Monday, May 15, 2017

2017 Draft Preview: Logan Warmoth

SS Logan Warmoth (University of North Carolina): 6', 190 lbs, born 9/6/1995

Overview

Hit: 55. Power: 45. Run: 55. Throw: 50. Field: 50.

Nothing stands out about Warmoth, but he has no glaring weaknesses, either. The UNC shortstop played well on the Cape (.270/.330/.450 in 111 PA) and that has carried over into this season (.330/.408/.537 in 233 PA as of May 15th). He gets on base, he has a little pop, he can run, and he can play the middle infield, making his most likely outcome something between a solid utility man and a decent starting second baseman or shortstop. In a class very short on college bats, that's a nice find, and Warmoth will likely hear his name be called somewhere in the back half of the first round or in the supplemental/competitive balance rounds, putting his approximate range between pick 20 and pick 35.

Strengths
As I said earlier, there are no standout strengths for Warmoth, but his biggest strength is a lack of weaknesses. He has a .408 on-base percentage so far in 2017, and his 25 extra base hits (15 doubles, 3 triples, 7 home runs) have lead to a career best .207 ISO. He has 24 walks for a solid 10.3% rate, and he has stolen 17 bases in 20 tries, good for an 85% success rate. He does a good job of transferring his weight in his swing and already has some loft, and with his track record in both the Cape Cod League and the ACC, he has a high floor. If he doesn't stick at shortstop defensively, he can still be a solid second baseman.

Weaknesses
Warmoth doesn't have a standout tool, so he'll have to make sure nothing slumps, or he can get forgotten. If any of his tools don't play up, he could find himself as a utility man. All of his tools look like they will, but he doesn't have much of a margin for error. Though his 10.3% walk rate has been solid this year, I would like to have seen fewer strikeouts, as his 32 whiffs give him a 13.7% rate. He also struck out three times in the game I saw him in, all swinging, and looked lost at the plate before finding himself against Virginia Tech's weak bullpen.

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