Showing posts with label Chris Levonas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chris Levonas. Show all posts

Saturday, October 19, 2024

The top twelve unsigned high school pitching prospects from the 2024 draft

There are some really big arms heading to college in 2024, headlined by arguably the top prep pitcher in the class in William Schmidt. While the position player list was spread out with twelve players going to ten different schools, this list of twelve is concentrated in just eight schools as Wake Forest, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Florida all landed two apiece. Surprisingly, perennial recruiting powerhouse Vanderbilt was not only shut out from both lists, they didn't land a single recruit in either top twenty as top recruit Rustan Rigdon would have ranked #22 on the position player list (#164 on the overall draft board). This pitching list isn't quite as heavy on older prospects as the position player list, with only four of twelve set to turn 20 by next July compared to seven for the position players, so most of these kids will be on campus for a long time. Additionally, this list was heavier at the top with Schmidt ranking as the top overall prospect reaching campus and six landing in the top 100 overall prospects, compared to four for the position players, the #20 pitcher nearly falls out of the top 200 whereas the #20 position player stayed inside the top 160.
In parentheses before the position is their rank on my personal 2024 draft board. In parentheses after the school is the year they will be draft eligible again. Note, these rankings are purely based off my 2024 draft rankings and do not incorporate fall practice performance.

1. (#24) RHP William Schmidt, Louisiana State (2027)
Undrafted
William Schmidt took the baseball world by surprise shortly before the 2024 draft when he pulled his name from the draft and announced his intention to honor his commitment to LSU despite massive multi-million dollar signing bonuses getting thrown at him. Schmidt entered the draft cycle on the fringes of the first round conversation, but burst out of the gate strong and held that performance throughout his senior season at Catholic High School in Baton Rouge, alma mater of former LSU stars Josh Smith, Aaron and Austin Nola, and even Clyde Edwards-Helaire. He'll join a Tigers pitching staff that lost eight of its top nine arms by innings pitched, including all of its top five, though he won't be alone as LSU brings in a loaded transfer class looking to fill those innings and the return of Chase Shores from Tommy John surgery looms. Schmidt himself has a chance to jump straight into regular innings on the back of his now-stuff, then push his way towards an eventual Friday night role with massive upside. His fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touched 99 in the spring, coming in with riding action and strong extension from his long frame. His best pitch has always been a hammer curveball with tremendous depth combined with power to make it a plus-plus pitch, while his changeup has shown some progress as he's gained feel for it. Beyond the stuff, the 6'4" righty brings tons of projection and should be sitting comfortably in the mid 90's in short order and maintaining that velocity deep into starts. While his lanky frame has led to scattered command in the past as he's worked to repeat his release point, he has grown into his body over the past calendar year and has sharpened that somewhat, especially with regards to his big curveball which he commands better than his fastball. If Schmidt, who moves very well on the mound with an athletic delivery and a quick arm, can maintain that progress with his command, he could find himself near the very top of the 2027 draft. He was a clear-cut first round prospect and arguably the best prep pitcher in the class in 2024 as it was.

2. (#49) RHP Dax Whitney, Oregon State (2027)
Undrafted
I mentioned in the hitters article that Oregon State, despite playing as an independent due to the death of the Pac-12, was able to land a superstar transfer in Washington's Aiva Arquette as well as the #8 incoming freshman position player in shortstop Adam Haight. Not only that, here they picked up the second best unsigned prep pitcher in the country, so Mitch Canham deserves all the credit in the world for how he's navigated a tough situation. The Beavers lose their top two starters in Aiden May (CBB round, Marlins) and Jacob Kmatz (5th round, Rays) as well as closer Bridger Holmes (7th round, Angels), but other than that their pitching staff remains almost completely intact. For that reason, it may not be easy for Dax Whitney to jump straight into significant innings, but if any freshman in the country can break through a crowded pitching staff, it's him. Whitney was a little off the beaten path out in Blackfoot, Idaho, and entered the season more of a day two prospect who seemed likely to head to school. He turned in a huge senior season in which he just kept steadily climbing boards throughout the spring, causing scouts to flock out to eastern Idaho as he even earned whisperings of first round interest. Ultimately, all the added helium was not enough to keep him away from Corvallis, where he enters as the program's likely future Friday night starter. Whitney's fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at peak, playing up with riding life from a very vertical slot. He has refined both his curveball and his slider, which both project as above average as they've gotten sharper and sharper. His changeup is a fourth pitch, but it too has come along and looks to be a solid offering as well. The 6'5" righty is ultra projectable with an athletic frame that promises to add significant velocity, with a real chance he sits mid 90's and touches closer to triple digits within his time on campus. Beyond that, he repeats his simple delivery well, with a short arm stroke and some crossfire action to create a little bit of deception too. The command is average for now but figures to creep towards above average with added refinement under a high quality Oregon State pitching development program. Between the size, projectability, feel, and now-stuff, Whitney has all of the ingredients to become a future ace.

3. (#63) RHP Chris Levonas, Wake Forest (2027)
Drafted – CBB round (pick #67), Milwaukee Brewers
Wake Forest will have work to do replacing #2 overall pick Chase Burns (Reds) as well as multiple other pitchers who had large roles in 2024, but new arms always, always step up in Winston-Salem whether they come through the transfer portal, get developed from the existing roster, or come up from the high school ranks. Chris Levonas was not expected to be among that latter group when the Brewers drafted him in the CBB round, but he could not come to an agreement with Milwaukee and he and Tyler Bell (drafted one pick earlier, now at Kentucky) are the two highest drafted preps to reach campus since a trio of preps in 2018. Levonas is an electric righty from New Jersey who elevated his profile with a loud showing at the PBR Super 60 in February followed by an equally loud senior season. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 97 with big riding life, exploding past bats with regularity. He rips off a nasty curveball with huge spin rates and above average projection, while his equally high spin slider has really come on recently and gives him a second above average breaking ball. He can cut the fastball when he needs to, while his changeup is behind and will need significant refinement at school. The 6'2" righty an explosive athlete that gets down the mound with a quick arm, the type of cannon fodder that fits perfectly into Corey Muscara's pitching development pipeline at Wake Forest, though he's very skinny and does throw with some effort. That can impact his command a bit, and given Wake's evergreen depth on the mound he may not jump into the rotation straight away. The potential durability concerns compounded with the command may ultimately push him to the bullpen long term in pro ball, but the now-stuff, feel for spin, athleticism, and explosiveness on the mound give him some of the best upside on this list, especially at Wake Forest.

4. (#79) RHP Duncan Marsten, Wake Forest (2026)
Undrafted
As I was saying, Wake Forest recruits well. Duncan Marsten, like Chris Levonas, was a bit of a spring riser who had some extremely loud outings out in California in late January and early February before much of the country had begun its season. That pushed his name into the fringes of the first round conversation for a minute, though the stuff settled a tick below what he showed in those first couple starts and he wound up more as a second to third round prospect. At his peak he sat low to mid 90's and touched 99, then was more low 90's as the season moved on. He shows an above average slider that misses bats, while his curveball and changeup are solid pitches in their own right. The 6'3" righty is a bit less explosive but more physical than Chris Levonas, though Wake Forest will still look to build him up so he can hold that top-end stuff over longer stretches. He generally holds the strike zone pretty well, but he can lose it when he reaches back for a little extra on his stuff. Marsten moves crisply on the mound, and did especially so early in the season, giving him legitimate mid rotation starter upside at the big league level. At the college level, Marsten and Levonas could make great one two punch over the next couple of seasons. Marsten is very old for the class and will be 20 in May, so he'll be draft eligible again in 2026.

5. (#84) RHP Carson Wiggins, Arkansas (2026)
Undrafted
Jaxon Wiggins had one of the most electric fastballs ever seen in Fayetteville in 2021 and 2022, then missed 2023 with Tommy John surgery before getting drafted in the second round by the Cubs that year. Now his younger brother Carson hits campus with more fanfare than his brother had at the time, and he'll look to beat Jaxon's #68 selection in a couple years. He'll join a loaded Razorbacks pitching staff that, despite losing its entire weekend rotation from last season including #5 overall pick Hagen Smith (White Sox), returns a ton of firepower in the bullpen and also made a couple massive additions in the transfer portal. For that reason it will be difficult for Wiggins to grab one of those vacated rotation slots, but his now stuff will fit right into the bullpen at least in year one. The fastball sits in the mid 90's and touched triple digits in fall practice with running life from a lower slot, overpowering prep hitters and looking plenty enough to blow past even seasoned SEC hitters. He has a sharp slider that lacks consistency at this point, but his best ones look plus and can leave hitters looking helpless. Wiggins also shows a solid splitter, though like his slider it lacks consistency. The 6'5" righty has a free and easy delivery to generate that velocity effortlessly, but he lacks the feel to repeat his release point consistently and shows below average command at this point. Right now, the draw with Wiggins is pure, raw arm strength that simply does not come around often and which you cannot teach. The Arkansas coaching staff, meanwhile, has proven to be one of the best pitching development staffs in the country and will be the perfect place for him to learn to wrangle it, both by repeating his delivery better and by getting more consistent with his offspeed stuff. The stuff as is will work perfectly in a relief role during his freshman season, then perhaps as a sophomore he can graduate to the rotation as a more complete pitcher. He's very old for an incoming freshman and will be draft eligible as a sophomore in 2026, so he'll want to get it put together quickly.

6. (#95) RHP Tegan Kuhns, Tennessee (2026)
Undrafted
Surprisingly, Tennessee did not land a player on the top twelve position player prospects coming to campus, with shortstop Manny Marin leading the way among the position player group as the #19 hitting prospect reaching campus (#157 on my overall board). Tegan Kuhns is the top overall prospect in their freshman class, coming in with plenty of fame from his prep days at Gettysburg Area High School in southern Pennsylvania. The Volunteers are losing six of their top seven pitchers by innings pitched, including each of their top three, but like the Razorbacks they are also bringing in a couple of big arms in the transfer portal. There still seems to be more opportunity to earn innings in Knoxville than in Fayetteville, and Kuhns is a bit more well-rounded as a prospect than Carson Wiggins. Long a famous name in his draft class, Kuhns sits in the low 90's and touches 95 with his fastball with riding life up in the zone. He has a big two-plane curveball that is still searching for its identity, but at its best it flashes plus and should be a weapon for him in short order in Knoxville. His changeup too is inconsistent, but shows flashes and should be a third solid pitch for him. The 6'4" righty is extremely projectable and figures to add significant velocity onto what aren't currently overwhelming radar numbers, and he's also very athletic on the mound with an elastic delivery and nice lower half extension. While the command is far from pinpoint, he fills up the zone with a healthy dose of strikes and should fine tune that as he grows into his lanky frame. While Kuhns doesn't have one standout pitch or tool, he's exactly the way you draw up a young pitching prospect in many ways with the frame, athleticism, and upside to show three above average or better pitches in time. Like Wiggins, Kuhns is very old for the class and will be eligible as a sophomore in 2026.

7. (#109) RHP Connor Gatwood, Auburn (2027)
Drafted – 19th round (pick #562), Los Angeles Angels
It was a rough season on the Plains last year as the Tigers went just 8-22 in SEC conference play, but there's reason for hope even with star outfielder Chris Stanfield transferring to LSU. Though all three of Auburn's draftees were pitchers, they return plenty of firepower on the mound and bring in a very nice set of transfers to augment that pitching staff. Their top recruit to reach campus, Connor Gatwood, has a huge arm as well and figures to push hard for innings on that crowded Tiger pitching staff. His fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and reaches 98 with tough angle from a high slot, while his power slider is creeping closer and closer to 90 and keeps hitters off his fastball well. He has a changeup too, but it's firm at this point. Like Carson Wiggins a few slots up on this list, Gatwood generates his velocity easily with a simple delivery in which he looks like he's just stepping and throwing. The 6'5" righty is extremely physical, more so than most other names on this list, with a big league body that looks to stand up to the rigors of pro ball once he gets there. The arm strength too is extremely impressive, giving the Auburn staff a lot to work with. For now, Gatwood's stuff is all hard, and he's going to have to find a way to change speeds better and soften things up. Both his slider and changeup stand out more for velocity than movement, and he lacks a true change of pace offering. The Mobile native (Baker HS) generally stays around the zone pretty well, but the strikes are scattered and he can miss more often than you'd like at this point for a pitcher jumping into SEC competition – not unexpected for a freshman of course. Auburn will look to develop this extremely physical, powerful freshman arm into a more well-rounded starting pitcher that can change speeds before gassing you up with upper 90's cheddar.

8. (#116) LHP Mason Russell, Arizona (2027)
Drafted – 20th round (pick #599), Cincinnati Reds
Eight pitchers combined to start Arizona's 59 games last year, and going into 2025 they'll return just four of those starts – three from Raul Garayzar and one from Bryce McKnight. While Christian Coppola (Rutgers) was a nice find in the transfer portal, this wide open rotation gives Mason Russell a tremendous opportunity to jump straight in and log significant innings right away. The top lefty pitching prospect to reach campus, Russell is a local kid out of Casteel High School in the southwest corner of the Phoenix metro and one of the more advanced prep arms to reach campus. His fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 95, and he holds that velocity through his starts. He has a sharp curveball and can work it into a solid slider, while his changeup has looked pretty solid too when he's used it. The 6'2" lefty moves very well on the mound with an athletic, repeatable delivery that helps him fill up the strike zone with improving command that now looks average and could get to above average in time. It's not the world's loudest profile overall, lacking a standout pitch or tool like I mentioned with Tegan Kuhns above, but especially now that he's throwing more strikes, there aren't many weaknesses either. There's some projection here as well and if Russell can add a tick or two of velocity while maintaining his progress in the command department, he should become an impact arm in Tucson and beyond.

9. (#127) RHP Jackson Barberi, Florida (2027)
Undrafted
Florida loses five of its top six pitchers by innings pitched, including all of its top three, but never ever mistake the Gators for having a thin pitching staff. In addition to a bevy of young arms returning and ready to take the next step, they added Clemson's Billy Barlow in the transfer portal and as always will pack as much arm talent into that staff as any program in the country. Leading the incoming freshman class will be Atlanta-area product Jackson Barberi, who brings as much upside as any incoming freshman pitcher in the country. The arm talent here is elite, with a fastball that sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 97 with explosive life at its best. He can rip off some above average sliders with nice bite while his changeup has become a usable third pitch. For now, the stuff is extremely inconsistent, as his velocity backs up deeper into starts and he can be hovering around 90 by the middle innings, while he can drop his arm and get around his slider in an attempt to snap it off harder. The 6'4" righty is extremely projectable and figures to hold his velocity much better as he fills out his lanky frame, perhaps pushing his peak velocities into the upper 90's as well. He also has an explosive right arm that does the heavy lifting in what is a pretty raw operation on the mound, another piece of low hanging fruit in his development that could help him hold his peak stuff better. To top it off, Barberi is extremely young for the class and didn't turn 18 until he was already on campus, making him more than fifteen (!) months younger than the trio of Duncan Marsten, Carson Wiggins, and Tegan Kuhns above him on this list. Barberi may not jump into consistent innings right away in Gainesville, especially not in the rotation, but his athleticism, arm strength, and projectability give him tremendous upside and he could be a force for the Gators by years two and three.

10. (#128) LHP Cole Gibler, Arkansas (2027)
Undrafted
I mentioned in Carson Wiggins' writeup that Arkansas returns an extremely deep pitching staff despite losing its entire weekend rotation to the draft. While it will be difficult for any freshmen to break through, Wiggins and Cole Gibler make for one of the best incoming one-two punches on the mound of any school and they complement each other nicely with very different skill sets. While Wiggins is about big arm strength and upside, Gibler is a more well-rounded arm that could work his way into the rotation more quickly. The fastball sits in the low 90's but can reach as high as 97 in shorts stints with riding action. He has the makings of a solid breaking ball that could be an above average pitch with just a little more refinement to create more finish on the pitch, while his changeup is advanced for a high schooler and can get SEC hitters out right away. While Gibler isn't as explosive as some names on this list, he moves well on the mound with a clean, athletic delivery that creates a low launch and helps him pound the strike zone with above average command. This is an athletic, durable lefty with three potential above average pitches and above average command, a profile that lends itself very well to starting both in the short and long term. Expect Gibler to earn a weekend rotation spot quickly after one comes available, which may not be immediately given the Razorbacks' depth on the mound.

11 (#136) RHP Anson Seibert, Tennessee (2026)
Drafted – 16th round (pick #476), Detroit Tigers
With Tegan Kuhns already mentioned above, Anson Seibert makes it two incoming freshman who were very, very well known for years on the showcase circuit. Seibert in fact had first round buzz early on in his high school career, and while he continued to perform well in the calendar year leading up to the draft, he settled into more of the third or fourth round range and a flexor strain that ended his season in April allowed other names to move ahead. While it's not clear exactly what is going on with that injury, it looks like he may have had Tommy John surgery which would knock him out for his freshman season too. If that is indeed the case, he'll have just one season in orange before he's draft eligible as a redshirt freshman in 2026. Still, getting Seibert to campus is a big win for Tony V and co. given his tremendous upside and ability to carry the pitching staff for one season if that's all he gets. When healthy, the fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and has touched 99 in short stints, coming in with riding action from a high slot. Continuing a theme on this list, his slider shows above average potential with nice bite but is inconsistent at this point, while his changeup is relatively advanced for a high school arm and gives him a third solid offering. Anson stands out on the mound at a towering 6'8", and while he's still skinny, he has begun packing weight onto that massive frame and now clocks in at a listed 235 pounds with room for more. He moves well on the mound, especially for his size, with athletic actions and a short, simple arm circle. Still, as is often the case with lanky preps, he's still searching for consistency with his release point and his command remains fringy. He'll spend his rehab season further building up his strength and honing in his mechanics, which combined with the power fastball gives him the chance to return a force to be reckoned with in 2026.

12. #139 RHP Joshua Whritenour, Florida (2027)
Undrafted
I mentioned above that Jackson Barberi would have tough competition breaking through the young arms in Gainesville, and he's not the only star pitching recruit coming to campus. Joshua Whritenour is another live arm with big upside, and similar to Barberi he does have development ahead of him. At his peak, Whritenour can sit in the low to mid 90's and reach as high as 97 at peak, though that number fluctuated in 2024 as he battled illness that now looks to be behind him. He shows a promising slider that looks above average at peak with high spin and nice snap, and the next step will be creating more finish on the pitch to get below advanced SEC bats. His changeup is a third solid option with nice fading action, giving him a nice baseline to develop at Florida. In 2023, the 6'2" righty was really extending down the mound with an explosive delivery that could impact his command at times, but in 2024 he simplified that delivery and did a much better job staying within the zone, now looking to have average command. Whritenour is on the skinnier side and will look to bulk up in Gainesville, where he should be able to hold his peak stuff over longer periods of time and develop into a solid weekend starter. With three average or better pitches and great athleticism with a quick arm, the upside is certainly there for more and he could become an impact starter in pro ball.

Others
13. (#141) RHP Lazaro Collera, Miami (2027)
14. (#162) RHP Christian Chatterton, Auburn (2026)
15. (#177) RHP Jason Flores, Texas (2027)
16. (#179) RHP Drew Rerick, Texas (2027)
17. (#188) RHP Jack DeTienne, Xavier (2027)
18. (#191) RHP Casan Evans, Louisiana State (2027)
19. (#193) LHP Mason Brassfield, Texas Christian (2027)
20. (#196) LHP Tomas Valincius, Virginia (2027)

Saturday, August 31, 2024

2024 MLB Draft Review: Milwaukee Brewers

Full list of draftees

The Brewers looked at the slot value structure, laughed, and went their own way spreading their bonus pool all over the place. They saved about $1.7 million on their first two picks, gave nearly a million of that back to second rounder Bryce Meccage, then saved another three quarters of a million dollars on third rounder Jaron DeBerry. They also knew that Meccage and competitive balance pick Chris Levonas would be tough signs, so they drafted seven preps (mostly pitchers) on day three plus two more tough-sign college arms. It turns out that Levonas didn't sign, so they spread the money around and spent more than two million dollars against their bonus pool on four of those day three arms, leaving five (plus Levonas) unsigned. This was a clearly pitching-heavy draft, as after taking bats with their first two picks, the Brewers only signed one position player the rest of the way. They targeted unique fastballs, projection, and youth relative to class, trusting heavily in what's been a pretty successful pitching development pipeline.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. "2-50" would indicate that a player was drafted in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-18: OF Braylon Payne, Elkins HS [TX] {video}
Slot value: $4.53 million. Signing bonus: $3.44 million ($1.09 million below slot value).
My rank: #51. MLB Pipeline: #53. Baseball America: #54.
The Brewers played their first pick anything but straight up. Braylon Payne was almost universally considered a second round talent, but Milwaukee was so convicted in his tools and projection that they grabbed him here in the middle of the first round, paying the Houston commit roughly the slot value for the #25 pick here at pick #18. That move saves the Brewers more than a million dollars, savings which they would deploy a round later on New Jersey prep arm Bryce Meccage. Payne, meanwhile, is no slouch. He stands out first for his plus-plus speed that regularly impacts the game on both sides of the ball, but he's more than a speedster. He's skinny at this point at 6'2", 185 pounds, but he has steadily gotten more physical and projects to continue to do that for a long time. He starts with his hands high before dropping them into the hitting zone, gashing line drives around the park with regularity against Houston-area pitching in 2024. It's a bit of a disconnected stroke that is purely focused on contact at this point, and when he misses, he usually misses on top of the ball with lots of ground balls that play well to his blazing speed. As Payne continues to refine his swing mechanics and learn to leverage the ball, he could tap fringe-average power in the long run with the potential for 10-15 home runs per season, perhaps more at peak. Still, it will always be a hit over power profile. Meanwhile, he's a weapon in center field with strong feel for the position beyond his speed, so he'll not only stick there but provide positive big league value despite his weaker arm. Age ties the profile together nicely, as Payne didn't turn 18 until a month after the draft and has plenty of time to grow both physically and in his skillset. If it all breaks right, he could be Milwaukee's leadoff man of the future.

CBA-34: 1B Blake Burke, Tennessee {video}
Slot value: $2.70 million. Signing bonus: $2.10 million ($598,300 below slot value).
My rank: #37. MLB Pipeline: #65. Baseball America: #51.
I love this pick. Blake Burke is a borderline-first round talent, and they saved nearly $600,000 here by signing him to roughly the slot value of the #44 pick. If you've followed college baseball at all, you know who Tommy White is, and Burke actually stacks up extremely well against his more famous LSU counterpart. Firstly, Burke is a big, physical presence in the box at a listed 6'3", 235 pounds, looking even bigger as he stands straight and tall awaiting the pitch. He has a simple left handed swing that channels all of his brute strength into plus-plus raw power, power which he taps effortlessly and consistently in games. Beyond the power, he actually has plus bat to ball skills to make a ton of contact inside and outside the zone, though the hit tool plays down just a tick due to an extremely aggressive approach. Burke chases roughly a third of the time, one of the highest rates among early draft picks, yet still struck out in less than 15% of his plate appearances in 2024 as he made contact anyways. Pro and MLB pitchers will "know how to miss" a bit better than college pitchers, which will make things more difficult on Burke, though his bat to ball should help bail him out until he makes the appropriate adjustments. Meanwhile, the Northern California native is a non-athlete that will be limited to first base, where his well below average speed and heavy feet will be less of an issue. Despite his lack of athleticism, he does handle himself well around the bag and should be just fine at first base. Like Braylon Payne, Burke is young for the class and turned 21 a month before the draft. He has picked up four hits, all singles, in sixteen at bats with four strikeouts to two walks through five games at High A Wisconsin.

2-57: RHP Bryce Meccage, Pennington HS [NJ] {video}
Slot value: $1.56 million. Signing bonus: $2.5 million ($937,900 above slot value).
My rank: #55. MLB Pipeline: #51. Baseball America: #71.
After saving over $1.5 million on their first two picks, the Brewers began to cash in here by bringing in one of the top prep arms in the Northeast. With a signing bonus roughly fitting for the #37 pick, the Brewers pulled Bryce Meccage away from a Virginia commitment. Meccage sits in the low 90's and touches 97 with a fastball, an explosive pitch that plays up further with riding action. He has great feel for spin at this point, showing both an above average curveball and slider with distinct shapes to miss bats. The changeup is behind, but you'll happily take three potential above average pitches. Meccage is a great athlete with explosive actions on the mound, repeating his delivery well for average command that you don't often see paired with his caliber of stuff. 6'4" righty also has a very physical frame with additional room to fill out and add even more power, giving him legitimate ace upside especially in a system like Milwaukee that develops pitching well. While like most high school pitchers he has a long way to go, this is a special arm talent that already shows some polish.

CBB-67: RHP Chris Levonas, Christian Brothers HS [NJ] {video}
Slot value: $1.23 million. Signing bonus: did not sign.
My rank: #63. MLB Pipeline: #59. Baseball America: #74.
As a fellow New Jersey power armed righty, Chris Levonas is a very similar arm to Bryce Meccage. The Brewers hoped their massive savings in the first two rounds would help them lure Levonas away from a Wake Forest, but unfortunately they could only afford one and they won't be able to spend his $1.23 million slot value elsewhere. Like Meccage, he has a low 90's fastball that touches 97 with riding life and also shows excellent feel for spin. He can really rip through his power curveball with big spin rates and nasty bite, and he can shift it into more of a cutter/slider that looks like an above average pitch in its own right. Again like Meccage, the changeup is a bit behind. While Meccage is a little more physical, Levonas is an even more explosive athlete that gets down the mound extremely well with projection remaining on his 6'2" frame. Because he's so explosive on the mound, his command can be impacted and he can get scattered, so Wake Forest will look to smooth that out a bit while preserving the big time stuff. He has a chance to become a superstar under the tutelage of renowned pitching coach Corey Muscara.

3-93: RHP Jaron DeBerry, Dallas Baptist {video}
Slot value: $788,700. Signing bonus: $25,000 ($763,700 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #459.
Continuing with the bonus pool games, the Brewers more or less punted their third round pick from a bonus standpoint, grabbing senior sign Jaron DeBerry for a minuscule $25,000. The bonus standpoint disclaimer is important, because Deberry is an impressive arm. He began his career at Northern Oklahoma JC, then transferred to Grayson JC as a sophomore and finally on to Dallas Baptist for his junior and senior seasons. 2024 was his best year yet, impressively completing at least five innings in all sixteen of his appearances. The fastball sits around 90, perhaps a tick above, and tops out around 94 with riding and cutting action from a lower slot, making for a sneaky offering that plays up. Following the "feel for spin" theme of this draft class, he leans heavily on his tight, hard sweeper and his downer curveball, while also showing a true cutter, sinker, and changeup, though those are more filler for the arsenal than headliners. He doesn't carry much weight on his skinny 6'2" frame, offering some projection, and he has assuaged durability concerns so far with a consistent, high workload season at Dallas Baptist. DeBerry repeats his delivery well and shows a tick above average command. Between the deep arsenal, consistency, projection, and command, it's a really nice sleeper of a starting pitching profile for a guy who barely signed for any money. And though he's a senior sign, the DFW native is young for his class and didn't turn 22 until more than a month after the draft.

4-123: C Marco Dinges, Florida State {video}
Slot value: $583,400. Signing bonus: $500,000 ($83,400 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
Marco Dinges was a prominent bat in the ACC this past season, though most outlets saw him as a better college hitter than pro prospect. Not the Brewers, who believe fully in the bat and even think he has a chance to catch at the next level. Dinges began his career at Tallahassee JC, planned on transferring to Maryland, then changed course and instead headed down Pensacola Street to play at Florida State where he was all-ACC third team. He's a power-over-hit type with a sturdy 6' frame that can blast balls out to all fields with ease, doing so fifteen times in 2024. He's also a pretty disciplined hitter that walked (13.3%) more than he struck out (12.5%), keeping the swing and miss down by swinging at good pitches he knew he could work with. Meanwhile, Dinges is a below average athlete that has spent a lot of time at DH, though he has made appearances in the outfield and behind the plate. His below average speed limits him in the former, though his above average arm could help him cut it in right field, while he's raw at the latter. However, his strong frame and arm strength give him a nice baseline as a catcher, and if he can maintain his mobility and clean up hsi actions a little bit, he does have a shot to play there. That would certainly elevate the profile considerably, as he'd otherwise have to be carried by his bat alone which could go either way. He is young for the class, not turning 21 until more than a month after the draft. So far, he's slashing .303/.378/.394 with a 9/4 strikeout to walk ratio through eight games at Low A Carolina.

5-156: RHP John Holobetz, Old Dominion {video}
Slot value: $422,900. Signing bonus: $322,500 ($100,400 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
John Holobetz is another one that was off the radar a bit. Another transfer, he began his career at Radford and played the last two seasons across the state at Old Dominion, where he has been a valuable swingman for the Monarchs. Holobetz has a low 90's fastball that gets up to around 95, with more likely in the tank. He complements the fastball with a nice slider, and those two are his main weapons. Holobetz lost his spot in the rotation after four turns this spring, but showed very well as a long reliever and still averaged over four innings per appearance overall. He has above average command and moves extremely well on the mound, with significant projection remaining in his 6'3" frame. He could cut it as a back-end starter if he brings the changeup along, or his stuff has a chance to really leap forward in shorter stints with better command than most relievers. It's a pretty fun arm that the Brewers tend to do well with. Breaking from the theme a bit, the Pennsylvania native is older for the class and turned 22 shortly after the draft, making him older than senior Jaron DeBerry and more than a year older than fellow junior Marco Dinges.

7-215: LHP Mason Molina, Arkansas {video}
Slot value: $257,400. Signing bonus: $254,900 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: #190. MLB Pipeline: #225. Baseball America: #147.
After a stretch of names expected to go a bit later in the draft, Mason Molina is one of the more famous players to be taken by any team in this late day two part of the draft. Molina was a coveted prep arm out of Southern California, landing at Texas Tech where he was a central piece of head coach Tim Tadlock's pitching staffs in 2022 and 2023. Transferring to Arkansas this past season, he slotted right into the Razorback rotation and turned in another solid season, giving a really extensive body of work overall. His fastball sits around 90 and tops out around 95, which isn't overwhelming, but it plays way above its velocity with massive riding life to make it almost like an invisiball. He has a big, deep curveball and a tighter slider, both of which reliably miss bats in the zone when he executes them, which is often. Molina rounds things out with an above average changeup with great fading action, and it might be his best pitch when all is said and done. He lacks a true strikeout pitch and the breaking balls lack the true snap to elicit chases, but he's a high IQ pitcher who effectively sequences his pitches and works through lineups. The 6'2" lefty has gotten bigger at Arkansas, now clocking in at 230 pounds, and lacks projection at this point. Still, he's young for the class and only turned 21 shortly before the draft, so there's hope he could add a frankly necessary tick or two to his fastball in pro ball. It's hard to call anybody high floor these days, but as a durable lefty with four pitches he knows how to sequence, Molina is a high probably back-end starter and struck out three over two shutout innings in his first start at Low A Carolina.

13-395: LHP Joey Broughton, Northville HS [MI] {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $535,000 ($385,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: #143. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #168.
If the Brewers weren't going to sign Chris Levonas (plus a few other day three picks), Joey Broughton is more than a nice consolation price after they gave him late fourth round money to sign away from a Pittsburgh commitment. He was teammates with Phillies first round pick Dante Nori at Northville High School in the Detroit suburbs, making for possibly the best hitter/pitcher combination of any high school in the country. Broughton is a very interesting sleeper. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 95-96, but it plays way above its velocity with huge riding action from a low release point, an uncommon combination. He has a big, two-plane curveball with nice finish, with the chance to become an above average or even plus pitch with added power. There's also a changeup in there that he hasn't fully gained feel for, but does flash some nice ones. It's a fairly athletic, crossfire delivery with a bit of longer arm action that can impact his command, but he repeats it well and has a chance to be average or better in that regard. The 6'2" righty has some projection but is pretty sturdily built right now, giving him every chance to start overall. This is a nice day three sleeper with real mid-rotation upside, showing the potential for three above average pitches from the left side.

15-455: RHP Travis Smith, Kentucky {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $462,500 ($312,500 against bonus pool).
My rank: #218. MLB Pipeline: #179. Baseball America: #265.
This is an interesting pick and a case of the Brewers really trusting their talent evaluation as they hand Travis Smith fifth round money here in the fifteenth round. Smith was a highly regarded recruit out of Northern Kentucky, but missed his freshman season with both heart surgery and Tommy John surgery. He earned a full time role in the rotation in 2023, putting himself in early day two consideration heading into 2024, but he lost his spot in the rotation this past spring as he struggled to a wholly unremarkable season. He planned to transfer to Mississippi State for 2025, but the Brewers believe in the arm talent and gave him the money he was expecting before his tough season. Smith has a low 90's fastball that gets up to about 96-97 at peak, coming in with running and sinking life from a lower slot to avoid hard contact. He has a tight slider that works well off his fastball, which he can work into a cutter to split the difference, and also has a changeup that's a bit behind. Smith has had streaky command at Kentucky and struggled to stay ahead of hitters in 2024, leading to an elevated 12.5% walk rate but perhaps more concerning, just an 18.8% strikeout rate that represented the second lowest mark of any of the 54 college pitchers on my draft board. The Brewers will have to unlock better execution to get him missing bats at a higher rate, as the current product won't cut it in pro ball. The arm talent is certainly there, though, and Milwaukee thinks they can unlock it with perhaps some tweaks to the stuff and usage.

16-485: RHP Jayden Dubanewicz, Stoneman Douglas HS [FL] {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $665,000 ($515,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
The Brewers continued doing their thing, this time handing out another large bonus to Jayden Dubanewicz, who signed for early fourth round money to skip a Florida commitment. This one is a pure projection play. Dubanewicz is long and lanky at a listed 6'3", 160 pounds, looking like he could legitimately add fifty-plus pounds as he gets into a pro conditioning program. The fastball sits in the low 90's right now and only tops out around 92-93, so that added strength will be key. The fastball comes in with running and sinking action from a lower slot, while the slider is loopy but gets nice finish diving the opposite direction. His changeup is a third pitch but present. Dubanewicz is very raw and may need to hang back in complex ball for a little bit, but the Brewers believed he would have exploded at Florida and they'd prefer to have him explode in their own system. If it works out, the sky is the limit.

18-545: RHP Tyler Renz, Fox Lane HS [NY] {video}
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $852,500 ($702,500 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #279.
The Brewers shelled out a lot of large bonuses on day three, but none were larger than the $852,500 handed to St. John's commit Tyler Renz – roughly the slot value for the #88 pick, mid-third round. Like Jayden Dubanewicz, he's a pure projection play. The fastball hovers around 90 and tops out around 93 in short stints with running action, so he'll certainly need to add velocity. He has nice feel for a slider with late bite, while his changeup is a distant third pitch. Renz is extremely projectable at a listed 6'4", 180 pounds, with a sturdy frame that looks fit to add that weight. He also has a free and easy delivery that helps him stay under control and fill the zone, giving him the potential for above average command in the long run. Renz is extremely young for the class, tying Diamondbacks second rounder Ivan Luciano for the second youngest player in the entire draft and not turning 18 until November. That adds to the projection in a big way, and if he can add about five MPH to his fastball while continuing to progress with his command, he has a chance to be an impact starting pitcher.