Showing posts with label Alex McFarlane. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Alex McFarlane. Show all posts

Sunday, August 7, 2022

2022 MLB Draft Review: Philadelphia Phillies

Full list of draftees

The Phillies played their bonus pool pretty straightforward here, rarely going to far above or below slot value until the back of day two, where they saved a little money in rounds eight through ten to make a day three splash on Mississippi high schooler Emaarion Boyd. Boyd along with first rounder Justin Crawford gives the Phillies two of the fastest players in the class, with Crawford especially showing superstar upside. Between third rounder Gabriel Rincones and fourth rounder Alex McFarlane, they picked up a couple of guys with unique backgrounds while seventh rounder Caleb Ricketts looks like an interesting sleeper. On day three, they made the hometown crowd happy by picking three Pennsylvanians in a span of four picks, one each from the eastern, central, and western portions of the state.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.

1-17: OF Justin Crawford, Bishop Gorman HS [NV]. My rank: #22.
Slot value: $3.79 million. Signing bonus: $3.89 million ($100,000 above slot value).
The son of four time All Star Carl Crawford, Justin Crawford has a chance to be one of the best players in this draft. He's had helium throughout the cycle, punctuated by a big spring that earned him interest as high as the top ten picks. The Phillies feel lucky to land him here, as the Mets were rumored to be very in on Crawford at picks #11 and #14. He is an exceptional athlete that is every bit as fast as his dad, who stole 480 bases in the majors, making the field look small with his long strides that get him from A to B in a flash. He's extremely projectable at 6'3", with plenty of present, lean strength already that helps him lash hard line drives around the field and then wreak havoc with his legs. As he fills out, he could grow into plus power if he learns to elevate the ball more, but for now he's happy with that line drive approach and it obviously works for him. Over the summer, he did have some trouble with breaking balls, but his hit tool looked more consistent this spring and there isn't too much swing and miss to speak of. Throw in the potential to win Gold Gloves for his defense in center field, and you have all the makings of a future superstar. The Las Vegas native does have a ways to go to reach that ceiling, including refining his approach a little bit and learning to elevate the ball with more authority, but he's just 18 years old and has plenty of time to figure it out. He had been committed to LSU but as he continued to rise this spring, that became a moot point.

3-93: OF Gabriel Rincones, Florida Atlantic. My rank: #154.
Slot value: $660,100. Signing bonus: $627,500 ($32,600 below slot value).
There are roundabout paths to baseball stardom, and then there is Gabriel Rincones. Originally from Venezuela, he moved with his family to Scotland as a child and lived there until he was twelve, then spent his high school years in Tampa, Florida. From there, after he fell so far behind as a baseball player due to not playing in Scotland, he wound up at St. Petersburg JC for two years before transferring to Florida Atlantic. Rincones took off at FAU, slashing .346/.451/.658 with 19 home runs and a 51/42 strikeout to walk ratio over 58 games, and now finds himself in the top one hundred picks. He's a power-over-hit bat that produces high exit velocities from a very strong 6'4" frame, with no issues tapping that power in games. The ball really jumps off his bat, and he's only trending upwards. Rincones is a patient hitter with an improving hit tool, though he does still swing and miss some, especially against offspeed stuff, and that will be a point of emphasis going forward. A well below average runner, he was drafted as an outfielder but may be confined to first base in the long run. He'll have to hit in order to play every day in Philadelphia.

4-122: RHP Alex McFarlane, Miami. My rank: #151.
Slot value: $493,000. Signing bonus: $575,000 ($88,000 above slot value).
Keeping with the theme, the Phillies selected a second consecutive Florida college player with a unique geographic background. Alex McFarlane, whose mother was an olympic taekwondo participant and whose father was a sprinter, grew up in the US Virgin Islands for most of his life. While Gabriel Rincones moved from Scotland to the baseball hotbed of Tampa to play at the powerhouse Plant High School program, McFarlane went a little more off the map and wound up at Habersham Central High School in rural northeastern Georgia. He earned significant draft interest out of high school but wound up on campus at Miami, where he still hasn't quite put it all together but has thrown well enough to keep scouts coming back. He began 2022 in the rotation but quickly moved back to the bullpen, finishing with a 4.00 ERA and a 68/20 strikeout to walk ratio over 45 innings. McFarlane sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball, but can reach back and touch the upper 90's in short stints. His slider flashes plus at its best and can miss a ton of bats, though it is inconsistent, and he also adds a decent changeup. Ultra athletic and still projectable at 6'4", he gets down the mound extremely well but his mechanics regularly get out of sync, leading to command questions. With his size, athleticism, and arsenal, he continues to look like a big league starter, but he's just never been able to hold down that role to this point in his career. He's still young, having only turned 21 in June, and getting into a pro development program could be all he needs to pull it together. If he can get more consistent with his offspeed stuff and mechanics, he can still start. If not, that fastball slider combination played well out of the bullpen at Miami and could step forward in the Phillies system.

5-152: RHP Orion Kerkering, South Florida. My rank: #182.
Slot value: $368,300. Signing bonus: $322,500 ($45,800 below slot value).
Going back to the Florida college ranks for a third consecutive pick, and Orion Kerkering may have one of the best names in the draft. A lights out reliever for South Florida in 2021, he moved into the rotation this spring and was inconsistent, posting a 5.72 ERA and a 91/19 strikeout to walk ratio over 67.2 innings, spending more time back in the bullpen as the season went on. Kerkering has a power arm, sitting in the low to mid 90's with his fastball and touching 97 in relief, though it has only average life and plays true. His best pitch by far is a nasty, plus slider with late bite, earning regular recognition from Pitching Ninja. He also adds a fringy changeup, but the slider is the bread and butter here. The Florida native goes right after hitters, pounding the strike zone and rarely hurting himself with walks. An average athlete, the 6'2" righty probably fits back in the bullpen in pro ball, where he can pitch more effectively off his slider and add some velocity to his fastball to make up for the lack of life. The command isn't pinpoint, but because he likes to challenge hitters, I don't imagine the walks will creep up in a bullpen role like they may in a starting role.

7-212: C Caleb Ricketts, San Diego. My rank: unranked.
Slot value: $220,600. Signing bonus: $218,800 ($1,800 below slot value).
The Phillies picked up an interesting sleeper in the seventh round. Caleb Ricketts was a breakout star at San Diego, slashing .373/.423/.658 with 16 home runs and a 29/14 strikeout to walk ratio over 56 games. He's an aggressive hitter and walked at just a 5.5% clip in 2022, a rate lower than any player on my draft rankings by a good margin (Daniel Susac was next closest at 7.4%), but he makes a ton of contact regardless and only struck out 11.5% of the time. So if you're watching Ricketts hit, expect a short at bat where he puts the first pitch he likes in play. He utilizes a nice, easy left handed swing to make all that contact, perfectly content knocking a ground ball through the hole or poking a line drive over an infielder's head, but there is pop in the bat. When he does turn on the ball, he produces impressive exit velocities that could make him a dangerous hitter moving up the ladder. It will be up to him and the Phillies where they want to land on his contact/power balance, but as the saying goes, "get you a guy who can do both." Behind the plate, he's unremarkable with the glove and doesn't have the strongest throwing arm, but his quick transfer helps make up for the lack of plus arm strength and he held runners very well in 2022. It's an interesting ball of clay for the Phillies to work with, especially for a senior sign that turned 22 in May, and he's already off to a red hot start for Low A Clearwater with a .500/.526/.667 slash line, including a home run, through four games.

11-332: OF Emaarion Boyd, South Panola HS [MS]. My rank: unranked.
Slot value: up to $125,000. Signing bonus: $647,500 ($522,500 against bonus pool)
The Phillies' biggest over slot play of the draft came in the eleventh round, where they paid Emaarion Boyd nearly $650,000 to forego a commitment to Northwest Florida JC. Boyd stands out for his plus-plus speed, which he puts to good use beating out ground balls on the infield, stretching extra base hits in the gaps, and taking away hits in the outfield. He's ultra skinny right not at a listed 6'1", 175 pounds, with plenty of room to grow into that frame and put on strength. For now, he lashes line drives around the field, but he has the leverage in his right handed spring to turn that into usable game power as he gets stronger. The swing can get a bit rigid for now and he needs to refine his overall approach at the plate, but that's not unexpected for a kid from rural northwestern Mississippi. Boyd is more refined in the outfield, where he has a chance to be an above average center fielder, albeit with ordinary arm strength.

12-362: C Jordan Dissin, Saddleback JC. My rank: unranked.
Slot value: up to $125,000. Signing bonus: $125,000.
The Phillies went with a hometown pick in the twelfth round, grabbing catcher Jordan Dissin out of Saddleback Junior College. Although Saddleback is in California, Dissin is a Philadelphia-area product, having grown up in the far northwestern exurb of Pottstown and attending Malvern Prep for high school and growing up a Phillies fan. He began his college career at Richmond in Virginia, but transferred out after barely seeing the field as a freshman. Once at Saddleback in Southern California, he broke out and slashed .393/.505/.577 with four home runs and a 35/33 strikeout to walk ratio over 45 games, raising his profile significantly. Having just turned 20 in May, he's a very disciplined hitter for his age with a patient approach, though to this point he has much more doubles power than home run power. At 6'3", he has an ideal frame to grow into more. Behind the plate, he shows the strong arm needed to stick back there. He picked up one hit in four at bats in his first game in the Florida Complex League, striking out the other three times.

14-422: SS Bryan Rincon, Shaler Area HS [PA]. My rank: unranked.
Slot value: up to $125,000. Signing bonus: $125,000.
In the fourteenth round, the Phillies crossed the state to grab Bryan Rincon out of Pittsburgh. He grew up in Venezuela, but moved to Pittsburgh as a teenager and attended Shaler Area High School just across the Allegheny River to the north. He's only 5'11", but he packs a ton of strength into his smaller frame and uses it well. A switch hitter, he's still refining his swings but shows a direct bat path and the ability to drive the ball to all fields. Rincon is also an above average defender at shortstop with quick feet and smooth actions, though I haven't seen enough recent video to be convinced of his arm strength just yet. He may not be the quickest mover through the system but could eventually work his way up as a solid all-around hitter whose glove adds value. He had been committed to San Jacinto JC in Texas but the Phillies managed to keep him in the Keystone State.

15-452: OF Troy Schreffler, Maryland. My rank: unranked.
Slot value: up to $125,000. Signing bonus: $125,000.
Troy Schreffler gives the Phillies a third Pennsylvanian in a span of four picks. A Harrisburg native, he attended Central Dauphin High School on the northeastern edge of town in the Linglestown/Skyline View area. Heading south to Maryland for college, he played sparingly as an underclassman but broke out as a junior when he finally cracked the starting lineup, slashing .340/.421/.557 with ten home runs and a 64/30 strikeout to walk ratio over 62 games. He's a right handed hitter that uses the whole field effectively, with his power mostly playing to the pull side but showing the ability to extend his arms and drive it the other way as well. His strikeout rate is a bit elevated at 21.8%, but it has come down from his time as an underclassman and it was his first time playing full time. The Phillies will try to manage the swing and miss in pro ball so that he can continue to tap his solid gap and over the fence power. Schreffler stands out on defense with a knack for the dramatic play, showing great range in the outfield and looking very comfortable making plays up against the wall. The upside here is that of a fourth or fifth outfielder that can handle the bat and play all three outfield positions more than capably. So far with Low A Clearwater, he is slashing .167/.318/.278 with six strikeouts to two walks through five games.

Sunday, June 23, 2019

2019 Draft Review: St. Louis Cardinals

First five rounds: Zack Thompson (1-19), Trejyn Fletcher (2-58), Tony Locey (3-96), Andre Pallante (4-125), Connor Thomas (5-155)
Also notable: Pedro Pages (6-185), Jack Ralston (7-215), Alex McFarlane (25-755), Chris Newell (37-1115)

The Cardinals typically draft well, and this year was no different. They went pitching-heavy and college-heavy, taking eight pitchers with their first eleven picks and ten college players in those first eleven picks. This will replenish the pitching depth in what is currently a hitter-heavy system, as the underperformance of many of the system's better pitchers may leave Johan Oviedo, who you probably haven't heard of, as their pre-draft top pitching prospect. That's now easily Zack Thompson, and guys like Tony Locey and Andre Pallante add more depth as potential future #4 starters. Because they were able to get Thompson for $360,000 below slot, they were able to go over slot on three high schoolers and a JuCo bat on day three, helping add even more depth with this class. However, spending $400,000 against their bonus pool on those four guys will make it nearly impossible for them to sign highly regarded 25th rounder Alex McFarlane or 37th rounder Chris Newell.

1-19: LHP Zack Thompson (Kentucky, my rank: 18)
Thompson was projected to go closer to the 11-14 range, and while I wasn't quite that high on him, this is good value for the Cardinals at #19 overall, especially given that he signed for a discount. After an injury-slowed sophomore season where he posted a 4.94 ERA and a 42/20 strikeout to walk ratio, he bounced back for a huge 2019 in which he posted a 2.40 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, and a 130/34 strikeout to walk ratio over 90 innings, including a 2.27 ERA and a 93/27 strikeout to walk ratio in the gauntlet of SEC play. Thompson is a 6'3" lefty from just outside of Muncie, Indiana armed with four good pitches, including a low 90's fastball, a slider, a curveball, and a changeup, all of which he uses to miss bats and keep hitters off balance. His command isn't pinpoint but it was a little better this year and he could easily end up becoming a mid-rotation starter, though I have a hard time seeing him become more than that because while he has a slew of good pitches, nothing stands out as a true plus. Thompson signed for $3 million, which was $360,000 below slot.

2-58: OF Trejyn Fletcher (Deering HS [ME], my rank: 79)
This move is very risky for the Cardinals, especially considering the fact that Fletcher required an overslot bonus. Fletcher is from Portland, Maine, but attended the Trinity-Pawling School in New York for his first two years of high school before transferring back to Deering High School back in Portland for his junior season. However, he was set to turn 18 in April and was therefore very old for a high school junior, so he re-classified to an age-appropriate senior in March. Because he's coming from way off the beaten prospect path in Maine and scouting directors thought they had another year to evaluate him anyways, that drove a mad rush to the far north as teams scrambled to evaluate him. As you would expect, Fletcher is extremely raw, but he's an exceptional athlete who shows power and speed to dream on. His swing needs a lot of mechanical tweaks, as he doesn't get much extension at all, but the bat is quick and produces nice raw power. His hit tool is also completely unproven, as he didn't hit particularly well in summer ball and Maine high school competition isn't exactly the toughest. Defensively, he's an asset in center field with his speed and arm strength, though he has to work on the mental/instincts portion of his game out there. Fletcher has a long, long way to go, but if all goes well, the Cardinals could turn him into an all-around impact player with power, speed, and good defense, and that's why they spent $1.5 million ($290,000 above slot) to sign him away from a strong Vanderbilt commitment.

3-96: RHP Tony Locey (Georgia, my rank: 120)
Last time, I wrote about the Mariners taking Georgia starter Tim Elliott in the fourth round, this time, I'll write about the Cardinals taking Georgia starter Tony Locey in the third round, and next year, I'll likely write about somebody taking Georgia starter Emerson Hancock in the first round and Georgia starter Cole Wilcox somewhere on Day One. Anyways, Locey has improved every year in Athens after posting a 6.38 ERA as a freshman and a 4.28 mark as a sophomore, this year going 11-2 with a 2.53 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a 97/45 strikeout to walk ratio over 89 innings. He's a big guy at 6'3", 240 pounds, and he uses a mid 90's fastball that can reach higher to miss bats. He also adds a slider, a curveball, and a changeup, though the slider is the only secondary offering that will have any effectiveness in pro ball at this point. He also has fringy command, so the Cardinals will have a couple of things for him to work on if he wants to remain a starter. If he can sharpen either the curve or the changeup, he has a chance to make it as a #5 starter, and if he can sharpen both or just one plus his command, he could be a #3 or a #4 guy. However, as it stands, he carries reliever risk and could wind up as a fastball/slider bullpen guy who blows hitters away with an upper 90's fastball. One thing working in his favor is his age, as he is young for a junior and doesn't turn 21 until July. The Warner Robbins, Georgia native signed at slot for $604,800.

4-125: RHP Andre Pallante (UC Irvine, unranked)
I'm a one man crew, so I wasn't able to get to Pallante before the draft, but if I had, I think I would have ranked him above Locey. The Southern California native posted a 2.68 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and an 89/29 strikeout to walk ratio over 94 innings this year, albeit with a pitcher-friendly home park at UC Irvine. He's a smaller guy at six feet tall and has long arm action, but he's athletic and throws plenty of strikes. Stuff-wise, he sits in the low 90's with his fastball and adds three secondary pitches, though none stand out as plus. Still, he has exhibited solid pitchability and if the Cardinals can tone down his delivery just a little bit, he could easily have above average command. There's definitely reliever risk due to his lack of size, but he has some upside and could be a #3 or #4 starter. He's also very young for a college junior, not turning 21 until September, which helps his case. Pallante signed at slot for $455,600.

5-155: LHP Connor Thomas (Georgia Tech, unranked)
Two rounds after taking a South Georgia native in Georgia's Tony Locey, the Cardinals grabbed another South Georgian in Connor Thomas, who travelled from rural Tift County up to the big city at Georgia Tech. However, while Locey is a 6'3" power pitcher armed with a big fastball, Thomas is just about the opposite. This year, the 5'11" lefty posted a 3.11 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 103/19 strikeout to walk ratio over 113 innings, and I think the numbers tell the story. Thomas only sits in the upper 80's with his fastball, but he adds a very good slider and changeup and commands all three pitches exceptionally well from a low three quarters arm slot. As a little lefty without velocity, Thomas will have very little margin of error, but he might be just fine in that case because of that command and secondary stuff. At a skinny 5'11", he's unlikely to add too much more velocity, but if the Cardinals can get him up a tick or two to sit around 90, he could be a successful #4 or #5 starter. Otherwise, he could be a command-minded reliever. He signed at slot for $340,000.

6-185: C Pedro Pages (Florida Atlantic, unranked)
The Cardinals went for a back-up catcher here, grabbing Pedro Pages out of FAU. He's gotten better with the bat every year after slashing .243/.366/.383 as a freshman and .309/.368/.436 as a sophomore, this year slashing .310/.423/.438 with six home runs and a 45/43 strikeout to walk ratio over 60 games for the Owls. He's a good defender with a very strong arm, which means that he'll stick back there and that will take pressure off his bat. At the plate, he can produce some pull power from a swing with plenty of torque, but it doesn't show up in games all that often and he's more of an all-around average hitter. He's patient at the plate and draws a lot of walks, boosting his profile, and he projects more as a backup catcher rather than as Yadier Molina's full-time heir to the position. The Miami native signed for $250,000, which was $11,600 below slot, and he collected five hits (including two doubles) in his first nine at bats at short season State College, also adding two walks.

7-215: RHP Jack Ralston (UCLA, unranked)
While Rangers second rounder Ryan Garcia got most of the attention as UCLA's ace, it was actually Jack Ralston who led the #1 regular season team in the country in innings pitched. He came out of nowhere this year, too, as he redshirted his true freshman season in 2016, did not pitch during his redshirt-freshman season in 2017, then posted a 6.44 ERA and an 18/14 strikeout to walk ratio during his redshirt-sophomore season in 2018. Still, he was talented enough to earn a stint in the Cape Cod League, where he had a 7.11 ERA and walked six batters over 6.1 innings. However, everything clicked and then some in 2019, as the 6'6" righty posted a 2.66 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a 110/33 strikeout to walk ratio over 101.1 innings, including a 2.21 ERA in conference play in a tough Pac-12. He's a fastball/curveball guy with the former sitting in the low 90's and the latter being a true plus pitch, though he lacks much of a changeup. His command improved significantly this year and is now closer to average, though he still has a lot of moving parts and long arm action in his delivery. Realistically, he's probably a fastball/curveball reliever that could be very effective in short stints, though he has plenty of arm strength and projectability and the Cardinals could conceivably help him succeed as a #3 or #4 starter if a) he improves his changeup and b) he maintains the strides he has made with his command. Ralston is young for his class so despite being in his fourth year at UCLA, he doesn't turn 22 until August. He signed at slot for $204,800.

25-755: RHP Alex McFarlane (Habersham Central HS [GA], my rank: 114)
McFarlane was talented enough to go in the top five rounds, but signability away from his Miami commitment knocked him down to the 25th. He grew up in the U.S. Virgin Islands, but moved to the mountains of Northeast Georgia for his senior year of high school. McFarlane is a 6'3" righty with variable fastball velocity, sitting in the low 90's at his best but dipping to the high 80's both late in games and late in the season. His slider flashes plus at times but also lacks consistency, and he has a changeup that needs work. He is extremely athletic and has a quick arm, but he needs to get more efficient with his delivery and that in turn could help him add more power to his stuff. McFarlane, like many high schoolers, comes with a high ceiling and a low floor, and we'll likely find out more about that in Coral Gables over the next three seasons.

37-1115: OF Chris Newell (Malvern Prep HS [PA], my rank: 89)
Like McFarlane, Newell could have been a top five round or even top three round pick, but signability away from Virginia caused him to fall to the 37th. Newell is an athletic outfielder from the Philadelphia area with plenty of tools. He has an uppercut swing that produces above average power from a 6'2" frame, though he has some questions about his hit tool that will need to be addressed at the next level, which will likely be the ACC. He also has some speed and should be able to handle center field, taking some pressure off his bat. He and McFarlane will face each other in ACC play over the next three years and will be eligible again in 2022.