Wednesday, September 24, 2025

2025 MLB Draft Review: Tampa Bay Rays

Full list of draftees

Unsurprisingly, especially given their two extra picks (giving them five of the first 86), it was a very deep, very strong, and very interesting Tampa Bay Rays draft class this year. Led by a ton of high-end prep talent up top, actually marking four of those first five picks, it's a class that mixes ultra high ceilings with strong, all-around ballplayers. While the draft tends to be a crapshoot, it's a near certainty that at least a handful of these picks turn into meaningful big league contributors in some capacity. While each of the first five picks were position players, the Rays leaned on pitching deeper into the draft and at one point selected ten straight in rounds six through fifteen.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-14: SS Daniel Pierce, Mill Creek HS [GA]
Slot value: $5.31 million. Signing bonus: $4.31 million ($1 million below slot value).
My rank: #14. MLB Pipeline: #13. Baseball America: #24.
I am a huge fan of this pick, especially given that the Rays picked up Daniel Pierce for a million dollars below the slot value for the #14 pick, just above the slot value of the #20 pick, to pull him from a Georgia commitment. Pierce is a true jack of all trades. He entered his senior season a known commodity as a heady baseball player with a broad set of skills, but showed up in the spring looking bigger, faster, and stronger to suddenly vault himself from a likely third division regular to a potential all-around star. The son of his school's head baseball coach, the baseball IQ still shows up in Pierce's game on both sides of the ball with strong instincts and a hard-nosed, gritty style of play. His loose, rhythmic right handed swing makes plenty of contact to all fields, and now that he has begun to fill out his 6'1" frame, there is increasing authority behind the swing as he works his way towards average power. It will always be a hit over power approach with the potential to post high on-base percentages at the major league level, but now that could come with about 15 home runs annually. If he begins to elevate more, that home run output could creep higher. A great athlete, the Atlanta-area product is a plus runner that makes things happen on the bases and in the field. His hands and playing style work well in the dirt, and he has the arm strength to stick on the left side of the infield. With continued progress, he has a shot to be an average big league shortstop defensively, no small feat given the fierce competition at that position. One minor down side is age, as Pierce turned 19 less than a month after the draft. A career similar to fellow Atlanta product Dansby Swanson may not be too far off, though Pierce has a shot to be a better pure hitter.

CBA-42: OF Brendan Summerhill, Arizona
Slot value: $2.33 million. Signing bonus: $2 million ($333,500 below slot value).
My rank: #21. MLB Pipeline: #16. Baseball America: #22.
While Brendan Summerhill was probably over-ranked by most outlets including on my own list, this remains tremendous value outside of the top forty picks especially given the discount. Summerhill played sparingly as a freshman and showed an advanced bat if also a lack of impact, but lurched forward with a big sophomore season in 2024 before showing very well against top pitching in the Cape Cod League (.286/.358/.441 in 24 games). Heavily considered in the top half of the first round and a potential target for the Rays first pick at #14 entering the season, he actually increased all three legs of his slash line from 2024 to 2025 – .324/.399/.550 to .343/.459/.556 – while dropping his strikeout rate (12.9% to 11.6%) and increasing his walk rate (11.1% to 17.4%). However, a broken hand (I believe from punching a locker) and a subsequent hamstring tweak limited him to 44 games despite Arizona's deep College World Series run and questions around his overall impact weren't quite answered, so he slipped quite a bit farther than many expected him to. Still, Summerhill is a great prospect and at pick #42 represents a much better ballplayer than you would expect to find outside the first round, especially at a discount. His left handed swing is geared for contact and he makes a ton of it, rarely ever whiffing while growing more and more disciplined at the plate. Most guys who run mid 80's contact rates and sub-12% strikeout rates like he does do so with a slappy approach, but Summerhill stands 6'3" and has flashed very solid exit velocities in the past. The power didn't really show up in 2025 and looked below average at times, and the fact that he'll walk away from a career at very hitter-friendly Hi Corbett Field with just 14 home runs in 124 games may point to a guy who will always be contact-over-power. The Rays see the projection in that lanky frame and know what he's capable of when he really gets behind a baseball, and they'll work to mold that ultra-accurate swing to tap more power and possibly outgrow what is currently a 10-15 home run projection and push it closer to 20 annually. The Chicago native is also an above average runner who has shown well in the outfield, with a shot to play center field if he can continue to progress with the glove. There is a chance he is pushed to a corner by a more explosive defender, and given the power questions, center field would certainly look better. Still, the on-base ability and power projection should play for an every day role at any position and if he wound up in left field, he would be above average there to boot. There are a ton of building blocks here and for that reason many still thought he belonged in the first round.

2-53: SS Cooper Flemming, Aliso Niguel HS [CA]
Slot value: $1.8 million. Signing bonus: $2.3 million ($494,000 above slot value).
My rank: #78. MLB Pipeline: #82. Baseball America: #102.
After saving over $1.3 million on their first two picks, the Rays started to use their savings here by paying Cooper Flemming closer to the value of Brendan Summerhill's #42 pick to sign here at #53. Flemming has bounced around a bit, playing at three different Southern California high schools and committing to play across the country at Vanderbilt before Tampa came calling with the paycheck, but he found his home at Aliso Niguel High School in Orange County. Flemming, like Daniel Pierce, has a very well-rounded profile that lacks any glaring holes. He is an advanced hitter with a mature approach that has enabled him to produce virtually everywhere he's been, including against strong competition on the showcase circuit and in Southern California. He hit especially well this spring, prompting some late helium that saw him drafted far ahead of most projections as the Rays believe he's not only the best he's ever been, but setting the stage for sustained, significant progress in the near future. At this point, Flemming is very much a hit over power bat that shows below average pop overall, though he made strong impressions in the spring and looks to have been flashing more fringy pop lately. Listed at 6'3", 190 pounds, he's projectable with room to add more strength, giving him a good shot to reach average power in the end or, if you want to dream, potentially above average power. However, like Pierce, he's old for the class and turned 19 a month after the draft (actually the day after Pierce). The overall projection is a high on-base bat with home run totals in the teens. He has shown solid glovework up the middle and the Rays will likely trot him out at shortstop to start, with a chance to stick there if he can maintain his average speed and get a little more dynamic out there. He tends to load up on his throws a little bit and for that reason may fit better at second or third base, but regardless he should stick on the dirt. Flemming did pitch at times in high school and has run his fastball up to 92, so he has the arm to play the latter.

SUP-67: OF Dean Moss, IMG Academy [FL]
Slot value: $1.29 million. Signing bonus: $2.1 million ($812,100 above slot value).
My rank: #81. MLB Pipeline: #56. Baseball America: #97.
Dean Moss, a product of local powerhouse IMG Academy in Bradenton, is a very interesting prospect. He travelled across the country from his Silicon Valley home to play at IMG, then signed for top-fifty money rather than attend LSU. In addition to moving across the country for high school, he has been a mainstay on the showcase circuit with a toolset and flare that play right into the showcase model. He hits from a wide base with a high handset and significant bat waggle, coiling back onto his back leg before scissoring forward and exploding onto the baseball with huge bat speed. Despite the setup, he has actually been more hit over power in games with an extremely advanced approach at the plate that has helped him remain unfazed by advanced arms. While the extra movement can cause his pure bat to ball to play down when he tries to sell out for power, which was too often earlier in his prep career, he has done a better job of staying within himself lately. Due to his average size (6', 180 pounds), the power does play better when he coils up and tries to turn on it, so going forward it will be about finding a balance. His instincts play up in the outfield as well, where despite average speed he has a shot to play center field. There's still a chance he gets pushed to a corner by a better pure runner, with above average arm strength which could make him an above average right fielder. At this point, his throws can get inaccurate when he tries to load up and sling it, so similarly to his hitting, he'll need to stay within himself. Moss is another old-for-the-class prospect who turned 19 way back in April, making him age appropriate for a college freshman rather than a high school senior. The age should be less of an issue around polish, as he has shown both a polished bat and glove, and more around his ability to add strength to his lean frame. Moss is a great mover with a lot of things going for him, so if he finds balance on both offense and defense rather than selling out his swings and his throws for power, he could be a really dynamic option in Tampa.

3-86: C Taitn Gray, Dallas Center-Grimes HS [IA]
Slot value: $920,800. Signing bonus: $918,300 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: #79. MLB Pipeline: #92. Baseball America: #83.
I've never seen "Taitn" as a first name and I reckon I never will again. Taitn Gray signed for slot value here in the third round, which is a tremendous bargain given he had interest as high as the second round and had been committed to Oregon. Already listed at 6'4", 220 pounds, he stands out for not only his physicality but his plus-plus raw power among the best in the entire prep class. A switch hitter, he brings a violent operation with huge bat speed and strength beyond his years to pummel baseballs into a fine powder. Previously a bit of a sleeper coming out of the Des Moines area because he hadn't been seen much on the showcase circuit, tales of his power reached nationwide during his senior spring and he showed very well at both the PBR Super 60 in February and the MLB Draft Combine in June. He still hasn't been seen much against top pitching so his hit tool is a question, though he has performed plenty well in Iowa and there is no reason to think he can't hit high end pitching. However, as a cold weather switch hitting prep catcher, he may have a steeper climb to an average hit tool than most preps through no fault of his own. He's similarly raw behind the plate, where his glovework can be a bit clunky and he lacks the agility of some of the game's premier defensive catchers. He does move well for his large size and could be a solid average corner outfielder, though of course the value is maximized behind the plate. Gray is extremely young for a high school senior and only turned 18 in August, making him more than a year younger than Daniel Pierce and Cooper Flemming and almost sixteen months younger than Dean Moss, all of whom graduated in the same 2025 class. That youth gives the Rays plenty of time to be patient and move him along slowly, and if he takes well to pro development, the hit tool and glove could come along and make him a power hitting big league catcher. It's hard to find catchers who can hit and Gray could be one of the few if he sticks.

4-117: LHP Dominic Fritton, North Carolina State
Slot value: $648,400. Signing bonus: $497,500 ($150,900 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #233.
Dominic Fritton is a distinctly Rays pick in that he does not stand out on paper, but brings traits that Tampa can put together into a much better finished product. He has spent three years in the NC State rotation to good but not great results, and after going undrafted in 2024, finds himself as an under slot fourth round selection here. He brings a fastball in the low 90's that touches 96 at peak, playing up with riding life from a low release point that gives it flat plane. He shows a solid slider with some depth and a solid changeup, though he mainly pitches off the fastball. Fritton's athleticism is a selling point. The 6'1" lefty has tremendous lower half extension that helps him drive down the mound and get low while maintaining a traditional arm slot, giving him the rare combination of a low release without the three quarters slot. It's a tough look for hitters especially. from a lefty, that gives the Rays plenty of room to get creative. He shows fringe-average command but has been durable and looks to stick in the rotation as a back-end starter, especially if the Rays can work with his unique release traits to help his average stuff play up farther. Given the higher bonus, it seems Tampa is confident in this path. Otherwise, he could sit in the mid 90's with that same ride and flat plane and focus mainly on the fastball in a relief role. The North Carolina native is a full year older than most juniors, having turned 22 in April.

5-147: OF James Quinn-Irons, George Mason
Slot value: $484,400. Signing bonus: $481,900 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: #97. MLB Pipeline: #175. Baseball America: #87.
This is a really fun pick, and a nice bargain and, like Dominic Fritton, he's older than most juniors and was 22 on draft day. A three year starter at George Mason, he has been a one man wrecking crew for the Patriots and is a career .371/.459/.632 hitter with 33 home runs in 148 games. He was at his best in 2025, when he hit a monstrous .419/.523/.734 with 16 home runs in 61 games, earning Atlantic 10 Player of the Year honors and finishing in the top ten nationally in hits (101, 2nd), batting average (.419, 7th), on-base percentage (.523, 9th), RBI (85, 2nd), and doubles (24, 6th). The performance is backed up by the eye test. Quinn-Irons is a hulking 6'5", 230 pounds but moves like a much smaller man. He has plus-plus raw power with elite top-end exit velocities, though the power has played closer to true plus in games. While playing at Mason, he made solid contact with a patient approach and the ability to barrel up most anything in the zone, but it's worth noting that the Patriots did not play a difficult schedule. In his few opportunities against stronger opponents (seven games against ECU, Duke, Maryland, and UNC), he hit a respectable .269/.424/.500 but struck out in a third of his plate appearances, more than double his overall K rate for the season. Now thus far, you might see a 6'5" slugger who OPS'd 1.257 with 16 home runs and assume a certain kind of profile, but there's more here. He's actually a plus runner who stole 36 bases in 61 games, giving him 58 for his career. That speed helps him play a solid center field as well, making the Northern Virginia native a legitimate four tool player. How that fifth tool, namely his ability to make contact and produce against higher level pitching, progresses will tell the story of wether JQI is an impact big leaguer or more of a platoon bat. Given the competition he faced in the A-10, it's hard to do much more than he did.

11-327: RHP Luke Jackson, Texas A&M
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $497,500 ($347,500 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #437.
This is a big gamble by Tampa, signing Luke Jackson for the exact same bonus as fourth rounder Dominic Fritton despite almost a complete lack of track record. He missed the 2023 season with Tommy John surgery, then pitched just 8.1 innings in 2024 without much success. He earned a more prominent role in the bullpen in 2025, but still ended up with a 5.89 ERA and never quite put it together. Jackson has electric arm talent, sitting in the mid 90's with his fastball and touching 98 in short stints with significant life. He drops in a solid slider to miss bats, then has shown the ability to rip a fading changeup at times as well. To this point, his below average command has held him back evidenced by a 13.2% walk rate over his two seasons in College Station. However, the Rays like that he looked a bit sharper in the Cape Cod League (career 11.3% walk rate over two seasons) and think that with more consistent reps on the mound (he has thrown just 26.2 innings in three years in College Station), he can work closer to average. The 6'2" righty is athletic on the mound and hides the ball well with a crossfire delivery, so any improvement in his command could increase what are currently narrow chances of starting. If the Rays are going to pay him half a million, they must think there is a shot. They'll tinker with his stuff mix and see if they can get a little more out of his electric right arm, and the fallback (and most likely scenario) is a hard throwing reliever the likes of which Tampa seems to crank out on the regular.

17-507: C Brody Donay, Florida
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #248. Baseball America: #219.
There is no shortage of baseball talent in Florida, yet Brody Donay is actually the only Sunshine State native to be drafted by the Rays this year. He grew up about thirty miles inland from Tampa in Lakeland, where he played for Lakeland Christian High School and committed to Virginia Tech. He showed well for the Hokies and transferred back closer to home at Florida, where he initially struggled against SEC pitching but cleaned it up for his best year yet in 2025 (18 HR, .303/.418/.646). Listed at 6'5", 235 pounds, he's almost always one of the biggest guys on the field and the profile matches the size. He has plus raw power that has translated into 44 home runs in 145 games over three seasons, tapping it effortlessly with what is often a no-stride operation. He has become much more balanced at the plate over the years and looked like a more complete hitter in 2025, staying within himself effectively and cutting his strikeout rate to a career-low 25.2%, though that is admittedly still a very high number. Donay has always struggled with contact, especially against quality breaking balls, and the progress he made in that department in 2025 is not enough to assuage those concerns. He ran a career 36.4% strikeout rate in two Cape Cod League seasons, though he also blasted ten home runs in 59 games with wood bats and otherwise showed plenty of impact even against elite pitching, highlighting the profile's strengths and weaknesses pretty well. Tampa hopes he can stick behind the plate, where his cannon arm makes up a bit for clunkier glovework that isn't helped by the lanky frame. Florida gave most of its reps to Luke Heyman behind the plate in 2025, and Donay will need a lot of work to stick back there at the pro level. He has the power to profile anywhere on the diamond but given the concerns with swing and miss, keeping that catcher's gear would help take some pressure off the bat. He likely profiles as a first base/bench bat.

UDFA: RHP Trace Phillips, Middle Tennessee State
Slot value: $0. Signing bonus: $629,200 ($629,200 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #206. Baseball America: #190.
When twenty rounds came and went and Trace Phillips didn't hear his name called, it was a foregone conclusion that he would be returning to Middle Tennessee State for his junior season after he had seemingly priced himself out of the draft. However, the Rays failed to sign twentieth rounder Ike Young and found themselves with money left over in their bonus pool. In that case, they turned around and hit Phillips with a surprise offer of mid-fourth round money, the second highest bonus ever given to an undrafted free agent behind Cincinnati's TJ Friedl, which we can all agree worked out pretty well. Phillips carried one of the biggest bats in the Tennessee high school ranks in 2023, then immediately jumped into the Middle Tennessee State lineup as a freshman and slashed .303/.360/.547 with 13 home runs in 2024. An impressive pitcher too, he struggled to a 7.13 ERA in thirteen appearances but intrigued scouts with his arm talent nonetheless. When he showed up for fall practice entering his sophomore year, he blew scouts away with a fastball that had added several ticks of velocity and louder secondary stuff. Unfortunately, his 2025 never fully got off the ground as hand and back injuries limited him to just six starts, though he did nearly double his strikeout rate from 13.2% to 25.4% while slashing his walk rate from 9.3% to 6.0%. Phillips now works with a low to mid 90's fastball that touches 97 at peak, playing best when he can ride it on the top rail. His slider has taken a step forward and looks above average at its best with nice snap, while his fading changeup gives him a third above average pitch. Unlike most arms that see a sudden jolt in velocity, especially ones that deal with injuries at the same time, the Nashville-area native has steadily improved his command and looks above average in that regard. With a projectable 6'3" frame and three above average pitches, he looks every bit like a big league starting pitcher. He'll just need to prove health, which to this point has been hard to come by and a career 6.27 ERA in college doesn't do him any favors. The Rays think he would have rocketed into the top couple of rounds had he been healthy and as a draft eligible sophomore, he was still 20 on draft day.

Tuesday, September 16, 2025

2025 MLB Draft Review: Boston Red Sox

Full list of draftees

Boston put together a pitching-heavy draft class here that featured eight arms in their first ten picks and 15/21 overall, led by a few power arms that reach the upper 90's and even triple digits. For the second straight year, they scooped up a projected top ten pick in the middle of the first round, while third rounder Anthony Eyanson is exceptional value even considering his over slot bonus. Other than the Eyanson pick, the Red Sox mostly played their bonus pool straight up and stayed at or near slot value for virtually every other pick besides one large over slot bonus to Barrett Morgan in the eleventh round.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-15: RHP Kyson Witherspoon, Oklahoma
Slot value: $5.11 million. Signing bonus: $5 million ($114,200 below slot value).
My rank: #9. MLB Pipeline: #10. Baseball America: #7.
They're very different pitchers, but this pick feels a lot like Trey Yesavage a year ago. Yesavage felt like the pretty clear cut SP3 in the class and a top half of the first round pick, but fell to #20 for Toronto. Similarly, Kyson Witherspoon firmly had his name in the upper tier of college arms this year and felt like he should have gone in the top dozen or so picks, but fell to the Red Sox at #15 and signed slightly below slot value to boot. Yesavage has had a very successful first full season in the Blue Jays organization, and Witherspoon will hope to follow the same course. Until now, it's been interesting. He and his twin brother Malachi starred at Fletcher High School in the Jacksonville area, where Malachi was considered a top-few rounds prospect and Kyson was considered to be behind him. They both attended Northwest Florida State JC, where Kyson began to pull ahead, then transferred together to Oklahoma after one season. Both found success in Norman, but while Malachi went #62 overall to Detroit, Kyson clearly established himself as the better prospect and finds himself in the first round. It's electric stuff headlined by a mid to upper 90's fastball that reaches 99 with riding and cutting life from a lower release point. He has a pair of tight breaking balls in a power slider and a newer, truer curveball that he added in 2025, with both flashing plus and projecting as at least above average in pro ball. His changeup has been inching forward too and gives him a fourth potentially average pitch, rounding out the arsenal nicely. Unlike most pitchers with upper 90's heaters and power breaking balls, Witherspoon pounds the strike zone and was able to dominate at bats all season long, finishing sixth in NCAA Division I with 124 strikeouts and running a minuscule 5.9% walk rate. The low walk rate was more due to control (pounding the zone) than command (hitting spots), with hitters just getting overwhelmed with his power stuff even inside the strike zone. The 6'2" righty looks durable though his arm action can get a bit funky with some stabbing action in the back, and while his command has been fringy for most of his career, it really took a step forward over the last calendar year. Witherspoon has #2 starter upside with a combination of velocity, feel for spin, and command that can be very difficult to find.

CBA-33: RHP Marcus Phillips, Tennessee
Slot value: $2.9 million. Signing bonus: $2.5 million ($398,300 below slot value).
My rank: #55. MLB Pipeline: #61. Baseball America: #67.
The University of Tennessee has become synonymous with electric arms, and Marcus Phillips is no exception. He spent a year at Iowa Western JC then transferred to Rocky Top, where he struggled to throw strikes as a sophomore reliever then joined the rotation as a junior in 2025. He started the season hot and especially turned heads with a dominant outing against Florida in March but his command backed up a big and by the end of the season his inconsistency lost him favor among Tennessee fans online. The stuff is loud. Phillips' fastball sits in the mid to upper 90's and has reached 101, coming in with some ride and lots of run from an ultra low release point. It is the proverbial "rocket ship" fastball that I pointed out for Diamondbacks comp pick Patrick Forbes, who went four picks ahead of Phillips. The South Dakota native has a bullet slider in the upper 80's that can really tie hitters up with short, tight, late bite, and it's his go-to secondary. While he doesn't use his changeup much yet, it's a very promising pitch that looks above average and should continue to progress as he throws it more in pro ball. It's one of the better three pitch mixes in this entire draft class. The 6'4", 245 pound righty is ultra physical and a strong athlete for his size, but he throws with some effort and has struggled with inconsistent command, leading his stuff to play down when he gets behind in the count and has to come over the heart of the plate. There can be days where Phillips is surrounded by traffic on the bases all game, so first up for Boston will be streamlining his delivery to help him maintain his power stuff while pitching a little more under control. If he can do that, he has a chance to become a #2 or #3 starter, though the command at present could push him to the bullpen. Still, he'll be tickling triple digits there with a pair of nasty secondary pitches,

2C-75: SS Henry Godbout, Virginia
Slot value: $1.09 million. Signing bonus: $1.09 million.
My rank: #94. MLB Pipeline: #72. Baseball America: #80.
Boston's first position player of the class is one of the best pure contact hitters in the country. Henry Godbout is a three year starter at UVA who hit .372/.472/.645 as a sophomore, which put him into second round consideration before a good-not-great junior season pushed him down to the second comp round for the Red Sox. All Godbout does is hit. He has a simple right handed swing that allows him to smack the ball around the field with incredible consistency, using all fields effectively and finding holes with the best of them. Combine that with a strong approach at the plate and you get a guy who has walked (12.4%) far more than he has struck out (8.8%) over the past two seasons while running elite contact rates near 90%. While he has some size to him at 6'2", he's not particularly twitchy and his swing is not geared for power, leading to below average pop that could get to fringe-average at best. That likely means single digit home run totals in most seasons with the potential to peak around 10-15 annually in his prime. Drafted as a shortstop, the lack of twitch probably keeps him at second base long term, where he played all year for UVA. He is an average overall athlete. How far the Brooklyn native goes will be determined by his power, as there is little question that he can put the ball in play consistently even against upper minors and MLB pitching. He'll need to put some impact behind that contact in order to remain productive, which the Red Sox believe he can do even with wood bats. I think Boston would be happy if he reaches something like a Nico Hoerner ceiling.

3-87: RHP Anthony Eyanson, Louisiana State
Slot value: $907,200. Signing bonus: $1.75 million ($842,800 above slot value).
My rank: #44. MLB Pipeline: #40. Baseball America: #32.
Usually it's prep players who are floated down the board for large over slot bonuses, but every year a few college players sneak through. This year it was Anthony Eyanson, who leveraged his youth relative to his class to sign for roughly the slot value of the #54 pick here at #87. Even with the large bonus, it's a great get for Boston given that Eyanson was at times projected as high as the 30's. He began his career at UC San Diego, where he quickly established himself as one of the most projectable arms on the West Coast, then transferred to LSU for his junior year in 2025. The results were excellent despite the jump in competition, and his 152 strikeouts ranked third in NCAA Division I behind only top five picks Kade Anderson (180, Mariners) and Liam Doyle (164, Cardinals). The Southern California native works off a low to mid 90's fastball that reaches 98 at peak, albeit with average movement. Previously known for a sharp downer curve that remains an above average pitch, his sweepier slider has taken a step forward in Baton Rouge and become a true plus out pitch. The changeup is starting to come along as well, giving him a fourth solid pitch to round out the arsenal. Eyanson is a great athlete with a controlled, springy delivery that enables him to hold his stuff deep into starts and remain around the zone. While the command is average, he is aggressive in the zone and does a nice job limiting his walks. Additionally, the 6'2" righty only turns 21 in October, a birthday that would typically put him as a rising college junior rather than one who just completed his junior season. The athleticism and youth make the Red Sox think there is much more in the tank for Eyanson, bringing projection that would typically be found in a high school rather than a college prospect. He now has three years of college performance, including one in the SEC, under his belt even with the projection ahead and has plenty of now stuff. The Red Sox may tinker to find more movement on his fastball but the velocity and feel for spin are big league ready. Eyanson has mid-rotation starter upside.

4-118: SS Mason White, Arizona
Slot value: $642,200. Signing bonus: $642,200.
My rank: #160. MLB Pipeline: #143. Baseball America: #161.
Mason White has a lot of clear strengths and a lot of clear areas for improvement. A three year starter at Arizona, he has reached double digit home runs, batted over .300, and slugged over .600 in each season as one of the better performers to come through Tucson in recent years. 2025 was his best season yet as he hit .327/.412/.689 with 20 home runs across 65 games, all career highs, and a couple huge performances in May (4-4, 2 HR vs West Virginia in the Big 12 Tournament on 5/23 and 4-5, 3 HR against Utah Valley in the Eugene Regional on 5/31) boosted him at the end. I have variously seem him listed between 5'9", 171 pounds (Baseball America) and 5'11", 186 pounds (Arizona website), but regardless of his measurables he is clearly smaller than the prototypical power hitter. Still, the little guy can really swing it with electric hands and bat speed that produce plus raw power regardless. With 49 career home runs and a .636 slugging percentage over 177 games, he's tapping it too, albeit in Arizona's hitter-friendly environment. The swing is geared for launching baseballs to the pull side and that has worked consistently in season, though there are big contact questions. He has hit just .184/.284/.316 with a 28.4% strikeout rate over two seasons and 61 games against top pitching in the Cape Cod League, struggling to tap his power and struggling even more to make contact. The strikeout rates have been high in Tucson as well, though he did cut them from an ugly 30.5% as a sophomore in 2024 to a still high, but more reasonable 21.5% as a junior in 2025. He has a lot of moving parts in his left handed swing with a big leg lift, some barrel tip, and a lot of hand movement, which combined with an ultra aggressive approach can make it hard to avoid racking up whiffs. He will almost certainly need to tone things down in pro ball in order to produce against pro pitching, perhaps sacrificing some power to cut the strikeouts. Meanwhile, the Tucson native has seen time all over the infield and could fit at any position, though shortstop may be a stretch with defensive tools looking closer to average than plus. He profiles as a power hitting utility infielder, though if he can continue making contact there is a ceiling of a Rougned Odor type.

9-268: RHP Jacob Mayers, Louisiana State
Slot value: $203,500. Signing bonus: $190,000 ($13,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #304.
While CBA pick Marcus Phillips can touch 101 with his fastball, he's not the hardest throwing pitcher in this Red Sox draft class. That would be Jacob Mayers. Mayers began his career at Nicholls State, where he sat low to mid 90's and missed bats in bunches while also walking a ton. His 105 and 106 strikeouts in 2023 and 2024, respectively, both led the Southland Conference, but he also walked 76 batters in 70.2 innings in 2024. LSU loved the arm strength and brought him over, but while he was a starter at Nicholls, his lack of command pushed him to the bullpen in Baton Rouge and he walked 20 batters in 15 innings. He made two starts in the MLB Draft League after the season, striking out a dozen but also walking six more in 6.1 innings. Mayers has massive stuff, to say the least. In longer outings, the fastball sits comfortably in the mid 90's, but he ratchets it up to the upper 90's in short stints and has reached as high as 102. Not only that, but the pitch comes in with huge riding and running action to make it one of the most unhittable fastballs in the entire country. He has a power slider in the upper 80's that gets nice depth when he's on it, while his low 90's splitter is another pitch that can be dastardly when it's located. Problem is, nothing is really ever located. Nearly a decade ago when Riley Pint was one of the top prospects in the 2016 draft, I remember reading his fastballs being referred to as "poorly aimed lightning bolts." I think that is an apt description for Jacob Mayers in 2025. He has true bottom of the scale command, with the baseball exploding out of his hand in a direction that could be anybody's guess. In relief when he's running it up near triple digits and riding it in on right handed hitters, that can be a terrifying at bat when one gets away from him up and in. While his glove arm makes a bit of a roundabout trip down the mound and he coils and uncoils a bit over his front side, it's otherwise a pretty clean delivery and probably more a matter of how electric his stuff is than a lack of body control. The 6'5" righty native leans heavily on the fastball and struggles to command his offspeed stuff (not that he controls the fastball much better), and Boston will want to get him throwing the slider and splitter more often against pro hitters who can catch up to 100 up and in. He's almost certainly a reliever long term, and if the Red Sox can get him to even below average command, he could be a high leverage reliever in the Josh Staumont mold. Having turned 21 just a month before the draft, the Baton Rouge-area native is on the younger side for his class.

10-298: SS Maximus Martin, Kansas State
Slot value: $191,300. Signing bonus: $191,300.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #223. Baseball America: #184.
Maximus Martin has had a bit of a winding career, but joining the Red Sox will bring him back to his roots in the Northeast. While inconsistencies kept him out of the top echelon of prospects in 2022, he was a local scout favorite as a New Jersey prep and had some projections as high as the second round, though he probably fit better in the third on talent. Firmly committed to rep his home state at Rutgers, he made it to campus but only stayed for one season as he earned intermittent playing time despite showing solid power and on-base ability. Transferring to Georgia State for the 2024 season, he got to play every day but didn't hit for as much power. Transferring a second time to Kansas State in 2025, he broke out for his best season yet and payed his way back into draft conversations. Martin has gotten noticeably stronger during his time at school(s) and now shows plus raw power that he tapped more than ever with 14 home runs in 2025. The power can play down at times as he can expand the strike zone and doesn't always get his A swing off, which also leads to elevated strikeout rates. Contact and consistency have been a question mark since his prep days and while the production returned with a vengeance in 2025, he did strike out 22.6% of the time and his sub-70% contact rates painted a more concerning picture. It seems that he has frequently had to choose between contact and power throughout his career rather than showing both at the same time, so his development will hinge on finding a balance between the two. Defensively, he has played shortstop and center field in Manhattan and has a shot at either in pro ball, though as he's gotten thicker he may project better at third base or a corner outfield spot. The bat is obviously much more attractive if he can maintain his speed and agility and stick higher up on the defensive totem pole, with a future as a platoon bat more likely if he slips down. The raw ingredients are there for a very solid big league contributor.

11-328: RHP Barrett Morgan, Cowley County JC [KS]
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $500,000 ($350,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
With some money left over, the Red Sox dropped fifth round money on Barrett Morgan to begin the third phase of the draft to flip him from a Texas A&M commitment. Morgan pitched two years at Cowley JC in southern Kansas, where he served as the Tigers' closer and put up an absurd 2025 in which he struck out 40 of the 82 batters he faced (48.8%) while allowing just one run and four walks over 21.1 innings. He works with a low to mid 90's fastball that touches 97 at peak with angry running and riding life from a high slot, coming in with downward plane. He works in a sharp curveball as well to keep hitters off balance, though it can get inconsistent at times. Morgan pounded the strike zone fearlessly this year and in short bursts, hitters couldn't pick up his stuff. While he has thrown exclusively in relief in Arkansas City, the 6'5" righty has the size, command, and delivery to start long term if he can lengthen his arsenal a bit. He'll need a changeup, which I feel he should be able to work in, and a bit more consistency with his curveball. Already packing 230 pounds on that big frame having turned 20 in March, he looks plenty durable. This is an interesting under the radar pick to follow for Boston.

13-388: 3B Jack Winnay, Wake Forest
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #384.
Jack Winnay gives the Red Sox a local kid in this draft. A native of Newton, a suburb just a few miles west of downtown Boston, he attended Belmont Hill High School in nearby Belmont before heading south to Wake Forest for college. After mostly riding the bench as a freshman, he stepped into an every day role as a sophomore split between first base and the outfield while cracking 35 home runs in 119 games between 2024 and 2025. He excels at getting the ball up in the air to the pull side, a skill teams covet more and more as it directly translates into game power. He controls his quick right handed uppercut well, limiting the strikeouts and controlling the zone fairly well, albeit not perfectly. Together, his approach helps his average raw power play into above average game power, something the Red Sox think will hold has he moves to wood bats and away from the hitter-friendly confines of David Couch Ballpark in Winston-Salem. The first base/corner outfield combination is not the most attractive, especially for right handed hitters, but the Red Sox think Winnay can play a solid third base and have tried him out there in the minors. If he can stick at the hot corner, it takes some of the pressure off his bat and he could work his way up as a platoon type who can hit for some power and get on base. If not, he'll really need to hit while fighting that uphill right-right corner profile. Though he was a true junior, Winnay is very old for the class and turned 22 in June, making him roughly sixteen months older than fellow junior draftee Anthony Eyanson of the same graduating class.

18-538: LHP Cade Fisher, Auburn
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $150,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
Scouts in the Southeast have long hoped that Cade Fisher would put it together, and while thus far it hasn't happened, the Red Sox remain hopeful that his best days are ahead of him. Fisher began his career at Florida, where he immediately took on important innings as a reliever and ran a minuscule 6% walk rate with 13 walks in 49.1 innings as a true freshman. At the time, he was getting early projections as a future first round pick. While he posted healthy strikeout and walk rates as a sophomore in 2024, his ERA ballooned from 3.10 to 7.13 as he struggled to keep runners off base and subsequently from scoring. Transferring to Auburn in 2025, he brought his ERA back down to a more respectable 4.68 but his stuff and peripherals did not follow, leaving him as a bit of an enigma. Though he touched 95 at Florida, his velocity was way down at Auburn and far too often he lived in the mid to upper 80's, only tickling the low 90's when he really reached back. It doesn't matter what your command looks like, if your name isn't Jared Weaver or Jamie Moyer, that's not going to play. Fisher has a big sweeping slider that projects as a plus pitch with more power, while he also shows a solid fading changeup. In addition, the North Georgia native attacks hitters from a low three quarters slot that puts flat plane on the baseball, while his extension really creates a unique look for hitters. The Red Sox drafted another high extension lefty last year in Payton Tolle that has already looked great, though Tolle was admittedly a very different pitcher otherwise. Fisher is extremely projectable at 6'3" and moves well on the mound, previously showing plus command as a freshman though it has backed up to above average over the last couple seasons. If the Red Sox can help him regain some of his lost velocity, he could be a real steal in the back of the draft. The size, handedness, release characteristics, and command are all coveted and velo is just about the only thing missing.

Thursday, September 11, 2025

2025 MLB Draft Review: Minnesota Twins

Full list of draftees

While many teams played games with their bonus pool, the Twins went a little more straight up and stuck around slot value for nearly every pick. Minnesota targeted a wide variety of skill sets, from glove-first to big power to power arms, but size was a common thread. Their first six picks were 6'6" on average. Yes, 6'6" on average, including the tallest player in the entire draft in the 6'11" Jason Reitz. I like what they did here overall and I think this will be a strong class.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-16: SS Marek Houston, Wake Forest
Slot value: $4.93 million. Signing bonus: $4.5 million ($432,100 below slot value).
My rank: #16. MLB Pipeline: #15. Baseball America: #14.
Previously known for drafting power bats early, Minnesota has moved off of that strategy a bit in recent years (besides Walker Jenkins in 2023) and certainly went a different route with Marek Houston. He's one of the more interesting prospects that got drafted in the first round this year. Recruited as a light hitting shortstop, he took the reins at the premium position for Wake Forest as a true freshman in 2023 despite hitting just .220/.328/.307 in 65 games (the most ever appearances for a Wake Forest freshman). When his bat took a step forward to the tune of a .326/.433/.516 line as a sophomore, scouts took notice. Then when he homered in his first three games of the 2025 season (while picking up ten hits in his first four games), igniting a red hot start to the season in which he carried a .400 batting average through 28 games into late March, his name rocketed towards the top of the draft. At one point he reached as high as #4 on my board, making him the top college bat in the class, but a mid-season slump in which he hit .154/.302/.192 over a 14 game stretch gave his stock a little market correction, bringing him back to the middle of the first round where he probably belonged. Houston stands out first for his glove. He is as slick as they come on the dirt, with all of the actions, body control, and twitch you look for in a plus major league shortstop. With an above average arm, he'll certainly stick there and provide value. The Tampa-area product has always been a competent hitter, with a great combination of patience and pure bat to ball to give him an above average hit tool. The approach played up in the Cape Cod League, too, where he hit .306/.465/.329 with an impressive 22.8% walk rate. In 2025, Houston traded some of his contact for power and managed to send fifteen baseballs over the fence, nearly doubling his previous career high of eight, and now looks like he could hit 10-15 home runs annually in the big leagues at peak. His power shows up almost exclusively to the pull side and plays much better with metal than with wood bats, so that piece of his game does remain a question mark. Overall, Minnesota will look to strike a balance between his previous line drive-oriented approach and his newer one in which he gets a little more coil in his load and a little more uppercut in his bat path, though he still posted very healthy contact rates with the new power-oriented approach. Houston's glove buys his bat significant slack and if he can continue to show impact with wood bats in pro ball, he should be Minnesota's every day shortstop in short order.

CBA-36: RHP Riley Quick, Alabama
Slot value: $2.69 million. Signing bonus: $2.69 million.
My rank: #33. MLB Pipeline: #38. Baseball America: #35.
Minnesota went big righty in the competitive balance round. We regularly hear about draftees starring in other sports – as quarterbacks, wide receivers, shooting guards, and sprinters – but we don't often get offensive linemen making the transition to the diamond. That's exactly what the 6'6", 255 pound Riley Quick did with such success that he earned four star recruiting grades in high school, but he's a pitcher now. The big guy missed most of the 2024 season with Tommy John surgery but was a reliable starter for Alabama in 2025 while showing big stuff to match. His fastball parks in the mid 90's with ease, touching 99 in short stints with sink though he can manipulate the shape into a more traditional four seamer or a cutter. His slider has taken a step forward this year and projects as comfortably above average, often. flashing plus with power snap. The changeup is a bit behind, but again he's working hard to gain consistency there and it should be a reliable third pitch at the big league level if a bit firm. Quick combines his size and athleticism to generate nice extension down the mound and make his already power stuff jump on hitters quicker. His command has come and gone, but it has improved with more consistent time on the mound and with a little fine tuning he could get to average in that regard. Ultimately, the ceiling here is that of a big, durable, hard throwing starting pitcher with two plus pitches and enough command to pitch deep into starts. If the changeup comes along and he holds his command, he has #2 starter upside.

2-54: SS Quentin Young, Oaks Christian HS [CA]
Slot value: $1.76 million. Signing bonus: $1.76 million.
My rank: #65. MLB Pipeline: #37. Baseball America: #56.
Here is the big power bat that we were waiting for. Quentin Young can tout Dmitri and Delmon Young as uncles, and he can swing it with both of them. Already listed at 6'6", 225 pounds, he possesses some of the loudest power in the prep class and he's shown it off everywhere he's gone. Using a big, pull-oriented swing aimed at sending the ball over the left field foul pole, he has launched pitches from high level pitchers on the showcase circuit and at home in Southern California into the stratosphere on more than a few occasions. His operation consists of a high handset, a subtle but tight coil in his hips, a slow leg kick, then a violent unwinding in which he gets his foot down about as late as any hitter I've seen. The moving parts in his swing combined with the violence in his operation does lead to fringy bat to ball, and his approach at the plate could use significant polish as well. Right now, he has the look of a 30+ home run bat with plus-plus power that could be derailed by strikeouts if he doesn't clean things up. Minnesota will work to get him more disciplined around the zone while perhaps streamlining his operation a bit to help him keep his prodigious power without selling out. Drafted as a shortstop, he almost certainly winds up at third base at some point given his size and his average speed that figures to regress a bit as he ages. Young has somewhat heavy feet that limit his range and his actions overall are somewhat raw, and his throws can get inaccurate when he's on the move. At the hot corner, he could more easily channel his massive arm strength (he has been up to 98 on the mound) and potentially become an average defender. The power and bloodlines are the real treat here and Young brings one of the more boom-or-bust profiles in this draft class. Pulling him away from an LSU commitment for slot value in the second round is nice value as well, even if I had him ranked a bit lower than most other boards.

3-88: RHP James Ellwanger, Dallas Baptist
Slot value: $893,000. Signing bonus: $1 million ($107,000 above slot value).
My rank: #91. MLB Pipeline: #76. Baseball America: #94.
James Ellwanger has been one of the better young arms in Texas for a while now, and he has done just enough to maintain that status while not fully putting things together. Elbow issues limited his freshman season at Dallas Baptist in 2024 but he put up a 2.77 ERA and an excellent 40% strikeout rate in the Cape Cod League over the summer, making up any prospect ground he lost in the spring and more. Dallas Baptist handled him very carefully this spring, and he didn't throw more than 75 pitches in a start until mid-April nor more than four innings until May. While he started strong, he hit a rough patch in the middle of the season to temper expectations until some excellent starts against Kennesaw State (6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 8 K) and Jacksonville State (6 IP, 1 ER, 12 K) in May gave teams something to work with. His mid 90's fastball touches 99 at peak, coming in with big riding life to blow past hitters. His hard slider has looked like his best out pitch at times in his college career, though his truer curveball seemed to eclipse that in 2025 and gives him another swing and miss offering. While he'll need to iron out the consistency, there is no question that he can spin the baseball well. His firm changeup is a fourth pitch. Ellwanger moves extremely well on the mound, showing a clean delivery that produces electric stuff when he's on with strong extension down the mound. The 6'4" righty still comes with additional projection even as a college arm, and overall if you see him on his best days you'd think he could be a #2 starter. However, his command has been very inconsistent throughout his career and his 13.8% walk rate in 2025 was well above what most teams look for. Given that he has also dealt with some nagging injuries that may have impacted his operation in ways we can't see, he'll need more consistent time on the mound to find his command. He certainly has the delivery and athleticism to get there. If Minnesota can keep him on the mound and get him throwing more strikes, the stuff is electric. It could play up even further in the bullpen.

4-119: RHP Jason Reitz, Oregon
Slot value: $635,700. Signing bonus: $633,200 ($2,500 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #191. Baseball America: #232.
The 6'11" Sean Hjelle grew up in the Twin Cities and has carved out a career for the San Francisco Giants. The 6'11" Jason Reitz grew up in the Bay Area, and now he'll look to follow the reverse path to the big leagues back in Minnesota. Reitz began his career at Saint Mary's and while he managed just a 6.85 ERA over two seasons, Oregon loved the size and brought him up north. He was blown up by Rhode Island in his second appearance and struggled with inconsistent command throughout much of the season, but seemed to hit his stride over the second half and was trending up in the lead up to the draft. Reitz doesn't look real on the mound. His towering frame struggles to stay in the camera frame if it's too zoomed in, while his rail-thin build accentuates some of the longest limbs you've ever seen. Should he reach the majors, he would tie Hjelle and Jon Rauch as the tallest pitchers of all time. Reitz' fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches the upper 90's, while he frequently cuts it into the upper 80's to avoid barrels. He can turn it over into a truer slider, though neither pitch stands out as a true swing and miss weapon. Reitz relies heavily on a solid changeup that can really slide off the table when he gets it right, though it can be inconsistent. Despite the long legs, he mostly just steps and throws from an upright delivery, so instead of extending way down the mound and releasing in front of the hitter's face, he instead comes straight down from the clouds. The ultra steep angle creates a unique look hitters that they don't often see or practice and gives all of his pitches downward plane. If Minnesota can help him continue to improve his command while perhaps pushing a secondary pitch forward, he could be a back-end starting pitcher. Given the higher bonus than many expected, they clearly believe they can get there with some of the most unique clay in the draft.

5-149: RHP Matt Barr, SUNY Niagara JC [NY]
Slot value: $475,000. Signing bonus: $762,500 ($287,500 signing bonus).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #136. Baseball America: #223.
The highest drafted JuCo prospect in this year's draft, Matt Barr signed for late third round money rather than attend Tennessee. Scouts don't usually go out of their way to watch Upstate New York JuCo ball, but every time Barr took the ball at SUNY Niagara, it became more and more apparent that they needed to make it happen. The NJCAA Division III Pitcher of the Year, he absolutely carved through the opposition up there with a 1.74 ERA and 94 strikeouts in just 57 innings. The fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and touches 97 with running action from a low slot, overpowering velocity for the competition he faced and enough to fit right into pro ball. He can really rip through a breaking ball, showing both a curve and a slider that have a chance to be above average with more consistency. For now, they stand out more for their high spin rates than their finish, and he also can drop his arm to get around the slider. At this point, Barr throws with significant effort in his low three quarters delivery and needs to tune up his command, but he is only 19 years old and has plenty of time to get thing streamlined. Meanwhile, the Buffalo-area native is extremely projectable at 6'6" and could easily hold the same velocity while easing up on his delivery as he fills out and gets stronger. It's a reliever-y profile at present, but given his age and projection, there is a ton of upside for Minnesota to tap into. Riley Quick is a stud, but Barr has a chance to be the best pitcher in this Twins class if things break the right way.

6-179: SS Bruin Agbayani, Saint Louis HS [HI]
Slot value: $361,600. Signing bonus: $380,600 ($19,000 above slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #234. Baseball America: #405.
The second of two high school bats taken by Minnesota, Bruin Agbayani is a very different player from Quentin Young. The son of former Met Benny Agbayani, a valuable outfielder around the turn of the century, Bruin brings a track record of performance and simply impressing scouts. His simple, direct left handed swing (albeit with some slight bat wrap) produces hard line drives around the field with consistency, playing up against strong showcase pitching even if he doesn't face the strongest competition back home in Hawaii. While the power is fringy for now, the ball is starting to jump off his bat a bit more and he could grow into average power as he fills out his 6'2" frame. It's a well-rounded offensive profile that projects to produce consistent if unremarkable numbers for the major league club. Defensively, he played shortstop in high school and figures to see time there at the outset of his pro career, but he figures to move to second base or left field in the long run. The arm strength is fringy and likely won't play on the left side of the infield, while his thicker lower half may cause him to slow down a hair as he ages. If he can stick at second base, he projects nicely as a bat-first starter there who can get on base and provide perhaps 10-15 home runs per season, though he'll be fighting an uphill battle if he is forced to the outfield where there would be more pressure on his bat. Agbayani had previously been committed to Michigan.

12-359: RHP Kolten Smith, Georgia
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $200,000 ($50,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: #172. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #330.
This is a buy low selection. Kolten Smith flashed a nice combination of stuff and pitchability over his first two years at Georgia even if his ERA began with a five in both, and coming into his junior season he was considered a top two to three round prospect. Unfortunately, the command stagnated in 2025 and he battled inconsistency on his way to his third straight 5+ ERA season, though he did run a nice 31.4% strikeout rate while again seeing time both in the rotation and bullpen. The fastball sits in the low 90's and peaks around 96, and he can work in different variations of running or riding life but overall it's an average pitch. More often than not, he'll cut the fastball a bit around 90 to keep it off barrels, and indeed he gets better results doing so. Beyond the cutter, Smith works in a full spectrum of breaking balls with a tighter slider and a truer curveball, giving him plenty of weapons with which to attack hitters. There's a changeup too, though it's fringy. There was hope that if he could maintain average command, his deep arsenal and strong 6'3" frame would make him a solid #3 or #4 starter. Instead, with his command remaining shaky and his fastball looking a bit generic, he projects more as a long reliever. There are a lot of building blocks here that could still bring the Central Florida native towards that ceiling as a back-end starting pitcher.

Tuesday, September 9, 2025

2025 MLB Draft Review: Chicago Cubs

Full list of draftees

Chicago seems to have revolved its draft not around its first picks but around later picks. They went massively under slot value with their first three picks and poured that money into two massive over slot bonuses for preps – righty Kaleb Wing in the fourth round and slugger Josiah Hartshorn in the sixth round, both of whom signed for the two highest bonuses in the Cubs' class outside of first rounder Ethan Conrad. While four of the first six picks were bats, it was overall a pitching-heavy class that included nine arms in a ten pick stretch from the seventh through the sixteenth rounds.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-17: OF Ethan Conrad, Wake Forest
Slot value: $4.75 million. Signing bonus: $3.56 million ($1.19 million below slot value).
My rank: #30. MLB Pipeline: #28. Baseball America: #23.
The Cubs saved a ton of money with their first pick, giving #17 overall pick Ethan Conrad just under the slot value of the #25 pick and saving nearly $1.2 million in the process. He's a very interesting case that teams doubtlessly had widely varied opinions on given his somewhat unique path, and it's likely the Cubs see him as a mid-first round talent for the price of a late first rounder. An Upstate New York native, he began his career near home at Marist and turned into one of the best hitters in the MAAC, even setting the NCAA single game record with four triples against St. Peter's in 2024. Amid a torrid run through the Cape Cod League in which he hit .385/.433/.486, he transferred to Wake Forest and hoped to follow the Seaver King route to the top ten. While he started red hot (.372/.479/.744), he made it just 21 games before going down with a shoulder injury. Conrad does a lot of things well on the baseball field. He is built like a power hitter at 6'3", 220 pounds, but employs more of a balanced approach aimed at making high rates of contact and it works. He keeps his strikeout rates low and had no issue with advanced pitching on the Cape, while posting healthy exit velocity data under the hood that points to at least average power in pro ball, perhaps above average if he can consistently elevate. Additionally, despite his size he can show plus speed once he gets going, giving him a shot to play center field at the next level if he can maintain his conditioning. Given the size, there is probably a better chance he fits in an outfield corner, with the potential to be an average right fielder or an above average left fielder. All in all, the profile actually reminds me a lot of a bigger JJ Wetherholt with a physical build, sneaky athleticism, coordination, and high baseball IQ helping all of their tools play up. Conrad has a shot to hit 15-20 home runs annually, perhaps peaking in the 20's some years at his ceiling, with high on-base percentages and a few stolen bases. Ian Happ is not a bad comp either, though Conrad is a bit bigger and more athletic.

2-56: OF Kane Kepley, North Carolina
Slot value: $1.68 million. Signing bonus: $1.4 million ($280,000 below slot value).
My rank: #76. MLB Pipeline: #84. Baseball America: #60.
Going back to the college ranks, the Cubs picked up a leadoff type in Kane Kepley. Spending his first two collegiate seasons at Liberty, he became known as one of the toughest outs in the Atlantic Sun Conference and put up a robust .461 on-base percentage over two years as an underclassman. Transferring to UNC for his junior season, his production took a step back but most teams attributed that to luck more than anything else, with the Cubs in particular seeing every bit of the second round prospect he was projected to be. Kepley stands just 5'8" and is often the smallest guy on the field, but his baseball IQ is off the charts. He is extraordinarily disciplined at the plate and walked (14.2%) twice as often as he struck out (7.1%) in 2025, flat out refusing to chase bad pitches out of the zone. That was true against elite pitching in the Cape Cod League last summer as well, where he walked 21.6% of the time and struck out just 11.4%. Kepley's quick, flat swing helps him make contact at an enormous rate, giving him a true plus hit tool overall and perhaps plus-plus if you isolate simply contact quantity from contact quality. Now as you may expect, there isn't much power in the profile. While he popped for nine home runs at Liberty in 2024, he hit just three at UNC in 2025 and registered below average exit velocities. The North Carolina native's size limits the raw power and his flat swing limits the game power, so he likely tops out around 5-10 home runs annually in the big leagues and instead relies on ultra high on-base percentages. Meanwhile, he is a plus runner who stole 45 bases (fourth-most in NCAA Division I) and was caught just four times, good for an elite 91.8% success rate. Just as with his hitting, Kepley's baserunning instincts are excellent and that carries over to defense as well, where he plays at 110 miles per hour in center field with no fear of crashing into walls. If he can find enough gaps to rack up doubles and triples, he has a chance to be a big league leadoff hitter. If he struggles to hit for impact and pitchers start to attack him in the zone and force him to rely on poking the ball through holes, he may profile more as a fourth outfielder whose below average arm precludes him from right field.

3-90: RHP Dominick Reid, Abilene Christian
Slot value: $865,500. Signing bonus: $649,125 ($216,375 below slot value).
My rank: #142. MLB Pipeline: #209. Baseball America: #366.
Dominick Reid marks a third consecutive under slot pick as well as a third consecutive transfer, though while Ethan Conrad and Kane Kepley transferred from smaller programs to bigger ones, Reid went the opposite direction. He spent two years at Oklahoma State, where he pitched just 19.1 combined innings on a deep Cowboys pitching staff. Transferring to Abilene Christian for the 2025 season, he immediately stepped into a much larger role and rewarded the coaching staff's faith, dominating an admittedly weaker schedule with 112 strikeouts over fifteen starts. Highlights included a fifteen strikeout masterpiece against Prairie View A&M in March as well as three dominant starts against Tarleton State, Cal Baptist, and Utah Valley (18 IP, 1 ER, 28/1 K/BB) to end the season. Reid sits in the low 90's and touches 96 with his fastball, but it plays up with carrying action from a lower slot. He works between a running two seamer or a cutter in the opposite direction, keeping off of barrels. Unlike most strikeout pitchers, he does not have a reliable breaking ball at this point, with his slider often backing up on him and spinning softly over the plate without the finishing action to get under barrels. However, he makes up for it with a plus changeup with excellent fading action to miss a ton of bats and make hitters look silly. The Dallas-Fort Worth product has an easy, athletic delivery that lends well to average command, and he especially throws the changeup with a ton of conviction to land it where he wants it. Reid clocks in at 6'3" with an ideal pitcher's frame and some projection remaining, lending confidence he can remain as a starter and perhaps add a tick of velocity. Chicago will tinker with his breaking ball to unlock something usable, and that may ultimately be the difference in whether he can get through a big league lineup multiple times. Ultimately, he should be able to pitch off the fastball and changeup alone in a bullpen role if he can live closer to the mid 90's. This is a fun project for Chicago and exactly the kind of sleeper that could surprise people.

4-121: RHP Kaleb Wing, Scotts Valley HS [CA]
Slot value: $623,300. Signing bonus: $1.5 million ($876,700 above slot value).
My rank: #117. MLB Pipeline: #87. Baseball America: #201.
After saving almost $1.7 million over their first three picks, the Cubs dumped about half of those savings into fourth rounder Kaleb Wing, recipient of the third highest bonus in the team's class. In fact, Wing's $1.5 million bonus was close to the slot value of the #61 pick and functioned to keep him from a Loyola Marymount commitment. He reminds me a bit of Billy Carlson, another West Coast two-way prep who went tenth overall to the White Sox, though unlike Carlson, Wing will stick on the mound. He has a low 90's fastball that touches 96, though it has been pushing higher and higher in the velocity department and plays up with significant running action. He drops in a big, two plane curveball with plenty of finish, diving across the plate when he spins it right. While it can pop out of his hand at times and hang up in the zone, it has a chance to be plus in time as he adds power and consistency. Wing has a similarly promising changeup that dives towards the plate, but it can get too soft at times and he'll need to find more consistency. More recently, he has added a slider to the mix to make for a high upside four pitch mix. The 6'2" righty is an excellent athlete that plays a solid shortstop and repeats his delivery well, though he is on the skinnier side and may have less projection than other similarly lanky prep arms. Key for Wing will be continuing to add power across his arsenal, which he has been doing, and getting more consistent with his secondary stuff. There is a chance for three plus pitches in this arsenal if he can do so, and the Cubs are banking on added bulk helping him hold his stuff over a long professional season.

5-151: OF Kade Snell, Alabama
Slot value: $465,400. Signing bonus: $200,000 ($265,400 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: #227. Baseball America: #200.
This is a really nice value pick for the Cubs, who got a really good hitter in Kade Snell for ninth round money here in the fifth round. Snell, who turned 23 shortly after the draft, has had a long, winding college career. He began at Auburn as a pitcher in 2021, but never got into a game due to injuries and transferred to Wallace State JC for two seasons as a two-way player. Returning to the SEC, he joined Alabama in 2024 and again worked as a two-way player, but gave up pitching for his redshirt senior season in 2025 and responded with a huge season at the plate. Snell is a metric monster. When Baseball America released its data through mid-April, he was one of just four hitters to post a contact rate above 90%, with the other three all getting drafted in the top 81 picks. Not only that, but he had the highest 90th percentile exit velocity of any BA 500 hitter with a contact rate above even just 84%, smoking the competition. He has a flat swing that gets long through the zone and is designed to rope line drives around the field, which he does with plenty of authority showing very solid-average top-end exit velocities. The power plays down a tick because the swing is geared more for line drives, but he hits a ton of them. A patient hitter, he draws plenty of walks then rarely misses when he does swing, doing damage against all pitch types and ultimately running a minuscule 6.9% strikeout rate even while facing a tough SEC schedule with Alabama. He hit .342/.435/.456 in 21 games in the Cape Cod League back in 2023, and at this point there's little question that he has one of the best combinations of pro-readiness and impact in the entire draft. While he's a below average runner that will be limited to an outfield corner, he has plenty of arm strength with a fastball that's been up to 93 and should show adequately in either corner. Given his age, he'll expect to move quickly.

6-181: OF Josiah Hartshorn, Orange Lutheran HS [CA]
Slot value: $355,800. Signing bonus: $2 million ($1.64 million above slot value).
My rank: #77. MLB Pipeline: #108. Baseball America: #167.
With all the saving going on with every pick but the Kaleb Wing pick, it almost feels like the Cubs coordinated much of their draft to make this pick. Josiah Hartshorn, selected here at pick #181, signed for the second highest bonus in the Cubs' class with a bonus roughly the value of the #49 overall pick early in the second round. He had previously been committed to Texas A&M. A product of powerhouse Orange Lutheran in Southern California that also produced numerous recent big leaguers and top prospects, most notably Gerrit Cole, Hartshorn could wind up the best hitter ever to come out of the school. While he has a long track record of performance against top pitching, he rose late in the draft with strong impressions down the stretch in his senior season of high school ball. He already has a big league body at 6'2", 220 pounds, helping him bring a heavy barrel from both sides of the plate and produce plus power that he's tapping more and more in games. Not just a masher, Hartshorn's experience against top arms has paid off and he manages the strike zone well. With his power coming naturally, he's able to make plenty of contact too. Unfortunately, he's dealt with back and elbow injuries that have thrown a wrench in things, so the hope is that with more consistent time on the field, the hit tool could get to above average to complement the plus power. The nagging injuries have hurt his defense as well, with fringy speed and arm strength that could tick up with increased health or continue to tick down as he ages. Regardless, Chicago is buying a potential 25-30 homer bat that could produce high on-base percentages to boot. If he winds up at first base, that's still plenty of offense to profile.

7-211: LHP Pierce Coppola, Florida
Slot value: $278,500. Signing bonus: $278,500.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #430.
Pierce Coppola is an interesting pick with lots to digest. He was a top prospect in the 2021 draft who ranked #187 on my board that year, but made it to campus at Florida where he figured to step into a big role. Unfortunately, it wasn't until 2024 that he made his second appearance for the Gators after injuries all but wiped out his first two seasons, then he struggled to an 8.75 ERA (albeit with a promising 35/12 K/BB) in 2024. He came out of the gate sharp in 2025 and cut his ERA down to 2.53 while running his strikeout rate to an absurd 46.7%, but went down with an undisclosed injury after seven starts and did not return until the MLB Draft Combine in June after the season. Coppola's fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 96 at peak, playing up because of the natural extension he creates with his big frame. The 6'8" lefty has inconsistent secondary stuff headlined by a solid slider, while his changeup is a third pitch at this point. He has never thrown more than 23.2 innings in a season and thus it's not surprising that much of his game remains raw, especially for such a lanky kid who needs consistent reps to keep everything in sync, and his command is a similar story to his secondary stuff. Durability is a big concern especially given his age (turning 23 in December) and the amount of ground he needs to cover to get up to speed, so there is a wide range of outcomes here. He's healthy now and Chicago is banking on him staying that way, with the sneaky upside of a starting pitcher. More likely is that the New Jersey native winds up in the bullpen, where his fastball/slider combination would likely pick up and his massive size would make for an uncomfortable at bat.

15-451: RHP Noah Edders, Troy
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $100,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #411.
The Cubs finally grabbed a local kid in the fifteenth round. Noah Edders grew up in Woodridge, a suburb about 22 miles southwest of downtown Chicago, and attended nearby Downers Grove South High School. Beginning his career at Bradley, he worked his way into the rotation to middling results. He transferred south to Troy for the 2025 season and again posted an up and down year, but finished strong with 10.2 (earned) run-less, walk-less innings and nine strikeouts in the MLB Draft League. Edders throws a sinker in the low 90's that tops out around 94 and can mold it into a couple different shapes, giving him a dynamic if average offering to start with. His slider is probably his best pitch with tight, late bite to sneak under barrels, while he also has a less consistent changeup. He's big and physical at a listed 6'4", 230 pounds with a smooth, easy delivery to help him live in and around the zone. While the command isn't pinpoint, it's solid enough and the Cubs likely think the size and delivery point to a durable workhorse starting pitcher who can handle a long, grinding pro season. Getting a bit more consistent with his secondary stuff and perhaps adding a tick to his fastball will help him get to his back-end starter ceiling.

Thursday, September 4, 2025

2025 MLB Draft Review: Arizona Diamondbacks

Full list of draftees

As always, Arizona targeted an athletic, high-contact up the middle prep bat with their first pick, then pivoted to drafting pitchers with six of their next seven picks going into the middle rounds. It's a class full of interesting fastball profiles including a few up into triple digits and one of my favorites in the class coming from Patrick Forbes. While two of their first three picks are listed at 5'10", it was otherwise a class full of size with eleven different draftees (more than half) listed at 6'3" or taller and thirteenth rounder Alex Galvan tipping the scales at 6'6", 245 pounds.
Full index of team reviews hereFull rankings here.
Note that the number before a player's name indicates their draft position. For example, "2-50" would indicate that a player was taken in the second round with the fiftieth overall pick.

1-18: SS Kayson Cunningham, Johnson HS [TX]
Slot value: $4.58 million. Signing bonus: $4.58 million.
My rank: #18. MLB Pipeline: #14. Baseball America: #12.
The Diamondbacks love high contact, athletic, up the middle prep bats and they got their guy in Kayson Cunningham. Many teams have watched Kevin McGonigle's ascent to the top prospect in the Tigers system and arguably in all of baseball. Cunningham shares a similar profile. Undersized at a generous 5'10", he has a chance to be a plus hitter with fringe-average power. His lightning quick left handed swing is super accurate, getting long through the strike zone and driving the ball out to all fields with some mustard on it. He never, ever swings and misses in the strike zone even against high end velocity and breaking stuff. Meanwhile, there is not a ton of power in the profile given his size, but his bat speed helps him generate fringy pop that could help him hit upwards of 10-15 home runs per season at the major league level with averages over .300. Drafted as a shortstop, he is a plus runner with good range that can get to balls all over the dirt. His arm is closer to average than plus and while he could potentially stick at shortstop, he's better at flipping the ball over to first base than he is at reaching back and gunning it so second base might be the best fit, where he could be a plus defender. The San Antonio native is old for the class, having turned 19 before the draft, but McGonigle was old for the class too and it's worked out just fine for him. Cunningham is an exciting young player and if he can continue to hit for some pop with wood bats, he could be an All Star in Arizona.

1C-29: RHP Patrick Forbes, Louisville
Slot value: $3.19 million. Signing bonus: $3 million ($191,100 below slot value).
My rank: #32. MLB Pipeline: #31. Baseball America: #47.
Patrick Forbes is a really fun arm with some of the highest upside of any pitcher in the class if he can put it together. He couldn't find the strike zone as a freshman and barely pitched, walking 15 of the 51 batters he faced (29.4% walk rate), but pulled it together enough to hold down a swingman role as a sophomore in 2024. He then dominated his way through non-conference play in 2025 (39/3 K/BB in 21 IP) and pushed his way into the first round conversation, but did not fare nearly as well in ACC play and lost a good chunk of his prospect stock when he walked seven batters in three innings at NC State in April. However, he righted the ship somewhat as the season came to a close, including racking up 32 strikeouts in three starts during Louisville's NCAA Tournament run to the College World Series. Forbes has explosive stuff. It's what I call a "rocket ship" fastball, exploding out of his hand with mid 90's velocity and big riding action, topping out in triple digits. He works between a sweeping slider and a sharper bullet slider, giving him an above average breaker when he rips it right. At this point, Forbes primarily pitches off the fastball and slider and the Diamondbacks will need to help bring his changeup along. The 6'3" righty creates a low release point with his short arm action, making the riding action on his fastball all the more impressive so that it can absolutely eat up in the zone. As has been made clear, his command comes and goes. Some days, he's around the zone and looks like he could have average command. On others, he can't find the zone. Honing that in will be the biggest key for Forbes remaining a starter, though the fastball/slider combination would be absolutely nasty out of the bullpen, where he could live in the upper 90's. Even without a reliable changeup, the stuff is so electric that it's not necessarily a hurdle so long as the command is taken care of. Arizona has had success with Kentuckian starting pitchers like Brandon Webb and Brandon Pfaadt, so Patrick Forbes will hopefully be next in line.

3-92: RHP Brian Curley, Georgia
Slot value: $839,100. Signing bonus: $700,000 ($139,100 below slot value).
My rank: #149. MLB Pipeline: #102. Baseball America: #216.
Sticking with the power arms, Brian Curley brings more triple digit velocity following Patrick Forbes. He began his career at VCU and rode a big sophomore season into an opportunity to transfer to Georgia, where he began in the bullpen but worked his way into the rotation. Curley's fastball sits in the mid 90's and can touch 100 in short stints, coming in with huge riding action from a higher slot. His hard, tight slider is his primary offspeed pitch with late dive under bats, while he can soften it up into a curveball or changeup if needed. The first two are more reliable than the latter two, which mostly serve as change of pace offerings to keep hitters off his power stuff. While the fastball/slider Forbes clocked in at a listed 6'3", 220 pounds, Curley is much stockier at 5'10", 210 pounds. The size combined with his high effort delivery and fringy command will likely push him to the bullpen, where he can live in the upper 90's and dice hitters up with his slider. The Richmond-area native also brings a fiery personality on the mound perfect for relief work, and I think both he and Arizona would love to have him on the mound closing games at Chase Field. While both he and Forbes were college juniors, he is more than a thirteen months older than Forbes and turned 22 more than a month before the draft, making him the age of a senior sign. Regardless, he should move quickly in a relief role or the Diamondbacks could try him out as a starter and see if they can better apply his natural athleticism to his delivery.

4-123: RHP Dean Livingston, Hebron Christian HS [GA]
Slot value: $611,300. Signing bonus: $1 million ($388,700 above slot value).
My rank: #125. MLB Pipeline: #95. Baseball America: #152.
Lacking a second round pick, Arizona spent big on fourth rounder Dean Livingston, a Georgia commit, and gave him a seven figure signing bonus akin to the #81 overall pick early in the third round, three hundred thousand more than their own third rounder Brian Curley. Livingston is pretty much how you draw it up as a prep pitching prospect. Listed at 6'4", 205 pounds with an ideal combination of present physicality and future projection, he certainly looks the part. Presently, the fastball sits in the low to mid 90's and reached as high as 97 this spring, and he throws distinct four and two seam fastballs. His breaking balls don't stand out with fairly pedestrian tilt, though he does show good aptitude to land them where he needs them. His changeup is usually pretty firm, but he can show nice fade at times. In all, Arizona is buying the athlete and what could be. Besides the presently above average velocity, the Atlanta-area product has a very clean, athletic delivery that appears destined to add even more velocity without sacrificing command. In fact, besides the lack of a standout secondary pitch, one of the only potential holes in the profile is that his delivery may be too clean, giving hitters a straightforward look at what is coming out of his hand. Despite the lack of deception, he throws plenty hard already and stays around the strike zone, and if he can take a step forward across the board with his offspeed stuff, he has a nice ceiling as a #3 or #4 starter.

5-153: OF Nathan Hall, South Carolina
Slot value: $456,400. Signing bonus: $456,400.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #281.
Arizona's first college bat of the class is another upside play. Nathan Hall spent two years at Clemson, where he primarily came off the bench and started just 20 of the 51 games he played in, with unremarkable offensive numbers. He transferred to rival South Carolina this year and proved that all he needed was consistent playing time, this time starting 54 of the Gamecocks' 57 games in what was unfortunately a season to forget in Columbia. Hall has a projectable, athletic frame at 6'3" and a balanced profile that brings some upside too. While he's a relatively aggressive hitter, he shows strong plate coverage and ran just an 11.7% strikeout rate, leading USC with a .322 batting average in the process. He produces sneaky raw power and while he put up just seven home runs in 2025, he shows plus top-end exit velocities that might help him profile for average or better game power in the future. Right now, his swing is more geared towards ground balls and he doesn't always get his A swing off, so helping him a) get better pitches to hit and/or b) trade some contact for more power in the air could give him 15-20 home runs per season or better. All in all, it's one of the better contact/power combinations in the class, even if he doesn't tap it quite yet and chases too much. Meanwhile, Hall is an above average runner and has shown well in center field, where he could stick if Arizona needs him to. That would certainly take some pressure off his bat as it develops towards its ceiling. There is much more upside than you'd think here for an SEC (i.e., not unknown) bat who was drafted far above where he ranked on most public boards as a potential everyday center fielder or a solid fourth outfielder.

8-243: RHP Jack Martinez, Arizona State
Slot value: $223,100. Signing bonus: $167,330 ($55,770 below slot value).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: #242.
This is a fun senior sign for a bit of a discount. While he's not a desert native, Jack Martinez will need to travel just eight miles from school to his new big league home. Martinez grew up in Corpus Christi and stayed relatively close to home for two years at Trinity University in San Antonio, then transferred to Louisiana-Lafayette for a good-not-great junior season in 2024. Transferring a second time to Arizona State for his senior season, he racked up strikeouts in bunches with five different double digit strikeout games (including a dozen K's against rival Arizona) and finds himself a Diamondback. Martinez sits in the low to mid 90's with his fastball, reaching back for as much as 97 to blow by hitters. He throws a distinct slider and curveball, though neither stand out and can look loopier than sharp. His changeup is his best pitch, fading at the last minute and helping him run those high strikeout numbers. The 6'4" righty has the size to start but uses a high effort delivery with huge lower half extension, impacting his strike throwing. He ran a career best 9.7% walk rate in 2025, but that was more a product of scattered strikes than it was of true command and he got hit when he left the ball over the plate. Interestingly, Martinez commands his offspeed stuff better than his fastball, meaning he'll have to steal strikes with those pitches instead. It does give hitters a different look and would work really well in short stints in the bullpen, where he could approach the upper 90's at peak velocity. If he can find a way to fine tune his fastball command to match his offspeed command, there is upside of a #4 or #5 starter there. As a senior sign, Martinez turned 22 back in March.

11-333: LHP Luke Dotson, Mississippi State
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $500,000 ($350,000 against bonus pool).
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
Luke Dotson spent two years at Mississippi State, taking on a relief role as a sophomore to moderate success, then announced his intention to transfer to Texas for the 2026 season. Firmly committed to the Longhorns and falling out of the top ten rounds, it seemed highly likely that Dotson was heading for Austin, but the Diamondbacks gave him fifth round money to come to the desert instead. His fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 96, but plays up with riding and cutting action from a deceptive slot. His curveball gets nice dive over the plate, while his changeup gives him a third usable pitch against righties. Right now, the fastball is more consistent than the breaking balls and the command is closer to fringy than average, so for now he projects more as a reliever. However, the Diamondbacks seem to love his fastball and see a relatively easy, athletic delivery and a physical 6'4" frame and may think they can push him into the rotation. Transitions in the opposite direction are usually more fruitful, but reliever -> starter does work sometimes as well. For it to work, Arizona will bank on that size helping him hold his average fastball velocity deeper into starts while bringing his secondaries along. The curveball in particular shows promise of becoming a potential above average pitch.

18-543: RHP Raul Garayzar, Arizona
Slot value: up to $150,000. Signing bonus: $100,000.
My rank: unranked. MLB Pipeline: unranked. Baseball America: unranked.
Raul Garayzar gives the Diamondbacks a second Arizona college product and this time, he's an Arizona native. Garayzar grew up in Rio Rico, a small town just north of the border near Nogales, then started his college career at South Mountain JC in Phoenix. He transferred to Arizona for his final two seasons, and though he didn't do much as a junior, he was a valuable swingman for the Wildcats as a senior and put up a 2.81 ERA in hitter-friendly conditions. The fastball sits in the low 90's and touches 95, not overwhelming velocity but its running action helps him keep the ball on the ground consistently. There's nice sweep on his slider but his changeup may be his best pitch with a ton of running action moving the opposite direction of his cutting fastball. The 6'4" righty is a big guy who generates his velocity pretty easily with a smooth, repeatable delivery that helps him show solid command. It's probably a long relief role without a ton of ceiling, but a very nice hometown get.