His changeup is behind the other three but should come, and he commands everything fairly well. A few years ago, that might have put him in top five pick consideration, but the track record for high schoolers who throw this hard is not great. 2014 Marlins draftee Tyler Kolek is no longer really a prospect, 2016 Rockies draftee Riley Pint can't throw strikes at all, 2017 Reds draftee Hunter Greene just went down with Tommy John surgery, and 2018 Indians draftee Ethan Hancock battled injuries his senior year of high school and saw his stock fall considerably during the spring. The fact that Espino is 6'1" and has very long arm action in his delivery does not help his cause, but the Indians hope that the efficiency he has in transferring power from his legs will ease some of the stress on his arm and alleviate some injury risk. Espino's upside is tremendous; if he stays healthy, he has true ace potential and should be a safe bet to be at least a mid-rotation starter if he shows any semblance of command. However, the risk is just as big as his upside, and he has Kolek, Pint, Greene, and Hancock to thank for dropping him to the 24th pick in the draft. Despite a commitment to Louisiana State, he signed for $2.5 million, which is $330,000 below slot.
2-63: SS Yordys Valdes (McArthur HS [FL], my rank: 95)
Yordys Valdes rivals Bobby Witt Jr. and Nasim Nunez as one of the top defensive shortstops in the high school class, as the kid from South Florida is a lock to stay there with his cannon arm and plus range despite average speed. It's the bat, though, that will need patience. He's a switch hitter who is on a positive trajectory, generating some torque in his swing that could eventually lead to 5-10 home runs per season, though he's more of a slap/low line drive hitter than anything else at this point. The Indians are buying the glove here with hopes that he'll grow into some impact at the plate, and the fact that he doesn't turn 18 until August should help a little bit. He was committed to Florida State, but the Indians signed him for $1 million, about $80,000 below slot.
3-101: 1B Joe Naranjo (Ayala HS [CA], unranked)
If you're familiar with some of the more well known prospects in this year's draft, Joe Naranjo is a bit similar to Reds third rounder Tyler Callihan, who could have gone in the first or comp round if he was more signable. Naranjo, out of a Los Angeles-area high school, is currently hit over power, showing a natural ability to get his pitch and drive the ball to the gaps for extra base hits. At six feet tall, he's unlikely to grow into a ton more power, but he has natural loft in his swing and with his feel for the barrel, he should be able to add some power as he gets stronger and as the Indians tweak his swing mechanics. All the pressure will be on his bat because he's not providing much defensive value at first base, but he has a chance to be a real impact hitter if he can use his feel for hitting to generate more power. He currently projects for about 15 home runs per season with solid on-base percentages, though obviously his ceiling is higher. He signed for $770,000, which was $193,000 above slot.
4-130: SS Christian Cairo (Calvary Christian HS [FL], my rank: 82)
The Indians are going overslot here, but they're getting a great player. The son of former big leaguer Miguel Cairo (1996-2012), Christian inherited his dad's instincts and feel for the game. None of his tools stand out, but he knows the strike zone and makes plenty of contact and should continue to improve with pro coaching despite his lack of present power. Defensively, the Tampa-area native is more likely to end up at second base than shortstop, but he's a smooth defender who makes all the plays and uses his instincts well. With his clean swing and feel for the game on both sides of the ball, he's unlikely to be a star and likely projects for just 5-10, maybe 15 home runs per season, but he should have high on-base percentages as a table-setter type and will be a net positive at second base. At the very least, he should be a utility infielder, which is saying a lot for a high schooler. He had a strong commitment to Louisiana State, but the Indians handed him $955,000, or $520,700 above slot, to come to Cleveland instead.
5-160: RHP Hunter Gaddis (Georgia State, unranked)
Even though he's a college pitcher, Hunter Gaddis is a bit more of an upside play than a safe bet. He's a 6'6" righty who grew up north of Atlanta, then attended a smaller program in Georgia State. He was very good as a sophomore (2.95 ERA, 98/24 K/BB), though his junior season was more up and down as he posted a 4.85 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 112/21 strikeout to walk ratio over 91 innings against fairly mediocre competition. However, he also had a 2.00 ERA and a 13/4 strikeout to walk ratio over a brief, 18 inning Cape Cod stint, so he has had some success against better hitters. Gaddis is an interesting study as a pitcher, as he has an awkward delivery with a lot of seemingly out of sync moving parts, but he still throws plenty of strikes with four pitches. He sits in the low 90's with his fastball and adds a good slider and changeup as well as a mediocre curveball, but he gets hit harder than he should when he leaves his pitches over the plate. He also doesn't get much extension and that gives hitters a longer look, which will hurt him more in pro ball. The Indians will have to make some mechanical changes to help him reach his potential of a #3 or #4 starter, which are never guaranteed to work, but the stuff and command are good enough that it could pay big dividends. He signed for $415,000, which was $90,900 above slot.
8-250: OF Will Brennan (Kansas State, unranked)
Brennan was a two-way player at Kansas State, though he only posted a 6.40 ERA and a 39/21 strikeout to walk ratio over 52 innings as a pitcher, so he was drafted as a hitter. His offensive numbers were much better, as he slashed .291/.369/.417 with four home runs, 13 stolen bases, and a 12/26 strikeout to walk ratio over 58 games, though that was down from .359/.454/.427 as a sophomore. He's very much a contact hitter, as he is extremely difficult to strike out and hits mostly singles and doubles, though slightly more power might be possible if the Indians decide to go that route. Overall, he projects as a fourth or fifth outfielder, as he did slash just .233/.294/.247 over 39 games on the Cape. The Kansas City-area native signed right at slot value for $163,900.
14-430: SS Ike Freeman (North Carolina, unranked)
I'm not sure if Freeman signs in the 14th round, but he's a good get as a potential utility infielders if the Indians can sign him. In 2019, he slashed .293/.436/.427 with six home runs and a 32/51 strikeout to walk ratio over 65 games. He's a fairly average player across the board, but he produced at a big program at UNC and held his own in the Cape Cod League (.250/.329/.397, 17/7 K/BB), with his strong plate discipline and ability to stick in the infield helping his whole package play up. Freeman probably won't add power and he's unlikely to ever start regularly for the Indians, but the North Carolina native should be a good solid utility infielder if his approach can translate up and he can continue to get on base and hit for some moderate impact.
30-910: C Jonathan French (Parkview HS [GA], my rank: 101)
As a likely third to fifth rounder based on skill, French probably won't sign here with a strong commitment to Clemson and a used up Cleveland bonus pool. He has a clean swing and shows some power, but swing and miss questions make him a bit risky as a hitter. He's better defensively, as he needs work on refining his game back there but has no glaring flaws, and that will buy the hit tool time to develop. If he can get to that power consistently, he could eventually be a starting catcher in the major leagues, something that's harder and harder to come by. The Atlanta native likely eclipse Kyle Wilkie as Clemson's best catcher since Chris Okey, who was drafted in the second round by the Reds in 2016.
Also notable: Will Brennan (8-250), Ike Freeman (14-430), Jonathan French (30-910)
The Indians had an on-brand draft here, focusing on adding high schoolers to a system led exclusively by high school and international signings. Their first four picks were high schoolers, as the Indians love upside as much as any team except perhaps the Texas Rangers. First rounder Daniel Espino has as much upside as any pitcher in the class, and even fifth rounder Hunter Gaddis and seventh rounder Xzavion Curry, the first two college players they took, are more about upside than safety. There is a lot of risk in this draft, but with a little patience, they could turn out some real impact pieces here.
1-24: RHP Daniel Espino (Georgia Premier Academy, my rank: 22)
Espino, a Panamanian right hander who pitched at the Georgia Premier Academy in Statesboro, has a very interesting profile. Despite standing just 6'1", he possesses the best raw stuff of any pitcher in the entire draft, high school or college. His 80 grade fastball sits comfortably in the mid to upper 90's, and its serious running action makes it almost impossible to square up even if you can catch up to it. You can't sit on the heater, either, because he adds both a curveball and a slider, both of which have sharp break and miss bats. His changeup is behind the other three but should come, and he commands everything fairly well. A few years ago, that might have put him in top five pick consideration, but the track record for high schoolers who throw this hard is not great. 2014 Marlins draftee Tyler Kolek is no longer really a prospect, 2016 Rockies draftee Riley Pint can't throw strikes at all, 2017 Reds draftee Hunter Greene just went down with Tommy John surgery, and 2018 Indians draftee Ethan Hancock battled injuries his senior year of high school and saw his stock fall considerably during the spring. The fact that Espino is 6'1" and has very long arm action in his delivery does not help his cause, but the Indians hope that the efficiency he has in transferring power from his legs will ease some of the stress on his arm and alleviate some injury risk. Espino's upside is tremendous; if he stays healthy, he has true ace potential and should be a safe bet to be at least a mid-rotation starter if he shows any semblance of command. However, the risk is just as big as his upside, and he has Kolek, Pint, Greene, and Hancock to thank for dropping him to the 24th pick in the draft. Despite a commitment to Louisiana State, he signed for $2.5 million, which is $330,000 below slot.
2-63: SS Yordys Valdes (McArthur HS [FL], my rank: 95)
Yordys Valdes rivals Bobby Witt Jr. and Nasim Nunez as one of the top defensive shortstops in the high school class, as the kid from South Florida is a lock to stay there with his cannon arm and plus range despite average speed. It's the bat, though, that will need patience. He's a switch hitter who is on a positive trajectory, generating some torque in his swing that could eventually lead to 5-10 home runs per season, though he's more of a slap/low line drive hitter than anything else at this point. The Indians are buying the glove here with hopes that he'll grow into some impact at the plate, and the fact that he doesn't turn 18 until August should help a little bit. He was committed to Florida State, but the Indians signed him for $1 million, about $80,000 below slot.
3-101: 1B Joe Naranjo (Ayala HS [CA], unranked)
If you're familiar with some of the more well known prospects in this year's draft, Joe Naranjo is a bit similar to Reds third rounder Tyler Callihan, who could have gone in the first or comp round if he was more signable. Naranjo, out of a Los Angeles-area high school, is currently hit over power, showing a natural ability to get his pitch and drive the ball to the gaps for extra base hits. At six feet tall, he's unlikely to grow into a ton more power, but he has natural loft in his swing and with his feel for the barrel, he should be able to add some power as he gets stronger and as the Indians tweak his swing mechanics. All the pressure will be on his bat because he's not providing much defensive value at first base, but he has a chance to be a real impact hitter if he can use his feel for hitting to generate more power. He currently projects for about 15 home runs per season with solid on-base percentages, though obviously his ceiling is higher. He signed for $770,000, which was $193,000 above slot.
4-130: SS Christian Cairo (Calvary Christian HS [FL], my rank: 82)
The Indians are going overslot here, but they're getting a great player. The son of former big leaguer Miguel Cairo (1996-2012), Christian inherited his dad's instincts and feel for the game. None of his tools stand out, but he knows the strike zone and makes plenty of contact and should continue to improve with pro coaching despite his lack of present power. Defensively, the Tampa-area native is more likely to end up at second base than shortstop, but he's a smooth defender who makes all the plays and uses his instincts well. With his clean swing and feel for the game on both sides of the ball, he's unlikely to be a star and likely projects for just 5-10, maybe 15 home runs per season, but he should have high on-base percentages as a table-setter type and will be a net positive at second base. At the very least, he should be a utility infielder, which is saying a lot for a high schooler. He had a strong commitment to Louisiana State, but the Indians handed him $955,000, or $520,700 above slot, to come to Cleveland instead.
5-160: RHP Hunter Gaddis (Georgia State, unranked)
Even though he's a college pitcher, Hunter Gaddis is a bit more of an upside play than a safe bet. He's a 6'6" righty who grew up north of Atlanta, then attended a smaller program in Georgia State. He was very good as a sophomore (2.95 ERA, 98/24 K/BB), though his junior season was more up and down as he posted a 4.85 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 112/21 strikeout to walk ratio over 91 innings against fairly mediocre competition. However, he also had a 2.00 ERA and a 13/4 strikeout to walk ratio over a brief, 18 inning Cape Cod stint, so he has had some success against better hitters. Gaddis is an interesting study as a pitcher, as he has an awkward delivery with a lot of seemingly out of sync moving parts, but he still throws plenty of strikes with four pitches. He sits in the low 90's with his fastball and adds a good slider and changeup as well as a mediocre curveball, but he gets hit harder than he should when he leaves his pitches over the plate. He also doesn't get much extension and that gives hitters a longer look, which will hurt him more in pro ball. The Indians will have to make some mechanical changes to help him reach his potential of a #3 or #4 starter, which are never guaranteed to work, but the stuff and command are good enough that it could pay big dividends. He signed for $415,000, which was $90,900 above slot.
8-250: OF Will Brennan (Kansas State, unranked)
Brennan was a two-way player at Kansas State, though he only posted a 6.40 ERA and a 39/21 strikeout to walk ratio over 52 innings as a pitcher, so he was drafted as a hitter. His offensive numbers were much better, as he slashed .291/.369/.417 with four home runs, 13 stolen bases, and a 12/26 strikeout to walk ratio over 58 games, though that was down from .359/.454/.427 as a sophomore. He's very much a contact hitter, as he is extremely difficult to strike out and hits mostly singles and doubles, though slightly more power might be possible if the Indians decide to go that route. Overall, he projects as a fourth or fifth outfielder, as he did slash just .233/.294/.247 over 39 games on the Cape. The Kansas City-area native signed right at slot value for $163,900.
14-430: SS Ike Freeman (North Carolina, unranked)
I'm not sure if Freeman signs in the 14th round, but he's a good get as a potential utility infielders if the Indians can sign him. In 2019, he slashed .293/.436/.427 with six home runs and a 32/51 strikeout to walk ratio over 65 games. He's a fairly average player across the board, but he produced at a big program at UNC and held his own in the Cape Cod League (.250/.329/.397, 17/7 K/BB), with his strong plate discipline and ability to stick in the infield helping his whole package play up. Freeman probably won't add power and he's unlikely to ever start regularly for the Indians, but the North Carolina native should be a good solid utility infielder if his approach can translate up and he can continue to get on base and hit for some moderate impact.
30-910: C Jonathan French (Parkview HS [GA], my rank: 101)
As a likely third to fifth rounder based on skill, French probably won't sign here with a strong commitment to Clemson and a used up Cleveland bonus pool. He has a clean swing and shows some power, but swing and miss questions make him a bit risky as a hitter. He's better defensively, as he needs work on refining his game back there but has no glaring flaws, and that will buy the hit tool time to develop. If he can get to that power consistently, he could eventually be a starting catcher in the major leagues, something that's harder and harder to come by. The Atlanta native likely eclipse Kyle Wilkie as Clemson's best catcher since Chris Okey, who was drafted in the second round by the Reds in 2016.
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